The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy - Big Moves Start in Silence!Hello Traders!
Most people believe swing trades work only when stocks are moving fast.
Strong candles, news headlines, social media hype and suddenly everyone feels confident.
But after spending years studying stock charts, I have learned something very different.
The best swing trades in stocks usually begin when nothing looks exciting.
When a stock becomes quiet, volume dries up and nobody is talking about it
that is often when serious preparation starts.
Retail bolega “ye stock toh bilkul boring hai” and moves on 😄
What a Calm Stock Phase Really Means
A calm phase appears when a stock starts moving in a tight range with smaller candles and limited volatility.
Price keeps respecting the same support and resistance levels again and again.
Volume slowly reduces but price structure remains stable which shows balance not weakness
For swing traders, this boredom is not a problem. It is actually a signal to start paying attention.
Why Smart Money Loves Silence
Big players cannot build positions when price is moving fast because it attracts attention.
They prefer calm stocks where accumulation can happen slowly without pushing price.
Low volatility allows them to prepare before the real move begins.
Silence does not mean nothing is happening. It often means something is being built quietly.
Why Retail Traders Miss These Moves
Most retail traders want action and fast movement.
Calm stocks feel uninteresting so they get ignored.
When the breakout finally happens, retail notices it late and enters emotionally.
Retail chases movement. Swing traders prepare before movement.
How I Personally Trade Calm Stock Swing Setups
I scan daily and weekly charts to find stocks moving in tight consolidation ranges.
I check whether price is repeatedly reacting from the same support and resistance zones.
I focus on stocks where volume is reducing but structure is still clean.
Instead of chasing breakouts, I plan entries near the range with limited risk.
This keeps my mind calm and decisions logical. No pressure and no hurry.
Real Chart Example: Hero MotoCorp
To make this concept practical, I have explained it using the Hero MotoCorp daily chart above.
If you look closely, the stock spent a long time moving inside a tight consolidation zone.
Price reacted multiple times near resistance and support while volume kept reducing.
During this phase, many traders ignored the stock because it looked slow and boring.
But this calm structure was actually preparation.
Once the stock finally broke out, it delivered a clean swing move with strong follow through and very limited pullbacks.
This is exactly how calm stocks reward patience.
Main yahi karta hoon, I study the silence first and let the move come to me.
The Breakout Is the Result Not the Start
Most traders believe the breakout candle is the opportunity.
In reality, the real edge comes from preparation during consolidation.
When volatility expands, the swing trader is already positioned.
Jab sab excited😄hote hain tab smart planning already ho chuki hoti hai.
Rahul’s Tip
If a stock feels too quiet, too slow or too boring, do not ignore it immediately.
Sometimes silence is the market’s way of preparing something big.
Patience during calm phases has helped me far more than chasing excitement.
Conclusion
The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy teaches you to think opposite to the crowd.
Instead of chasing noise, you learn to prepare during silence.
In stocks, the loudest moves often begin when nobody is paying attention.
If this post helped you see calm stocks differently,
like it, share your view in the comments and follow for more practical swing trading insights.
Community ideas
Nifty Analysis for Dec 17, 2025Wrap-up:
After hitting low of 25904 counts have been changed. Now, wave 1 is completed at 26057 and wave 2 is treated as completed once nifty breaks and sustains above 25915. Thereafter, Nifty will head towards wave 3.
What I’m Watching for Dec 17, 2025 🔍
Buy nifty above 25915 sl 25833 for a target of 26012-26174-26198.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Bitcoin UpdateBTC is down ~2% today but has recovered from the lows and is holding above key support at $86,180 — showing strong respect for the trendline.
Key Levels:
🟢 Support: $86,180 → if this breaks, next major support is $75,000
🔵 Resistance: ~$92,000
🟩 Major Resistance: ~$100,000
Positioning:
I remain long from $86.2K and plan to add near $75K if price drops.
Trend structure remains intact.
USDJPY MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS UJ Price is currently trading in the discounted range of the last bullish impulsive move on the Daily (D1) chart and is holding well above the 50 EMA, indicating a strong bullish bias.
On the 4H timeframe, we have a clean liquidity sweep, followed by a break of structure.
