The Psychology of Money--The Psychology of Money --
1. Real wealth is the money that you don't see
2. Focus on lowering risk, not maximizing reward
3. Focus only on factors you can control
4. Compound interest x Time = wealth
5. Money doesn't get peoples' respect
6. Only take risks you can recover from
7. Never ever happened won't happen
8. Focus on your systems, not outcomes
9. Plan for when the plan goes sideways
10. Money only solves money problems
11. Your goals will not be the same forever
12. Don't take permanent decisions lightly
13. Money is just a tool, not the goal
14. Learn to say when you have "enough"
15. Talk is cheap, you are your actions
16. Decisions are never perfectly rational
17. Don't fear change. It will happen inevitably
18. Some lessons must be experienced to be understood
19. Desperate people believe whatever sounds like salvation
20. The best thing that money can buy is your freedom.
Analysis
The Five Pillars Of Wealth #FutureTopic = The Five Pillars Of Wealth
The BIGGEST reason you don’t reach your goals is…
Not what you think.
It’s not just laziness…
Not the obstacles that life throws your way…
It’s your lack of CONVICTION.
You see,
When you’re chasing a goal, but the path to achieve it is uncertain…
You fear that you might be wasting your effort. So what do you do?
👉 You stop taking action.
You stop working so hard.
You start to procrastinate.
Our lack of CONVICTION is the very root of our laziness!
But,
What if you KNEW it would work out eventually? Wouldn’t you be rushing to get to work now?
That’s why belief must come first. Even when the odds aren’t in your favor.
Sure, not everything you believe is possible, is actually possible. But…
Everything you believe isn’t possible, will never be possible.
Belief. Must. Come. First.
PCR (PUT CALL RATIO) With Professionals The Put Call Ratio (PCR) is a tool in the stock market to understand how investors feel about a stock or the market's future. It compares the number of put options to call options traded. More puts traded mean investors expect prices to fall (bearish). More calls traded mean investors expect prices to rise (bullish).
PCR is also considered as a contrarian indicator which helps traders not to get caught in the herd mood of the market. Based on the extreme PCR ratio, the trader might take a call to buy or sell against the prevailing mood of the market
Option Trading with Professionals Options are financial contracts that give the holder the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell a financial instrument (like stocks, funds, commodities, or indexes) at a specific price within a certain time frame.
There are two main types of options:
Call options: Give the right to buy the underlying asset.
Put options: Give the right to sell the underlying asset.
Options derive their value from an underlying asset, and a stock option contract typically represents 100 shares of the underlying stock.
Key Features of Options:
Strike Price: The price at which an option can be exercised.
Expiration Date: The date at which an option expires and becomes worthless.
Option Premium: The price at which an option is purchased.
Balaji Amines formed big positive candle after Q4 ResultsWithing 15 mins, the stock formed a significant candle of 12%
Increased volatility around stock earnings is a common phenomenon in financial markets.
As companies release their quarterly or annual earnings reports, big investors eagerly anticipate the results, which can lead to heightened trading activity.
Positive earnings surprises may cause a surge in buying activity, driving up stock prices, while negative surprises can trigger selling pressure, leading to price declines.
Consequently, during earnings seasons, markets can experience sharp movements in stock prices therefore short term trading becomes Risky around imp events.
Cup & Handle BreakoutCup and Handle pattern on weekly chart has formed and Breakout with high volume has occurred above the neckline. This stock has the potential to double in no time.
The Jan to Dec of Technical Analysis - 1 strategy per month1. January - The Value at Play
Before we start discussing the different technical chart patterns, we need to have some clarity on how buying and selling happens on stocks and options. Every trade has a buyer or seller. That means at a specific point in time, for a specific price there are 2 conflicting thoughts
Someone who thinks the price is too cheap
Someone who thinks the price is damn expensive
The guy who thinks the stock/option is cheap is ready to buy and the guy who thinks it is expensive and it is a good time to sell.
Just think, how is it that two people can have conflicting mindsets about the same instrument at the same time? I am 100% sure that both of them cannot be right, one of them is making a wrong decision. Over time - 5 minutes, 50 minutes, 5 hours, 50 hours, 5 days, 50 days, or 500 days - whatever the period be, that particular instrument will tick away from the quoted price - either move up or move down.
