Silver Pulls Back from Recent Highs

During the current session, silver has started to retreat from its recent highs, posting a decline of more than 2.4% in the short term. This movement has led to a renewed bearish bias in price action, driven mainly by the strengthening of the U.S. dollar. The DXY Index, which measures the dollar’s performance against other major currencies, remains above the 98-point level, reflecting a renewed firmness of the greenback. This strength has reduced investor appetite for precious metals, limiting silver’s upward momentum. If the dollar continues to strengthen, selling pressure on silver could intensify in the coming sessions.

Short-Term Uptrend Remains Intact

Since late August, silver has maintained a pronounced upward trend that remains dominant in the short term. Although some bearish corrections have been observed, they have not yet signaled a structural change in the trend. Therefore, as long as no clear selling signals emerge, the bullish structure continues to be the key pattern to watch at this stage.

RSI

The RSI line continues to hover near the overbought level (70), reflecting an imbalance caused by the recent surge in buying momentum. This could lead to price exhaustion and short-term downward corrections if the overbought condition persists.

MACD

The MACD histogram remains above the zero line, confirming a dominant bullish momentum in recent sessions. However, the MACD and signal lines are beginning to converge, which could foreshadow a bearish crossover and indicate exhaustion in the upward impulse. If this crossover occurs, the market could enter a period of indecision, leaving room for more pronounced pullbacks in the short term.

Key Levels to Watch:

• $48 per ounce – Resistance: Corresponds to the recent peak reached by silver. A sustained move above this level could trigger a stronger bullish trend and reinforce a dominant buying bias.
  
  
• $45 per ounce – Intermediate Resistance: Represents a technical barrier that could limit upside momentum and serve as a potential pivot zone for short-term corrections.
  
  
• $44 per ounce – Key Support: Aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, acting as the most relevant short-term support. A break below this level could threaten the current bullish trend and shift the outlook toward a more pronounced bearish bias.
  
  

Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst