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Bearmarket

Recession Risks and Market CautionIn July 2022, we saw the yield curve (US 10-year Treasury vs the US 2-year Treasury) go negative. It’s been in that zone ever since, and now, as we approach the two-year mark, we’re on the brink of positive territory. An inverted yield curve has a well-documented history of signalling recession. When you factor in the PMI readings dropping below 50, rising unemployment rates, and NASDAQ already in correction mode with a 10% drop from its peak, the message is clear. So, what’s the takeaway? The indicators are pointing towards a potential recession and bear market. It’s wise to proceed with caution as these signals suggest we might be heading into choppy waters.
TVC:US10YShort
by breakout_ninja
NIFTY50 BEAR TREND STARTEDGreetings everyone, I am of the opinion that either the NIFTY50 or the entire market is entering a bearish trend. Starting from today or possibly in the upcoming week, it seems likely that the market will commence a downward trajectory. This projection is based on two potential factors: Observation of a Head and Shoulders pattern. The breach of an important support level. Key Levels: Entry Range: 19200-19250 Stop Loss: 19600 Target 1: 18900 Target 2: 18600 (There is a considerable chance of attaining this target.) Target 3: 18200 Strategies to Consider: For those involved in options trading: Consider a small hedging strategy. For those engaged in futures trading: Implement a strict stop-loss strategy. Important Note: Make risk decisions in line with your available capital. It is strongly advised to refrain from trading with borrowed funds or your entire savings, drawing from personal experiences.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by NaveenTTR
6
18 Jan ’24 — BankNifty bounces of from the support @ 45399 😔BankNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️ What happened with BankNifty today was more or less as per the script. The opening 4mts gave us some idea of what to expect, the reason being the bounce from 45399 support. Even though the opening was gap-down, adequate selling pressure was not there to take out the support level. Ideally, it had to be taken out via the gap itself - and that did not happen. 4mts chart BN impressed with a midday rally of 747pts to close the gap. Later it gave away 58% of those points to close at 45762, down 350pts ~ 0.76% vs yesterday. We would not know how long this correction phase persist, deep down - we prefer to see a broader bear rally. There is a thing or two about the bear market. Have you seen videos of how Bear catches fish in the river? It goes to those areas called rapids where the Fish has to jump to escape the current. The bear has to just stand at those levels with his mouth wide open - the fish automatically goes straight in as it cannot maneuver mid-air. Bear market price action is more or less similar - the retail traders are helpless and out of the driving seat. If they survive, it will just be at the mercy of the big boys. 63mts chart The stance is still bearish and the first target is 45399 and it has to be taken out pretty soon. The longer we wait out, the dip buyers will re-emerge. Other support areas nearby are 44542 and 44068 - if the momentum carries, then we should be testing them this month itself.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by viswaram
Q&A_ Why is Nifty50 still strong whereas SPX is in a bear grip?Namaste! Currently, Nifty is trading near very important levels. This was the important resistance (because of lot of consolidation happening between Jun-July 2021), which became a support after the breakout. It has been tested twice since the July breakout. S&P 500 fell into bear market yesterday as far as daily close is considered. But, I am not convinced 100% of this happening, because Dow Jones is still hasn't got into bear market yet. I will be convinced >90% if SPX closes below 3854.90 in weekly chart . Q: Why is Nifty still strong as compared to US markets. A: 1st reason is that, the fund houses, hedge funds, investors and FIIs may be moving money from weak US markets to comparably strong Indian markets. 2nd reason is that since it is a very strong support, market have to consolidate a little before moving below (15600 Nifty level). Q: Will we see bear market in Nifty soon? A: Well, if DJI slips into bear market too, then there is a very high probability that we will. Q: Should we wait for a bear market to start investing? A: NO. There are many stocks in Sensex and Nifty which became undervalued due to this bearish plunge. You should to find such stocks and get into it without waiting for more downfall. Disclaimer: I am not an expert or professional degree holder into the field of investing. The views and analysis I have shared is of my own, based on my understanding. Please do your own due diligence before any activity.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Q&A_ Is Nifty heading for a bear market?Namaste! I have been tracking DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average) for quite a while. The bear market is defined as 20% correction in benchmark indices from the all time highs. SPX (S&P 500) has fell into bear market twice (2nd after retracement), it closed below 20% line on daily as well as weekly candles . But it did recovered from those levels until recently, it closed again, it is in a bear market now . However, Dow Jones hasn't closed below 20% levels at the above mentioned period. This time, it has closed below 20% level on daily candle. I will be 100% sure of a bear market if DJI closes below on Weekly candles. If DJI fall into a bear market, there is a very highest probability our Nifty 50 will to. It can take Nifty to 14600 levels. How to plan this bear market? 1. For people already invested: Don't sell your current holdings to buy at cheap. It will be a add more opportunity. You can consider either investing 50% of remaining investing amount now, 50% at Nifty 15100 or 14600 levels or whole remaining capital at 15100 levels. 2. For people waiting for investment: I would advice to invest 30% of the capital now and remaining 70% at Nifty 15100 or 14600 levels. These levels are drawn assuming Nifty will create the last swing low at 15100 level, and 14600 level is a psychological and a 20% level. Will all the stocks in Nifty 50 fall at the same speed? A: Nope. Overvalued blue-chip / large-cap stocks will fall more than those of (undervalued) fundamentally strong. Mid cap and small cap will fall at greater speed after taking above points into consideration. So if you hold small and mid-cap, get ready to stomach more downside. BUT DO NOT SELL. . Warren Buffett doesn't sell and other notable investors I know advice the same. Disclaimer: The analysis I have shared is based on my understanding and experience in the markets. This article must be assumed as a opinion only not a trading/investing call. Please do your analysis and/or consult your financial advisor before investing.
