SPX's Ichimoku. Since inceptions day 1957. Theories VS reality.

Feb 26, 2021

Live market & reality VS. Text book & Theories
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***News paper journalist w/his assistance
developed one of the greatest indicators
i've ever seen.
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signals when price crosses below clouds then crosses back
above clouds "One whole candle at least" 23 "signals:
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- 23 % (2020)
- 2 % > lower, retested cloud 8 weeks > Bullish 24%******************************

-2.8 % (2016) > retested break out levels broke lows > Bullish 41 %***************
- 1.53 % > FALSE broke could " w bottom correction" down 10% should be fasle signal xxxxxx
- 7% (2012) > retested break out lows > Bullish 68 %
- 1.17 % > retest could 2 weeks > Bullish boom 18%
-2.68 %(2003) > retest could 10 weeks > Bullish boom 63%

-153 % (1995)

- (-5.19%) false signal(1994) 24 weeks (6 Months!!)
-33 % (1991)
-28% (1989)xxxx not valid whole reason
-(-7.26%) false signal (1988)
-2.53 % (1984) > retested cloud twice 24 weeks> Bullish 96 %
-39% (1982)
-32 % (1980)



- 10.61 % (1978)
-- 11.47% > retested cloud's low (1975)>Bullish 33%
-22.51 % (1970)
-11 % (1967) sideways for 3 weeks> retest could

- 45% (1962)
-26 % (1960)
- 36.17 % (1958)
- 5 % (1957)
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Conclusion: 3 False signals, 20 correct
88% success rate quite impressive.
9 out of 21 signals we actually broke lows or retested the clouds !!!!

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Signals when price breaks clouds, but candle does not close
below it: ( 7 signals)
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-44% (1998)***********
--2.20% > broke could ***********
-17 % (1979) retested cloud 3 weeks> Bullish**********
-(- 5.59 %) false signal(1979).********
- 6.78% ***********
--2.26 % (1978) > retested cloud > 10% bullish*******
-- (-3.62 %) (1965)> retest cloud's lows > Bullish boom ***********
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Conclusion: 2 false signals, 5 correct.
72 % success rate good indicator.

Feb 27, 2021

Note

Any tips , before updating this idea ?

Mar 3, 2021

Note

Hey guys,

Going back trying to dig up more useful info . This is the percentage
of breaking below the clouds: 40s-50s "BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY"
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Summary: 22 bearish break out of clouds
1/ 10 single digits, 8 teens, one 30s, two 40s, One 50s.
2/ 45 % we will get a single digit bearish break out of clouds
3/ 36% we will get a 10-19.99 bearish break out of clouds
4/ 5% we will get a 30% bearish break out of clouds
4/ 13% 40s-50s -----BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY
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Breaking clouds "Bearish" percentage wise:
18.39
11.16
8.44
4.69
8.37
52.24 (2007-2009)
44.66 (2002-2002)
1.78
1.37
2.05
8.86
18.43 (1987)
3.82
14.19 (1981)
7.08
15.79
45.63 (1973-1974)
30.04 91969-1970)
16.71
19.66
5.14
11.95
6.03 (1957)
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