SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust
Short

$SPY / $SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Oct 3, 2025

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๐Ÿ”ฎ SPY / SPX Scenarios โ€” Friday, Oct 3, 2025 ๐Ÿ”ฎ

๐ŸŒ Market-Moving Headlines
๐Ÿšฉ NFP risk โ€” but delayed: September Employment Report, unemployment rate, and wages wonโ€™t publish if shutdown continues. Markets will run on positioning + PMIs instead.
๐Ÿ“‰ Labor vacuum: Absence of NFP could amplify volatility as traders trade on speculation.
๐Ÿ’ฌ Fed-heavy Friday: A parade of Fed speakers guides tone into weekend positioning.

๐Ÿ“Š Key Data & Events (ET)
โฐ 6:05 AM โ€” John Williams (NY Fed) speech
โฐ 8:30 AM โ€” Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed) TV appearance

๐Ÿšฉ At Risk of Delay (shutdown):
โ€ข 8:30 AM โ€” Employment Report (Sep): Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, Avg. Hourly Earnings

โœ… Still Publishing:
โฐ 9:45 AM โ€” S&P Final Services PMI (Sep)
โฐ 10:00 AM โ€” ISM Services (Sep)

๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ Fed Speakers:
โ€ข 9:30 AM โ€” Stephen Miran (Fed Gov, TV)
โ€ข 1:30 PM โ€” Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed)
โ€ข 1:40 PM โ€” Philip Jefferson (Fed Vice Chair)
โ€ข 3:30 PM โ€” Stephen Miran (Fed Gov, TV)

โš ๏ธ Disclaimer: Educational/informational only โ€” not financial advice.

๐Ÿ“Œ #trading #stockmarket #SPY #SPX #NFP #jobs #Fed #Powell #shutdown #ISM #PMI #bonds #Dollar #economy

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