Waiting for OB Reaction to Confirm the Next Move◆ Market Context (M30)
Price swept sell-side liquidity around 4,349–4,350 but failed to hold, indicating weakening buying pressure in premium. With a prior liquidity sweep at the lows and a bullish BOS, the current move is likely a rebalancing phase after liquidity absorption.
◆ SMC & Price Action
• Rejection after the upper sweep signals premium denial.
• The lower support zone marks the base of the prior bullish displacement (BOS base).
• OB + Fibo below act as an attraction zone for re-accumulation before direction is chosen.
◆ Key Levels
• Liquidity Sell: 4,349–4,350
• OB + Fibo (retest): 4,302–4,289
• Deeper support: 4,274
• Upper supply (if broken): 4,406
◆ Trading Scenarios
➤ Scenario A – Pullback BUY (Primary)
• Wait for a pullback into OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289
• Conditions: structure holds (no break of recent lows), bullish reaction
• Targets:
▪ 4,349
▪ Extension: 4,406
• Invalid if a clear break below 4,274
➤ Scenario B – Deeper Pullback
• If OB 4,302–4,289 is pierced
• Watch for reversal signals around 4,274
➤ Scenario C – Break & Continue (No FOMO)
• Only follow buys if price closes and holds above 4,350
• Monitor reactions at 4,406 for risk management/partials
◆ Summary
• Context: upper liquidity swept → favor pullbacks.
• Decision zone: OB + Fibo 4,302–4,289.
• Upside targets: 4,349 → 4,406.
• Avoid chasing price in premium.
Community ideas
BTC Bullish or Bearish
1 Hour Scenario:
Price is consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle (yellow trendlines). BTC is sitting near $89,300, just above the lower ascending support. EMA 100 (~$90,500) is acting as resistance. Volume is dropping, indicating a potential breakdown soon.
1 Day scenario:
BTC is struggling at the intersection of the downtrend resistance and ascending support. The bearish structure remains unless BTC closes above $92,400. RSI likely neutral; momentum slowing. EMA 100 (~$101,700) remains the major cap for bulls.
1 month Scenario:
Holding above $86,000 → bullish reversal potential in Q1 2026. If it breaks below $82,000, expect deeper correction to $75,000–$72,000.
Disclaimer: The analysis and price prediction provided above are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, trading, or legal advice. They are general market commentary and should not be treated as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any cryptocurrency or financial instrument.
Nifty 50 Swing Trading setup - RRR 1:3Nifty swing trading setup analysis through Elliott wave Downside risk max 200 points target 600 point reaching possible on before 02/01/2026 maximum hold 2 weeks this setup useful for swing traders so go long at 25900-25800 Risk reward is good 1:3 Happy trading Journey
ICICIBANK – Bullish Setup (Short-Term)ICICIBANK – Bullish Setup (Short-Term)
ICICIBANK is showing strength and holding above key support.
Price action suggests a continuation move on the upside.
📈 Outlook: Bullish
🎯 Target: 1386 (short-term)
🛑 SL: Below recent swing low
Momentum looks positive; expecting price to move higher in the coming session.
Nifty Analysis for Dec 15, 2025Wrap-up:
Nifty breaks and sustains above 25908. Therefore, b is completed at 25693 and now, Nifty will head towards its final wave c of wave y of wave 5 but before that it will retest the breakout level of 25908.
What I’m Watching for Dec 13, 2025 🔍
Sell nifty only intraday if it breaks and sustains below 26012 SL 26057 for a target of 25922-25904-25887.
Disclaimer: Sharing my personal market view — only for educational purpose not financial advice.
RR Kabel Ltd | Volume Area High Breakout Setup RR Kabel is currently trading above the Volume Area High, indicating strong acceptance at higher levels. Price is hovering near a key resistance zone and showing signs of a potential breakout with volume expansion.
Technical View:
Acceptance above VAH → bullish bias
Strong base formation after consolidation
Breakout confirmation expected on sustained price + volume
Trade Plan:
Buy on breakout / hold above resistance
Target: 1650
Stop Loss: Daily close below 1345
Varun BeveragesDate 15.12.2025
Varun Beverages
Timeframe : Weekly Chart
About
(1) Varun Beverages has been associated with PepsiCo since the 1990s
(2) Operations spans 10 countries with franchise rights & distribution rights
Brands
(1) PepsiCo. franchised Brands - Pepsi, Tropicana, Slice, 7UP, Sting, Kurkure, Aquafina, Lipton, Doritos, Mirinda, Fritolay
(2) Own Brands - Jive, Cooe, Reboost, Creambell, Aquaclear, Refreshh etc.
