07 Feb ’24 — BankNifty needs to go above 46800 for stance changeBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Unfortunately, BankNifty has not gotten a stance upgrade yet, we still are in neutral territory. Only if we get past 46800 - the stance can be revised. Our opening minutes were almost there ~ 46062 levels but we quickly lost ground. In total, we gave up 439pts ~ 0.95% from the highs - but this was not scary or unusual - it is just that a single 4mts candle at 11.31 stands out, it took out 109pts ~ 0.24%.
4mts chart
Till then BankNifty was looking quite okay with a gradually falling bias, that candle would have woken up the straddle sellers as their stop losses would have hit. If they kept the other leg open till the last minute, quite sure that would have given a scare too. Finally, we ended the day positively with a net gain of 127pts ~ 0.28%. The intraday day recovery of 317pts really helped BN gain back its lost ground to an extent.
63mts chart
Between the last expiry and today - we have just lost 0.12% ~ 53pts which is not significant at all. But what is more important is that the support of 45399 is defended properly. As we drew the IH&S yesterday - we need a close above 46800 for strong bullish momentum to pick up and most likely that should help us take out the 47465 resistance as well. Will it happen tomorrow? Not sure. Will it happen in the next expiry? We would like to place our bets.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with gains of 8204 rupees. The 11.31 stunt took away some gains, but we gained back the lost ground as further trades were not violent.
Algotrade
05 Feb ’24 — BankNifty's total day's move done in first 5mtsBankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
BankNifty was more flattish today even though the chart pattern shows a bearish tinge. We lost 145pts ~ 0.32% today, but if a trader got into a straddle position after the first candle - it would have ended quite perfectly today. This means that the net loss for the banknifty was decided in the opening 4 or 5 minutes and the remainder of the day was just spent fooling around.
4mts chart
If we extrapolate it from the previous day’s pattern it looks bearish. But if we extend it to the last few days - it's all neutral. As long as BN is between 45399 and 47465 - we are in for a perfect range-bound trade. The moment one of them gives away - we can see the pressure releasing and a strong trend developing. We need to note that Nifty was unable to break from a range-based trade in the last 47 days, as the count of the days goes up - the higher will be the breakout/breakdown momentum.
63mts chart
Most importantly BankNifty will have to be its torch bearer. Looking at the charts right now - BN is pretty unsure which way to swing. There were some bright RED candles in the last 3 week’s action and possibly things are facing south. Whereas Nifty is looking northbound. As long as this tug-of-war stays, none of them breaks free. The best option for the bears is to take out the support of 45399 via gap-down tomorrow and then hope the shorts will mount. We wish to maintain our neutral stance till something materializes.
Algo Trading
Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs5500