The S&P 500 is at a major point because it is currently being held up by the 200 simple moving average, which, if it fails as support, could see price freefall forming a bear market.
Back in March 2020, price breached the 200 simple moving average, but its time below this indicator was short-lived as we saw a quick return back above the 200 smiple moving average.
This is why we don’t want to enter short positions as soon as price moves below the 200 simple moving average. Instead, we wait for confirmation of lower highs and lower lows on the daily timeframe to avoid getting caught up in a fake breakout.
Last week’s candle on the weekly timeframe shows a long wick below the candle. The sellers attempted to force price further down, but the buyers took control and were able to keep price at support.
We now want to see the buyers give price the momentum it needs to bounce from support and resume the uptrend. As this is a major level of support, if price breaks down and forms a bearish trend, we will start looking for shorting opportunities.
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