Sunday Prep 10/10 - $XLE Has Potential for More UpsideEnergy remains super strong and I still think it has the potential for more upside. You can see on $XLE that the $62 area is where I may think some resistance shows up. But if we pull back ahead of that, i still like the buying opps down around $51 (20d)
2021
Midweek Watch 10/06 - $AMD Should be Good if Market HoldsMy Level: Long off $101.25
Why: Prior Quarterly pivot & 65% Fibonacci retrace level
Had a really strong day today, closed on highs. Watching it off 100 for a few days or so, if market shows some strength tomorrow I think $AMD might be good for a join around that $101 level
Midweek Watch 10/06 - $EA Will See How It Reacts at $129 - $130My Level: Long off $130 & $129
Why: $130 is Prior monthly and you have a monthly pivot and quarterly around $129
When this stock was down around $125, I told how ridiculously oversold the name is, was on my #midweekwatch few weeks back. Want to see the action on it tomorrow, stayed really heavy all day. Hoping for a continuation tomorrow. Doesn’t mean it cannot come back to $125, but will see how it reacts around $129 & $130
Midweek Watch 10/06 - $M Holding a Nice Trend on the DailyLong off $21.10
Why: Previous low, Quarterly pivot and 50D SMA
comments: Macy's is an interesting name, has a nice trend on the daily which lines up with my level if you draw a trendline. Been pretty strong since earnings, now pulled back a little. What im looking for is a higher low off this level
Midweek Watch 10/06 - $ASO Could Provide Nice OpportunityMy Level: Long off $40.45
Why: Quarterly pivot, 50% retrace from today’s action and 50D SMA
Looking for little bit of retrace, closed on highs. If it clears $41 can head into the next consolidation area around mid $42s. Not a huge ATR, but could provide a nice opportunity
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $DISH Trying to Possibly Position for a SwingKind of trying to possibly position for a swing, but think there are some day trades in here as well. Early weakness and I may look to scoop between 44.3 annual pivot and 43.8
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $BTC Thinking We’ll See Bitcoin Go Higher!Bitcoin. What I use to gauge the crypto currency market in general. I didnt expect this to be back at 48k so fast. The speed of this gets me thinking we’ll see BTC go higher. 53k is the first level of resistance. 40k is the psychological low level of support.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $A Strong Name that had a Deep Pullback Strong name that had a deep pullback from the extension. Down about 15% from highs right into the weekly 20sma. Looking to scoop weakness with risk against Friday’s lows. 154.50-155 is the area I’m interested in. This has a lot of room to move back up if we are catching the turn here. I think 160 is possible the same day and 165-168 within a week or 2. Remember, this is assuming we ARE catching the turn here. If we lose Friday’s lows then it might want the 200d.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $IBM I'm in No RUSH on this One! Needs a deep pullback to get me interested, but i’m in no rush. 139-140 is the area I want to start considering it. It very well may push towards 145 where I’m hoping it finds enough resistance to send it back to my levels. Remember, in the bigger picture this could have a really move setting up if we finally get back over those highs put in back in May
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $AFRM Over 121 Should Send ItBack to back inside days getting tight against the upward sloping 20d. Want to either buy a flush towards 113 with risk under Wednesday’s lows or if we push back above Friday’s highs then I will possibly look to build in long on dips as long as we can hold higher lows. Over 121 should send it.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $NFLX Beastmode Since the Breakout Netflix has been on beastmode since we discussed the breakout of the long base. Looks ready for the next leg up after retesting that important 570 level. Would watch for a flush to psychological 600 level to hold. May even buy some calls on this for a month or so out. I think 700 is in the cards if the market can right itself.
Sunday Prep 9/26 - $PXD Busted Above that Nice Flag on the DailyAnother from the energy sector is Pioneer Natural. Decent volume and good range. We had a nice breakout, nice flag that busted above. We retested levels and reclaimed and kept going. I want to see this retrace back to the quarterly pivot (159.75) on a weak open and watch to see if buyers show up.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $TGT Will Go Long if Speeds-up into 200D SMAYou may recall this one from last week’s Sunday Prep in which it was a short idea. Well now that it’s coming in, I would love to play the long on it if it could speed up down into the 200d area. It very well may reverse from here though and if it does, I’ll most likely skip it. I want my area or nothing.
Sunday Prep 10/3 - $ES/$SPY Here's How I'll be Trading this WeekBULLISH TO NEUTRAL: Broader Market Analysis starts with the ES. Last week we talked about the first red flag of many. The break of previous month lows. (Aug lows were broken in Sept). Now with Sept lows being broken in Oct already. I still don’t think there’s anything to panic about.. At least not yet. Why? Because we’re just pulling back into the Weekly 20 SMA.
I try to understand what timeframe we’re extended away from the 20 SMA. Oddly enough you’ll find support show up at this SMA. We’re not extended on the weekly anymore. The ugly setup on the daily would get me concerned IF we were extended from the 20 SMA on the weekly chart.. But we’re not.
I would like to see Oct be a narrow candle. Then in Nov stuff and come back under. I would like to see a lower low on a higher timeframe. That would be the red flag I look for.
The other thing that could happen is we just go sideways for a while. If this happens then the big move up will begin getting digested. Then I’ll formulate some long setups. Also, if we start to see some long setups gear up from here and we start making ATHs.
The way I’ll be playing this market this week:
If we gap up on Monday, I’ve got quite a few names on short watch.
If we gap DOWN on Monday then I’m hands off until we see some support show up somewhere around last week’s low.
I want to see Friday’s lows hold. If they don’t, it’s not the end of the world. I have some a support around 4200.