Fundamental Analysis: 1. Earnings per Share (EPS): • Q3 2024 EPS estimate is 17.29 INR, and the reported values for the prior quarters (Q4 ’23, Q1 ’24, Q2 ’24) have consistently beaten estimates with surprises ranging from 11.08% to 41.55%. • This indicates strong financial performance and the company’s ability to exceed market expectations. 2. Revenue: • Reported revenue for Q1 ’24 and Q2 ’24 surpassed estimates with 5.37% and 2.38% surprises, respectively. • The company is expected to generate 56.45B INR in revenue for Q3 ’24. This suggests consistent growth, which is a positive indicator for long-term investors. 3. Conclusion from Fundamentals: • Strong EPS growth and consistent revenue beats show that the company is performing well financially. • With upcoming reports due in February 2025, further positive earnings surprises could lead to upward momentum.
Technical Analysis 1. Current Price Action: • The stock is trading near 2,140 INR, approaching key fair value gaps (FVG) at 2,150 INR (1D FVG) and 2,273.45 INR (higher target zone). 2. Support & Resistance: • Major support zone is near 1,985.90 INR (Daily Low). • Resistance zones lie at 2,218.30 INR, 2,273.45 INR, and the Daily High of 2,313.20 INR. 3. Market Structure: • There is a change of character (Choch) on the chart, suggesting potential bullishness if it sustains above 2,150 INR. • The stock may consolidate slightly before moving towards the higher resistance zones. 4. Short-term Prediction: • Likely to test 2,273.45 INR in the near term if the bullish structure holds. • A break below 1,985.90 INR would invalidate the bullish setup.
Conclusion: • Investment Decision: • Buy: Based on strong fundamentals (earnings and revenue growth) and a bullish technical structure, the stock looks promising for swing trading or medium-term investing. • Entry Point: Around 2,140-2,150 INR, aligning with the technical FVG and support zones. • Target: 2,273.45 INR (short-term) and 2,313.20 INR (medium-term). • Stop Loss: Below 1,985.90 INR to manage risk in case the bullish structure fails.
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