Sales Volume Breakup
(1) CSD - 76%
(2) Juice - 8%
(3) Water - 16%
Note* CSD stands for Carbonated Soft Drinks
(1) Indian Subcontinent (India, Sri Lanka, Nepal) contributed ~83% to revenues
(2) Africa (Morocco, Zambia, Zimbabwe) contributed to ~17% of total revenues
Valuations
(1) Market Cap ₹ 1,61,558 Cr
(2) Stock Pe 54.4
(3) Roce 24.8 %
(4) Roe 22.5 %
(5) Book Value 8X
(6) Opm 23.55%
(7) Promoter 59.44%
(8) Profit Growth (TTM) 17%
(9) Sales Growth 11.50%
(10) PEG 0.98
Regards,
Ankur Singh
NIFTY Levels for TodayHere are the NIFTY's Levels for intraday (in the image below) today. Based on market movement, these levels can act as support, resistance or both.
Please consider these levels only if there is movement in index and 15m candle sustains at the given levels. The SL (Stop loss) for each BUY trade should be the previous RED candle below the given level. Similarly, the SL (Stop loss) for each SELL trade should be the previous GREEN candle above the given level.
Note: This idea and these levels are only for learning and educational purpose.
Your likes and boosts gives us motivation for continued learning and support.
PowerGrid – A Steady Dividend GiantPowerGrid has consistently rewarded investors with strong dividend payouts, backed by stable cash flows from its transmission business. The chart reflects resilience even in volatile markets, making it a reliable choice for long-term dividend income seekers. With government backing and steady expansion, it remains a defensive play in any portfolio.
Gold Today: Dip-Buy or Breakout Setup on XAU/USDIdea 1 — Buy the Dip (Conservative)
Entry: Break above short-term pullback support
Trigger: Price finds support near key levels and RSI stabilizes from oversold conditions
Target: Near recent local swing high
Stop-Loss: Just below today’s low
Rationale: Buying pullbacks in an overall uptrend reduces risk and lets you join strength rather than chase breakouts.
Idea 2 — Breakout Play
Entry: Clean breakout above today’s high with volume
Target: Next psychological resistance zone
Stop-Loss: Below breakout candle low
Rationale: Breakouts can catch momentum traders adding fuel when buyers overwhelm sellers.
Idea 3 — Tight Short Signal
Entry: Lower high rejection below resistance zone
Target: Short-term support region
Stop-Loss: Above recent swing high
Rationale: If gold fails at resistance and sellers step in, short positions can profit from a quick pullback.
Summary sentence for TradingView publish:
“Gold is showing bullish bias with dip-buy and breakout opportunities in play today, but traders should respect resistance and use tight stops as price reacts to macro catalysts.”
(No financial advice — use this as idea framework and confirm with your own charts and indicators.)
Quarterly Result Trading: Strategy, Opportunities, and RisksUnderstanding Quarterly Results
Quarterly results provide a snapshot of a company’s financial health and operational performance over the previous three months. The most closely watched parameters include:
Revenue (Sales): Indicates business growth and demand.
Net Profit: Reflects overall profitability after expenses.
Operating Margins: Show cost efficiency and pricing power.
Earnings Per Share (EPS): Used for valuation comparisons.
Guidance and Management Commentary: Signals future expectations.
Markets do not react only to absolute numbers; they react to how results compare with expectations. If results exceed expectations, the stock may rally. If they fall short, even slightly, the stock can decline sharply.
Why Quarterly Results Move Stock Prices
Stock prices are forward-looking. Investors and traders price stocks based on future growth prospects rather than past performance. Quarterly results help the market reassess these expectations. A strong result can lead to earnings upgrades, higher valuations, and increased institutional buying. Weak results may trigger downgrades, selling pressure, and loss of confidence.
Additionally, results often resolve uncertainty. Before announcements, traders speculate, leading to volatility. Once results are out, prices adjust quickly to new information.
