EURUSD rebound needs validation from 1.0940 to convince bullsEURUSD extends recovery from a five-week low while defending the previous day’s bounce off a one-month-old falling wedge’s bottom line. The Euro pair’s recovery also traces the RSI (14) line, as well as justifies the impending bull cross on the MACD indicator, which in turn suggests further advances of the major currency pair. However, the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0920 guards the immediate upside of the quote. Following that, an ascending resistance line stretched from early November, previous support near 1.0940, will join the top line of an aforementioned bullish chart pattern, namely the falling wedge, to challenge the buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0940, the 1.1010-15 region and the previous monthly high of near 1.1140 could act as intermediate halts during the run-up towards the theoretical target of the falling wedge, close to 1.1240
On the flip side, EURUSD sellers remain off the table unless they witness a clear rejection of the falling wedge chart pattern, via a downside break of the stated formation’s bottom line surrounding 1.0840. In that case, the early November swing high and the previous monthly low, respectively near 1.0755 and 1.0720, will lure the Euro bears. It should be noted that the quote’ sustained weakness past 1.0720 will make it vulnerable to slump toward October 2023 bottom near 1.0450.
To sum up, EURUSD pares recent losses but the bulls are far from taking control.
[b]forex
EURUSD: buy or sellWhat are your thoughts on EURUSD as the market experiences a significant week with many enticing fluctuations?
Today, we witnessed EURUSD succumbing to the downward trend, aligning with our prediction from yesterday.
This currency pair is under pressure as the USD begins to regain strength, heavily impacting these major currencies. On the analysis chart, EURUSD has surpassed the Trend Line and dropped below the psychological support level of 1.090. The 4-hour chart indicates that this downward trend may continue soon. By violating the level of 1.0861, we may not encounter any significant support until reaching 1.078
USDJPY: Continuous price increaseUSDJPY continues to maintain stability within the previous price range. It remains stable between 147.36 and 147.34.
In this regard, this currency pair is once again supported by the recovery of the USD. USDJPY has witnessed significant buying pressure as investors reconsider their bets in support of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut decision in March.
Furthermore, the weakening of the Japanese Yen for the third consecutive day, amid expectations of a more accommodative stance from the Bank of Japan, is also a factor driving this currency pair higher.
Currently, from the chart, USDJPY has successfully surpassed the resistance level of 146.200. The prospects for further price increases are still supported at the moment, with respective targets of 148.12 and 149.73
Gold Neowave UpdateHello Everyone
This is an update in neowave counts. Here are the keypoints.
** For Now we were in wave 2 and price was consolidated.
** The price falling from wave-((c)), can be a start of an new wave, well it is jst the price confirmation has to come yet.
Expectation is that price should fall below 1973, for this pattern
XAU/USD is clearly bearing after fed affirmation of possible cutToday we can look for sell opportunities around 2031 , For a target of 2009- 2002 , Market has turned bearish yesterday after announcement of the following.
Fed's Waller: Data in the last few months allowing Fed to consider cutting rates this year
Waller Q&A: It will be up to committee on timing of when to start cuts
Also the technical indicators, H4 & D1 charts suggesting further bearish momentum throughout the day. Stops should be above 2042.00
Gold suddenly turned down in priceToday, we witnessed a change in the price of gold, dropping from $2,054 to $2,028 per ounce on Wednesday morning. This seems to be partially due to comments from officials at the Federal Reserve (Fed), indicating that it will take a while for the United States to reach its 2% inflation target.
Meanwhile, the Fed is not rushing to cut interest rates and will only consider doing so when inflation significantly decreases. This has sparked speculation that the Fed will maintain the current interest rates after the meeting concludes on January 31.
Following this information, the US Dollar Index has risen to 103.35 points. The strengthening of the USD is putting downward pressure on gold prices, potentially pushing them towards the support level of around $2,015.
What are your thoughts on the future trajectory of gold prices?
XAUUSD: bullish optimism?
The price of gold is trading quite flat, decreasing by nearly 5 USD and hovering around the 2050 USD mark. The market seems to be in a lull after the holiday break for banks.
Further price declines could be seen at the triangle support level of 2,049 USD. Additionally, the support level of 2,027 USD on Friday could provide temporary relief for gold buyers.
On the upside, a strong resistance level is observed at around 2,060 USD, above which a static resistance level at 2,080 USD will come into play. If the upward momentum gains strength, it cannot be ruled out that there may be a retest of the barrier at 2,100 USD.