TVC:DJI
by UnknownUnicorn7637383
Nasdaq Breaking DownLook at the Lower High formations in this chart. This is a clear sign of a downtrend. One should be very careful in the market when such trends appear because there are only 3 trends in total. Markets can either be Bullish, Bearish or Sideways. Nasdaq has gone into a bearish trend and one needs to be very careful as US markets and the economy itself is tanking. Hence, this broader view gives one a clear idea as to what needs to be done right now. This is a bearish market when it comes to US. Be careful as the impact of US is normally felt all across.
TVC:NDQ
by jatin_agarwal
BITCOIN - After Pumping Still Bearish#BITCOIN Daily Chart Analysis After Pumping of Weekly startup today's signal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC movement still under #BearishFlag pattern, it means with in next 25-35 days its next and final divergence will be towards $24k and from that point it will break down, there will be chances to breakdown of 18-20% means up-to $5k of value breaks as per my next forecast up-to 20-25th Nov 2023 and this will be our last #BearishZone downtrend cycle, after that Bitcoin starts to move in Uptrends towards #BullRun slowly as Sideways. Sometimes, Whaler's & Manipulator's trying to do Hard Pump n Dump by using the market sentiments and some news regarding any legalisations, wars, attacks, de-pegging's, #SEC etc etc. Those are the just manipulation for a time being to just liquidate market funds and create Panic in market. So, Always Trade wisely by using #StopLoss at this panic and volatile situations and #DYOR, its #NFA as well, Must SHARE, LIKE, COMMENT on it and Follow me...
BShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
BITCOIN - Again in #BullTrap#Bitcoin Weekly Analysis As per weekly movements into CRYPTOCAP:BTC into USDT pair Chart Analysis, It's again into #BullTrap with highly Pumped at October Start-up while America goes into Shut-Down to their services as per financial crises and Recession. This Trap is 100% #Pumptoober, B'coz, as per chart, Buying pressure starts from 1st week of January and Selling pressure starts from 1st week of August (As mentioned in Chart), after that Not any Buying cycle with market Volume arrived yet, so market is still under the #BearishZone pressure, and whaler's are trying to manipulate the market by creating Pump-Dump as in BullTrap. As per my analysis, very much chances for market to goes into Bearish Zone within next 25-35 days and favourable chance to reach out its final Lower-Low target from $23.5k-$19.5k around in coming 30-40 days up to Nov. end, after that market starts in #BullishZone. Anyway, Always #DYOR and Trade wisely by using #StopLoss, its just #NFA and, Must LIKE, FOLLOW, SHARE & COMMENT on it...
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
BTC/USDT - Bearish Flag Pattern#Bitcooin 4hr. Chart Analysis CRYPTOCAP:BTC moving into hourly chart under #BearishFlag Pattern, from last one month, since 18 August to 19 September, nearly to completing its final cycle of Uptrend into this Pattern. Now, its Downtrend cycle will be start soon, towards $24k to $22k into #BearishZone up to in this week around 23 to 27 Sept. You all must be ready for that, As well Trade wisely by using #StopLoss and #DYOR always before invest wisely into Crypto Currency, Its just #NFA & Must LIKE, SHARE, COMMENT on that post as well FOLLOW me too..
