BANKNIFTY Hourly | Nov ExpiryBank-nifty seems to be complex corrective mode.
These are difficult price action to trade and are better to avoid.
Anyway, as shown in chart. It seems weak and become more weaker on Tuesday low break. We will observe Price action near the target and be aware of potential reversal signs.
Disclaimer: For entertainment and educational purposes. Not a buy/sell recommendation.
Banknifty-analysis
"Mastering BankNifty: Capturing 458 Points Like the Operator's B"As I mentioned earlier, I captured a solid 458 points in BankNifty! This is the power of precise levels and timing. I shared this exact trade with you on Saturday or Sunday, a day before it played out. This is what I call the 'operator's boss' level of trading! When you can predict the market moves like this, you're truly ahead of the game. Stay tuned for more insights like these, and let's continue to dominate the markets together!"
#Banknifty directions and levels for August 7th.
Even though the previous session opened with a gap-up, it didn’t sustain,BankNifty maintained their bearish bias. Today also the market may open with a minimum of 200 points positive. What about today?
If this happens structurally, it could turn into a range market. Range market movements are usually difficult to predict. However, my expectation is that if the market opens with a gap-up and breaks the 38% level solidly, we can expect the next target at 50,468. After that, if it consolidates, the pullback will continue. On the other hand, if it rejects this level, the range market will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may consolidate within the previous day's range. In this variation, a correction is anticipated only if it falls below the previous low.
#banknifty levels for July 23rd.
Good morning, friends. Today, the Honorable Finance Minister, Nirmala Sitharaman, is presenting the first Union Budget of the Modi 3.0 government. The market may move based on this event, and technical factors might not be as effective. I am simply sharing my Fibonacci levels. I expect directional movement to start from tomorrow onwards. Have a nice day🙏.
BANK NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 20 EMA ON HOURLY CHART BANK NIFTY has closed below 20 EMA on hourly chart First time since the post election rally began.
First dips are usually bought. So either it will Gap Up and resume the rally or will likely to bounce from 50 EMA.
Real Fall is possible below 100 EMA (52360) is likely to see a 1000 points sell off to the marked base.
BANK NIFTY CLOSES BELOW 20 EMA ON HOURLY CHART BANK NIFTY has closed below 20 EMA on hourly chart First time since the post election rally began.
First dips are usually bought. So either it will Gap Up and resume the rally or will likely to bounce from 50 EMA.
Real Fall is possible below 100 EMA (52360) is likely to see a 1000 points sell off to the marked base.
#Banknifty directions and levels for the June 27th.Yesterday, Bank Nifty continued the rally. Both structures have the same extension variation, so there are no changes in the market sentiment. Today, GiftNifty is indicating a slightly negative start. If it opens like this, let's look at what might happen in Bank Nifty.
>Structurally, it's a bullish market and both have an extension. According to the extension, if the market opens with a gap-down, it could retrace a maximum of 23 to 38%. After that, if it finds support there, the rally will continue with minor consolidation.
>However, the probability of a rally today is less compared to yesterday, as the sub-waves driving yesterday’s rally are now over. If the market finds support at either 23% or 38%, then it may close within the range.
>As per the wave structure, it could be in the 4th wave.
Alternatively, if the correction becomes aggressive, we should wait for confirmation. If the market declines sharply, it may consolidate around 38% or 50%. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous low, we can expect the correction to continue. Otherwise, it may maintain the bullish sentiment.
(Note: If the market initially takes a pullback and breaks the previous high, then the rally may continue further.)
NIFTY MARCH MONTH EXPIRY ANALYSISThe market (NIFTY50) is Trading at 22150.
Do not blindly go with the buy or call side. First Market will re-test with the S4 area (21950) and then it will move towards our Target which is 22300.
It's a clear Reverse Head and Shoulder Pattern but don't go blindly in any direction. Let's wait for a retest and then enter the rally.
Another 2 Conditions:
1. If it breaks 22215 then 22300 will be scalping in Intraday.
2. If 21800 Break then more selling expected
#Banknifty directions and levels for March 4thBanknifty also has the same sentiment. If the gap-up sustains, then we can expect a minor rally. Once it rejects the immediate resistance levels, then we can expect a minimum correction of 23 to 38%. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a 23 to 38% correction initially, indicating that the 4th wave may continue further.
19 Feb ’24 — BankNifty is still not bullish, 47016 has to break.BankNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Even though the 4mts chart looks bullish as the moving averages have a positive slope, the reality is quite different. BankNifty has not managed to find the fire to go “BOOM BOOM”, it is totally lazy and lethargic at its current levels. Today we ended up gaining 150 points ~ 0.32% but a few of the major banks like HDFC Bank, Kotak, and AXIS were not that excited. ICICI on the other hand was totally on another orbit today. If you look at the chart below you can see the fear of heights (blue markers). The best way to get through is with a mega gap-up, which will force the weak hands to run for cover.
4mts chart
Make no mistake, BN has rallied 2094 points ~ 4.69% from the recent swing low. But visually that rally is not bullish yet, that is because the time factor is at play. BN is very near the top of the bearish channel. A break above 47016 and then 47465 will give it sufficient momentum to surge through. The biggest factor that is holding up is HDFC Bank which has fallen after its results. We guess the bulls are waiting for HDFCBK to regain its footing so that the index itself can break free. The only way Nifty can get past 22500 is with the help of BankNifty. We do not remember the last time where Nifty50 kept making new highs without the support of BN.
63mts chart
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Our BankNifty algo trades ended today with a gain of Rs3793.
Nifty Prediction and Bank Nifty Analysis for Monday 19 Feb 24n this video, we dive into a detailed analysis of Nifty Prediction and Bank Nifty, discussing the current market trends, technical indicators, and potential future movements. Join us as we break down the data and provide insightful predictions to help you make informed investment decisions in the stock market.
