Alphabet (GOOGL): Gap Fill and the Future of Wave (2)

Sep 27

We remain convinced that Alphabet is currently in Wave (2) after the well-defined end of Wave (1) at $197. Following that, we saw a sharp and fast sell-off, which looks more like a Wave A rather than the full Wave (2). This is further supported by the fact that the sell-off respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level perfectly, a typical level for Wave A.

We still have an open gap above, and we believe this should get filled, especially considering the nature of Wave A. We're expecting Wave B to reach between the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels. Right between these two levels lies the gap, making it highly likely that this gap will get filled before we continue the downtrend.

Looking further ahead, if you're asking where we would consider buying shares, there are two potential opportunities. The first is around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level and the Point of Control (POC), and the second is lower in what we call the "Great Buy" zone, between $116 and $100. While this might seem like a significant drop, we saw a similar decline in 2022, so nothing is off the table.

We'll keep monitoring this closely for you.