USDJPY: Fluctuating Between Pressure and Expectations

USDJPY is hovering around 152.296 after failing to sustain above the key resistance level of 156.438. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines currently act as critical "cushions," yet they remain insufficient to alleviate the prevailing downward pressure.

The RSI has dropped to 46.82, signaling weakening bullish momentum and a likelihood of continued short-term downtrend. Should USDJPY break below the EMA 89, the next target could be the deeper support zone at 141.898 – a historical low that has demonstrated its strength in the past.

However, U.S. monetary policy, particularly signals from BofA about a stronger dollar, continues to exert significant pressure on the Japanese yen. Additionally, expectations of the FED maintaining its hawkish stance further intensify the tension for USDJPY, balancing between medium-term bullish hopes and short-term bearish pressure.

Investors should closely monitor price movements around these critical support levels, as a “breakout” could lead to significant volatility, creating substantial opportunities or risks in the near future.
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