Types of Quarterly Result Trading Strategies
Pre-Result Trading
Traders take positions before results based on expectations, rumors, sector trends, or analyst forecasts. This strategy aims to capture a price run-up ahead of the announcement. However, it is risky because unexpected numbers can reverse gains instantly.
Post-Result Trading
This involves trading after results are announced, once the market reaction becomes clearer. Traders analyze whether the reaction is justified or overdone. For example, if results are strong but the stock falls due to profit booking, it may present a buying opportunity.
Result Day Momentum Trading
On the day of results, stocks can move strongly in one direction with high volume. Momentum traders ride this move using intraday or short-term setups, relying on price action and volume rather than deep fundamentals.
Expectation vs Reality Trading
Sometimes even good results lead to a fall because expectations were too high. Skilled traders focus on the gap between expectations and actual numbers rather than the numbers alone.
Role of Derivatives in Quarterly Result Trading
Options and futures are widely used during result season due to high volatility.
Options Trading: Traders use strategies like straddles, strangles, and spreads to benefit from volatility without predicting direction.
Futures Trading: Directional traders take leveraged positions expecting a strong move.
However, implied volatility usually rises before results and collapses after the announcement, which can lead to option value erosion. Understanding volatility dynamics is crucial.
Importance of Volume and Price Action
During quarterly results, volume plays a critical role. A price move accompanied by high volume signals strong conviction from institutional players. Breakouts or breakdowns near key support and resistance levels often gain reliability during result-driven moves. Candlestick patterns formed after results can indicate continuation or reversal.
Sector and Market Context
Quarterly result trading should not be done in isolation. Broader market sentiment and sector performance matter. For example, even strong results from a company may not lead to a rally if the overall market is weak or the sector is under pressure. Conversely, average results may lead to a rally in a strong bull market.
Risks in Quarterly Result Trading
High Volatility: Prices can swing sharply within minutes, leading to slippage and losses.
Gap Openings: Stocks may open far above or below the previous close, limiting stop-loss effectiveness.
Emotional Trading: Fast price movements can trigger fear and greed, leading to impulsive decisions.
Information Asymmetry: Institutional investors may interpret results faster and more accurately than retail traders.
False Reactions: Initial market reactions can reverse once detailed analysis emerges.
Risk Management Techniques
Effective risk management is essential in quarterly result trading:
Use strict stop-losses and predefined position sizing.
Avoid over-leveraging, especially in derivatives.
Focus on liquid stocks to reduce slippage.
Trade fewer but high-quality setups rather than chasing every result.
Long-Term vs Short-Term Perspective
While quarterly result trading is mostly short-term, it can also help long-term investors. Consistently strong quarterly performance builds confidence in a company’s growth story. Traders who understand results deeply can transition into positional or swing trades based on improving fundamentals.
Conclusion
Quarterly result trading is one of the most exciting and challenging forms of market participation. It blends fundamentals, technical analysis, market psychology, and risk management. The biggest price moves often occur during result season, but so do the biggest mistakes. Successful traders focus not just on profits and losses, but on expectations, positioning, and disciplined execution. When approached with preparation and caution, quarterly result trading can become a powerful tool in a trader’s overall strategy—but without discipline, it can quickly turn into a high-risk gamble.
The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy - Big Moves Start in Silence!Hello Traders!
Most people believe swing trades work only when stocks are moving fast.
Strong candles, news headlines, social media hype and suddenly everyone feels confident.
But after spending years studying stock charts, I have learned something very different.
The best swing trades in stocks usually begin when nothing looks exciting.
When a stock becomes quiet, volume dries up and nobody is talking about it
that is often when serious preparation starts.
Retail bolega “ye stock toh bilkul boring hai” and moves on 😄
What a Calm Stock Phase Really Means
A calm phase appears when a stock starts moving in a tight range with smaller candles and limited volatility.
Price keeps respecting the same support and resistance levels again and again.
Volume slowly reduces but price structure remains stable which shows balance not weakness
For swing traders, this boredom is not a problem. It is actually a signal to start paying attention.
Why Smart Money Loves Silence
Big players cannot build positions when price is moving fast because it attracts attention.
They prefer calm stocks where accumulation can happen slowly without pushing price.
Low volatility allows them to prepare before the real move begins.
Silence does not mean nothing is happening. It often means something is being built quietly.