This leads to the important question - what is the fair value? If you have an internal price gauging mechanism - you can quickly calculate if the price quoted is below or above the fair value. Wow, that looks exciting - can you give me the shortcut to calculate the fair price?
Unfortunately, there is no holy grail that does it for you, over time you need to develop that tool or spreadsheet. Have you heard the saying, “Veterans are good stock pickers” - It is mainly because of their experience in the markets. They have developed the intuition to guess the fair value when they see the ticker tape without relying on a spreadsheet or calculator.
The first rule is “Never buy anything at a premium and never sell anything at a discount”. This rule does not guarantee that you will not lose money - but it is a filter that weeds out poor decision-making. The question arises - how do I calculate the fair price of a stock or options strike?
A good place to start would be to start reading “The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit (Little Books. Big Profits) by Aswath Damodaran” - you can even finish the book in 2 straight hours. It gives some insights into valuation techniques.
Most valuation methods available in the markets are part of “Fundamental Analysis”, you might ask me - “What does that have to do with Technical Analysis?”. My answer is everything. Technical Analysis is the process of guessing the future price by looking at the historical data. But what the stock/option has to do with the price today is mostly due to fundamental reasons. A mix of fundamental + technical study is much better than pure fundamental or pure technical analysis.
These days lot of people have turned to options trading as a side gig to make some extra money. Someone would have told them, that it is easy to make money in options trading. The biggest mistake they make would be to short-sell a strike too cheap and buy a strike too pricey. Option premiums do not move in a linear pattern and are totally different from the valuation techniques used to gauge the underlying. If you are able to calculate the fair value of a particular strike with some level of accuracy - then you can avoid selling it cheap and buying it pricey. More often than not, not taking a trade would be the best trade there is. If something is way above your price level, choose not to buy. If way below, choose not to sell. Have faith that a better opportunity will come and gather the courage to skip the trade.
There are 2 option types - CALLS and PUTS. The option strikes above the current trading price are called CALLS and the strikes below the price are called PUTS. The premiums of these far-away strikes are not that easy to calculate or guess, mainly because the prices are derived by a few factors like price movements, time, level of uncertainty & the interest rates in the markets.
This makes options trading like a double-edged sword. You get it right - it will reward you more than you can imagine. You get it wrong - it will take away what you have and more. I think hard guessing the fair value of a particular strike of a stock or index is 10 times more complicated than assessing the intrinsic value of that index/stock. This means if you took 15mts to find out the fair value of say “PQR” stock, you might take 150+ minutes to assess the price of a strike say 2600 CE when PQR is trading at 2500. The challenge here is that, once you calculate the fair price - the goal post would have shifted. A change in time will affect the strike prices as “time” is a variable that contributes to its value - so it is a moving target.
Now tell me, what would you call someone when they say “Options trading is easy”, “You can make 100000 in 1 month with just Rs1000 capital”, “100% guaranteed success in options trading…” etc.
The next thing to know is the difference between trading and investing. Both are tools intended to make money but the main difference is the “time” component. Investing is usually done with no particular “time” value in mind whereas trading is done for a specific “time period”. That is why you hear people say, I have bought “XYZ” stock for the long term - Even if it appreciates in price say 10% in 10 days, the investor may not sell it. Partly because they do not want to miss out on further gains after selling.
On the other hand, trading is done with a specific time frame in mind. The trader is only worried about the prices during that window. What happens after that is none of this botheration. The fear of missing out seldom affects the trader because they know their next opportunity will come if they keep looking.
Time has more relevance & weightage than you can possibly imagine. In fact, price is relative to time and it is not the other way around. You can physically measure this concept in options trading wherein strikes go to zero value on the expiry date. The major index options have weekly expiry and the stock options have monthly expiry. So a particular strike will go from “X” value to “0” value in a week. Also important to note that during this lifecycle the strike could swing between X to 4X to 100X to 0.5X to 0.2X and end at 0 after the expiry. The prices of a strike are much more volatile than their underlying - this is the main reason options trading is a double-edged sword.
