BTC#22: BTC recovers slightly. Is the bear wave over?
In the past few days, BINANCE:BTCUSD has been continuously SW in the 81~85k area. Is this a sign that BTC will rise again? Let's analyze in detail and plan a trade BINANCE:BTCUSDT :
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊 The IMF has included Bitcoin and other digital assets in the framework of the global economic report for the first time. This shows that BTC is being recognized as a real asset.
🚀 The probability that the US government will buy Bitcoin in 2025 is 30% with information that the Trump administration may use profits from Gold to increase Bitcoin reserves
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **Frame D**: the bear wave has not shown any signs of ending. The price has been anchored in the 80~85k area for a long time, but there has been no significant fluctuation and the sign of recovery is still unclear.
🔹 **H4+H1 frame**: The current short-term price structure is temporarily increasing with the appearance of higher peaks and higher bottoms. However, the price has not surpassed the important key zone to change the main trend.
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
📌 At the present time, the current price has no clear signs when BTC is still fluctuating continuously in the SW area. Currently, the price is in a recovery phase with the nearest target being the resistance area of 88~91k. The current area is also not good for seeking profit from BUY positions. We can wait for the price reaction to the resistance area to consider establishing a SELL position. Prioritize trading in accordance with the main trend.
💪 **Wish you success in making profits!**
1-BTCUSD
Bitcoin Price Action Analysis - March 20, 2025Bitcoin Price Action Analysis - March 20, 2025
Current Market Status
- Successfully closed above the resistance zone (84000-85000), which is now acting as support
- Currently in a consolidation phase after recovering from the recent drop
- The broken support trendline has been retested as resistance, with price action showing signs of strength
Technical Observations
- The yellow rectangle zone (84000-85000) has been reclaimed and is now functioning as support
- Price is forming a potential higher low pattern after the sharp decline
- The diagonal resistance line (previous support turned resistance) is still a key technical factor
- Volume patterns suggest accumulation after the recent sell-off
Updated Projections
Primary Scenario (Bullish Breakout)
- With price having closed above the 84000-85000 zone and holding it as support, the short-term outlook is turning bullish
- Next target is the 94000-95000 resistance zone (red rectangle area)
- This would represent a significant recovery and potentially signal the continuation of the larger uptrend
- The blue arrow path indicates the most likely trajectory in this scenario
Cautionary Scenario
- If price fails to hold above the 84000-85000 support zone, a retest of lower levels could occur
- The 73000 major support zone (green rectangle) remains a key level to watch if bearish pressure returns
Key Levels to Monitor
- Immediate support: 84000-85000 (yellow rectangle, now confirmed as support)
- Major support: 73000 (green rectangle, strong historical support)
- Near-term resistance: 89000-91000 (previous trendline resistance area)
- Target resistance: 94000-95000 (red rectangle area)
Trade Considerations
- Long entries near current levels with stops below 83500 offer favorable risk/reward
- The reclaimed support zone provides a logical stop-loss level
- Partial profit-taking at 91000 would be prudent, with remaining position targeting 94000-95000 or 100K level.
The successful reclaiming of the 84000-85000 zone is a significant technical development that shifts the short-term bias to bullish. If bulls can defend this newfound support, the path toward 94000-95000 becomes increasingly probable, following the blue arrow trajectory shown on the chart.
When to Buy This Bitcoin Dip - My Technical Take on current PAOn BTC ,Yesterday's bounce is worth noting, but I'm approaching it with caution. The recently broken support trendline (now visible as a diagonal resistance) will likely act as resistance in the 89-91K zone, also we have a Horizontal resistance at 83-85K which is previous support now becomes resistance .
For potential entries, I'm watching two key scenarios:
Bullish Case 1: If BTC can reclaim and close above the broken trendline (89-91K), it would suggest the breakdown was a fakeout. This could set up a potential move back toward previous highs.
Bullish Case 2: If price continues lower to the 73K major support zone (marked by the green rectangle), this could provide an excellent buying opportunity with a favorable risk/reward ratio. A strong bounce from this level could signal the end of the correction and the start of a new uptrend.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 14Hello
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement
It is not visible on the chart screen,
but in the analysis article on March 11,
I connected today's strategy while maintaining a long position of $79,188 at the long position entry point.
