26000 LEVELS shall be a potential TOP for 2025

Market Outlook for 2025: A Cautious Approach

Based on my analysis, the current market level around 26,000 appears to be topping out, and I am not particularly optimistic about a sustained upward trend. My overall outlook for 2025 is bearish, as I anticipate a challenging and potentially painful year for equities. Therefore, I am adopting a defensive approach in my trading and investment strategy.

Portfolio Strategy

Given the bearish outlook, I am allocating only 10-15% of my portfolio to selective, high-conviction stocks. The remaining portion will be held in cash or low-risk instruments to minimize exposure to potential market downturns. This conservative strategy ensures that I have sufficient liquidity to take advantage of opportunities if and when the market provides better entry points.

Key Levels to Watch

My views will remain bearish unless the market decisively breaks above the 25,000 level, which I see as a crucial threshold. Until such a breakout occurs, I prefer to stay cautious and avoid aggressive long positions. Should the market breach this level with strong momentum, I will reconsider my stance and potentially increase my exposure.

Risk Management

In addition to selective buying, I am considering hedging strategies to further protect the portfolio. These may include:

Options: Using put options to hedge against downside risk.

Inverse ETFs: Gaining exposure to inverse ETFs as a way to profit from potential declines.


By maintaining a disciplined approach, focusing on capital preservation, and being selective in stock picking, I aim to navigate the expected volatility in 2025 effectively.


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This strategy is subject to change as market conditions evolve, but for now, caution remains my guiding principle.
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