Ashok LeylandHello & welcome to this analysis
Stock is in a strong uptrend which has now come close to its weekly upper channel with a bearish harmonic deep crab pattern in the daily time frame.
Strong support between 180-150 while resistance at 210
It would be a buy the dip stock or fresh additions above the weekly channel
Happy Investing
Autostocks
MARUTI Hello and welcome to this analysis
Maruti has been a rank outperformer now for 2 decades. Stock has currently reacted to a resistance suggesting probability of some more pullback.
Overall stock has tremendous potential for further upside over medium to long term. Investors could look at an opportunity to add via SIP in the broader range 9500-11000 while traders can look for swing trading opportunities with resistance near 10400-500 and support at 9800-9600.
Happy Investing
Auto indexThe auto index is showing exhaustion, which means the auto stock may take a pause here. so if you have auto space stocks in your portfolio keep a watch on them and do a re-analysis of the stocks. closing below the horizontal line may reverse the trend of the index.
Disclaimer - I am not a SEBI-registered technical analyst and advisor so contact your financial advisor and make a self-decision. I will not be responsible for any profit and loss
CNX AUTO chart studyCNX AUTO index cmp 13650
Daily time frame
Elliot wave study.
Index is trading in (V) of wave 5 of motive phase.
as per mega phone structure, resistance confluence around the maturity area of wave 5.
AS per RSI and MACD index is over bought and any time this move can come to pause.
Bulls should be cautious going further in auto stocks. once wave 5 matures and we get a reversal confirmation of daily and weekly basis. corrective phase might unfold and sharp retracement can be seen in auto stocks.
Keep watch, index is trading at cautious levels.
MARUTI Set to Outperform Nifty 50Attached: MARUTI/ NIFTY 50 Daily Chart as of 5th May 2023
This Ratio Chart has just given a Fresh Breakout Buy Signal implying that for the coming days/ few weeks NSE:MARUTI is all ready to Outperform and take Leadership for Nifty 50
Buy Strength and Sell Weakness
Hence, expect Buying Action in MARUTI Stock from here on is what the Charts say!
MARUTI: Ascending TriangleThis is also a converging triangle formed with one flat horizontal line on the top & an inclined line meeting at a common point as illustrated in the chart.
The flat horizontal line act as a resistance for the prices & the on the inclined line the prices take support. It’s not necessary that the ascending triangle formation takes place only in the bull market, they can be formed in a bearish trend also.
Here also you should concern with the key point “The Third Touch”. The five significant points help us to make our decision in a better way. Here, each points suggesting a reversal point & as soon as price got it’s third touch on the inclined supporting line the price shoot up & a breakout happened.
The target for this pattern is the maximum vertical range of the triangle.
Trading strategy:MARUTI: BUY 9285-75 SL: 9050 TGT: 9545/9850
Why Stock Has Higher Book Value Than CMP ?What is Book Value ?
Book value per share (BVPS) is the ratio of equity available to common shareholders divided by the number of outstanding shares. This figure represents the minimum value of a company's equity and measures the book value of a firm on a per-share basis.
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Here I am explaining you one of the reason why Book value per share exceed the CMP, the reason is related to , company's portfolio current valuation.
It is been very common that one company buys shares of other company , the dividend income is reported as other income, and the current valuation of these stocks is added to company's Book value.
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For example Let us study this share name : Maharashtra Scooter
A well known brand of Geared scooter in early days. I think every body has a childhood memory attached to it's scooter . Now from a well known established scooter manufacturer to a holding company the journey is very different from usual.
Some interesting fact about Maharashtra scooter , that I found reading it's fundamental
Market Cap : 4,204 Cr ( opp .. That is not so great finding ✏️✏️✏️)
Book Value of Company : 22702 Cr (That is interesting)
Story is not over yet , wait
👇🏻👇🏻
Maharashtra scooter is holding 🫴🏻🫴🏻🫴🏻
💵💸💸💵💸💸💵💸
1) Bajaj Finance Ltd
Number of shares : 18974660
Holding Percentage : 3.13 %
CMP : 5519
Current Value : 10472.11 Cr .
🅱️🅱️🅱️🅱️🅱️🅱️🅱️🅱️
2) Bajaj Holding & Investment Ltd.
Number of shares : 3387036
Holding Percentage : 3.04%
CMP : 4640
Current Value :1571.58
🛵🛵🛵🛵🛵🛵🛵🛵
3) Bajaj Auto Ltd .
Number of shares : 6964277
Holding Percentage : 2.41%
CMP : 3607
Current Value :2512.01Cr
These three stocks announced dividends recently where ex date was 30 June , Dividend of 20 , 25 , 140 per share Respectively.
If I multiply and calculate the dividend earning of Maharashtra scooter that it stands at 143.92 Cr .
When I checked it's shareholding than I found more interesting things
1) All these companies are Bajaj Group Companies where Chairman is Mr. Sanjeev Bajaj .
2) Bajaj Holding has 51% stake in Maharashtra scooter and Maharashtra scooter has 3.04% stake in Bajaj Holding.
3) Company's ( FY 21-22)
Sales : 17Cr while
Expense : -20 Cr
But,
EBITA : +174CR (because of the dividend income got the point ? Comment Below )
If I add current portfolio value of these three stocks only (According to CMP) it it around 9605 Cr.
That is Why the book value of this stock is exceeding its cmp.
Escorts Break Down !! #AutoStock📈 Escorts Ltd. 📉
This Stock broke Down from a Down Trending Chanel after testing three times. It was in consolidation inside Channel since last four months and today that ended on Short side So I am biased on sell side as todays candle closed is strong red.
On Sell Side I am looking for Targets of 1595 and 1434.
StopLoss should be kept at 1860.
It offers 1 : 1.5 Risk Reward.
All Important Supports and Resistances are drawn in chart. All levels are on closing basis.
Please have a look and revert back if you need some more study on it.
Disclaimer : Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Taking Any Decision On This Analysis.
BUY Bajaj auto Buy bajaj auto above 3924 for the target of 4000 and 4121. After a very long consolidation, The Auto stock is showing bullishness so keep good Auto stock on your watch list.
Disclaimer This is only for educational purposes, Please do your own analysis before investing hard-earned money.
Auto Sector - Ready for an upside ?Forming a flag patter, breakout might happen on upper side, look out for auto index cross 10900.
Stocks to watch out for if we see a bull run in auto stocks :
1) M&M
2) Escorts
3) Bosch
4) Ashok Leyland
I am particularly bullish on M&M.
Disclaimer : Bought M&M at 794
Maruti / M&M Spread As per Maruti / M&M spread chart. Maruti could outperform M&M from here onwards. A retest of 9 is possible provided 8.20 is not breached.
The pair chart is suggesting Maruti will rally more and fall less than M&M
Pair Spreads are high risk management set ups. They are not to be done in isolation but in sync. Those not affluent with them should refrain.
Buy BoschBuy Bosch if it close above 13650 (Safest Entry) stoploss 11910 Target 16000 to 16250
aggressive entry above Downward Trendline Breakout with few quantities.
study : Stock is forming Inverse Head & Shoulder Pattern near Downward trendline...if it breaks we can see 15-20% upside movement in this stock.