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📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the USD/JPY Forex pair.
⌛️Weekly Timeframe In this timeframe, USD/JPY has shown significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak of 161.384, which was a critical resistance zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, USD/JPY is at a support level of 151.341 after a correction phase.
📈 If USD/JPY stabilizes above 161.384, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 170.000. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if USD/JPY falls back into the range between 151.341 and 161.384, and stabilizes below 151.341, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 140.894.
📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
⌛️Daily Timeframe 🔍 On the daily chart, USD/JPY ranged around the 161.616 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 154.814.
🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 154.814 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 161.616, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
⌛️4-Hour Timeframe 📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, USD/JPY has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 157.746. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement.
📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are 157.746 and 159.188, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 154.740 and 152.200.
💥RSI Oscillator The RSI is currently ranging between 40.38 and 57.16 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉Summary Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
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