RCF - Head and Shoulder Chart PatternRashtriya Chemicals and Fertilizers Limited (RCF) has formed a bullish chart pattern called Head and Shoulder. Chart structure is bullish in every point of views like in a daily chart pattern you found RSI above 60 and also above 200 EMA is a very positive signal of uptrend.
Head is formed at very important zone which act as a resistance for than a decade almost (14 years). After successfully breakout of important resistance now price retest that level and formed strongest support zone with bullish piercing candlestick in daily timeframe. Change of Polarity, Prior resistance become support.
RCF buy above 148
Stop Loss below 142
Target 163 and 186
200dma
WIPRO LONG TERM INVESTING OPPORTUNITYBullish on Wipro for the long term coz:
1. Rounding Bottom Pattern in Weekly TF.
2. Crossing 200 dema
3. Breaking 10-month-old resistance 2nd time in a daily timeframe with an increase in volume and holding on
4. Trend: UP Trend in daily pattern; making HHs and HLs over daily TF trendline
**BUY @ 417
**SL @ 395.75
**TGT 1 @ 610
**TGT2 @ 720
**Holding Period is approx 1 yr
**RR:13
**Growth Potential 72%
** Note: In rounding bottom pattern, speedy growth happens in the later phase, do not exit early. You can trail your SL but not very tightly as rounding bottom pattern may give deep pullbacks that may through you out of the trade.
coal india above 200dma can go to 300++after years of down trend back to uptrend can hold as long as above 200 daily ma
if you want to follow trend
even ppfas fund also buying
disclaimer- this is not any investment call or idea , this just my view and it can go wrong ,this is only for educational purposes trade at your own risk :)
MPHASIS range breakoutMPHASIS (NSE) has broken out of its range with heavy volume. This breakout has also happened at the 200 day moving average.
Keeping the range consolidation zone as the probable area of up trend, we can keep the target as previous resistance zone of 2450. Conservative investors can wait for a reversal and confirmation before placing a trade.
Will Bitcoin hit 40k in the coming weeks?Bitcoin made two breakout attempts recently. The second breakout failed and this failure is indicative of more downside in the coming days.
Supports that are well in target are just 6 to 8% away and lie close to 49k to 50k. A strong support of rising 200ma is well in sight. This range seems like a good support zone. The confluence of trend line support and moving average may well lead to a short term bounce from this lower range up to 56k.
But I truly wonder if the support zone near 50k is going to hold for long. To me a high probability of 40k exists, yet that can only become likely if the support range of 49k to 52k gives away.
Why does 40k that seems a fair probability?
Generally two quick attempts at the upward breakout have lead to selling pressure. Often it's been seen that if a quick second breakout fails, such failure may very likely to lead to a strong move in the opposite direction of the breakout.
With that being said, let's see how the price action shapes out in the coming weeks ahead.
YESBANK Breaking out?YESBANK was getting continuous resistance from 200DMA for a year since Nov'20 (as mentioned in our previous update on this stock in Oct'21, link below). The stock has finally gathered enough steam and has broken out of the 200DMA with volume. Is this a real breakout or will this be a fakeout and the stock will go back below the crucial 200DMA? We will watch out for the price action in this zone and update.
NIFTYMETAL/NIFTY relative strength chart bullishNIFTYMETAL/NIFTY relative strength chart is getting a bullish support as the price is pushing out of the triangle resistance zone. The 200DMA (green line) is supporting the bullish price action. Further, the price is retracing from the 38.2 Fib zone of the bigger range. We are bullish on the Nifty metal index in the coming weeks with target at the top of the range. Bullish thesis negated on closing below 200DMA.
BHEL: There and back again!BHEL has been taking support a its long-term trendline since Nov 2020. Yet another strong support has been 200DMA. The stock has yet again come at the confluence of the two supports and has shown reversal from here. Conditions are ideal for a long trade in this zone for the stock to go back to 79 with stop below 56 on closing basis.
All About 200MA |How to use it to take trade with example.Part-2NSE:HINDPETRO
All About 200 DMA. How to use it to take Mid/Long term trade.
1) What is 200DMA?
It is simple technical analysis tool that is and average of daily close price of last 200days/candles. It is used to smooth out the price and it will remove the intraday fluctuation noise.
200DMA --> 200 Daily Moving Average
2) 200DMA is the one of the main critical support/resistance that it will work in downtrend or in uptrend.
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How to use it and how to take long term trade?
200DMA as support: If price is above 200DMA then it will work as Support and it is time to buy trade opportunity.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
200DMA as resistance: If price is below 200DMA then it will work as resistance and it is time to short/sell trade opportunity.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
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Strategies to Enter and Exit in Trade.
Step: 1
Need to find Chart pattern on Daily Time frame, such as bullish flag, triangle, rounding bottom, cup and handle head and shoulder etc…
Step: 2
If there is no clear pattern, then judge the price action. If it is trading in uptrend/downtrend parallel channel, if it is in accumulation, if it is in distribution etc….
Step: 3
Find Support and Resistance on Chart
Once these 3 steps are clear you have most of all for mid/long term trade.
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NOW Let’s look at example.
I am taking HINDPETRO for example.
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For Sell Trade
Let’s take Step: 1
So, in below chart we found one pattern which is double top pattern . And it has neckline of 400 level range. Which means on breakdown of 400 level range it will be in down trend/bearish.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
Step 2 is not needed as we already found Pattern.
