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A-trend

EURUSD has more downside room amid pre-Fed USD strengthEURUSD dribbles around a monthly low after breaking the six-week-old horizontal support. That said, the downward sloping RSI (14) line, not oversold, joins bearish MACD signals to also hint at the major currency pair’s further downside. With this, the sellers brace for the yearly low surrounding 1.0350. However, the RSI line and nearness to the Fed may restrict the quote’s downside below the same, if not then the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of late March-May moves, around 1.0270, will gain the market’s attention. On the contrary, corrective pullback needs to sustain beyond the immediate support-turned-resistance, around 1.0460-70, to convince short-term EURUSD buyers. Following that, the 20-DMA level near 1.0650 will precede the monthly top of 1.0773 to challenge the pair’s further upside. It’s worth noting that May’s top near 1.0790 acts as a validation point for the quote’s run-up towards late April swing high near 1.0935. Overall, broad US dollar strength ahead of the Fed’s widely anticipated rate hike keeps EURUSD pressured towards refreshing the yearly low marked in May.
by MTradingGlobal
Gold teases bears inside rising wedge ahead of US CPIGold prices remain sustainably below 200-SMA since late April, pressured inside a three-week-old rising wedge of late. Given the steady RSI and sluggish MACD, the bearish bias is likely to prevail. However, a clear downside break of the stated wedge’s support, around $1,844, becomes necessary to confirm the downward trajectory towards the yearly low marked in May, near $1,786. It’s worth noting that $1,830 and $1,810 are likely intermediate halts before directing bears towards $1,786. On the contrary, an upside break of the 200-SMA, close to $1.,856, isn’t an open invitation to the gold buyers as a six-week-old descending resistance line and the upper line of the stated wedge, respectively around $1,865 and $1,875, could test the advances. In a case where the precious metal rallies beyond $1,875, May’s high of $1,910 and late April top surrounding $1,920 could lure the bulls. Overall, gold buyers appear to have run out of steam but the bears need validation from both $1,844 and US inflation data.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD bulls run out of steam ahead of ECBAlthough EURUSD battles a four-month-old resistance line, the lower high of prices contrasts with the higher high of the RSI (14) to portray a hidden bearish divergence and tease sellers ahead of the key European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. That said, the 21-DMA, around 1.0635 appears to be the immediate support to watch during the quote’s pullback ahead of welcoming the south-run. During the fall, the six-week-long horizontal area surrounding 1.0470-60 could act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the pair towards the yearly low marked in May around 1.0350. Meanwhile, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of February-May downside, near 1.0785, and March’s low near 1.0805 seem the validation points for the EURUSD pair’s further upside, even if it successfully crosses the aforementioned resistance line near 1.0740. Should the major currency pair stays firmer past 1.0805, late April swing high and the 100-DMA, close to 1.0940, will lure the pair bulls. Overall, EURUSD’s latest rebound portrays the hawkish expectations from the ECB, failing to comply with the same can quickly drag the quote towards the south.
by MTradingGlobal