sgor1980

Nifty : Bulls & Bears, Who Rides On What?

NSE:NIFTY   Nifty 50 Index
160 1 5
"Nifty : Bulls & Bears, Who Rides On What?" Well, the discussion on this issue can be an endless. However, the importance and the very existence of both makes the market more reliable and provides an endless opportunities for both buyers and sellers. And I think there is no doubt about it and everyone agrees on it unanimously.

Above is Nifty's chart on daily time scale, showing move from 6825.80 to 9450.65. Above is Nifty's chart on daily time scale, showing move from 6825.80 to 9450.65. I have tried to simplify and put forth my point of views as far as possible and also have put up some notes in chart as well.

Below are some of my observations, that I would like to put forth the readers to understand and make proper decision:
(i) The move from 6825.80 to 8968.70 in Nifty             looks to be a leading diagonal formation. A leading diagonal can be wave 1 of impusive run or wave A of corrective pattern A-B-C.
(ii) The total fall in Nifty             from 8968.70 to 7893.80 was 50% of its total rise from 6825.80 to 8968.70 in simple A-B-C formation.
( iii             ) The rise in Nifty             , from the low of 7893.80 to 9450.65, looks to be a three waves formation, untill now, whereby, Nifty             more or less looks to have finished its upside move with completion of wave v of wave C/3 @ 9450.65.
(iv) Also, the move from 7893.80 to 9450.65 is more than 138.20% of total fall from 8968.70 to 7893.80. So, the possibility of irregular B wave of flat corrective pattern (3-3-5) is ruled out. But, the possibility of wave X cannot be ruled out at this point of time.
(v) Wave C/3, has total rise of 1123.45 points which is almost 2x of wave A/1, which had total rise of 567.25 points.
(vi) Wave i, iii             of wave C/3 have total rise of 654.95 points and 413.80 points respectively.
( vii             ) As wave iii             of wave C/3 is shorter than wave i of wave C/3 wave v cannot go/end beyond 9488.95, as third wave cannot be shortest among imulsive wave one, three and five.
(viii) Nifty             was closed at 9422.40 having P/E ratio of 23.93.

If 9450.65 is the end point of wave X then market may see downward movement upto or beyond 7893.80. Also, a bearish divergence is visible on MACD oscillator on daily time scale of Nifty's chart. Besides, it is observed that the Nifty             might form an Evening star formation if it opens below close of 11th May, 2017 candle and closes near or below the opening price of 10th May, 2017 candle.

Let us see what happens on 12th May, 2017 and what market brings out for the traders & investors.
fascinating wave counts with one hell of a write-up... You & ajay posting good stuff with Elliott's , Nice :)
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