Silver (XAGUSD): High-Probability Buy Zone ActivatedA blowout US NFP report has fueled hawkish Federal Reserve rate expectations and boosted the US Dollar. This triggered a massive, high-volume liquidation in Silver, driving it straight into a deep value area.
Technical Setup & Execution Plan
The 4-hour chart shows a major Break of Structure (BOS), shattering supports at $73.97 and $70.84. Price is now reacting to key institutional demand, offering two clear buy setups:
Scenario A (Immediate Play): The market is testing the Upper Demand Zone ($66.00 – $67.50). Look for lower-timeframe confirmations (like an M15 structural shift or rejection wicks) to long a technical relief bounce back toward $70.84 and $73.97.
Scenario B (Deeper Discount): If an H4/Daily candle closes below $66.00, the upper setup invalidates. Patiently wait for a deeper liquidity sweep into the Lower Demand Zone ($62.50 – $64.00), which offers a safer, high-probability swing-long entry.
Silver
Silver Retests Supply but Sellers Still LeadXAGUSD failed to hold the strong rally toward 88–89 and dropped sharply back to 74–75, showing that the market has shifted from FOMO into distribution.
The recent rebound into 77.10–77.80 was rejected around the EMA cluster, confirming this zone as short-term supply. As long as silver remains below the larger EMA and cannot hold above 77.80, sellers still have the upper hand.
Trade Plan
Sell setup: wait for a rebound toward 77.10–77.50. If price rejects clearly, targets are 75.50 and 75.00.
Continuation sell: if 75.00 breaks, the next downside zone is 74.20–73.80.
Buy setup: only consider buying if XAGUSD closes firmly above 77.80 and holds this zone as support.
Invalidation: strong H4 close above 77.80.
XAGUSD Pullback Into Major Demand ZoneSilver faced a sharp rejection after failing to sustain above the ascending channel resistance, leading to strong bearish momentum across the market. Price has now entered a key support and demand zone near 77.00, where buyers may attempt to regain control.
The current area is acting as an important decision point. If support holds and bullish reaction appears, XAGUSD could recover toward the 80.00 and 82.80 resistance levels. However, a confirmed breakdown below the support zone may extend the bearish move toward the 72.00 major demand area.
Silver Faces Heavy Liquidation PressureXAGUSD is showing signs of a classic blow-off top after an overheated rally. On the H4 chart, silver has dropped sharply from near 89 USD to around 75 USD in only a few sessions, erasing most of the previous breakout gains.
The decline is happening through aggressive liquidation rather than a normal correction. Every rebound continues getting sold quickly, suggesting larger players are exiting positions instead of buying dips.
The key level now is 75 USD. If silver breaks below this psychological support, the market could extend panic selling toward 72 – 70 USD.
The main pressure comes from a stronger US dollar, high Treasury yields, and fading expectations for Fed rate cuts after hotter US inflation data.
At the same time, silver had rallied too aggressively before, and the heavy FOMO buying near 85 – 88 USD may have marked the point where institutions started taking profits.
Technically, the biggest concern is the weak reaction on rebounds, showing that market sentiment may already be shifting from “buy the dip” to “sell the rally.”
Silver (XAG/USD) – Daily TF Technical OutlookSilver has delivered a strong bullish breakout after decisively reclaiming the 20 EMA, 50 EMA, and 100 EMA, indicating a shift back toward short-term bullish momentum.
The breakout from the descending trendline/ascending triangle structure suggests buyers are regaining control after weeks of consolidation.
Previously, prices successfully respected the 200 EMA as a dynamic support zone near the swing lows, which acted as the base for the current recovery rally.
That bounce from the long-term moving average significantly strengthened bullish sentiment.
The iFVG near 85-86 is acting as strong resistance.
Although the fib extension zone between 0.618 & 0.50 might act as immediate support
Overall, after a bearish consolidation, prices are expected to keep the bullish momentum
Title: Silver Rising Channel Facing Resistance
Silver continues trading inside a well-respected ascending channel after a strong bullish impulsive move. Price recently faced rejection near the 82.10 resistance zone, showing signs of slowing momentum as buyers struggle to maintain breakout strength.
The current structure still remains bullish while price holds above the lower channel support and the key demand zone around 77.75–76.95. However, a confirmed breakdown below the channel could trigger a deeper correction toward support levels.