Generally, people do not respect time. Most of them respect money more than time. The decisions they make are usually to save money even if it means to waste time. If you are into stock markets - that should change. Even though your purpose is to make money - you should give the due credit to the “time factor”. Let me explain with an example. A trader buys 100 qty of ABC at 1500 intending to sell it at 1600 once the results are out. If on the results day the prices drop to 1400 - that trader will say “Let me not book the loss, I will hold it for some more time for the prices to recover”. In this particular instance, the trader is not ready to book the loss but hoping that his money will recover. Most long-term investors are traders who forget to close their trades.
A trader has to have a 180-degree opposite mindset of an investor because we are playing with limited resources. If your money is blocked on a particular trade for a period longer than your calculation - then it is 100% true that you will not be able to take another trade when there is an opportunity. No trader in the world has unlimited resources and unlimited leverage but all of them have got the exact same amount of time per day. If you know how to manage the time - the money will find a way.
This comes to the final segment of this chapter - “Value at Play”. It means the amount of money adjusted for the time factor to the reward it brings in. You might be familiar with the word “Value at Risk” (VaR). Value at Play is something similar but not measured in the same way.
.... to be continued...
Trading Gyan 👑👑🤑💸💸💸💸💸
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Option Trading By Professional's🤑💲💸✔✔👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Technical analysis or Option Analysis👑💸💸💸💸💸💸💸💸👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
How to Trade in Market🙏👑🤑👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
HOW-TO apply an indicator that is only available upon request?Recently, I've realized that my typical day involves constant encounters with indicators. For example, when the alarm clock rings, it's an indicator that it's morning and time to get up. I am checking the phone and once again paying attention to the indicators: battery charge and network signal level. I figure out in just one second that such a complex element of the phone as the battery is 100% charged and the signal from the cell towers is good enough.
Then I’m going out on a busy street, and it's only because of the traffic light indicator that I can safely cross the road to reach the parking lot. Looking at the on-board computer of my car, with its many indicators, I know that all the components of this complicated mechanism are working properly, and I can start driving.
Now, imagine what would happen if none of this existed. I would have to act blindly, relying on luck: hoping that I would wake up on time, that the phone would work today, that car drivers would let me cross the road, and that my own car would not suddenly stop because it ran out of gas.
We can say that indicators help to explain complex processes or phenomena in simple and understandable language. I think they will always be in demand in today's complex world, where we deal with a huge flow of information that cannot be perceived without simplifications.
If we talk about the financial market, it's all about constant data, data, data. Add in the element of randomness and everything becomes totally messed up.
To create indicators that simplify the analysis of financial information, the TradingView platform uses its own programming language — Pine Script . With this language, you can describe not only unique indicators, but also strategies — meaning algorithms for opening and closing positions.
All these tools are grouped together under the term "script" . Just like a trade or educational idea, a script can also be published. After this, it will be available to other users. The published script can be:
1. Visible in the list of community scripts with unrestricted access. Simply find the script by its name and add it to the chart.
2. Visible in the list of community scripts, but access is by invitation only. You'll need to find the script by its name and request access from its author.
3. Not visible in the list of community scripts, but accessible via a link. To add such a script to a chart, you need to have the link.
4. Not visible in the list of community scripts; access is by invitation only. You'll need both a link to the script and permission for access obtained from its author.
If you have added to your favorites a script that requires permission from the author, you'll only be able to start using the indicators after the author includes you in the script's user list. Without this, you will get an error message every time you add an indicator to the chart. In this case, contact the author to learn how to gain access. Instructions on how to contact the author are located after the script's description and highlighted within a frame. There you will also find the 'Add to favorite indicators' button.
The access can be valid until a certain date or indefinitely. If the author has granted access, you will be able to add the script to the chart.
Professional Trading 👑💸🙏🤑💲👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Option Trading By Professional's🤑💲💸✔✔👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Important Video For All Traders 👑🤑👑💸💸💸💸👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
DATA TRADING WITH SIMPLE LANGUAGE 👑💸👑Royal Trend👑
what is data trading ?
DATA-Trading is like a GPS system while you navigate the treacherous Ups and Downs of the markets. DATA is your guide to gain knowledge and make better decisions in the markets.