I am looking for long positions, with the stop loss placed below the monthly low.
The stop loss is relatively wide, as this is a higher-timeframe swing idea.
If price starts to play out in favor of the bullish thesis, I will look to add intraday long positions within the developing bullish move, aligned with the higher-timeframe structure.
Nifty Analysis for Dec 16, 2025Wrap-up:
As predicted Nifty achieved its wave 2 target at 25904 and now, heading towards its 3.
What I’m Watching for Dec 16, 2025 🔍
Sell Nifty if it breaks 26013 sl 26047 for a target of 25947-25959.
and, Buy nifty if it comes near 25947-25959 sl 25904 or if it does not come then buy above 26025 SL 26013 for a target of 26149-26174.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 16The price is facing strong resistance at the 26040 - 26060 zone. Tomorrow, if the price opens gap up and shows bullish strength, then there will be movement towards 26200.
Buy above 26060 with the stoploss of 26000 for the targets 26100, 26160, 26200, 26240 and 26280.
Sell below 25950 with the stop loss of 26000 for the targets 25910, 25860, 25820 and 25780.
If the price had a gap-down opening at support and if it shows bullish strength, then it can move up.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES?
- Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day
- Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade
- SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle
Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall
Cup & Handle Breakout in KMEW
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
CEAT LTD: Demand Is Quietly Winning This BattleThis chart tells a very classic supply–demand story where emotions and patience are clearly separated. On the surface, recent price action may look weak or confusing, but when you zoom out and read it through the lens of demand–supply and price action, the bigger picture becomes very clear.
🔥 Higher Timeframe Context Sets the Bias 🔍
The first and most important observation is the higher timeframe structure. The broader trend remains bullish, with price consistently respecting demand areas and continuing to form higher bases over time. This immediately shifts our mindset from “fear” to “probability.”
• Higher timeframe trend is aligned to the upside
• No active or nearby higher timeframe supply visible above
• Market structure still favours demand reacting, not supply dominating
When higher timeframe supply is absent, downside moves usually represent pauses or pullbacks, not trend reversals.
📦 Demand Zone Quality: Why This Area Matters 🧲
Price is now approaching a demand zone that stands out because of its origin and structure . This is not a random support area drawn emotionally—it is a zone created by clear institutional activity.
• The leg-out from this base was strong and decisive this is breakout candle as well this candle showed urgency & imbalance
• Minimal base candles indicate less absorption and more unfilled orders
• Zone has not been over-tested, preserving its freshness
High-quality leg-out candles usually tell us that large players were active, and such zones often act as magnets when price revisits them.
🧠 What Price Action Is Whispering Right Now 🕯️
As price approaches demand, notice how momentum slows instead of collapsing. This subtle change in behaviour is important.
• Selling pressure is reducing as price drops into demand
• No impulsive bearish expansion seen into the zone
• Wicks and smaller bodies suggest profit booking, not panic selling
This type of price action often precedes either a pause or a reaction, especially when aligned with higher timeframe demand.
⚠️ Risk Awareness & Trade Thinking ⚖️
Even the best-looking zones can fail. Markets don’t move on certainty, they move on probabilities.
• No setup is ever guaranteed
• Always define risk before thinking about reward
• Strong zones can fail if broader market sentiment changes
• Capital protection is more important than prediction
Smart traders survive first—profits come second.
💡 Final Thoughts 🌟
This chart is a textbook example of how institutions quietly build positions while retail traders hesitate. Demand zones with strong leg-outs, aligned trends, and clean structure are where patience often pays.
🚀 “The market doesn’t reward speed, it rewards discipline and clarity.” 🚀
Thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
📌 This analysis is for educational purposes only and not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
XAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term ScalpingXAUUSD – Lana Prefers SELL, BUY Only for Short-Term Scalping 💛
Quick Summary
Short-term trend: Downward pressure dominates
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: Focus on SELL; BUY only for quick scalping at liquidity zones
Note: Today features multiple US data releases and events, so volatility may be higher than usual
Market Context
The market enters the session with a dense news flow: US Presidential speech, unemployment rate, seasonally adjusted Non-Farm Payrolls, and Retail Sales.
In such conditions, gold often experiences strong swings and liquidity sweeps before moving in the main direction. Therefore, Lana prioritizes selling at higher zones and only takes short-term BUY positions when price reaches clear support zones.
Technical Outlook
After the previous upward move, the H1 structure shows weakening price action, indicating the possibility of a continued downward move.
Upper zones where short-term resistance converges are suitable for following the intraday SELL trend. Below, liquidity zones may trigger temporary rebounds, but Lana considers these only for scalping and does not hold positions for long.
Intraday Trading Scenarios
Main Scenario – Trend-Following SELL
Sell: 4308 – 4312
SL: 4320
This is Lana’s preferred zone today. If price retraces into this area and shows rejection, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Buy Scenario 1 – Short-Term Scalping at Nearby Support
Buy: 4253
SL: 4240
This BUY is only for short swings, with quick profit-taking when price reacts.
Buy Scenario 2 – Scalping at Deep Liquidity Zone
Buy: 4213
SL: 4200
This is a stronger liquidity zone. If price drops quickly here during news, a technical rebound is possible, but Lana maintains the view not to hold BUY positions for long.
Session Notes
Asian & European sessions: Price may fluctuate and create technical retracements
US session: Strong news-driven volatility can sweep both sides before a clear direction emerges
Each scenario represents a probability, not certainty.
On high-news days, Lana always reduces position size, sets clear SLs, and is willing to skip trades if price does not reach the expected zones.
USDJPY – Potential for a Volatile End to the WeekIt’s the last full trading week of the year before the Christmas break but that doesn’t necessarily mean that FX markets will be quiet. The calendar is still packed full of important risk events, and when combined with the possibility for decreasing levels of liquidity into Friday’s close it could be a recipe for volatility.
Take USDJPY for example. It has already been the biggest mover in the G7 currency space with its fall from opening levels at 155.80 on Monday down to a low of 154.68 so far this morning and the key risk events are still to come. These events take the form of US Non-farm Payrolls later today (1330 GMT), US CPI on Thursday (1330 GMT) and then the Bank of Japan interest rate decision (0300 GMT) and press conference (0630 GMT) on Friday.
Traders have been eagerly awaiting today’s latest US payrolls release which could impact the direction of the US Dollar in the short term. A weaker US labour market reading may increase the chances for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in the first quarter of 2026, which could weigh on USDJPY prices, while a stronger number could see USDJPY strengthen.
Similarly, the direction of US inflation on Thursday could be important as some Fed policymakers have signalled they are uncomfortable with prices rising consistently above the US central bank’s 2% target. A higher-than-expected CPI reading could see US bond yields rise, taking USDJPY higher, while a weaker number could see USDJPY come under pressure as the focus shifts to the Bank of Japan rate decision on Friday morning.
At this meeting, the Japanese central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 25bps (around 90% probability), so anything else would be a shock that may lead to a nasty spike in USDJPY volatility. The comments of Governor Ueda in the press conference could also be important depending on what hints he gives about the potential for further rate hikes through 2026.
That’s it, and yes, I know, a lot to take in and prepare for! Looking at the charts, USDJPY has been in a 270-point trading range between 154.30-157.00 for the last month and there could be potential for that to change.
With that in mind, lets assess the technical outlook.
Technical Update: Are Further Corrective Themes Emerging?
The USDJPY rally from the 154.34 December 5th low to the 156.96 December 9th high was impressive, yet subsequent price action may be suggesting a slowing in upside momentum, even further price weakness.
A key concern for traders may be that the December 9th high remained well below the November 20th extreme at 157.89, reinforcing caution regarding near‑term price activity.
The risk is that this activity represents a ‘weak test’ of the 157.89 price high. In other words, while previous moves higher were accompanied by buying support strong enough to break and close above prior highs and resistance levels, this time the market has been unable to do so, raising concerns over the sustainability of upside momentum.
Traders may now question whether recent price activity signals a slowing of upside momentum and the potential for a phase of weakness. Much may depend on future sentiment once the outcome of the key risk events is known, making it prudent to remain aware of the key support and resistance levels as key reference points in the days ahead.
If Price Weakness is to Materialise:
It may still be argued that activity since the November 20th high reflects a phase of price consolidation within the longer‑term uptrend. Therefore, the focus may initially turn to the December 5th low at 154.34 as the first key support level.
Closing breaks below 154.34 could suggest a developing pattern of lower highs and lower lows, which is the basic definition of a downtrend. Should this occur, risks may then shift toward further price weakness with scope to test lower supports.
As the chart shows, closing breaks below support at 154.34 could see a deeper retracement of the October 1st to November 20th advance. If this is the case, the 38.2% level at 153.16 may be tested, with scope for extension towards the 50% retracement at 151.70.
If Support Holds and Price Strength Develops:
Of course, the 154.34 December 5th low support may yet hold and allow fresh price strength to develop. In that case, the focus may then turn to 156.01, the current level of the Bollinger mid‑average, as the first resistance. Closing breaks above 156.01 might now be required to open scope for higher levels
A confirmed break above 156.01 in USDJPY could trigger further upside pressure, with 156.96, the December 9th high, emerging as the next resistance. Should this level also give way, upside potential may extend toward 157.89, the November 20th high
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Waiting for OB Reaction to Confirm the Next Move◆ Market Context (M30)
Price swept sell-side liquidity around 4,349–4,350 but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure in premium. With a prior liquidity sweep at the lows and a bullish BOS, the current move is likely a rebalancing phase after liquidity absorption.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• Rejection after the upper sweep signals premium denial.
• The lower support zone marks the base of the prior bullish displacement (BOS base).
• OB + Fibo below act as an attraction zone for re-accumulation before direction is chosen.
◆ Key Levels
• Liquidity Sell: 4,349–4,350
• OB + Fibo (retest): 4,302–4,289
• Deeper support: 4,274
• Upper supply (if broken): 4,406
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary)
• Wait for a pullback into OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289
• Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction
• Targets:
▪ 4,349
▪ Extension: 4,406
• Invalid if a clear break below 4,274
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If OB 4,302–4,289 is pierced
• Watch for reversal signals around 4,274
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue (No FOMO)
• Only follow buys if price closes and holds above 4,350
• Monitor reactions at 4,406 for risk management/partials
◆ Summary
• Context: upper liquidity swept → favor pullbacks.
• Decision zone: OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289.
• Upside targets: 4,349 → 4,406.
• Avoid chasing price in premium.
Quarterly Result Trading: Strategy, Opportunities, and RisksUnderstanding Quarterly Results
Quarterly results provide a snapshot of a company’s financial health and operational performance over the previous three months. The most closely watched parameters include:
Revenue (Sales): Indicates business growth and demand.
Net Profit: Reflects overall profitability after expenses.
Operating Margins: Show cost efficiency and pricing power.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Used for valuation comparisons.
Guidance and Management Commentary: Signals future expectations.
Markets do not react only to absolute numbers; they react to how results compare with expectations. If results exceed expectations, the stock may rally. If they fall short, even slightly, the stock can decline sharply.
Why Quarterly Results Move Stock Prices
Stock prices are forward-looking. Investors and traders price stocks based on future growth prospects rather than past performance. Quarterly results help the market reassess these expectations. A strong result can lead to earnings upgrades, higher valuations, and increased institutional buying. Weak results may trigger downgrades, selling pressure, and loss of confidence.
Additionally, results often resolve uncertainty. Before announcements, traders speculate, leading to volatility. Once results are out, prices adjust quickly to new information.
Types of Quarterly Result Trading Strategies
Pre-Result Trading
Traders take positions before results based on expectations, rumors, sector trends, or analyst forecasts. This strategy aims to capture a price run-up ahead of the announcement. However, it is risky because unexpected numbers can reverse gains instantly.
Post-Result Trading
This involves trading after results are announced, once the market reaction becomes clearer. Traders analyze whether the reaction is justified or overdone. For example, if results are strong but the stock falls due to profit booking, it may present a buying opportunity.
Result Day Momentum Trading
On the day of results, stocks can move strongly in one direction with high volume. Momentum traders ride this move using intraday or short-term setups, relying on price action and volume rather than deep fundamentals.
Expectation vs Reality Trading
Sometimes even good results lead to a fall because expectations were too high. Skilled traders focus on the gap between expectations and actual numbers rather than the numbers alone.
Role of Derivatives in Quarterly Result Trading
Options and futures are widely used during result season due to high volatility.
Options Trading: Traders use strategies like straddles, strangles, and spreads to benefit from volatility without predicting direction.
Futures Trading: Directional traders take leveraged positions expecting a strong move.
However, implied volatility usually rises before results and collapses after the announcement, which can lead to option value erosion. Understanding volatility dynamics is crucial.
Importance of Volume and Price Action
During quarterly results, volume plays a critical role. A price move accompanied by high volume signals strong conviction from institutional players. Breakouts or breakdowns near key support and resistance levels often gain reliability during result-driven moves. Candlestick patterns formed after results can indicate continuation or reversal.
Sector and Market Context
Quarterly result trading should not be done in isolation. Broader market sentiment and sector performance matter. For example, even strong results from a company may not lead to a rally if the overall market is weak or the sector is under pressure. Conversely, average results may lead to a rally in a strong bull market.
Risks in Quarterly Result Trading
High Volatility: Prices can swing sharply within minutes, leading to slippage and losses.
Gap Openings: Stocks may open far above or below the previous close, limiting stop-loss effectiveness.
Emotional Trading: Fast price movements can trigger fear and greed, leading to impulsive decisions.
Information Asymmetry: Institutional investors may interpret results faster and more accurately than retail traders.
False Reactions: Initial market reactions can reverse once detailed analysis emerges.
Risk Management Techniques
Effective risk management is essential in quarterly result trading:
Use strict stop-losses and predefined position sizing.
Avoid over-leveraging, especially in derivatives.
Focus on liquid stocks to reduce slippage.
Trade fewer but high-quality setups rather than chasing every result.
Long-Term vs Short-Term Perspective
While quarterly result trading is mostly short-term, it can also help long-term investors. Consistently strong quarterly performance builds confidence in a company’s growth story. Traders who understand results deeply can transition into positional or swing trades based on improving fundamentals.
Conclusion
Quarterly result trading is one of the most exciting and challenging forms of market participation. It blends fundamentals, technical analysis, market psychology, and risk management. The biggest price moves often occur during result season, but so do the biggest mistakes. Successful traders focus not just on profits and losses, but on expectations, positioning, and disciplined execution. When approached with preparation and caution, quarterly result trading can become a powerful tool in a trader’s overall strategy—but without discipline, it can quickly turn into a high-risk gamble.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 15-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY – TRADING PLAN FOR 15 DEC 2025 (Rewritten & Improved)
Price closed near 26,014, exactly at a midpoint where both buyers and sellers showed activity.
Your directional arrows indicate:
Green arrows → Areas where buyers are expected to step in strongly; ideal long setups after confirmation
Red arrows → Areas where sellers take control after buyer exhaustion; ideal short setups after breakdown & retest
Orange arrows → Areas where price is indecisive; avoid trading until breakout or breakdown
🚀 1. GAP-UP OPENING (100+ points)
1. If Nifty opens between 26,093 – 26,138
• This region reflects a hesitation zone, as shown by the orange arrows.
• Buyers and sellers are both active; market is likely to range.
• No trade here until market shows clear direction.
• Watch for:
– A breakout above 26,138 → follow the green arrow path, buyers take control → Targets 26,257 → 26,294.
– A rejection from 26,138 and fall below 26,093 → follow red arrow path, sellers gain momentum → Target 25,947.
2. If market opens above 26,138
• According to the green directional arrows, buyers are ready to continue the rally.
• Best trade:
– Wait for a minor pullback into 26,138 area
– Enter long on bullish confirmation
• Target zone remains 26,257–26,294.
• Ideal for option buyers due to direction clarity.
3. If gap-up opens only slightly above 26,014 but below 26,093
• The chart arrows show mixed direction — no strong trend yet.
• Wait for confirmation.
• Only trade after:
– Break and retest above 26,093 (long)
– Break below 25,947 (short)
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (around 26,000)
1. Price moves into 26,093 zone first (orange arrows)
• This is a stalling region — price may oscillate, offering no clear setup.