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
Financials to bleed for next one yearBanknifty and nifty charts I have already shared in other posts. This is finnifty chart on weekly time frame with my wave countings. Finnifty completed its double correction at around 20650 mark in july itself. The breakdown should start soon, and it will be bigger bear cycle which will continue for next 1 year (atleast, it may extend ). No overnight longs suggested. IF not shorting, dont go long now. The bull part is almost over here. Let the bear party begin. All the best and stay alert, stay updated.
NSE:CNXFINANCEShort
by LBilgir
BITCOIN goes Bearish after Death Cross#BITCOIN Daily Chart Analysis As per daily chart pattern, estimated #DeathCross will be happening up to 12-15 September and if it will be happening then Market goes in Deep #BearishZone for next 70-100 days and Bullish Trend starts late around 15-25 Nov. 2023. A "death cross" occurs when the 50-day moving average (50MA) crosses under the 200-day moving average (200MA). It's always a bearish sign, that indicating that the market may be heading toward a longer-term of downtrend or bear market. Always #DYOR before investing in Crypto-Currency in this Volatile situation, and Trade wisely by using #StopLoss.... It's a #NFA. and, Must LIKE, SHARE, FOLLOW & COMMENT on it...
BShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
BITCOIN - Ready to move in Bearish Zone#BITCOIN 4hr. Chart Analysis At Present from last 20 days, CRYPTOCAP:BTC moving into Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern. Ascending broadening wedge is one such formation, where its signal manifestation of the ascending wedge pattern in an uptrend, the asset price trend reverses downtrend. Hence, it is a bearish reversal pattern. An ascending broadening formation forms an inverted triangle shape in the price chart. So that, remember the CRYPTOCAP:BTC historical chart pattern of September always into Bearish trends. Now it's moving towards $22k to break-out one of its strong support of $23.8k soon, may be some chances to take a mini reversal, but it will be not sustainable for long and break-out soon towards 2nd last #Bearish reversal cut-off point at $21.5k-$19.5k soon. Here, Market Sentiments towards Bearish Zone as well Whaler's are also ready for that too. So, trade wisely with #StopLoss at this situation of Volatility into market, and always #DYOR, It's #NFA and, Must SHARE, LIKE, COMMENT on it..
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
BITCOIN still in Bearish Zone#BITCOIN 1-hr. Chart Analysis As per present cycle of Descending Broadening Wedge Pattern of CRYPTOCAP:BTC , soon it takes a little pump up to $25.5k to $25.7k but as per complete cycle of Bearish Pennant Pattern it will be declined for uptrend cycle and goes towards $24.5k to $23.5k soon with another Dump into market and may be it will happening into next 2-3 days. Always #DYOR before investing in #Crypto and Trade wisely by using of #StopLoss & Must LIKE, SHARE & Comments on it...
BShort
by AskToRahulSirohi
BITCOIN - Halving'20 to Halving'24 Price Projection#BITCOIN Weekly Chart Analysis Here in this chart, I calculate CRYPTOCAP:BTC value at previous Halving time with their Last Lower-Low Cut-off Mark was $3.9k on March 2020 while Last Halving on 11 May 2020 with BTC Value on that day was $9.8k and First #ATH was created after Halving around in 11 months with $63.5k Mark Value. Now same as per previous patterns, if i will follow it- The upcoming Last Lower-Low is around $21.5k to $18.5k around Sept-Oct. and around Halving time of 11 April to 11 May 2024 its Value reach approx. $45k-50k and Next #AllTimeHigh will be create around Feb-March 2025 approx. $120k-$150k and then a Break-down comes and the final #ATH will be create around Nov.2025 to Jan. 2026 with min. $180k to $220k and max. $240k-$280k approx. as per Previously created Parabolic Chart View of Bitcoin Price Projections. Always #DYOR and Trade wisely by using #StopLoss, it's #NFA & Must LIKE, COMMENT, SHARE on it....
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by AskToRahulSirohi
Nifty 50: READY FOR Correction/ Crash!Attached: Nifty 50 Daily Chart as of 7th July 2023 Price has closed below PDL marking the End of the 5 wave rise that makes up either the 3rd Wave or the C Wave In both case, whether it is there 3rd or the C Wave, post completion of a 5 wave impulse be it whatever degree of the wave, there has to be a Retracement at the very least Price has 2 downsides going as per the Retracement: Target 1= 19200 (Gap Area) Target 2= 19030 (Super Trend Support) On further break below 18975, the Downside can accelerate to fill the 3rd Gap @ 18815 Last Line of Support is 18640....
NSE:NIFTYShort
by T_Harth