US30: Day 3, coiling underneath yesterday HOD
Updated
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“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Monday day 1 broke higher the previous HOW, failing the breakout, dumping down and closing as a first red red day.
Tuesday day 2, the market consolidated almost all the day at the current LOW placed by the Monday high low, performing a nice pump at the end of the day.
Today Wednesday day 3, the market is in consolidation above the yesterday closing price and previous HOD, a particular situation that often lead to an explosive move. However, indexes open at 9:30 NYT and CPI red news on calendar at 8:30am.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Both Asia and London session consolidated between the CP and HOD, nothing really happened yet.
THESIS:
As always, I do not predict any market direction, because predicting/guessing is just a 50:50 method. However, for a long thesis I would target the previous HOW considering the 3 days dump and pump scenario, but I wouldn't exclude a bigger short scenario back at least to the LOW or breakout traders of Thursday.
SETUP:
Long: consolidation at CP till news release or NYO 9:30am
Short: lower low in place, pump into CP for a dump, eventually also pump into previous HOD for a short setup.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
“Trade setups, not movements”
Let’s jump into the Technical Analysis:
WEEKLY TEMPLATE (1hr chart):
Monday day 1 broke higher the previous HOW, failing the breakout, dumping down and closing as a first red red day.
Tuesday day 2, the market consolidated almost all the day at the current LOW placed by the Monday high low, performing a nice pump at the end of the day.
Today Wednesday day 3, the market is in consolidation above the yesterday closing price and previous HOD, a particular situation that often lead to an explosive move. However, indexes open at 9:30 NYT and CPI red news on calendar at 8:30am.
DAILY TEMPLATE (15min chart):
Both Asia and London session consolidated between the CP and HOD, nothing really happened yet.
THESIS:
As always, I do not predict any market direction, because predicting/guessing is just a 50:50 method. However, for a long thesis I would target the previous HOW considering the 3 days dump and pump scenario, but I wouldn't exclude a bigger short scenario back at least to the LOW or breakout traders of Thursday.
SETUP:
Long: consolidation at CP till news release or NYO 9:30am
Short: lower low in place, pump into CP for a dump, eventually also pump into previous HOD for a short setup.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
Note
CPI released, HOW took out, no entry for this trade yet, I will be looking for a third hour reversal if market will stay up high till 9:30 NYO or 10am NYT!
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