TIME CYCLE AND FIBONACCI SPIRAL" GOD MUST BE A MATHEMATICIAN " If we look at the construction of universe and movements of the planets & other celestial objects movements, flowering & fruiting cycles in trees etc. everything has a pattern and they are cyclical in nature. That very same assumption is applied and works well in stock market, commodities and forex as well.
Identifying the time zones of a stocks is a pure trial and error method where one needs to find the high and low making cycle of a particular stock manually. Here NLC INDIA LTD has been taken as an example and a Price and Time analysis has been done on monthly chart using Time Zones & Fibonacci Spiral for future support and hypothetical path identification.
The lows of the trend labelled as W, X,Y in rectangular spots. Point "X" has been formed 79 Months after the point "W". But magically Point "Y" has been formed after 79 months after Point "X"
The highs of the trend are labelled as A & B in circular spot. Point "B" has been formed 79 Months after Point "A". Looking at the cycle of 79 Months in the Lows and Highs Formation we can make an assumption that the next high ( Point "C" ) would be after 79 Months from Point "B" ie. Dec 2023.
Fibonacci Spiral is a natural pattern that can be seen everywhere in nature including flowers, pinecones, hurricanes and even huge spiral galaxies in space. This is rarely used but useful pattern in charts for finding expected supports and resistance. In this chart we can see that after the formation of low at Point "Y", with the help of Fibonacci Spiral we have a continuous expected support. Till now after 2.5 Years the monthly closing of a single candle has never been below the Fibonacci Spiral(try to adjust the X axis of the chart incase you don't see a perfect fit) .So the fact if Fibonacci Spiral used wisely can be a useful pattern for finding support and resistance levels cannot be denied.
Currently NLC INDIA LTD is at resistance of the trendline drawn from the previous 2 highs ie. Point "A" & "B". Hopefully it will breakout because stock increases at a increasing near its high, which hasn't happened yet with this stock. Till now NLC_INDIA is far away from its expected high according to the time cycle and Trend based fibonacci retracement level. The gann level of 1.33 is at 136.55 by Trend based fibonacci retracement and the expected time is Dec 2023 time cycle. Thus this is how a hypothetical conclusion can be drawn that NLC INDIA LTD will attain a price level of 136.55 by DEC 2023.
Recently a study was done on NIFTY, predicting perfectly the low making day and the target date for NIFTY proving that time cycles works very well with indices and stocks.Link has been given below.
STUDY & ANALYSIS
ADARSH KUMAR DEY
Arcs, Circles And Spirals
A Modest Compounder -Ganesh Benzoplast LtdGANESH BENZOPLAST 1D BSE Present situation...
1.Symmetrical triangle
2. Last uptrend rejected by the Kumo Red resistance cloud and heading downwards
3.Last stupport was taken on the weekly pivot level
4.Impending triangle breakout, marked by nearing apex and lower volumes inside the triangle...
Symmetrical triangle breakout..
Bearish breakout is likely die to the following reasons..
1.The red kumo daily cloud has rejected and has formed a persistent red cloud over the price which is likely to get rejected again if approached
2. 2 different ABCD formation is likely with the lower C point yet to be confirmed before the CD leg, the C point is expected to form below the triangle
3. The weekly pivot marked in red horizontal line is below the triangle
4. the weekly ichimoku kumo green support cloud is way below the triangle..
5. the price failure theory of the pitchfork median line
So we have an intratriangle resistance, and all the supports below the triangle ..
So a breakdown is likely...
The breakdown is to take support from either the weekly kumo cloud out or inner margin or the weekly pivot point
The next uptrend is probably because..
1. the price magnet theory to the pink median like of the schiff pitchfork
2.support and bounce from the weekly kumo cloud
3.ABCD formation
4. Bounce from Pivot to resistance(weekly)
The upward initial limit of the bounce is assessed with the fibonacci levels of the ABCD and a little higher than that is the weekly R1 resistance ...
LAstly, the fibo arcs beautifully confirms the projected sequence of events taking place at the breach of each arc, as has been the case previous when the price was inside the triangle...
Disclaimer... No current investment, interested and tracking fundamentals.. this is not an investing/trading recommendation..
this is not a time dependent analysis
The scale is being shifted on publishing the idea and the arcs are getting messed up, so here is a screen shot of the arcs to the original scale i was working with...