Why Retail Traders Miss These Moves
Most retail traders want action and fast movement.
Calm stocks feel uninteresting so they get ignored.
When the breakout finally happens, retail notices it late and enters emotionally.
Retail chases movement. Swing traders prepare before movement.
How I Personally Trade Calm Stock Swing Setups
I scan daily and weekly charts to find stocks moving in tight consolidation ranges.
I check whether price is repeatedly reacting from the same support and resistance zones.
I focus on stocks where volume is reducing but structure is still clean.
Instead of chasing breakouts, I plan entries near the range with limited risk.
This keeps my mind calm and decisions logical. No pressure and no hurry.
Real Chart Example: Hero MotoCorp
To make this concept practical, I have explained it using the Hero MotoCorp daily chart above.
If you look closely, the stock spent a long time moving inside a tight consolidation zone.
Price reacted multiple times near resistance and support while volume kept reducing.
During this phase, many traders ignored the stock because it looked slow and boring.
But this calm structure was actually preparation.
Once the stock finally broke out, it delivered a clean swing move with strong follow through and very limited pullbacks.
This is exactly how calm stocks reward patience.
Main yahi karta hoon, I study the silence first and let the move come to me.
The Breakout Is the Result Not the Start
Most traders believe the breakout candle is the opportunity.
In reality, the real edge comes from preparation during consolidation.
When volatility expands, the swing trader is already positioned.
Jab sab excited😄hote hain tab smart planning already ho chuki hoti hai.
Rahul’s Tip
If a stock feels too quiet, too slow or too boring, do not ignore it immediately.
Sometimes silence is the market’s way of preparing something big.
Patience during calm phases has helped me far more than chasing excitement.
Conclusion
The Calm Stocks Swing Strategy teaches you to think opposite to the crowd.
Instead of chasing noise, you learn to prepare during silence.
In stocks, the loudest moves often begin when nobody is paying attention.
If this post helped you see calm stocks differently,
like it, share your view in the comments and follow for more practical swing trading insights.
Gold Trading Strategy for 15th December 2025Gold Trading Plan – Intraday & Scalping
🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) – Intraday Trading Plan 💰
📈 BUY SETUP (Bullish Scenario)
🟢 Condition:
Buy above the HIGH of the 1‑Hour candle
Candle must CLOSE above 4326
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4338 💵
Target 2: 4349 💵
Target 3: 4360 💵
🛑 Stop Loss (Suggested):
Below the 1‑Hour breakout candle low or as per your risk management
📌 Logic:
Sustained closing above 4326 indicates bullish strength and continuation momentum in Gold.
📉 SELL SETUP (Bearish Scenario)
🔴 Condition:
Sell below the LOW of the 1‑Hour candle
Candle must CLOSE below 4272
🎯 Targets:
Target 1: 4259 💵
Target 2: 4245 💵
Target 3: 4233 💵
🛑 Stop Loss (Suggested):
Above the 1‑Hour breakdown candle high or as per your risk management
📌 Logic:
A strong close below 4272 confirms bearish pressure and downside continuation.
⚡ SCALPING STRATEGY (Intraday Only)
🔁 Scalping Zone:
Between 4326 and 4272
🟡 How to Trade:
This is a range / no‑trade zone for positional trades
Watch for price rejection at either level:
✅ Buy Scalping:
If price rejects near 4272 with bullish confirmation
Enter BUY after rejection
🛑 Stop Loss: Below the rejected candle low (5–10 points)
❌ Sell Scalping:
If price rejects near 4326 with bearish confirmation
Enter SELL after rejection
🛑 Stop Loss: Above the rejected candle high (5–10 points)
🎯 Scalping Targets:
5 to 10 points only 💵
📌 Note:
Trade only with clear rejection candles (wick + confirmation)
Avoid over‑trading inside the zone
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only.
📉📈 Trading in Gold / Forex / Commodities involves high risk.
💰 Markets are volatile and prices can move rapidly against your position.
❗ Always use proper risk management, stop loss, and trade with your own analysis.
🚫 I am not responsible for any profit or loss.
👉 Trade responsibly & protect your capital 💵
Nifty - Weekly review Dec 15 to Dec 19The price is consolidating and testing the psychological level of 26k. Both bulls and bears are trying to take hold of it.
