After Dax built a Top, the illustrated wedge was triggered. We saw a consolidation which was Long overdue imo.
The latest downswing nearly reached the 38,2 fibo ~(10.100) from the upmove 9300- 10470. This Level (concretly: 10.022) could but need not be a potential turnaround Level (The RSI signs an oversold Situation) - perhaps the consolidation will go further down to the normal or max consolidation Levels fibo 0,5 and 62,8 --> 9884 / 9747. The probability is given as Long Dax is trading within the illustrated latest shortterm downtrend. If this trend will break, dax could aim the fibo-Clusters at the upside (10236/10281/10325). Here a desicion has to be made!
As Long Dax is trading below 10325 i see a temporarily continuation of the current (shortterm) bearish momentum. Prices below 10.022 could accelerate the downswing - a first target would be 9.984 (0,5 fibo)
microstructure of the present shortterm downtrend:
Dear followers! I Need some comments or other ideas ! I Analyse the market for YOU
Former Analysis:
Comment. was this the final overshooting today which triggeres the bearish wedge?
Shortterm H&S?
Main Analysis:
DAX reached Action Point!
Dax reached the falling trendline which is valid since 21.04.2016. For me, thats an Action Point where a desicion has to be made. An upcoming consolidation is thinkable at that Level (possible tp on the downside is - as always - the 38,2 fibo) , but not neccesary. The RSI signs further up-potential in the daily Chart - there is still a bullish momentum - every dip was bought these days.
If DAX could beat the midterm downtrend since April, the BIG Downtrend can be aimed!
Beating this longterm downtrend means a resumption of the maitrend - a Long Lasting bullmarket since 2008.
The latest downswing nearly reached the 38,2 fibo ~(10.100) from the upmove 9300- 10470. This Level (concretly: 10.022) could but need not be a potential turnaround Level (The RSI signs an oversold Situation) - perhaps the consolidation will go further down to the normal or max consolidation Levels fibo 0,5 and 62,8 --> 9884 / 9747. The probability is given as Long Dax is trading within the illustrated latest shortterm downtrend. If this trend will break, dax could aim the fibo-Clusters at the upside (10236/10281/10325). Here a desicion has to be made!
As Long Dax is trading below 10325 i see a temporarily continuation of the current (shortterm) bearish momentum. Prices below 10.022 could accelerate the downswing - a first target would be 9.984 (0,5 fibo)
microstructure of the present shortterm downtrend:
Dear followers! I Need some comments or other ideas ! I Analyse the market for YOU
Former Analysis:
Comment. was this the final overshooting today which triggeres the bearish wedge?
Shortterm H&S?
Main Analysis:
DAX reached Action Point!
If DAX could beat the midterm downtrend since April, the BIG Downtrend can be aimed!
Beating this longterm downtrend means a resumption of the maitrend - a Long Lasting bullmarket since 2008.
Comment:
Thats the way i like it :-)
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Comment:
resistance Cluster ahead
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Many People asked me where to short the dax at the Moment..hmm...perhaps this is a thinkable Szenario for you permabears :-)
Comment:
But at the Moment, i see no signals to short it...
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ok, without any signal i have seen, the short works :-) 55 Points in 25 minutes..that gooooooood!!!
Comment:
i am flat - but if i would be short like illustrated before, i would tend to adjust my Initial sl this way