EURUSD: Buy or sell?Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on EURUSD today?
Currently, EURUSD is still in a downtrend after forming a double top pattern and starting to decline further with a reversal signal from the EMA 34.
Market risk concerns have pulled down risk assets like the Euro in the context of escalating tensions in the Red Sea. Our priority target is to SELL because the main trend is still bearish and trading with the trend is always an effective and safe trading approach
News of geopolitical instability still existsGold prices continued to increase in the early trading sessions of the week thanks to escalating tensions in the war in the Middle East.
Gold experienced a steady rise near the weekend thanks to geopolitical tensions and weakness in the US dollar. The coordinated attack between the US and UK on the Houthi rebels in Yemen in recent days has made the market concerned that the war situation may gradually get worse.
In addition, US government bond yields have also decreased slightly in the past month as the market continues to expect the Fed to cut interest rates in the near future.
Gold price is stableCurrently, the price of gold is fluctuating around $2050 and has decreased by nearly $8 compared to the previous trading day. Overall, at the beginning of the week, gold did not experience significant changes in trend due to the closure of the US market for the Martin Luther King Jr. holiday.
However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Red Sea and a risk-averse environment still benefit safe-haven assets like gold.
Retail sales figures for December will be released on Thursday, along with preliminary estimates for the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for January on Friday. The focus will continue to be on inflation, as Canada, the UK, Germany, and the Eurozone will publish updates, which will directly impact the price of gold whether it experiences a breakthrough increase or decrease
GBPUSD: Facing obstacles on the road to recoveryDear friends!
Today, GBPUSD is facing some weaknesses in its recovery process. As a result, GBP/USD has dropped to around 1.2680 in the Asian trading session early in the day. The British Pound has lost ground against the US Dollar due to risk aversion sentiment, possibly driven by concerns over political risks dominating market participants' psychology, which acts as a psychological arrow prompting investors to sell GBPUSD and causing this pair to decline.
From the 4-hour chart, we can observe that this currency pair has also broken out of the upward trend line, indicating that the price may continue to weaken.
What are your thoughts on the GBPUSD trend?
USDCAD jumps to one-month high ahead of Canada inflationUSDCAD rises for the fourth consecutive day while poking the 200-SMA as the pair traders await Canadian inflation data, namely the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the Bank of Canada (BoC) CPI. It’s worth noting that the firmer RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals favor the latest bull run. Adding strength to the upside bias is the daily closing beyond the previous resistance line stretched from early November. However, the RSI line is approaching the overbought territory and hence suggests a limited upside room for the quote. As a result, the 200-SMA level of 1.3480 appears a tough nut to crack for the Loonie pair buyers, a break of which will open doors for the quote’s quick run-up toward the previous monthly high of around 1.3620.
Meanwhile, the USDCAD pair’s pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the resistance-turned-support line of around 1.3400. Should the Loonie pair remain bearish past 1.3400 and gain support from upbeat Canada inflation data, its further declines toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the July-November upside, near 1.3260, followed by the previous monthly low of around 1.3180, can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting, however, that the year 2023 low marked in July near 1.3090 and the 1.3000 psychological magnet appears as the last defense of the pair buyers.
Overall, the USDCAD pair secures its place on the bull’s radar ahead of the key Canada data.
GBPUSD: directly facing the resistance level of 1.2800Dear friends,
Overall, GBPUSD had a successful week as the price continued to rise without any significant breakthroughs. The currency pair remained supported as the USD struggled to recover.
In terms of long-term trends, this currency pair is currently facing resistance at 1.2800.
However, the upward trend is still supported by positive signals from the 34 and 89 EMA lines.
On the other hand, the RSI indicates that buyers are no longer eager to break through this resistance level. Therefore, our upcoming target is to sell when the price breaks the trendline.
XAUUSD: price growth continues?Dear friends!
Looking back at the previous weekend, gold has demonstrated its strength with a remarkable breakout, completely breaking free from the sideways trend and ending the downward trend. It is an impressive move from the bull side, as they not only successfully defended the key support level at $2015 but also pushed the price of gold higher from this point onwards.
The tension in the Middle East is having a noticeable impact, reducing pressure on the US dollar and bond yields, thereby supporting the price of gold. In the short term, the demand for safe-haven assets may push the price of gold even higher.
Given the current landscape, can we expect a new rally in the price of gold? What about you, do you anticipate a surge in the price of gold? Share your thoughts on the next direction for gold in this exciting market!