Buy above 26040 with the stop loss of 25980 for the targets 26080, 26120, 26180, 26240, 26280 and 26340.
Sell below 25900 with the stop loss of 25950 for the targets 25860, 25820, 25760, 25700, 25660 and 25600.
As per the daily chart, the price has closed above the trend line, and it should sustain above it to move up further.
Always analyse before taking any trade.
Nifty - Expiry day analysis Dec 16The price is facing strong resistance at the 26040 - 26060 zone. Tomorrow, if the price opens gap up and shows bullish strength, then there will be movement towards 26200.
Buy above 26060 with the stoploss of 26000 for the targets 26100, 26160, 26200, 26240 and 26280.
Sell below 25950 with the stop loss of 26000 for the targets 25910, 25860, 25820 and 25780.
If the price had a gap-down opening at support and if it shows bullish strength, then it can move up.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on ...XAUUSD – Lana waits for reaction at resistance, focuses on zone-based trading
Quick Summary
Context: Early in the week with many high-impact news events. Gold opened strong and is now approaching a major resistance area.
Timeframe: H1
Strategy: No chasing price. Prefer waiting to buy at liquidity void (VL) zones and selling short-term pullbacks at higher resistance.
Expectation: Asian–European sessions may move sideways; stronger volatility is more likely during the US session.
Market Context
The year-end period is usually packed with economic data. This week, Nonfarm Payrolls, CPI, and Retail Sales are released close together, along with interest rate decisions from the UK, Europe, and Japan.
For gold, this environment often leads to sharp moves during the US session, while earlier sessions tend to consolidate or make shallow pullbacks as the market waits for news.
Technical View
After a strong rally at the start of the week, price is now trading around a key resistance zone. On H1, the price action at the Asian open has left a liquidity void (VL), which is Lana’s preferred area to wait for buy opportunities in line with the main trend.
On the upside, a descending trendline combined with Fibonacci extension levels is forming a strong resistance zone, suitable for a short-term corrective sell.
Trading Scenarios for Early Week
Main Scenario – Buy at the liquidity void (VL)
Buy: 4298 – 4302
SL: 4294
This is Lana’s preferred zone. If price returns to fill the liquidity void and the structure holds, there is a high probability of a bullish reaction in continuation of the broader trend.
Alternative Scenario – Short-term sell at higher resistance
Sell: 4367 – 4370
SL: 4376
This is considered a short-term corrective move when price reaches strong resistance. The sell is counter-trend, so strict risk management is required and positions should not be held for too long.
NIFTY : Trading levels and Plan for 15-Dec-2025📊 NIFTY – TRADING PLAN FOR 15 DEC 2025
Nifty closed near 26,037, just above a key support band (Opening Support: 25,979–26,015) and below a series of overhead resistances.
The session will heavily depend on how price reacts at:
Opening Support Zone: 25,979 – 26,015
Opening Resistance: 26,093
Last Intraday Resistance: 26,179
Major Upside Target: 26,266
Opening Support (Gap-down case): 25,873
Last Intraday Support: 25,771
Let’s break down every opening scenario.
🚀 1. GAP–UP OPENING (100+ points)
A gap-up above 26,130–26,150 shows strong bullish intent.
1. If Nifty opens above 26,093 but below 26,179
• Market opens directly inside resistance.
• Do NOT chase long immediately.
• Wait for either:
– Breakout above 26,179, followed by retest → Long toward 26,266.
– Rejection at 26,179, falling back under 26,093 → Short toward 26,015.
2. If Nifty opens above 26,179
• Strong bullish continuation.
• On a retest of 26,179, a long becomes high-probability.
• Targets: 26,220 → 26,266.
• Book partial profits in the final target zone.
3. If gap-up is between 26,015–26,093
• Price opens slightly above support and may retest the zone.
• If 26,015–25,979 holds → Long toward 26,093 → 26,179.
• If 26,015 breaks with momentum, move to caution; market becomes vulnerable to deeper pullbacks.
⚖ 2. FLAT OPENING (near 25,980–26,030)
A flat open near support allows clearer early structure.
1. If 25,979–26,015 holds as strong support
• Watch for bullish rejection candles or higher lows.
• Long setups valid toward 26,093 → 26,179.
2. Break above 26,093 with a retest
• Confirms directional strength.
