META – Testing Key Demand as Gamma Shows Heavy Put. Sep 29

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META – Testing Key Demand as Gamma Shows Heavy Put Defense 🛡️

1-Hour Technical Outlook
Meta remains in a well-defined descending channel that started early last week. After a sharp drop into the $737–$740 support area, price is trying to stabilize near $743, but still trades under a dominant downtrend line from the $760 zone. MACD momentum is weak and negative, while the Stoch RSI is only slowly recovering from oversold—suggesting cautious consolidation rather than an aggressive bounce.
Key resistance to watch is $745 (short-term pivot), with larger supply at $752.5 and $760–$765. On the downside, a break below $737–$735 would expose the lower channel target around $725.

Gamma Exposure (GEX) Confirmation:
snapshot
Options positioning sharpens the roadmap:
* Largest positive GEX / Call Resistance sits near $752.5, matching the first significant upside barrier.
* Secondary call walls are at $760–$767.5, aligning with the top of the broader structure.
* Deep put support is stacked at $740, with heavier layers at $735 and $725, reflecting strong dealer hedging interest at those key floors.
This setup implies that if Meta reclaims $745 with conviction, a gamma squeeze could propel price toward $752.5 and possibly $760. Conversely, sustained action below $737 would likely invite further dealer selling into the mid-$720s.

Trade Ideas & Option Plays for This Week
* Bullish Play: Enter on a clean hourly close above $745, targeting $752.5–$760. Options: 1-week 745 calls or 745/755 call spreads for defined risk.
* Bearish Play: Short below $737, targeting $730–$725. Options: short-dated puts or 740/725 vertical spreads.
* With IVR around 25.5 and IVx near 33.6, options pricing is moderate—favoring debit or credit spreads depending on direction.

My Take:
META is hovering at a decision zone. Heavy put support near $740 suggests a temporary floor, but until bulls reclaim $745, the path of least resistance remains sideways to slightly down. A decisive move through either $745 or $737 will likely set the tone for the week.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before trading.

Disclaimer

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