Descending Broadening Wedge

Mar 9, 2021

In 60% of cases, a descending broadening wedge’s price objective (green bar) is achieved when the resistance line is broken... 40% chance of re-testing support of the channel, which would be long-term support. As we have been rejected off the resistance, could indicate another retest of support.

Mar 9, 2021

Note

Trend remains. Close at upward wedge support as expected, if this breaks overnight, expect to see a substantial downward move.

Mar 10, 2021

Note

Hasn't broken overnight in either direction. Inflation increase from 1.4% to 1.7% (expected) highest it's been since Feb 2020. This might point to the temporary rate of over 2% is incoming. Stimulus passes today so that could be instigation for an upward move, if any look for anything breaking 390 to indicate this.

First target around 375

Mar 10, 2021

Note

Strong DXY which has come alive should correlate to dropping spy prices. keep an eye out.

Mar 10, 2021

Trade active

After an epic up and down battle for control, SPY went sideways leading it out of the upward wedge and finished within the Descending Broadening Wedge.

The idea is still alive, although the exit of wedge today may have invalidated it. Tune in tomorrow.