Also, there was a recent booster manipulation and the participation rate was low,
so I kept the analysis article private for the past few days,
but how was the difference compared to other analysis articles?
I wonder if you felt the gap in my analysis article.
It was not a mistake to make the analysis article public today,
but I think it would be good to see it as a small gesture of goodwill because new people supported me yesterday and today.
It is currently moving sideways after a slight upward touch,
and compared to Tether dominance, I created an aggressive strategy. The important part today is that NASDAQ only needs to move sideways
If it crashes or breaks the previous low
Be careful because Bitcoin will definitely follow
I'll summarize it very simply and briefly.
*When the red finger moves
Long position strategy
1. 82407.5 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line breaks
(It can be pushed up to section 2 at most.)
2. 84965.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
Currently, the top section is roughly the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart.
Rather than touching this section and switching short positions
It would be better to try to re-enter after long liquidation. (The mid-term pattern is broken based on Tether Dominance)
Today, the second sky blue support line
is a safe zone where the upward rebound can be maintained
From the bottom section deviation, the next support line
is the previous low point section marked below, 77,611 dollars.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
BTC#21: Fear Index Rising. Will BTC Continue to Fall? 💎 💎 💎 BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC's decline has somewhat slowed down in recent days with a recovery from 78k. We will plan for BINANCE:BTCUSD next 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental Analysis:**
📊 The Fear and Greed Index dropped to 30 today, and the level is still fear
🚀 Cumulative net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have dropped to their lowest level since January 2
📌 The market is still in a pessimistic phase about BTC's bullish outlook. The outflow of money from the market is not only due to BTC's decline but also due to concerns about an economic recession due to Trump's unstable policies.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D frame**: BTC's downtrend has shown signs of slowing down, but the main trend in frame D is still down. We will still need to wait for the price reaction in the resistance area to confirm.
🔹 **H4 frame**: The price trend is still down. The price reaction in the support area of 78K is not as strong as before, showing that market sentiment is still leaning towards the bears.
🔹 **H1 frame**: we are in a short-term correction. The target for this correction is the resistance area of 88-91K as you can see on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
As you can see from the multi-frame perspective, the main trend is still down, but we are in a short-term correction. We can choose to wait for the price to return to the resistance area to trade in line with the main trend or if the price has a slight recovery, set up BUY to seek profit. However, because the main trend is down, we need to stop loss fully and not be greedy when the price hits resistance because the price can return to the main trend at any time.
💪 **Wish you success in achieving profits!**
BTC AT CRITICAL LEVEL – BREAKOUT OR PULLBACK?🚀 BTC/USD – KEY BREAKOUT LEVELS AHEAD!
📌 Market Overview
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $84,593, rebounding strongly from support. The price is approaching a major resistance zone at $87,049 - $89,748, where a crucial reaction is expected.
Overall sentiment remains influenced by market psychology, institutional activity, and macroeconomic factors. BTC is still trading within a descending wedge pattern, signaling that the corrective phase is not over unless a breakout occurs.
📈 Technical Analysis – Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Major Resistance Levels:
🔺 $87,049 - $89,748: A strong supply zone; a breakout here could trigger a bullish move toward $92,000+.
🔺 $90,005 - $92,000: The next target if BTC successfully clears resistance.
🔻 Major Support Levels:
🔹 $82,000 - $80,000: A short-term support zone where buyers might step in.
🔹 $78,935 - $78,000: A critical support area—losing this level could lead to a sharp sell-off.
📌 Key Observations:
If BTC fails to break $87,000, a retracement toward $80,000 - $78,000 is likely.
A confirmed breakout above $87,000 - $89,000 could signal further upside momentum toward $92,000 or higher.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis – What’s Driving BTC?
🔥 1. Institutional Demand & Market Sentiment
Market sentiment remains positive, but BTC needs stronger institutional buying to sustain further gains.
On-chain data indicates whales are accumulating BTC at lower price ranges, but resistance remains strong at $87,000.
