Litany Against Fear

Apr 1, 2020

I must not fear.
Fear is the mind-killer.
Fear is the little-death that brings total obliteration.
I will face my fear.
I will permit it to pass over me and through me.
And when it has gone past I will turn the inner eye to see its path.
Where the fear has gone there will be nothing.
Only I will remain.
- Frank Herbert, Dune: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bene_Gesserit

Apr 6, 2020

Note

Tracking updates to the 8/4 total death predictions from the covid19.healthdata.org

Looks like it's getting better:
04/04 - 93,531
04/05 - 81,766

This is much lower than the two day doubling we were doing in the US last week. Now we are at a 5 day doubling, so we are approaching the apex.

Rather than 250K-500K deaths as the trigger for the next down, watching the unemployment rate numbers...

Apr 6, 2020

Note