The NZDUSD pair is currently positioned at a key technical level, indicating potential movement in either direction. However, with major USD-related economic data set to be released shortly, the market is poised for increased volatility.
Key USD Data (Release Time: Today):
Core Retail Sales m/m: Forecast at 0.1% (previous: 0.1%) Retail Sales m/m: Forecast at 0.3% (previous: 0.1%) Unemployment Claims: Forecast at 241K (previous: 258K)
Scenario 1: Positive USD Data
Strong retail sales or lower unemployment claims could boost USD strength, causing NZDUSD to dip. Expect possible short-term downside volatility or even a spike down to hunt liquidity. However, a recovery could follow, leading to an upside push.
Scenario 2: Negative USD Data
Weak retail sales or higher unemployment claims may weaken USD, prompting a bullish reaction in NZDUSD. This could trigger an upward spike, potentially extending the bullish trend.
Risk Management Tips:
Avoid over-leveraging: Markets can spike in either direction. Use stop-losses wisely: Place stops in a safe zone to avoid whipsaws caused by news volatility. Stay prepared for both scenarios and consider waiting for a clear trend after the news releases to confirm direction before entering new trades
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