Bitcoin ETFs are seeing steady inflows, providing fundamental support for long-term bullish momentum.
📊 2. Macroeconomic Factors & USD Impact
The DXY (US Dollar Index) is weakening, which is generally bullish for BTC.
The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy remains a key factor—interest rates are expected to stay high until mid-2025, which could slow BTC’s momentum.
Recent CPI and PPI data indicate persistent inflation concerns in the US, boosting demand for BTC as a hedge.
💰 3. Whale Activity & Institutional Moves
On-chain data reveals significant BTC withdrawals from exchanges, signaling long-term accumulation.
If large buyers continue accumulating, BTC could push above $90,000.
However, if whales take profits near resistance, BTC may retrace toward $80,000 - $78,000 before another move higher.
⚡ Trading Scenarios
✅ Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $87,000
If BTC closes above $87,000 with strong volume, expect a rally toward $90,000 - $92,000.
A further push could target $95,000 if bullish momentum sustains.
❌ Scenario 2: Rejection at $87,000 - $89,000
If BTC faces resistance, expect a pullback toward $82,000 - $80,000.
A deeper correction could test $78,000, where strong support lies.
📢 Conclusion – Watch for a Critical Breakout!
📌 BTC is testing a major resistance zone ($87,000 - $89,000)—a breakout could fuel further upside.
📌 Market sentiment remains positive, but a rejection could trigger a pullback toward $80,000 - $78,000.
📌 Monitor Fed policies, institutional activity, and on-chain trends for better trade positioning.
📌 Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a breakout or short position.
💬 Do you think BTC will break above $87,000, or is a deeper pullback coming? Share your views below! 🚀🔥
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Rejection – Bearish Move Incoming?📉 Key Observations:
Resistance Zone (Purple Box): Price has tested this area and faced rejection.
Bearish Projection (Gray Box & Arrow): The chart anticipates a drop towards the $76,800 - $77,000 range.
Liquidity Grab? Price might consolidate before a sharp decline.
⚠️ Possible Scenarios:
Rejection Confirmation 🔻: If BTC fails to reclaim $84,470, selling pressure could increase.
Breakout Fakeout? 🤔: A deviation above resistance followed by a dump remains a risk.
🎯 Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $84,470 - $85,078
Support: $80,000 and $76,825
🔥 Final Take: If BTC struggles below resistance, a short setup could play out. Confirmation is key!
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 2-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery on the 2-hour chart after forming a local bottom at a key support zone. The price has bounced from a strong demand area, supported by increased buyer activity, and is currently attempting to push higher within a rising channel. The formation of higher lows (HL) and higher highs (HH) suggests that bullish momentum is building in the short term.
Despite this upward movement, the overall trend remains bearish, indicated by the dominance of red moving averages and the presence of strong resistance overhead. A major resistance zone sits above the current price level, marked by significant volume and selling pressure. The sentiment remains bearish, as confirmed by the red signal on the sentiment panel, although JASMINN AI and regression tools are showing early signs of potential upward strength.
If the price manages to break above the resistance zone and hold, the next upside target lies near the destination levels identified on the chart. However, failure to maintain upward momentum could result in a pullback toward the previous support zone, where buyers are likely to step in again. The key to further upside will be a decisive break and close above the resistance, supported by rising volume and bullish momentum. The overall market outlook remains cautiously bullish in the short term but within a larger bearish trend.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 11Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
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This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 11 o'clock shortly.
As long as the Nasdaq doesn't crash,
it will continue to crash + forced coupling,
so it is not easy to analyze.
In this case, it is recommended to operate with a tight stop loss,
and since Bitcoin broke its previous low with yesterday's movement,
I created a strategy based on the major rebound section of 75,459.5 dollars at the bottom this week.
*When the blue finger moves,
it is a two-way neutral long->short switching strategy
The section from 1 to 83,529 dollars at the top is an autonomous short section.
You can operate based on the center line of the 4-hour chart that will be additionally created at 9 o'clock shortly.
For example, if a rebound is connected before 9 o'clock, it is the purple finger.
