M&M | How to Trade a Bullish Engulfing in a Rising Channel🚘 M&M | How to Trade a Bullish Engulfing in a Rising Channel
📊 Stock: Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd (M&M)
⏳ Timeframe: Daily
📈 Chart Pattern: Rising Channel
🕯 Candlestick Pattern: Bullish Engulfing
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🔹 Pattern Overview
M&M is currently trading within a Rising Channel, a structure that often reflects sustained bullish momentum. On the latest daily chart, a Bullish Engulfing candlestick has been formed, signaling renewed buying interest after a brief phase of consolidation.
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The setup looks stronger with a Bullish Marubozu and an Open = Low candle, showing aggressive demand from the open. Price is holding well above VWAP, confirming bullish bias. A BB Squeeze Off signals volatility expansion ahead, while the recent false breakdown indicates sellers got trapped and buyers are back in control.
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🔹 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: 3335 – 3374 – 3445
Support Zones: 3224 – 3152 – 3113
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🔹 Technical Indicators Snapshot
RSI is at 52, sitting in the neutral zone but leaving room for upside momentum if buying picks up. The MACD shows a bearish crossover, which is an early caution signal to watch. CCI at -14 indicates neutral sentiment with no strong bias, while Stochastic at 55 is mid-range, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions at the moment.
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🔹 Candle Analysis
Candle 1 (Yesterday): High 3280 | Low 3187
Candle 2 (Today): High 3302.10 | Low 3191.10
👉 The today’s candle engulfed the previous session’s body, confirming the Bullish Engulfing pattern.
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🔹 Trading View (Educational Insight Only)
A Bullish Engulfing inside a Rising Channel generally indicates continuation of the prevailing uptrend. If price manages to probably sustain above the 3335–3374 zone, it may signal strength for further upside. On the other hand, if the stock probably slips below the 3224–3152 support zone, it could lead to short-term profit booking.
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📌 “All price levels mentioned are as observed at the time of writing and may change with market movements. Readers are advised to track live prices before making any trading or investment decision.”
⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments.
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Beginnersguide
M&M _ Rising Wedge Formation📊 M&M – Technical & Educational Snapshot
Ticker: NSE: M&M | Sector: 🚙 Auto
CMP: ₹2,7XX (as of 16 Aug 2025)
Rating (for learning purpose): ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Pattern Observed: 📉 Rising Wedge Formation (Bearish Reversal Case Study)
🔑 Key Reference Levels (For Learning)
Support / Breakdown Zone: Lower wedge trendline
Resistance / Rejection Zone: Upper wedge trendline
Bearish Projection (Case Study): ~₹2,410
Bullish Continuation (Alternative View): ~₹3,300
📌 Pattern Observations
✅ Price forming higher highs & higher lows but within converging trendlines
✅ Momentum slowing → smaller swings inside wedge
✅ Typical bearish reversal structure (confirmation needed)
✅ Volume + RSI divergence can add conviction
📝 STWP Trade Analysis (Educational Illustration Only)
1️⃣ Bearish Breakdown (Primary Scenario)
Observation: Breakdown below wedge support often studied as bearish signal
Stop Loss (Learning Reference): Above upper wedge / recent swing high
Downside potential: ₹2,410 (measured move projection)
2️⃣ Bullish Breakout (Alternative Scenario)
Observation: Breakout above wedge resistance may lead to continuation
Stop Loss (Learning Reference): Below wedge / recent swing low
Upside potential: ₹3,300
📊 Risk Management & Confirmation
Traders typically wait for daily close outside wedge boundaries
Volume confirmation is key → spikes above average strengthen the move
RSI divergence often adds confidence to the setup
📌 Summary (Learning View Only)
The M&M Rising Wedge is a classic reversal study.
Key lesson: A wedge pattern teaches how slowing momentum can shift market control — but confirmation with volume + price close is essential before validating either direction.
⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes be larger than the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are an experienced trader, remember to assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering any trade.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision.
By reading, watching, or engaging with this content, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades and investments.
