Ishares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF
Long
Updated

Inverse Head & Shoulders Reversal Pattern Confirmed

603
An inverse Head & Shoulders has confirmed the neckline with a price target of 127 by the end of June.

Last Jan I posted this recession projection for TLT
The Covid 3n+1 Recession



And then I projected the spike in yields on the 10Yr right before the Aug Rug Pull from Jerome Powell.
That's Bait Version 2



Finally catching the double bottom reversal at the bottom at the lows of 91.85
Double Bottom Reversal on 20 Yr Treasury Bond



Bond bears are calling this reversal a trap/mistake suggesting a Mistake in 2 rate cuts in the 2nd half of 2023.

I only monitor TLT for technical analysis and to confirm / invalidate trends for the S&P 500.

Not financial or trading advice.
Note
Not seeing the breakout volume I expected for a test of a inverse h&s.
snapshot

This pattern can also be a bear flag like on the weekly and ultra futures.
snapshot

FEB 1st FOMC - pivotal in deciding direction for the rest of 2023.

FEB 14th CPI - several CPI wins now (even when bad). Higher than expected CPI in FEB would mean a certain bear flag.

FEB 16 PPI - echo of CPI. higher will make sell off worse.

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