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Clear All Technical Concept For Option👑👑Royal Trend👑
what is data trading ?
DATA-Trading is like a GPS system while you navigate the treacherous Ups and Downs of the markets. DATA is your guide to gain knowledge and make better decisions in the markets.
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
DATA TRADING PART 2 BY PROFESSION'S 👑👑Royal Trend👑
what is data trading ?
DATA-Trading is like a GPS system while you navigate the treacherous Ups and Downs of the markets. DATA is your guide to gain knowledge and make better decisions in the markets.
Topic Trading Things
Topic - Option Trade and Trading 💸💸💸💸👑🤑
#If u Buy stock without stop loss that mean U are weak in Physiology
#Train Your self To take small trade with Stop-loss
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Indian and US G Sec Yields and impact on USDINR and EquitiesBond Yields in India are anchored at 7% whereas in US the curve is inverted and interest rates are going to be 'higher for longer'.
Inspite of this Rupee is not getting hammerred, due to huge forex reserves and even the Indian stock market is fairly resilient, thanks to deluge of local money.
So going forward, a long term investor is likely to benefit if he/ she keeps buying the dip and just stay invested.
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account👑🤑💸By Big Bulls💸👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
How to make Big Profit💸 With Small Account
In this video we try to Identify Trend and Entry By Big Bull👑🤑🤑💸💸
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Types of Professional Traders🤑💸💸💸🤑👑Royal Trend👑
Topic Trading Things
In this video we try to understand Types of Professional Traders🤑💸💸💸🤑
How market really work with number's
How important is option chain analysis?
The option chain analysis data provides a very comprehensive view for all the available options for any particular underlying asset. This helps in understanding and selecting the correct option for trading or investment purpose.
Difference between technical analysis and option trading
Technical analysis and options trading can go hand in hand. Many of the best practices for options trading come directly from technical analysis concepts. Technical analysis focuses on price. Fundamental analysis does not solely focus on price.
why we learn option chain?
Option chain is a chart that will give in-depth information related to all stock contracts available for Nifty stocks. The best thing about the option chain is that it provides valuable information about the current security value and how it will affect it in the long term.
What is the purpose of option chain?
It can be used in creating an option strategy at several strike prices. It can be used to analyse and draw noteworthy insights about the stock and its probable movements. It helps the traders in evaluating the liquidity and the depth of the option contract.
Technical trader
Technical trading is a broader style that is not necessarily limited to trading. Generally, a technician uses historical patterns of trading data to predict what might happen to stocks in the future. This is the same method practiced by economists and meteorologists: looking to the past for insight into the future.
NOTE
#We Are Not Promote Anything
#This channel Purpose to share market ideas.
Thanks for Watching🙏
Price/Earnings: amazing interpretation #2In my previous post , we started to analyze the most popular financial ratio in the world – Price / Earnings or P/E (particularly one of the options for interpreting it). I said that P/E can be defined as the amount of money that must be paid once in order to receive 1 monetary unit of diluted net income per year. For American companies, it will be in US dollars, for Indian companies it will be in rupees, etc.
In this post, I would like to analyze another interpretation of this financial ratio, which will allow you to look at P/E differently. To do this, let's look at the formula for calculating P/E again:
P/E = Capitalization / Diluted earnings
Now let's add some refinements to the formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year (*)
(*) In my case, by year I mean the last 12 months.
Next, let's see what the Current capitalization and Diluted earnings for the last year are expressed in, for example, in an American company:
- Current capitalization is in $;
- Diluted earnings for the last year are in $/year.
As a result, we can write the following formula:
P/E = Current capitalization / Diluted earnings for the last year = $ / $ / year = N years (*)
(*) According to the basic rules of math, $ will be reduced by $, and we will be left with only the number of years.
It's very unusual, isn't it? It turns out that P/E can also be the number of years!
Yes, indeed, we can say that P/E is the number of years that a shareholder (investor) will need to wait in order to recoup their investments at the current price from the earnings flow, provided that the level of profit does not change .
Of course, the condition of an unchangeable level of profit is very unrealistic. It is rare to find a company that shows the same profit from year to year. Nevertheless, we have nothing more real than the current capitalization of the company and its latest profit. Everything else is just predictions and probable estimates.