________________________________________
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Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
UNOMINDA - Possible Breakout with Bullish Candle📊 UNOMINDA – Technical & Educational Snapshot
Ticker: NSE: UNOMINDA | Sector: 🚗 Auto Components
CMP: ₹1,149.80 ▲ (as of 16 Aug 2025)
Rating (for learning purpose): ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Pattern Observed: 📈 Possible Breakout with Bullish Candle + RSI/Bollinger Band Confirmation
🔑 Key Reference Levels (For Learning)
Resistance Zones: 1150 – 1165 – 1179 – 1204
Support Zones: 1125 – 1100 – 1085
Reference Pullback Zone: 1068
Risk Reference Zone: 1011
Potential Upside Zones (Educational Projection): 1255 → 1387 → 1456 → 1556
📌 Technical Observations
✅ Bullish candle near resistance
✅ RSI momentum breakout above 64
✅ Bollinger Band expansion → volatility visible
✅ Supertrend in bullish territory
✅ Bollinger Band Squeeze → potential directional move
📊 Volume Analysis
The move was supported by 1.86M volume vs 787.43K (20-SMA) — more than 2× above average.
Such spikes are often studied as signs of institutional participation and momentum strength.
⚠️ Still, follow-through in price action and sustained close above resistance are essential to avoid false breakouts.
📝 STWP Trade Analysis (Educational Illustration Only)
1️⃣ Breakout Illustration
Go Long: 1154/above
Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1064/below
2️⃣ Conservative Pullback Illustration
Go Long: 1149.80 – 1154 zone
Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1133/below
3️⃣ Low-Level Pullback Illustration
Go Long: 1145/above
Stop Loss (Learning Reference): 1122/below
(Note: These are structured as learning case studies of how swing setups may be visualized by traders. Not trade calls.)
📌 Summary (Learning View Only)
UNOMINDA provides a good case study in breakout + pullback strategies.
Key lesson: Watch for confirmation above resistance or behavior near pullback zones.
Such structures can be useful when studying swing setups.
Note: A possible breakout with a bullish candle supported by RSI strength and Bollinger Band expansion often signals the start of momentum. However, traders typically wait for volume confirmation and sustained close above resistance to validate the move, as false breakouts are common near key levels.
⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes be larger than the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are an experienced trader, remember to assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering any trade.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision.
By reading, watching, or engaging with this content, you acknowledge that you take full responsibility for your own trades and investments.
________________________________________
💬 Found this useful?
🔼 Give this post a Boost to help more traders discover clean, structured learning.
✍️ Drop your thoughts, questions, or setups in the comments — let’s grow together!
🔁 Share with fellow traders and beginners to spread awareness.
✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for beginner-friendly setups, price action insights & disciplined trading content.
🚀 Stay Calm. Stay Clean. Trade With Patience.
Trade Smart | Learn Zones | Be Self-Reliant 📊
AGI - Breakout Alert – Strong Volume, Clear Trend, Smart Zones! ________________________________________________________________________________
📈 AGI GREENPAC LTD – AGI GREENPAC Breakout Alert – Strong Volume, Clear Trend, Smart Zones! Breakout
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 22, 2025
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📌 Price Action:
AGI GREENPAC has staged a textbook breakout above its rising channel, with a massive +14.83% rally, closing the day at ₹972.35. The price not only cleared a medium-term resistance level but also broke above critical Fibonacci levels, reclaiming bullish control. This is not just a price breakout — it's a structure + volume + indicator alignment, offering a compelling bullish setup with potential for follow-through.
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📊 Chart Pattern:
✅ Rising Channel Breakout – A bullish continuation pattern formed over several months
✅ Breakout occurred near the channel’s upper boundary with explosive volume
✅ Price cleared 0.5 (₹950.50) and 0.618 (₹1037.15) Fibonacci retracement levels from the prior fall
✅ The structure was backed by a base formation, indicating accumulation beneath resistance. This pattern signals a potential transition from slow ascent to impulsive trend phase — a powerful sign when backed by volume and momentum indicators.
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🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
✅ Wide-Range Bullish Candle
✅ Open = Low formation (strength from the first tick)
✅ Strong follow-through above consolidation
✅ Classic “Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow” price action
✅ Confirms structural breakout from channel top
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🔊 Volume Analysis:
AGI GREENPAC saw a big jump in trading volume, with over 8.7 million shares traded — that’s more than double the usual average of the past 20 days. This kind of volume shows that a lot more people were actively buying the stock, and it wasn’t just a one-time spike — the buying continued throughout the day. What makes this even more special is that it comes after many days of low activity, which often means big investors were slowly building their positions. When such quiet periods are followed by a big volume and price breakout, it usually signals the start of a strong uptrend. Also, this is the highest volume in the past 52 weeks, which gives even more strength to this breakout and shows serious buying interest.