If a rebound occurs after 9 o'clock, it is the 1st section.
If it comes down immediately without touching, it is good to operate the long position waiting until the 2nd section at the bottom.
1. 80365 dollar long position entry section / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken
(If it comes down immediately without touching the short position entry section at the top, 83529 dollar long position 1st target -> short position autonomous section)
2. 84965 dollar long position target price -> 83529 dollar autonomous long position operation section
(Since it is the center line of the 6-hour chart, if it reaches this section, it is highly likely to continue to rise.)
After that, the target price is in the order of Gap9 -> Good -> Great,
but short position switching is done from the touch of the center line of the daily chart.
If it comes down right from the current position,
2 -> Look at Bottom
From Gap7, the previous low is broken again
It is good to operate it as a major rebound section up to $75,459.5 this week.
More than anything else, Nasdaq is the problem.
Since Bitcoin has a fast turnover rate
As long as Nasdaq doesn't crash/crash/crash, it's fine.
Please use my analysis up to this point as a reference only
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 1-Hour Chart Analysis
Bitcoin is showing signs of bearish pressure on the 1-hour chart after a recent rejection from a key resistance zone. The market structure reflects a mixed trend, with signs of higher and lower lows indicating ongoing volatility. A recent break of structure and expansion suggest that the market is at a turning point.
There’s a clear resistance zone where sellers have stepped in, creating strong selling pressure. On the other hand, a support zone below shows signs of buyer interest, which could act as a floor if the price continues to decline. The equilibrium point near the middle of this range represents a potential decision area for future price movement.
Market sentiment remains bearish across multiple timeframes, reinforcing the downside bias. If the price continues to reject resistance, it could drop toward the support zone, with further downside possible if buyers fail to hold the level. Conversely, a breakout above resistance could signal renewed bullish momentum and lead to higher levels. The current outlook remains bearish, with selling pressure dominating near resistance and moderate buyer interest at support.
BTC/USD Breakdown! Bearish Target: $78K🔍 BTC/USD 30-Minute Chart Analysis
📉 Market Structure:
The chart displays an ABCDE corrective pattern, likely a descending wedge or contracting triangle, which has now broken to the downside.
Price action shows a breakout below the wedge, leading to further bearish momentum.
The 200-period moving average (red line) is acting as resistance, reinforcing the downward trend.
📊 Current Price: ~$83,057
🔻 Bearish Target: $78,049 (marked as the potential support level)
🛑 Key Observations:
Rejection from wave E indicates a lack of bullish strength.
Lower highs and lower lows confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
Potential retest of ~$85,000 before dropping further.
🚀 Trading Insights:
Bearish Bias: Short opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance.
Bullish Reversal? Look for price action near $78,049—if buyers step in, a potential bounce could occur.
⚠️ Watch out for:
Sudden Bitcoin volatility (news-driven moves).
A fake breakdown (if buyers reclaim above ~$85,000).
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 10Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
The trend has been brought forward by one hour due to the application of US Daylight Savings Time.
If only the Nasdaq low is not broken and
It moves sideways, there will be no crash in Bitcoin.
I created today's strategy based on the Gap9 section retracement at the top.
*When the blue finger moves,
It is a two-way neutral strategy.
1. 81826.5 dollars long position entry section / stop loss price when the blue support line is broken
2. 86234 dollars long position target price
After that, from section 1 -> 87428.5 dollars -> Great
As indicated, it would be good to use short->long switching.
Up to this section, it seems more advantageous to liquidate long and then re-enter long than short. (Tether Dominance 4+6+12 MACD Dead Cross Possibility)
The center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart
is the final short position switching point.
(Approximately $90,418)
If the Bottom section is broken today according to the movement of Nasdaq,
Bit will also break the previous low point
and it may fall strongly to 3 -> Gap7.
For those who can check the drawing section,
I have marked today's major rebound section near Gap7, so please refer to it.