As long as the trendline support remains intact, buyers may attempt another push toward the upper resistance zone. Volume and price action suggest the market is approaching an important decision area for the next directional move.
Silver looks to have bottomed outSilver has shown exceptional strength this year, and after a healthy correction, the charts now suggest the possibility of the next leg higher.
Price action appears to have formed a solid base after a prolonged consolidation phase, with a potential right shoulder formation developing on the higher time frames. If confirmed, this structure could set the stage for silver to retest previous highs once again.
The trend remains bullish as long as key support zones continue to hold. 👀📈
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Silver at Key Resistance – Support Holds or Bearish Breakdown
Silver has shown a strong impulsive move after breaking the descending trendline, signaling a short-term shift in momentum. However, price is now facing a key resistance zone where selling pressure is starting to appear, suggesting possible exhaustion after the recent rally.
The market is currently holding above an important support level, which is acting as a decision zone. As long as this support remains intact, the structure favors a continuation toward higher levels, with buyers potentially targeting the next supply area above.
On the flip side, a clean break below this support would invalidate the bullish momentum and shift the structure back to bearish. This could trigger a deeper pullback toward the demand zone, as the recent move may then be seen as a liquidity grab rather than true continuation.
Overall, price is at a critical point — holding support keeps the bullish scenario alive, while a breakdown opens the door for renewed selling pressure.
Silver Squeeze: Breakout or Sharp Breakdown?Silver is moving inside a triangle pattern on the 4-hour chart. XAGUSD is getting squeezed between resistance coming down from around 96 and support coming up from around 61. Right now, it’s trading near 73 to 74 , which is the middle of the range and not a good place to trade since there is no clear direction.
Recent price moves have been slow and messy, showing the market is still in a correction and not a strong trend.
From a wave view, this looks like a complex correction, and the triangle seems close to finishing. There could be one more move up, possibly a fake breakout, to trap buyers before price drops again.
Unless silver clearly breaks and holds above resistance, the overall view is still bearish. If the XAGUSD gets rejected from the upper area, it could fall toward 60 to 55 .
For now, expect choppy and confusing moves. It’s better to wait for confirmation instead of guessing early.
We will update further information soon!
SILVER Liquidity Sweep into Demand – Long Setup Opportunity
Despite the current bearish structure and descending trendline, this setup favors a buy after a controlled drop into key demand. Price is expected to sweep liquidity below the 75.60–74.80 support zone, potentially triggering stops before moving lower into the 72.50–73.00 major demand/order block.
This lower zone is the high-probability area for bullish reaction, as it previously acted as the base for a strong impulsive move. A sharp rejection, bullish engulfing candles, or increased volume from this region would confirm buyer interest.
Wait for price to dip into 72.50–73.00 demand zone
Look for confirmation (rejection wicks, structure shift on lower timeframe)
Enter long after confirmation, not blindly
Upside Targets:
First target: 75.60–76.00 (support turned resistance)
Second target: 78.00–78.50 (trendline area)
Final target: 80.00–81.00 (major resistance zone)
Gold - USD Pennant formationGold has been slowly moving up after the sharp post war correction.
The rally in Gold has not been as strong as the rally in Equities.
All this while it has followed a steep trend line.
A break below might signal a sharp correction while a break above may take it to $4950.
Bias towards a break below, but will wait for a strong close below the trend line.
#silver downtrend continue📊 Silver’s Corrective Journey: A Neo Wave Perspective
💎 Silver marked a long-term high at $121.59, followed by a sharp A-wave decline to $63.9.
📉 The 5-wave structure of this fall confirmed a zig-zag correction, signaling that the B-wave retracement would remain capped below 61.8%. True to form, prices reversed right at the 50% retracement level.
📈 Currently, Silver is unfolding its C-wave:
1️⃣ Wave 1 began on March 2
2️⃣ Wave 2 corrective rebound on March 3
📉 Wave 3 extended lower, testing the 200 EMA
📊 Wave 4 is in progress, likely to continue for another couple of days
🔻 Wave 5 is expected to resume the downtrend, potentially driving prices below $60
SILVER1!Short Opportunity in SILVER1!
R : R :: 1:3
NOTE:
The stock price, entry, stop-loss (SL), and target levels shared are strictly for educational and observation purposes only.