• Avoid trading until breakout or breakdown.
• Once direction is chosen:
– Above 26,093 → follow green arrows → long opportunity
– Below 25,947 → follow red arrows → short opportunity
2. If 25,947 holds strongly after open
• Buyers are showing interest exactly where the green arrows begin.
• Good long setup after a higher-low or bullish candle pattern.
• Targets: 26,014 → 26,093 → 26,138.
3. If price rejects 26,093 and turns down sharply
• This is aligned with first red arrow structure.
• Short only when price breaks 25,947 with momentum and retests.
• Targets: 25,885 → 25,771.
📉 3. GAP-DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
1. Opening near 25,885
• Your green arrows show this as a strong buyer reaction zone.
• Expect a possible reversal or stabilisation.
• Long setup only after:
– Wick rejections
– CHoCH / BOS
– Retest of intraday level
• Upside targets: 25,947 → 26,014 → 26,093.
2. If 25,885 breaks and price fails retest
• This confirms the red arrows' downward continuation path.
• Best short entry:
– Break
– Retest
– Confirmation candle
• Targets: 25,771.
3. If price opens directly near 25,771
• This is where the strongest fight occurs before the market chooses direction — shown by mixed arrows.
• Avoid immediate entry.
• Only trade once:
– Strong reversal appears (long)
– Or level breaks and confirms (short)
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid trading the first 5 minutes, especially on gap days.
2. SL must be based on SPOT price, not premium.
3. Follow arrow direction strictly:
– Green arrows → Consider CE / long futures
– Red arrows → Consider PE / short futures
– Orange arrows → Avoid trades completely
4. Do not buy far OTM options during consolidation.
5. When in profit, trail SL — especially near 26,138 & 26,257 resistance.
6. Respect max loss limit: stop for the day if you hit 1–2% capital loss.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Green arrows = Buyer strength zones → Best long setups with good R:R.
• Red arrows = Short continuation zones → Ideal areas to short after breakdown confirmation.
• Orange arrows = No-trade areas → Wait for breakout; don’t force trades.
• Above 26,138, bullish momentum increases.
• Below 25,947, bearish continuation strengthens.
• Profit booking expected at 26,257–26,294.
This plan aligns exactly with the direction suggested by your arrows and provides a clean, professional decision-making framework.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This plan is only for educational purposes.
Trade using your own analysis and risk management.
Nifty 50 Swing Trading setup - RRR 1:3Nifty swing trading setup analysis through Elliott wave Downside risk max 200 points target 600 point reaching possible on before 02/01/2026 maximum hold 2 weeks this setup useful for swing traders so go long at 25900-25800 Risk reward is good 1:3 Happy trading Journey
HERO MOTOCORP: Smart Money Is Quietly Accumulating Here?Hero MotoCorp has reached a very interesting technical location where multiple concepts like higher timeframe trend, demand & supply, and price action are aligning. Let’s break this down in a simple, logical, and practical way so even a beginner can follow — while keeping enough depth for experienced traders to appreciate.
🧭 Weekly Chart – Resistance Turns Into Support (Polarity in Action) 🧭
Before zooming into entries, we always respect the higher timeframe. On the Weekly timeframe, Hero MotoCorp is clearly in an uptrend. Higher highs and higher lows are intact, showing strong participation from long-term players. Recently, price has moved above a major resistance level and is now revisiting it from above.
This is a classic case of polarity — where previous resistance has the potential to turn into strong support. Markets have memory, and levels that once rejected price often attract buyers when retested.
📉 Daily Chart – Demand Zone Analysis 📉
Now let’s shift to the Daily timeframe, where things get even more interesting.
Price is reacting near a well-formed Daily Demand Zone - Rally Base Rally. The structure of this zone matters a lot:
• The base is clean and compact
• The leg-out is strong, showing aggressive buying
• The move away happened with a gap-up candle, which indicates urgency
Even more important — price did not deeply penetrate the demand zone. Instead, it found support early and reversed. This tells us buyers were waiting and did not allow price to drop further. This is a strong sign of underlying demand.