🔴Disclaimer: This information is solely for Education Purposes only and to provide information and is not intended to give any advice. Please consult your financial advisors before making any decisions. Stock Market investments are subjected to market risks.
⏺In this video, we'll give you a Nifty Prediction and Bank Nifty analysis for Monday, 19 February 2024.
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IFCI - Next big thing?IFCI Limited is a financial institution that caters to the long-term finance needs of the industrial sector. The Company offers a range of debt products based on the specific requirements of the corporate.
P/B: 1.45
Mkt Cap (Rs. Cr.): 4,643
Sector PE: 8.45
Book Value Per Share: 12.87
Positives:
Strong Momentum: Price above short, medium and long term moving averages
MACD Crossover Above Signal Line
New 52 week high today
Effectively using its capital to generate profit - RoCE improving in last 2 years
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Growth in Quarterly Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (YoY)
Company reducing Debt
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Recent Results : Growth in Operating Profit with increase in operating margins (YoY)
Stock gained more than 20% in one month
Highest Recovery from 52 Week Low
Decrease in Provision in recent results
RSI indicating price strength
High Volume, High Gain
Negatives:
Red Flag: High Interest Payments Compared to Earnings
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Low Piotroski Score : Companies with weak financials
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION PURPOSE. Thanks
Kotak Mahindra Bank - Range ConsolidationKotak Mahindra Bank Limited offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side.
Book Value Per Share: 562.55
Dividend Yield: 0.08
TTM EPS: 86.40
TTM PE: 21.12
P/B: 3.25
Sector PE: 25.38
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin (QoQ)
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
Companies with current TTM PE Ratio less than 3 Year, 5 Year and 10 Year PE
Brokers upgraded recommendation or target price in the past three months
Decrease in NPA in recent results
Mutual Funds have increased holdings from 9.45% to 9.63% in Sep 2023 qtr.
Negatives:
Declining Net Cash Flow: Companies not able to generate net cash
Seems to be overvalued vs the market average
Lagging behind the market in financials growth
Net Profit TTM Growth % - Low in industry
Price to Book Ratio - High in industry
Promoters have decreased holdings from 25.94% to 25.93% in Sep 2023 qtr
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION.
HDFCBANK - Near Important Support ZoneNSE:HDFCBANK offers a range of banking services covering commercial and investment banking on the wholesale side and transactional/branch banking on the retail side.
Positives:
Company with high TTM EPS Growth
Good quarterly growth in the recent results
Effectively using Shareholders fund - Return on equity (ROE) improving since last 2 year
Efficient in managing Assets to generate Profits - ROA improving since last 2 year
Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 4 Quarters
Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow for last 2 years
Annual Net Profits improving for last 2 years
Book Value per share Improving for last 2 years
Company with Zero Promoter Pledge
FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding
Negatives:
MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter
Decline in Net Profit with falling Profit Margin (QoQ)
Declining profits every quarter for the past 2 quarters
Weak Momentum: Price below Short, Medium and Long Term Averages
NOT A RECOMMENDATION. JUST FOR EDUCATION. Thanks.
Morning Mantra - 16th August 2023Dear All,
So once again we had witnessed the significance of 19300 level on Monday itself. As after making a low of around 19257 during the day, the Index ultimately gave us a positive closing of around 19434.
Well now we can observe a bullish reversal pattern, named as Hammer, on the Day chart setup of Nifty. So, we are now expecting a bounce back from the current levels. Whereafter, if Nifty takes a support at this level and manages to gives a positive closing of above 19550, then we will be in an aggressive buying mode.
Otherwise, until then, we will have to wait and watch for either a breakout of above 19550, or a breakdown below 19300 on closing basis.
In the meanwhile, it will be better to keep Rebalancing the Portfolio.
Besides, as per the chart of BankNifty, we can now observe the perfect formation of a Doji Pattern.
For which, just like we always say -
“A Doji Formation on the chart and a Fauji (soldier) on the Border is quite indicative of a safer zone for the Bulls”. So, as of now there’s a symbol of Reversal on the chart of BankNifty as well.
However, here again it will be better to wait for an either side movement, i.e., a breakout of above 44444 and a breakdown of below 43800 on closing basis.
Keep Trading!
Keep Investing!
Regards ,
Alok Daiya
SEBI Registered Research Analyst
26 Jul ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty | Options premiums are LOWBanknifty on the other hand gave a trend reversal signal in just a day. For nifty we had atleast 3 days in succession. I took some short positions yesterday intraday and was all geared up to further attack by shorting more CALLS today.
The opening minutes looked encouraging, so did the period from 10.35 to 11.15 but 2 things went against it.
The options data showed lack of interest in creating CE credit spreads i.e shorting near ATM call option and buying a far away OTM option.
Banknifty started to rally and take the place of NiftyIT which reversed from its intraday high.
It was like 2 brothers who came prepared from evening to support their sister, when one brother got tired, the other one jumped in. In our case the BankNifty brother did more than just support - it rallied an impressive 252pts ~ 0.55% up till 14.30.
The short trade negation came in banknifty only after the 46000 got taken out. Let us see how the expiry day is getting played out tomorrow because as it stands the options premium in banknifty looks pretty low. The India VIX staying in the 10 range is also a discouragement for the bears that are still left.
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Please comment with your thoughts, opinion or bias, I will respond with mine!
Nifty 50 - 26 June 2023Post market analysis and Next trading session's Detailed Analysis has been posted in my YouTube channel.
Please do watch my old videos in Daily Analysis Playlist to understand the Entry and Exit criteria.
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I expect the market to be Bullish tomorrow.
Trade or invest according to your analysis . This is just my view.
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