Up to this point, please use my analysis as a reference only
Please operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis March 7Hello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq index announcement at 10:30 in a little while,
6-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. 88,624 dollars long position entry section / cut-off price when purple support line is broken
2. 1st section at the top 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Target in order during the weekend
1st section at the top pink resistance line / green support line sideways to 3rd section
There is a possibility of additional decline from bottom breakout
Please check 4th section at the bottom -> 80,118.5 dollars
Thank you.
Bitcoin 1D Bear Market Technical Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading at 82,249$
- Bitcoin has so far erased 24.98% from its All Time Highs and especially after Trump's presidency.
- Market Structure shift looks completely bearish, unless we flip above 96,000$ on a daily timeframe
- We have many inefficiencies left until 73,691$ and I have drawn those paths as well.
- The first path shows price filling the inefficiency and then taking out more liquidity to fall further and clear the fair value gap sitting at about 63,329$
- The second path shows we might not not fall below 73k after filling the inefficiency rather we start building a base before moving towards the upside.
- Market doesn't look good from a structure perspective be very selective when it comes to punching trades.
Possible Elliott Waves Counts of BITCOINHello friends, today we're analyzing the Bitcoin chart based on Elliott Wave Theory. We're using a 4-hour chart, where we can clearly see that we've completed the intermediate degree 3rd, 4th, and 5th waves means the completion of the primary degree ((3)) wave marked in black. After that, we completed another primary degree ((4)) wave marked in black.
Currently, we're moving upwards, which should be the primary degree ((5)) wave, containing five sub-divisions marked in blue as (1), (2), (3), (4) and (5) We've almost completed the (1) sub-division and are nearing the completion of the (2) sub-division.
According to Elliott Wave Theory, if the recent low wave ((4)) at around $70,200 holds and doesn't break below, the price has the potential to reach new highs towards $110,000 to $120,000. This analysis is entirely based on Elliott Wave Theory and its structure.
In this study we used Elliott Wave Theory & Structures, here we have plotted possible wave counts on daily time frame chart of DXY Dollar Index, it involves multiple possibilities, and the analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario. The provided information is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. There's a risk of being completely wrong.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BTC#20: BTC Analysis: Price SW In Triangle – Next Direction?💎 💎 💎As analyzed in the previous article, BINANCE:BTCUSDT gave a bad price reaction when touching the old resistance area of 95~96x. The current price is SW in the triangle. Let's analyze the next plan BINANCE:BTCUSD : 💎 💎 💎
1️⃣ **Fundamental analysis:**
📊President Donald Trump signed an executive order to establish a Strategic Cryptocurrency Reserve that includes 200,000 BTC seized in criminal or civil cases. It will be held as a reserve asset and not sold. In addition, the Government will not purchase additional assets for the reserve.
🚀The Treasury and Commerce Departments may consider budget-neutral Bitcoin purchases. Agencies must provide full accounting books of digital assets to the Ministry of Finance. Regulatory crackdowns on crypto assets are ended
📌 From the above information, it can be seen that BTC and the top 5 coins in the market have been officially recognized as an asset. The legal framework will take time to complete. However, BTC will receive more attention and attention when the US government makes any purchase moves to hoard. This will lead to a huge demand for BTC in the near future.
2️⃣ **Technical analysis:**
🔹 **D Frame**: The price structure is still bearish, we have had a recovery phase to retest the resistance area and give a bad price reaction. It is entirely possible that BTC will go down to the support zone below
🔹 **H4 Frame**: We can see the price reaction more clearly. The continuous reaction of lower peaks in this area shows that the market sentiment is still dominated by the bears even though BTC has been recognized as a reserve asset.
🔹 **H1 frame**: The price is still SW in the triangle area in recent days. The price range is gradually narrowing as shown on the chart
3️⃣ **Trading plan:*
⛔ At the present time, it is no longer suitable to wait for a BUY position. The price has tested the resistance area and reacted badly, so there is a high possibility that there will be a correction below the support area below at any time.
✅ The top priority is to trade in accordance with the main trend in the SELL direction. Although the information about the Reserve Fund has given a positive response, the government not buying more assets for the reserve is also a sign that short-term cash flow will be difficult to push into BTC, especially when tariff policies are giving negative reactions to the economy.
💪 **Wishing you success in achieving profits!**