⚙️ Trend Alignment – The Hidden Power ⚙️
Both timeframes are aligned:
• Weekly trend is up
• Daily trend is up
• No major higher timeframe supply overhead
When trend, zone, and structure all point in the same direction, probabilities naturally improve.
This is not about prediction — it’s about stacking odds.
🎯 Trade Structure – How Professionals Think 🎯
This setup fits well into a confirmation-based approach rather than blind entries.
A logical trade framework would be:
• Entry: near the daily demand zone
• Stop-loss: Below the demand zone (structure-based)
• Target: Nearest opposite supply zone
• Risk–Reward: Approximately 1:2 or better
Risk management is non-negotiable. Even the best-looking setup can fail, and protecting capital is the first job of a trader.
🧠 Final Thoughts – What This Chart Is Really Saying 🧠
Hero MotoCorp is not showing weakness — it is showing a controlled pullback within strength. The combination of higher timeframe support, daily demand, and trend alignment suggests that smart money is more likely accumulating than exiting at these levels.
Patience and discipline matter more than prediction here. Let the market confirm your bias, manage risk, and stay flexible.
💡 “In trading, consistency is built by respecting structure, not by chasing excitement.” 📊🔥
Lastly, thank you for your support, your likes & comments. Feel free to ask if you have questions.
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not intended as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.
RR Kabel Ltd | Volume Area High Breakout Setup RR Kabel is currently trading above the Volume Area High, indicating strong acceptance at higher levels. Price is hovering near a key resistance zone and showing signs of a potential breakout with volume expansion.
Technical View:
Acceptance above VAH → bullish bias
Strong base formation after consolidation
Breakout confirmation expected on sustained price + volume
Trade Plan:
Buy on breakout / hold above resistance
Target: 1650
Stop Loss: Daily close below 1345
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading
Quick Summary
Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area.
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance.
Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session.
Market Context
The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan.
For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news.
Technical View
After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend.
On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell.
Trading Scenarios for Early Week
Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL)
Buy: 4298 – 4302
SL: 4294
This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend.
Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance
Sell: 4367 – 4370
SL: 4376
This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
Varun BeveragesDate 15.12.2025
Varun Beverages
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) Varun Beverages has been associated with PepsiCo since the 1990s
(2) Operations spans 10 countries with franchise rights & distribution rights
Brands
(1) PepsiCo. franchised Brands - Pepsi, Tropicana, Slice, 7UP, Sting, Kurkure, Aquafina, Lipton, Doritos, Mirinda, Fritolay
(2) Own Brands - Jive, Cooe, Reboost, Creambell, Aquaclear, Refreshh etc.
Sales Volume Breakup
(1) CSD - 76%
(2) Juice - 8%
(3) Water - 16%
Note* CSD stands for Carbonated Soft Drinks
(1) Indian Subcontinent (India, Sri Lanka, Nepal) contributed ~83% to revenues
(2) Africa (Morocco, Zambia, Zimbabwe) contributed to ~17% of total revenues
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 1,61,558 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 54.4
(3) Roce 24.8 %
(4) Roe 22.5 %
(5) Book Value 8X
(6) Opm 23.55%
(7) Promoter 59.44%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 17%
(9) Sales Growth 11.50%
(10) PEG 0.98
Regards,
Ankur Singh
BTC Bullish or Bearish
1 Hour Scenario:
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle (yellow trendlines). BTC is sitting near $89,300, just above the lower ascending support. EMA 100 (~$90,500) is acting as resistance. Volume is dropping, indicating a potential breakdown soon.
1 Day scenario:
BTC is struggling at the intersection of the downtrend resistance and ascending support. The bearish structure remains unless BTC closes above $92,400. RSI likely neutral; momentum slowing. EMA 100 (~$101,700) remains the major cap for bulls.
1 month Scenario:
Holding above $86,000 → bullish reversal potential in Q1 2026. If it breaks below $82,000, expect deeper correction to $75,000–$72,000.
Disclaimer: The analysis and price prediction provided above are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. They are general market commentary and should not be treated as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or financial instrument.






















