SOLANA/USD Bearish in a bullish Consolidation:War+Recession
Updated
As the Russians and Ukr. are facing to end the war,another war, in the middle east is starting:Irand vs Israel As well strategically as economically and politicially this zone of our planet is ruling all economies around the world:Oil,Gas,International trades and very important strategical zones:The survival of the world is dependent on the middle east.The middle east is the heart and ouls of the world.
Also the very negative NFP last Friday confirming that recission will come.And All this factors will increase the pain and suffer of the stock markets,FOREX and ofcourse Crypto currencies.
As Solana is now for many months in a big consolidation range we can use this situations to generate profitable situations with high probabilities:The markets tend to consolidate 70% of times. The probability the we will have an uptrend is 15%,and bear trend also 15%.So why not to use the 70% probabilitiy?
As the trend is currently long,meaning the ranges are stepping higher, the dangerouse zone for the bulls is the,,negative CRV Target,,,in green colour!
There the Bulls will face the increased risk,to add postions, or the profit portential of holding long trades is nealy zero,becuaz the bears take control.
This stage is high potential Short entry for the bears,but also taking profit area optimally for the bulls.
As we can see eachtime the market met this zone, many false breakouts (white circles) have been generated, the bears started to ride down the trend to ,,Target Negative CRV,,,in ORANGE: There the bears closed their positions and took profits,or also the bulls who hedged their positions short at around 190-205 clsoedtheir hedge positions and added more long positions at around 117-124.
The current stage of the market ,Close below FBA,, is where we are right now. The bears still in control,the market closed below that zone and opened immediately lower.The probabiliy that the bears will force solana to 120 zone is increasing.
Remember we are bearish in a bullish trend!
Where do the bulls lose total control?
This will happen,if the market closes 3Days in row below 117,and a bullish impulse or pullback to 117 or above 117 will not be successfull:That means if the bear immediately react and send down Solana forcefully below 117.This is ultimate confirmation that Bearish trend has started and Solana will fall very deep.
If the impulse overcomes 117 and continues above 125+Close,then Solana will go back to 190-208 area again.As long as Solana can saty above 180.85 Solana will try to break above this range.Once it falls back, the game repeats
Also the very negative NFP last Friday confirming that recission will come.And All this factors will increase the pain and suffer of the stock markets,FOREX and ofcourse Crypto currencies.
As Solana is now for many months in a big consolidation range we can use this situations to generate profitable situations with high probabilities:The markets tend to consolidate 70% of times. The probability the we will have an uptrend is 15%,and bear trend also 15%.So why not to use the 70% probabilitiy?
As the trend is currently long,meaning the ranges are stepping higher, the dangerouse zone for the bulls is the,,negative CRV Target,,,in green colour!
There the Bulls will face the increased risk,to add postions, or the profit portential of holding long trades is nealy zero,becuaz the bears take control.
This stage is high potential Short entry for the bears,but also taking profit area optimally for the bulls.
As we can see eachtime the market met this zone, many false breakouts (white circles) have been generated, the bears started to ride down the trend to ,,Target Negative CRV,,,in ORANGE: There the bears closed their positions and took profits,or also the bulls who hedged their positions short at around 190-205 clsoedtheir hedge positions and added more long positions at around 117-124.
The current stage of the market ,Close below FBA,, is where we are right now. The bears still in control,the market closed below that zone and opened immediately lower.The probabiliy that the bears will force solana to 120 zone is increasing.
Remember we are bearish in a bullish trend!
Where do the bulls lose total control?
This will happen,if the market closes 3Days in row below 117,and a bullish impulse or pullback to 117 or above 117 will not be successfull:That means if the bear immediately react and send down Solana forcefully below 117.This is ultimate confirmation that Bearish trend has started and Solana will fall very deep.
If the impulse overcomes 117 and continues above 125+Close,then Solana will go back to 190-208 area again.As long as Solana can saty above 180.85 Solana will try to break above this range.Once it falls back, the game repeats
Note
bad NFP+Recession+war= crypto down
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