Date: February 6, 2025
Timeframe: M15
Instrument: Gold (XAU/USD)
Market Overview :
We might have found a short-term top at ATH and nearest resistance is $2,871.
A Head & Shoulders pattern is starting to form. Elliott Wave (EW) suggests Wave 5 is complete, and a retracement has begun across multiple timeframes. BUT if momentum continues, $3,000 is still possible today.
Key Levels to Watch :
Resistance: $2,871 (nearest resistance)
Support & Retracement Zones :
$2,864 - $2,860 → First test zone
$2,845 → Key retracement target
$2,834 (1.618 Fib extension) → Deeper correction possible
Scenario 1 : Retracement Confirmed
If price fails to reclaim $2,871 and starts breaking below support.
Target downside: $2,845 and possibly $2,834.
Scenario 2 : Fake Retracement & Pump to 3K
Trading Plan & Bias: Wait for confirmation at the Singapore session open.
Short-term bias: Bearish only if price starts rejecting resistance & breaking structure.
Invalidation : If $2,871 flips into support, the bullish trend resumes.
Trade safe!!