EURUSD: Continues steady price increaseDear reader, at the beginning of the new week, the EURUSD currency pair continues to show a slight recovery at the level of 1.096 and has increased by 0.15% during the day. The price is mainly moving around two EMA lines, and there is not much change in the trend.
RKarina expects that this pair will break out of the price range and reach higher levels. What are your thoughts on this?
USDJPY: bearish signalThe USD/JPY pair has reached a pullback at the 145.00 level in early Monday's Asian trading session. Despite the decline of the US Dollar, this currency pair has managed to recover. The market is expected to have a quiet session due to the US bank holiday.
However, when considering the technical trends and prospects: USDJPY has just broken the upward trendline and is currently in a corrective wave with a significant resistance level set at 145.500.
From a personal perspective, I believe that if the support level of 144.800 is broken, the bearish side will have an advantage in pushing this pair back to the 143.500 level
Update gold price at the beginning of the new weekDear friend, In general, precious metals truly impress us. Gold traded sideways near $2030 before rising to $2061 on Friday, then retraced to $2049 and stabilized at this level. Now, what excites me is that gold is currently trading calmly around $2050 - $2051 as we enter the new week.
The interesting thing is that gold's recovery is driven by weakness in the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data and political tensions in the Middle East. Like a skilled dancer, gold breaks free from the downward "dance", returns to test the Breakout zone, and dances with the two EMA lines.
For these reasons, gold makes me quite optimistic that it will not stop here. It seems to be heading towards a new high - $2088. What about you?
EURUSD bulls remain unconvinced despite recent reboundEURUSD remains mildly bid within a 10-week-old bullish channel as market players seek more clues to justify the previous day’s strong US inflation report, as well as comforting comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde. That said, the 21-SMA and Thursday’s Doji prods the Euro bulls amid bearish MACD signals. Even if the pair buyers manage to cross the 1.0985 immediate SMA hurdle, November’s peak of around 1.1020 and the previous monthly high surrounding 1.1140 will test the upside momentum. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s top line, close to 1.1220 at the latest, will act as a tough nut to crack for the buyers.
Alternatively, the EURUSD pullback needs to defy the bullish channel formation by slipping beneath the 1.0910 support to convince sellers. Even so, the 200-SMA support of 1.0845 can challenge the Euro bears before giving them control. In that case, December’s bottom of 1.0723 and October’s peak of near 1.0700 will be the final defenses of the buyers ahead of directing prices toward the yearly low marked in October around 1.0450.
Overall, EURUSD manages to consolidate the previous weekly loss and defends the bullish chart formation but the recovery appears fishy and hence needs confirmation from 21-SMA.
USDJPY: Received 2 great supportsHello dear friends, what do you think will happen to USDJPY today?
Currently, the USDJPY currency pair is experiencing a good upward momentum:
Regarding the first factor: USDJPY has completely escaped from its previous downward trend and is showing strong buying momentum returning.
Regarding the second factor: After price correction to the Fibonacci 0.5 level, the price has started to rebound, which is a perfect sign indicating strong buying pressure from investors.
With these two factors, we will prioritize a Buy strategy for USDJPY with favorable conditions to take profit at the two main levels of 149.19 and then 154.37.
How about you? What is your opinion on USDJPY?
AUDUSD lures bears amid softer Aussie inflation, 0.6670 eyedAUDUSD struggles to defend the bounce from a two-month-old rising support line and the 200-SMA amid softer Australia Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Also attracting offers for the Aussie pair is the risk-off mood and an impending death cross on the four-hour chart, a bearish moving average crossover between the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA. It’s worth noting, however, that the RSI and MACD suggest a slower grind to the south. That said, the aforementioned trend line stretched from early November and the 200-SMA, around 0.6685-75 at the latest, appears crucial for the pair sellers, a clear break of which will help bears to aim for early December peaks surrounding 0.6620. Following that, an eight-week-old horizontal support area near 0.6540-45 will be the last defense of the buyers.
Meanwhile, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the 100-SMA, close to 0.6750-60 at the latest, guards the immediate upside of the AUDUSD pair. Should the quote remain firmer past 0.6760, the previous monthly high of around 0.6870 and the mid-2023 peaks near 0.6900 could test the Aussie pair buyers ahead of the 0.7000 psychological magnet and last year’s top of 0.7157.
Overall, the AUDUSD buyers appear running out of steam but the bears need validation from 0.6670 to enter the ring.