• Target becomes 26,179 → 26,266.
3. If price rejects 26,093 early and falls back
• Sideways consolidation may form inside the orange zone.
• Only short when 25,979 breaks convincingly.
• Downside targets: 25,873 → 25,771.
📉 3. GAP–DOWN OPENING (100+ points)
Expected gap-down region: 25,930–25,850.
1. If opening is near 25,873 (Gap-down Support)
• Avoid shorting blindly; it’s a strong demand zone.
• Look for reversal patterns (wick rejections, CHoCH).
• If confirmed → Long toward 25,979 → 26,015.
2. If opening falls below 25,873
• Market enters weak territory.
• Next support is 25,771 (Last Intraday Support).
• A retest of 25,873 after breakdown → Short toward 25,771.
3. If 25,771 also breaks
• Trend turns bearish for the session.
• Expect extended downside movement; avoid bottom fishing.
• Trail SL aggressively if short.
🛡 RISK MANAGEMENT GUIDELINES FOR OPTIONS TRADERS
1. Avoid trading first 3–5 minutes, especially on gap days (IV distortion).
2. Keep SL based on spot levels, not premium fluctuation alone.
3. Prefer ATM/ITM options for directional trades — better risk control.
4. Do NOT average losing positions — cut losers quickly.
5. Avoid deep OTM options unless using them for hedging.
6. Book partial profits at intermediate levels to lock in gains.
7. If VIX rises sharply → favor option selling with hedges.
8. Maximum daily loss limit = 1–2% of capital. Stop trading once hit.
📌 SUMMARY & CONCLUSION
• Bullish bias only above 26,093, with confirmation above 26,179.
• Upside target zone: up to 26,266.
• Neutral/choppy zone: 25,979–26,093. Confirm structure before entering.
• Downside risk: Below 25,979, real weakness begins.
• Major supports for reversal: 25,873 and 25,771.
Stay patient, avoid emotional trades, and trade only on confirmation.
⚠ DISCLAIMER
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
This trading plan is for educational purposes only and should not be treated as investment advice.
Always conduct your own analysis and follow strict risk management.
Sensex - Weekly review Dec 15 - Dec 19Friday's movement was choppy, and the price is now testing the intermediate resistance at the 85300 zone. Next resistance is at the 85500 zone.
Buy above 85320 with the stop loss of 85180 for the targets 85460, 85580, 85740, 85900, 86060, 86220, 86400 and 86560.
Sell below 84960 with the stop loss of 85100 for the targets 84840, 84700, 84540, 84400, 84240, 84080 and 83900.
As per the daily chart, the price is testing the trend line, and it has to break and sustain above it.
Always do your analysis before taking any trade.
Natural gas updated levels, if 395&400 break then uptrend startParameter Data Data
Asset Name Natural Gas Futures (MCX)
Price Movement 🟨 Technical Bounce/Mild Bullish (₹381.2 / +1.25% Live)
Current Trade 🟥 SELL ON RISE (Focus on short-term technical resistance)
SMC Structure 🟥 Bearish Order Flow (कीमतें 20-DEMA से नीचे हैं)
Trap/Liquidity Zones 🟥 Supply/Trap Zone at ₹390 – ₹400 (Previous support turned resistance)
Probability 🟥 60% (for trend continuation down after the bounce)
Risk Reward 1 : 1.5
Confidence 🟥 Moderate-Low (मौसमी मांग में कमी के कारण)
Max Pain 🟨 ₹380-₹390 (Options chain data suggests concentration here)
DEMA Levels 🟥 Bearish (Price settled below 20-DEMA - ₹411.40)
Supports 🟥 S1: ₹372.70 (Day's Low/Immediate), 🟥 S2: ₹360 (Previous Swing Low), 🟥 S3: ₹342.20 (Key Structural Support)
Resistances 🟩 R1: ₹390 (Immediate/Psychological), 🟩 R2: ₹411.40 (20-DEMA/Major), 🟩 R3: ₹440 (High Volume Zone)
ADX/RSI/DMI 🟥 RSI Below 50 / MACD Bearish Crossover (Momentum Weak)
Market Depth 🟨 Neutral-Bearish (Initial bounce is being met with selling pressure)
Volatility 🟥 Very High (Recent weekly decline was largest in three years)
Source Ledger 🟩 Official MCX Live Feed, EIA Inventory Data & Choice India (Citing weather, inventory, and technical targets)