This is not investment advice. Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Market investments are subject to risk.
Silver at Critical Support – Rising Market Tension Silver is currently testing a major support and demand zone around the 80 level, where the market has reacted strongly in the past. After a sharp bearish move and continuous BOS (Break of Structure), price has reached a strong liquidity area where buyers may attempt to defend the market. This zone is important because it aligns with previous lows and strong volume support.
If silver manages to hold above this support, a corrective recovery could begin with price targeting the 82.00 – 83.50 resistance zone, where previous supply and liquidity are positioned. A bounce from this level would indicate short-term accumulation and potential bullish momentum building.
However, if the 80 support breaks with strong bearish momentum, it could trigger further downside as liquidity below the lows gets taken. In that case, the next possible supports could appear near 79.20, followed by a stronger demand zone around 78.00, where buyers may step in again.
With global geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty increasing, safe-haven metals like silver may experience volatility. This makes the current level a key decision zone where the market could either form a rebound or continue the bearish expansion toward lower liquidity levels.
Silver Approaching Key Demand Zone – Bounce or Breakdown?Silver remains under pressure as price approaches the 78–79 demand / EXT POI zone while trading inside a short-term descending structure. The market is currently reacting to both technical support and strong macro fundamentals, making this level a critical decision point.
On the macro side, geopolitical tensions between the U.S., Israel, and Iran continue to create volatility across global markets. The conflict has increased uncertainty in energy supply and global trade routes, pushing investors toward safe-haven assets and causing sharp movements in commodities and currencies.
At the same time, the U.S. Dollar has strengthened significantly, with the Dollar Index moving near 99 as investors seek safety in cash during the conflict. A stronger dollar typically pressures precious metals because it makes them more expensive for international buyers.
Technically, if buyers defend the 78–79 demand zone, silver could form a base and initiate a recovery toward 85–86 resistance, with a potential continuation toward the 90 liquidity area if momentum returns.
However, if 78 support fails, the strong dollar and ongoing geopolitical uncertainty could accelerate selling pressure, sending price toward the 74–72 liquidity zone before a stronger bullish reversal develops.
Overall, silver is currently at a high-volatility decision area, where both war-driven macro sentiment and technical demand levels will likely determine the next major move. 📈📉
SILVER - CONSOLIDATED BREAKOUT Wait for a close above $90 on daily candle and a follow up next day -
we have broken and given a closing above $84 on weekly, a squeeze till 90$ is on cards, but a momentum above 90$ is important or we can pullback again to test 84$, so patience is key.
note the levels on chart mentioned
Silver ready for another 90% rally ?If you see here, silver is currently in a very tight spot from where if it gives a breakout, then it can go up as high as Rs 3,07,000 as the first target, and after that, if it breaks, that also has stabilises, then it will surely give another rally of 90% from this current level, because you all can see that it has given a breakout of triangle in the falling side, and then after which it will be going for as far as international rates of $142. Which is almost equal to the Indian rates of Rs 5,42,000 in the silver. I'm not talking about the currency. Various in and I'm not talking about the exact currency exchange at that particular time, I'm all talking about is the chart in the international silver futures and the Indian silver futures. So a level of Rs 5,20,000 can be expected very soon, in like almost 1 or 1 and a 1/2 years in silver at maximum. Let's see if it breaks the level of Rs 3,07,000 the first resistance and boasts above it like almost like Rs 3,10,000 and stabilises there, then we surely can see another big move in the silver up to 5 at 20000 levels in the next one and a 1/2 years, let's wait and watch.
Silver Losing Sheen With A Failed Tenkan ReclaimFailed Tenkan reclaim on 4H.
Price remains trapped below a thick bearish Kumo.
Weekly has now closed three consecutive candles below Kijun — momentum clearly shifting.
Chikou is free. Structure is heavy.
Unless 267120 is taken out decisively on a 4H closing basis, downside pressure persists.
235690 → 229850 → 224000 → 218150 remain in focus.
Sellers control the tape until equilibrium is reclaimed.
Silver long sustainsSilver is still long on the weekly chart, though the buying hasn't come yet that strongly. Expecation would be for it to be a little sluggisg before fresh longs are built.
Crucial support for MCX futures at this juncture would be 2.49 lac.