It is also important to understand that during the purchase of shares, the investor fixates one of the P/E components - the price (P). Therefore, they only need to keep an eye on the earnings (E) and calculate their own P/E without paying attention to the current capitalization.
If the level of earnings increases since the purchase of shares, the investor's personal P/E will decrease, and, consequently, the number of years to wait for recoupment.
Another thing is when the earnings level, on the contrary, decreases – then an investor will face an increase in their P/E level and, consequently, an increase in the payback period of their own investments. In this case, of course, you have to think about the prospects of such an investment.
You can also argue that not all 100% of earnings are spent paying dividends, and therefore you can’t use the level of earnings to calculate the payback period of an investment. Yes, indeed: it is rare for a company to give all of its earnings to dividends. However, the lack of a proper dividend level is not a reason to change anything in the formula or this interpretation at all, because retained earnings are the main fundamental driver of a company's capitalization growth. And whatever the investor misses out on in terms of dividends, they can get it in the form of an increase in the value of the shares they bought.
Now, let's discuss how to interpret the obtained P/E value. Intuitively, the lower it is, the better. For example, if an investor bought shares at P/E = 100, it means that they will have to wait 100 years for their investment to pay off. That seems like a risky investment, doesn't it? Of course, one can hope for future earnings growth and, consequently, for a decrease in their personal P/E value. But what if it doesn’t happen?
Let me give you an example. For instance, you have bought a country house, and so now you have to get to work via country roads. You have an inexpensive off-road vehicle to do this task. It does its job well and takes you to work via a road that has nothing but potholes. Thus, you get the necessary positive effect this inexpensive thing provides. However, later you learn that they will build a high-speed highway in place of the rural road. And that is exactly what you have dreamed of! After hearing the news, you buy a Ferrari. Now, you will be able to get to work in 5 minutes instead of 30 minutes (and in such a nice car!) However, you have to leave your new sports car in the yard to wait until the road is built. A month later, the news came out that, due to the structure of the road, the highway would be built in a completely different location. A year later your off-road vehicle breaks down. Oh well, now you have to get into your Ferrari and swerve around the potholes. It is not hard to guess what is going to happen to your expensive car after a while. This way, your high expectations for the future road project turned out to be a disaster for your investment in the expensive car.
It works the same way with stock investments. If you only consider the company's future earnings forecast, you run the risk of being left alone with just the forecast instead of the earnings. Thus, P/E can serve as a measure of your risk. The higher the P/E value at the time you buy a stock, the more risk you take. But what is the acceptable level of P/E ?
Oddly enough, I think the answer to this question depends on your age. When you are just beginning your journey, life gives you an absolutely priceless resource, known as time. You can try, take risks, make mistakes, and then try again. That's what children do as they explore the world around them. Or when young people try out different jobs to find exactly what they like. You can use your time in the stock market in the same manner - by looking at companies with a P/E that suits your age.
The younger you are, the higher P/E level you can afford when selecting companies. Conversely, in my opinion, the older you are, the lower P/E level you can afford. To put it simply, you just don’t have as much time to wait for a return on your investment.
So, my point is, the stock market perception of a 20-year-old investor should differ from the perception of a 50-year-old investor. If the former can afford to invest with a high payback period, it may be too risky for the latter.
Now let's try to translate this reasoning into a specific algorithm.
First, let's see how many companies we are able to find in different P/E ranges. As an example, let's take the companies that are traded on the NYSE (April 2023).
As you can see from the table, the larger the P/E range, the more companies we can consider. The investor's task comes down to figuring out what P/E range is relevant to them in their current age. To do this, we need data on life expectancy in different countries. As an example, let's take the World Bank Group's 2020 data for several countries: Japan, India, China, Russia, Germany, Spain, the United States, and Brazil.
To understand which range of P/E values to choose, you need to subtract your current age from your life expectancy:
Life Expectancy - Your Current Age
I recommend focusing on the country where you expect to live most of your life.
Thus, for a 25-year-old male from the United States, the difference would be:
74,50 - 25 = 49,50
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 50.
For a 60-year-old woman from Japan, the difference would be:
87,74 - 60 = 27,74
Which corresponds with a P/E range of 0 to 30.
