YaKa

SP500 - Spot Vs Volatility Divergence on the last 4 tops

FX:SPX500   S&P 500 Index
5

The market amplitude is very high for this altitude.

There's a lot of energy.

The market has to fall but may not be able to fall under such tension.

I think one of 2 things will happen:
(1) either there will be a fast climax (maybe under way) to 2100/2140 and the market will collapse.
(2) or the market will have to stabilise by dissipating the energy in the same area for a while until the moves become sufficiently small, the volatility goes below 15 again and the skew fades.

At the moment, i believe in (1)
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