option and database trading Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
When options are better. Options can be a better choice when you want to limit risk to a certain amount. Options can allow you to earn a stock-like return while investing less money, so they can be a way to limit your risk within certain bounds. Options can be a useful strategy when you're an advanced investor.
USD (US Dollar)
Understanding Impact of Bond Yield Differential on EquitiesOver the past decade the interest rate differential between US and India has been constantly going down. This has largely been due to stronger fiscal position of India and also gradual weakening of US Public Finances.
This has led to the Rupee becoming more stable against the Greenback, thereby reducing the rate of inflation in India.
Further, this has resulted in rising of equity markets over the last decade, and more importantly, the same setup is likely to stay or become better over the next two decades.
Hence long term retail investors in India can benefit from this by placing algo based orders to buy Index ETFs on dips and reduce their cost of buying and stay invested over the long term thereby getting benefit of power of compounding.
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Trading View Script:
Indian and US G Sec Yields and impact on USDINR and EquitiesBond Yields in India are anchored at 7% whereas in US the curve is inverted and interest rates are going to be 'higher for longer'.
Inspite of this Rupee is not getting hammerred, due to huge forex reserves and even the Indian stock market is fairly resilient, thanks to deluge of local money.
So going forward, a long term investor is likely to benefit if he/ she keeps buying the dip and just stay invested.
Find a perfect Trend Line With this check listThere are many traders out there who trade trend lines. Mastering trend lines is not easy as it seems, with experience things changes with your perception about Trend Lines. What I learned from my experience is that it is important to find a trend line, but it is more important to filter it so that, we can trade only the potential opportunities. Here I do not say that those trades which we filter out will not work or we efficiently filter out those less profitable trades, because adding a filter in your system not only filter trades which are unprofitable but also filter out profitable trades.
You have to accept that you are leaving better for best.
So, what are the check points I follow to filter out Trend Lines,
1) Touches, I prefer more than three touches and I strictly follow it. See what happens with two touch the number of trades increases too much; I am not saying trend line with two touches does not work but that trend line cannot be of higher profit potential than 3 or four touches.
2) Distance between touches, it is stated that if touches have equal distance between them the trend line is considered as a good Trend Line, but i do not strictly apply if the touches are places at enough spacing and the distance between then approximately equal that it is a good Trend Line. I do check distances but not strict on it.
3) Apply your own logic, this is a very subjective thing, person to person it will vary. Every trader looks the same setup differently, setups will only work when his psychology matches with those setups otherwise it will not work. Build your own logic.
At last, I want to end this post by a quote I have in my mind.
"True Knowledge cannot be taught, it can only be caught."
How to get a 4:1 Risk reward ratio trade in Doller index (DXY)Previously, DXY encountered a fail downside attempt.
Upon reversing, I entered the trade when RMO indicator (RMO by Lazybear) turned green
Stop loss : - Low of the Bar - (Range of the bar)
The index was initially supported by Kijun Sen but later it gave in. Lower Time frame DMI was also choppy. But, I stayed in trade as it didnot hit the SL
I took out the profit at levels mentioned in the chart.
The trade trade was carried with SL below EMA 20 and H2 DMI support.
The trade closed when price broke EMA20 .
Profits were taken at 1.2, 2.4 and 4.4 RR.
My initial target was 2:1 RR. But went very good
📚Learn More💰Earn More - Inverse Head and Shoulders in UNIUSD📚 LEARN MORE
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Inverse Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end.
When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal.
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance.
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY:
we put an entry order above the neckline.
TARGET:
We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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📚Learn More💰Earn More - Inverse Head and Shoulders in NEARUSD📚 LEARN MORE
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Inverse Head and Shoulders Definition:
A head and shoulders pattern is also a trend reversal formation.
It is formed by a Valley (left shoulder), followed by a Lower Valley (head), and then another Higher Valley (right shoulder).
A “Neckline” is drawn by connecting the highest points of the two Peaks. Neckline resistance does not need to be strictly horizontal.
This illustrates that the downward trend is coming to an end.
When a Head and Shoulders formation is seen in a downtrend, it signifies a major reversal.
The pattern is confirmed once the price breaches the neckline resistance.
In this example, we can easily see the head and shoulders pattern.
How to Trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern:
ENTRY :
we put an entry order above the neckline.
TARGET :
We can also calculate a target by measuring the lowest point of the head to the neckline.
This distance is approximately how far the price will move after it breaks the neckline.
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📚 Learn More 💰 Earn More with us: FLAG pattern
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FLAG pattern Definition:
A FLAG pattern is a continuation chart pattern, named due to its similarity to a flag on a flagpole.
A flag is a relatively rapid chart formation that appears as a small channel after a steep trend, which develops in the opposite direction.
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
IMPULSE Definition:
A “flag” is composed of an explosive strong price move forming a nearly vertical line.
This is known as the "IMPULSE" or ”flagpole”.
The sharper the spike on the flagpole, the more powerful the bull flag can be.
Corrective Wave Definition:
After an uptrend, it has a downward slope. After a downtrend, it has an upward slope.
This downward or upward slop known as "Corrective Wave".
Flag patterns can be bullish or bearish:
A bullish flag is known as a Bull Flag.
A bearish flag is known as a Bear Flag.