Industry experts are estimating a target of 6 lac for it in the spot market.
XAGUSD 1H Bearish Trendline Rejection📉 Market Structure
Primary trend: Bearish
Price is making lower highs & lower lows
Clear descending channel visible
The recent rally looks like a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal
🔴 Key Rejection Zone
Resistance: 83.50 – 84.20
Price has been rejected exactly at the descending trendline
Bearish reaction candle + arrow confirms seller dominance
📊Pattern Insight
Structure resembles a bear flag / falling channel
Impulse down → consolidation → rejection → continuation expected
Trendline break did NOT happen → bearish continuation favored
❌ Invalidation
Hourly close above 85.00 setup
Clean breakout + hold above descending trendline→ would delay or invalidate bearish setup
Silver’s Breakdown Points to Much Lower LevelsSilver’s recent price action is not showing signs of strength or accumulation.
Instead, it reflects a clean structural breakdown followed by weak, corrective consolidation — the kind of behavior that usually precedes another leg lower.
After losing the key $84 level, silver didn’t stabilize or reclaim lost territory. It simply drifted into a lower range, suggesting that the move down was not just a temporary flush, but the start of a broader repricing phase.
What the market is doing now looks less like accumulation and more like post-breakdown exhaustion.
The $84 zone: where structure changed
The $84 area was a major structural level.
It acted as a balance zone where price previously found support and built value.
Once that level broke:
Buyers lost control of the structure
The market shifted from balance to imbalance
Liquidity started moving downward
Strong markets defend key levels.
Weak markets lose them and never look back.
So far, silver is behaving like the latter.
The inability to reclaim $84 suggests that the market is now operating in a lower value regime, where rallies are likely to be sold into, not chased higher.
Current price action: drift, not recovery
After the sharp drop, price entered a sideways range. But this range lacks the characteristics of real accumulation.
There is:
No strong impulsive buying
No reclaim of broken structure
No sustained upward expansion
Instead, the market is:
Printing lower highs
Moving sideways to slightly down
Showing reactive buying, not aggressive accumulation
This type of behavior is typical in markets that are pausing before the next leg lower.
The downside path: where liquidity sits
Below the current price, multiple untested liquidity zones remain.
These areas represent prior consolidation, psychological levels, and structural supports.
First major target: $56.52
This is the nearest meaningful support zone.
It represents:
A prior demand area
A structural pause in the previous trend
A natural magnet after the $84 breakdown
A move to this level would be a logical continuation, not a panic move.
Secondary target: $49.78
If $56 fails to hold, the next liquidity pocket sits near $49.78.
This level aligns with:
Deeper structural support
A prior consolidation region
A zone where longer-term buyers may begin to re-enter
This would represent a full structural correction from the $84 breakdown.
Deeper flush zones: $44.13 → $37.48 → $34.82
If the market enters a true risk-off phase or broad commodity weakness:
$44 becomes the next major structural test
$37 acts as a deeper psychological and technical level
$34 represents a full-cycle liquidity reset zone
These levels are where:
Long-term positioning resets
Weak hands are fully cleared out
Real accumulation could begin
Why the bearish scenario makes structural sense
Several factors support the downside path:
1) Clean structural breakdown
The loss of $84 shifted the entire market regime.
2) Lack of impulsive recovery
Strong markets bounce fast. Weak markets drift.
3) Overhead supply above current price
Every rally now runs into trapped longs from higher levels.
4) Untested liquidity below
Multiple clean targets sit beneath the current range.
Markets naturally move toward unfilled liquidity zones.
The likely sequence from here
The higher-probability path:
Continued sideways-to-lower drift below $84
Gradual breakdown of the current range
First major test around $56.52
If that fails, extension toward $49.78
Deeper flush possible toward $44 → $37 → $34 zones
Real accumulation is more likely after these levels are tested, not at current prices.
Bottom line
Silver is not showing signs of a bottom.
It’s showing signs of a market adjusting to a lower price regime.
The $84 breakdown changed the structure.
Since then, price has only drifted — not recovered.
That usually means the move isn’t over.
The structure currently favors:
First major downside target: $56.52
Secondary level: $49.78
Deeper reset zones: $44 → $37 → $34
This isn’t a base in silver.
It’s a pause before the next move.






