OI 🟨 Neutral (Overall OI is volatile/indecisive)
OI Change (Net) 🟨 Mixed/Neutral (Dec contract OI fell -9%, while Jan/Feb increased)
PCR 🟥 0.45 (22 Dec Expiry - Extreme Call Writing/Bearish Bias)
VWAP 🟥 Bearish (Price is attempting to move up, but struggling against daily average - FILLED_VWAP)
Turnover 🟩 High (High volume confirms strong trading activity/liquidation)
Harmonic Pattern 🟨 N/A (Focus on weather/inventory)
IV/RV 🟥 High IV (Implied Volatility is high due to uncertainty/risk)
Options Skew 🟥 Bearish Skew (Call premiums are high, reflecting strong downside fear/hedge)
Vanna/Charm 🟥 Negative Gamma (Volatility and whipsaws are expected)
Block Trades 🟥 Short-Side Dominance (Liquidation pressures continue)
COT Positioning 🟥 Long Liquidation (Speculative net long positions have reduced sharply)
Cross-Asset Correlation 🟨 Low to Neutral (Price is primarily weather-driven, not macro-driven)
ETF Rotation 🟥 Outflows (Capital moving out due to weak outlook)
Sentiment Index 🟥 30 (Fear)
OFI 🟥 Negative (Net selling flow dominates the rise)
VWAP Bands 🟥 Price Trading Below Lower Band (Confirmation of downtrend)
Rotation Metrics 🟥 Lagging (Underperforming the energy complex)
Market Phase 🟥 Contraction/Correction (Sustained fall after the peak)
Yield Curve Slope 🟩 Steepening (Overall pro-growth, but ignored by NatGas due to unique fundamentals)
DXY/USDINR Bias 🟨 Neutral (Weather is the main driver)
POC (Point of Control) 🟥 ₹400.00 (High volume node from the previous peak, now acting as resistance)
Key Retracement 🟥 ₹395 - ₹410 (50% Retracement of the recent sharp drop)
My BSE Intraday Short Trade Setup — 08 Dec 2025After a successful intraday win on 05 Dec 2025, where 30 points were captured in BSE, I have decided to post my intraday trade setups daily with full transparency and structure.
Staying consistent with the same rules and discipline, BTR Auto Buy/Sell Indicator has now identified another high-probability intraday SHORT setup in BSE on 08/12/2025.
🔍 Market Context
✔ Stock: BSE Ltd
✔ Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
✔ Volatility: Ideal for intraday trading
✔ Structure: Price reacted from Supply Zone & Point of Control
📊 Indicator Used
🚀 BTR Auto Buy/Sell Signal System
✔ Approx. 70% win rate
✔ Clear bearish signal generation
✔ Works best with structure & zones
🎯 Trade Plan (Short Setup)
🔴 Entry:
– Short entry triggered when BTR generated a Bearish signal
– Signal formed near Supply Zone, adding strong confirmation
🛑 Stop Loss:
– Day Swing High
🎯 Targets:
– 25 / 50 / 75 / 100 points
– Partial booking recommended to protect profits
📉 Trade Outcome
✔ Breakdown followed immediately after entry
✔ Price respected supply zones
✔ Smooth intraday bearish continuation
✔ Disciplined exit near intraday support
This trade once again highlights the power of signal + structure + patience.
🧠 Key Lesson
Intraday trading is not about trading every move —
it’s about waiting for high-probability setups and executing without emotion.
Same stock.
Same indicator.
Same rules.
Different day — same consistency.
📌 What’s Next?
From now on, I will be posting daily intraday trade setups — both BUY & SELL — using the BTR Auto Buy/Sell System.
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Trade smart. Stay disciplined. Let probability work. 📊🔥
AUD/CAD Bullish in Daily time frameTechnically : AUD/CAD is technically ready for bullish move. As the wave 1( impulse) followed by wave 2 (Correction), Wave 3 (impulse), followed by wave 4(Correction). Wave 5 Start will be determined by Fundamental connection.
Fundamental Data : CAD CPI will be published tomorrow. Based on the release of this Fundamental data, AUD/CAD bullish move will be determined.






