How to Trade FLAG Patterns:
When the trend line resistance on the flag breaks, it triggers the next leg of the trend move, and the price proceeds ahead.
Breakouts happen in both directions but almost all flags are continuation patterns.
This means that Flags in an uptrend are expected to break out upward and Flags in a downtrend, are expected to break out downward.
Trading suggestion:
There is a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested support line (14.730).
. If so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. LUNAUSD is in an uptrend and the continuation of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 62.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 17.978
TP2= @ 19.619
TP3= @ 22.431
TP4= @ 26.000
TP5= @ 29.460
TP6= @ 33.744
SL= Break below S2
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📚 Learn More 💰 Earn More with us: FLAG = Impulse + CorrectionFLAG = Impulse + Correction
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With ForecastCity
After a significant drop in Bitcoin price , the price is in a correction wave.
What makes the chart interesting today is that:
. Bitcoin is likely to challenge the 18042 ~ 18227 resistance area.
. A break above 18227 could push the pair to the 19487 area .
. A resistance rejection , however could lead to another retest of the lower supports.
Will the Bitcoin see a rejection from the resistance area or an upside breakout?
No one knows it! We have to wait and see!
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💡Ascending Triangle in USDTRY - "Learn More Earn More" With USAscending Triangle Definition:
An ascending triangle is a type of triangle chart pattern that occurs
when there is a resistance level and a slope of higher lows .
It is defined by two lines:
. A horizontal resistance line running through peaks.
. An u ptrend line drawn through the bottoms.
The higher lows indicate more buyers are gradually entering the market
and buying pressure increases as price consolidates moving further towards the apex.
An ascending triangle is classified as a continuation chart pattern.
If price can break through the resistance level , that level will now act as a support level .
Breakouts can also happen in both directions. Statistically,
upward breakouts are more likely to occur, but downward ones seem to be more reliable.
In most cases, the buyers will win this battle and the price will break out past the resistance.But Sometimes the resistance level is too strong, and there is simply not enough buying power to push it through. Therefore you should be ready for movement in EITHER direction.
ENTRY:
We would set an entry order above the resistance line and below the slope of the higher lows.
TARGET:
Target is approximately the same distance as the height of the triangle formation.
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Ascending Triangle in USDCAD - "Learn More Earn More" With USUSDCAD is coiling for its next move.
The higher lows suggest strength, but USDCAD needs to secure a close above 1.34200 to open the door to the 1.35000 area.
Keep an eye on 1.33720 in the event of a pullback.
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Short USDINR Downtrend Continuation Day 2Sometimes simplicity is just the key to success.
Previous Channel and Current pattern in downtrend confirmed a bearish continuation again. This post is just to encourage you that you can earn with just simple analysis.
A 'Symmetric Triangle' breaking downside in a downtrend confirms that bulls have been tired and couldn't take the price up again. This is a confirmation for Downtrend Continuation . With this knowledge and waiting for a price action on charts can give you better results. RSI also gave a confirmation which increased the probability of success. You do not need advanced knowledge about indicators and patterns for this.
Analyse the given Entry point, SL, TGT, S&R . Most importantly just try to Trail SL below your entry point whenever possible.
#Tgt1 achieved easily and RR more than 1.5
(PS: Couldn't post earlier due to technical isuues)
This explanation is only for educational purpose and isn't any kind of recommendation. Don't take any action based on this explanation itself. Consider your financial advisor before taking any trades.
Thanks for your time. Happy Trading and Learn something new Everyday.
Estimated bullish run in USD/INR As per the pattern, dollar might show a steep rise (60-85° angle) in near future. As per the known situations, in long term dollar may face a sharp fall but before that if the pattern breaks out on chart, dollar can witness a sharp bullish rally for a short term.
This explanation is only for educational purpose and isn't any kind of recommendation. Don't take any action based on this explanation itself.
Consider your financial advisor before taking any trades.
Thanks for your time. Happy Trading.
Nifty /Gold / USDINR - The Important Juncture Thanks from Bottom of my heart to "Sir John Murphy" for giving us such a wonderful book on Intermarket Analysis - "Profiting from Global Market Relationships"
Special thanks to my friend & follower who wrote - Think beyond Red & Green Colours. I would love to have your comment once again here in this idea as well.
Wish You all a Happy & Colorful Holi
This video idea talks about long term outlook on various asset classes such as
Gold
USDINR
Nifty
& get some clue for these asset classes.
Starting with last stock update - Indusind Bank which was published in Jan 2020 & suggested the fall from 1565 to 1050 - all targets were done & stock touched the channel bottom at 913 lows. Kindly check the idea below
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Indusind Bank - Never miss channel bottoms
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USDINR Ideas
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24th March 2019 Idea - USDINR - The Box Match at 69
10th Jan 2020 Idea - USDINR - The Next Path (Holding 70.35 - Expect 72.25 & 74.50
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Gold Futures
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17th Sep 2018 Idea - Plausible 1350-1375 Zone
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India Nifty
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29th Feb 2020 Idea - Nifty (India -Buy & Hold) - C-Wave or Corona Wave - What Next ?
12th Jan 2020 Idea - Nifty - Stellium Effect - How I cracked the top at 12295
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Thanks for checking the idea. Wishing you all once again a happy holi -