But since we can see the trend is downtrend as we can see long red candle bodies and smaller green candles in comparison.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
Step 3: Please refer below chart for Support and resistance level.
We can see that it is having immediate support at 400 level which will be the neckline of double top pattern. And the next level 380 will work as major support, as previously it worked as resistance.
One could have taken short trade on breakdown of 400 level with quick target of 380 level only.
But safe short trade will be on sustainable breakdown of 380 level.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
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Now the main point about Target: What can be the Target.
There can be two targets
1) Target w.r.t to double top pattern. So it comes as 92 points down from the neckline which will come as 308 level range.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
2) Targe w.r.t to 200DMA breakdown.
In this we have to go back in recent past from where it took support from the 200DMA and find the points it raises from it in uptrend.
And the target will be minimum of 60% of those point on downside once it gives breakdown of 200DMA.
So, we can see recent rise of 160 points from 200DMA and for downside target we can consider minimum of 60% of these 160 points as our downside target which will be 96 points. Hence our target will come as 304 level.
In some cases the target will be same as the rise.
SL can be 420 and target will be 304 level.
So our Risk reward ratio will be 96 (target points from 400 level) /20 (points up from 400 level) = almost 4.8:1
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
Hope I made it easy to understand.
You can refer part-1 of this 200DMA with example of buy trade for the same stock HINDPETRO.
Comment your doubt or suggestion if any.
**************this is for educational purpose only**************
YESBANK 200DMA RejectionYESBANK saw rejection at its 200 Day Moving Average (200DMA green line), yet again. Every time the price of the stock has hit its 200DMA from below, we have seen bullish rejection and the price has followed through on the bearish side. Today we saw another rejection at the 200DMA. Low risk short can be initiated here with stop loss above the 200DMA for price to get back toward the lower end of the range at 11.50.
IGL Bouncing off at Multiple SupportsIGL is bouncing off again from its medium term support, same as it did a month and a half ago. The stock bounced off this support the last time, went to the resistance at 580 and came back to its support. The stock's price action today is indicative of a bounce again at this trend line and 200DMA support. The candle formation is also of 'morning star' type with gap up today and volume support. We are bullish on this stock and can see the price going back to 580 resistance zone.
All About 200MA |How to use it to take trade with example.Part-1NSE:HINDPETRO
All About 200 DMA. How to use it to take Mid/Long term trade.
1)What is 200DMA?
It is simple technical analysis tool that is an average of daily close price of last 200days/candles. It is used to smooth out the price and it will remove the intraday fluctuation noise.
200DMA == 200 Daily Moving Average
2)200DMA is the one of the main critical support/resistance that it will work in downtrend or in uptrend.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
How to use it and how to take trade?
200DMA as support:
If price is above 200DMA then it will work as Support and it is time to buy trade opportunity.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
200DMA as resistance:
If price is below 200DMA then it will work as resistance and it is time to short/sell trade opportunity.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
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Steps to follow to find and take Trade.
Step: 1
Need to find Chart pattern on Daily Time frame; such as bullish flag, triangle, rounding bottom, cup and handle head and shoulder etc…
Step: 2
If there is no clear pattern then Judge the price action. If it is trading in uptrend/downtrend parallel channel , If it is in accumulation , if it is in distribution etc….
Step : 3
Find Support and Resistance on Chart
Once these 3 steps are clear you have most of all to take mid/long term trade.
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NOW Let’s look at example.
I am taking HINDPETRO for example.
This Part 1 is with buy trade example.
Let’s take Step: 1
So, in below chart we found one pattern which is Cup and Handle Pattern.
So, our entry will be on breakout of it.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
Step 2 is not needed as we already found Pattern.
Step 3 : Please refer below chart for Support and resistance level.
We can see that it is having immediate resistance at 190 level and major resistance at 200 Level. Breakout on 190 level will be quick buy till 200
But safe buy will be on breakout of 200 level with SL just below 190 level which will be 185 level for mid/long term trade.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
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Now the main point about Target: What can be the Target. As our SL is decided at 185 level.
To decide our Target, we can go a back in history where earlier it had taken support at 200DMA and gave bullish rally.
So, if we see in month from May to Aug it rallied almost 94.65 points after it took last support in near range from 200DMA.
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
So, let’s take target of max 90 points from the level of 200DMA.
Level 179 was the level at which it took support from 200DMA and now adding 90points we can see 269/270 as our Target.
Let’s consider our buy trade entry at 205 level. And Our Target will be 270 and SL will be 185.
Hence our Risk Reward will be 65 (up move) / 20 (down move till SL) = 3.25 : 1
Please refer below chart: 1Day Time Frame
Even we can see that stock even move higher than our target. But to get higher target we will need to use FIB Retracement tool.
For this article let’s keep it till this.
Hope I made it easy to understand.
Part 2 for 200DMA short trade with example will be posted separately.
Do comment your doubt or suggestions.
**************this is for educational purpose only**************
SBICARD at Confluence of Multiple SupportsSBICARD is exhibiting reversal at multiple supports:
1. Trendline support from previous lows
2. 1.618 Fibonacci support
3. 200DMA support
Further, RSI also touched 30 level and reversed.
We are bullish on this stock, expecting the price to reverse to ATH of 1139.