Short

Updated

GOLD SHORT - Setting up!

Hi everyone :)
This is the set up that i see. Currently undergoing smaller wave 5. Will complete at one of the targets. Each target has it's own reasoning behind why it could be the end in terms of the PSYCHOLOGY of the markets.

At the end of this Wave 5, price will reverse and we will most likely see a sharp ABC correction up to "show" or "fool" the bulls into a continued uptrend.

However, this may be a bull trap and therefore we could be setting up for a downtrend. I see this move as a continuation of the bigger weekly view and hence it all aligns together and makes sense to me.

Once the ABC correction is complete, I believe we will see a strong move to the downside with the completion of wave 2 and beginning of wave 3.

We will eventually break below the 4 hour Head & Shoulders Pattern and make some big moves to the downside.

Stay tuned for updates.

Happy Trading!!

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Price broke a little below target 1, therefore I will assume that wave 5 still has potential to move down further.
Both targets 2 and 3 seem more probable.
Target 2 - Higher probability
Target 3 - Highest probability of occuring as it seems and will appear and give the highest conviction to the bulls that price will continue it's "uptrend".

We will see.. and try to use added confirmation to give us reasoning that wave 5 is or is coming to an end.

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May give the appearance that there is a "double bottom" or bottom of the range for the range traders to enter into a buy before price possibly knocks them out as we are still continuing the wave down - Just a hunch..

Or this could have been the target as the 30 minute clearly rejects off this zone.. The smaller time frame shows something else though so lets wait and see and then play off the back of that.

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Please like and follow if you enjoy my analysis :) <3 I would absolutely love it!

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Looks like we MAY be going down.

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If it bounces off here with good confluence i'm closing off my trades and riding it up. (Y)

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Lets watch, possible break. and hence possibily target 3. Just be careful for false breakouts.

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Tighten Stop Loss everyone!

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Looks like we may be heading to target 3. Just keep watching and care the false break.

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CARE. It may be bottoming out here.

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Yet again, lets wait to see if it bounces up with a 3rd touch off that trendline. It could still break down. If it doesn't and that price level and trendline holds then look to get out and enter into a small position (don't overleverage as you might hurt yourself from a falling knife. Maybe, maybe not... ;)

Let's OBSERVE. Wait for price to come to us. Wait for it to come into our trap.

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Coming down for another test now.

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IT did wick off a 3rd time and that could have been it but set tight stop losses now above the most recent price range on the 5 minute and lets see what happens.

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Lets see.

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Careful guys. Honestly not worth the exta move down. Take profits.

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Could drop after testing resistance line. Up to you if you want to keep your stop losses tight and let it run.

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15 min has broken target 2 however 30 min can still reject off as it's currently doing but must wait for candle to close. Do that with the 30 min chart.

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3 min 40 sec left. Looking strong so far.

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Now lets add confirmation with the 1 hour candle.

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Careful guys. Remember we still have to wati for the candle to close.

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2 mins. Close trade if it's like this and we'll look into a short term buy.

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I'm on a buy, stop loss under the candle.

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I think price will come down again close to test. We'll see. MACD has crossed aswell on the 15 (see picture below) so some good signs so far. I really like how it looks on the hour chart.
Remember to set strict risk management of 1-2% MAX per your total account size.

Let's draw up some Fibs and prepare for retracement if it does do so.

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On course.

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Either 1. or 2.

1.

Both have psychological purpose.

With the current move (Scenario 1) it looks like it's at the bottom of the range and a massive wick. That could get a lot of buyers in before it just continues to drop.

2. Scenario 2 will confuse a lot of people so lets see how it plays out. Regardless, i'm on a short. This is too big of a move for me to be out of. I'll try to manage my trade..

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If this truly is the drop and ABC is completed then wave 3 has begun. Now we will wait for a retracement after wave 1 is complete (inside the wave 3).
Like so. We will see when Wave 1 completes and then you can look to enter on the retracement if you want.

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I think 1 more move down before retracement

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This is what i think is remaining from the move .

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I've stated many times in the past. Big short moves ahead for gold. Still completing this wave. Retracement has to come.. i think price will reach the 4.618.

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Target before retracement in my eyes.

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Sorry i haven't been posting guys. Heres the latest!

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Sorry for the mess ahhaha... I really have to clean my charts up

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Target 1 was reached. SHARP ABC retracements occuring

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Retracement coiuld be diagonal also

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Retracement up to the 50-61.8% most likely or possibly 38.2 since it will be a big move.

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hyryda

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hyryda