For a 70-year-old man from Russia, the difference would be:
66,49 - 70 = -3,51
In the case of a negative difference, the P/E range of 0 to 10 should be used.
It doesn’t matter which country's stocks you invest in if you expect to live most of your life in Japan, Russia, or the United States. P/E indicates time, and time flows the same for any company and for you.
So, this algorithm will allow you to easily calculate your acceptable range of P/E values. However, I want to caution you against making investment decisions based on this ratio alone. A low P/E value does not guarantee that you are free of risks . For example, sometimes the P/E level can drop significantly due to a decline in P (capitalization) because of extraordinary events, whose impact can only be seen in a future income statement (where we would learn the actual value of E - earnings).
Nevertheless, the P/E value is a good indicator of the payback period of your investment, which answers the question: when should you consider buying a company's stock ? When the P/E value is in an acceptable range of values for you. But the P/E level doesn’t tell you what company to consider and what price to take. I will tell you about this in the next posts. See you soon!
Price / Earnings: Interpretation #1In one of my first posts , I talked about the main idea of my investment strategy: buy great “things” during the sales season . This rule can be applied to any object of the material world: real estate, cars, clothes, food and, of course, shares of public companies.
However, a seemingly simple idea requires the ability to understand both the quality of “things” and their value. Suppose we have solved the issue with quality (*).
(*) A very bold assumption, I realize that. However, the following posts will cover this topic in more detail. Be a little patient.
So, we know the signs of a high-quality thing and are able to define it skilfully enough. But what about its cost?
"Easy-peasy!" you will say, "For example, I know that the Mercedes-Benz plant produces high-quality cars, so I should just find out the prices for a certain model in different car dealerships and choose the cheapest one."
"Great plan!" I will say. But what about shares of public companies? Even if you find a fundamentally strong company, how do you know if it is expensive or cheap?
Let's imagine that the company is also a machine. A machine that makes profit. It needs to be fed with resources, things are happening in there, some cogs are turning, and as a result we get earnings. This is its main goal and purpose.
Each machine has its own name, such as Apple or McDonald's. It has its own resources and mechanisms, but it produces one product – earnings.
Now let’s suppose that the capitalization of the company is the value of such a machine. Let's see how much Apple and McDonald's cost today:
Apple - $2.538 trillion
McDonald's - $202.552 billion
We see that Apple is more than 10 times more expensive than McDonald's. But is it really so from an investor's point of view?
The paradox is that we can't say for sure that Apple is 10 times more expensive than McDonald's until we divide each company's value by its earnings. Why exactly? Let's count and it will become clear:
Apple's diluted net income - $99.803 a year
McDonald's diluted net income - $6.177 billion a year
Now read this phrase slowly, and if necessary, several times: “The value is what we pay now. Earnings are what we get all the time” .
To understand how many dollars we need to pay now for the production of 1 dollar of profit a year, we need to divide the value of the company (its capitalization) by its annual profit. We get:
Apple - $25.43
McDonald’s - $32.79
It turns out that in order to get $1 profit a year, for Apple we need to pay $25.43, and for McDonald's - $32.79. Wow!
Currently, I believe that Apple appears cheaper than McDonald's.
To remember this information better, imagine two machines that produce one-dollar bills at the same rate (once a year). In the case of an Apple machine, you pay $25.43 to issue this bill, and in the case of a McDonald’s machine, you pay $32.70. Which one will you choose?
So, if we remove the $ symbol from these numbers, we get the world's most famous financial ratio Price/Earnings or P/E . It shows how much we, as investors, need to pay for the production of 1 unit of annual profit. And pay only once.
There are two formulas for calculating this financial ratio:
1. P/E = Price of 1 share / Diluted EPS
2. P/E = Capitalization / Diluted Net Income
Whatever formula you use, the result will be the same. By the way, I mainly use the Diluted Net Income instead of the regular one in my calculations. So do not be confused if you see a formula with a Net Income – you can calculate it this way as well.
So, in the current publication, I have analyzed one of the interpretations of this financial ratio. But, in fact, there is another interpretation that I really like. It will help you realize which P/E level to choose for yourself. But more on that in the next post. See you!