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📈 Technical Indicators:
The technical indicators are showing strong signs of bullish momentum in AGI GREENPAC. The RSI is at 73, which means the stock is trending strongly and buyers are in control. The MACD, a popular momentum indicator, has given a bullish crossover both on the daily and weekly charts — this is a positive signal that the trend may continue. The CCI, which tracks the speed and strength of price moves, is at 274, indicating very strong upside pressure. The Stochastic is at 93, which means the stock is in the overbought zone, but still confirming the ongoing strength. The price is trading above the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), showing that buyers are dominating the day. Lastly, the stock has broken out of a Bollinger Band squeeze — a setup where the price was moving in a tight range and has now burst out with momentum. When all these indicators point in the same direction, it gives us a high-confidence signal that the breakout is genuine and may continue.
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🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔻 Supports:
• ₹887.83 – Immediate support (breakout zone)
• ₹803.32 – Mid-structure base
• ₹752.93 – Last support before invalidation
• Bottom Range: ₹599.10 – Historical demand base
🔺 Resistance Zones:
• ₹1022.73 – First resistance (Fibonacci level)
• ₹1073.12 – Previous swing top
• ₹1157.62 – 0.786 Fib level and prior rejection area
• Top Range: ₹1307.90 – Final upside Fibonacci target
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👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
What really makes this setup stand out is that everything is coming together at once — and that doesn’t happen often. The stock has broken out of a rising channel, which is a strong chart pattern. It also crossed important Fibonacci levels, showing strength in the move. The volume is more than double the average, which tells us that serious buyers are stepping in. Momentum indicators like RSI and CCI are showing strong upward energy. On top of that, the price has broken out of a tight Bollinger Band range and is staying above VWAP, which adds more strength to the trend. When so many signals align like this, it usually means the stock has a good chance of moving even higher — this is what we call a high-confidence breakout.
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🔍 What We’re Watching For:
The key thing now is whether the stock can stay above the ₹950–₹960 zone over the next few days. If it does, it will confirm that the breakout is strong and has the potential to move higher. However, if the price dips slightly into the ₹900–₹915 range with low volume, it could be a good opportunity for a safe re-entry. On the other hand, if the stock closes below ₹887, it may be a warning sign that the breakout is failing. This zone is very important — it’s the make-or-break level that will decide if the uptrend continues or fades away.
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✅ Best Buy Levels (Low Risk Idea):
🔹 Entry: On pullback to ₹861.7–₹864.9 zone with SL ₹848.54
🔹 Low Risk Entry: ₹851.12 with Stop Loss: ₹833.72 (closing basis)
🔹 Risk-Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
📌 Avoid chasing — let the price validate the breakout
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💼 Sector Tailwinds:
AGI GREENPAC is in a business that’s currently seeing strong demand — especially from sectors like real estate, pharmaceutical packaging, alcohol bottling, and FMCG (like food and household products). These industries need high-quality glass and packaging, which is exactly what AGI provides. With growth happening in these areas, the company stands to benefit. This means that the fundamentals are also supporting the chart breakout, making the overall setup even stronger.
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⚠️ Risks to Watch:
Even though the chart looks strong, there are a few things to be careful about.
First, indicators like RSI and Stochastic show that the stock is in the overbought zone, which means a small pullback or correction is possible. If the price closes below ₹887, it could mean the breakout has failed. Also, if you start seeing red candles with low volume, it might be an early sign that buying interest is fading. Most importantly — don’t invest all your money at once. It's always better to enter with proper risk management and a clear plan, especially after a sharp move.
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🔮 What to Expect Next:
If AGI GREENPAC stays above the ₹950–₹960 range, it can likely move up to ₹1022–₹1073 in the short term. If the momentum continues and the stock breaks above ₹1073, it could head even higher toward ₹1157–₹1300 in the coming weeks. But if the price drops below ₹887, it could mean the breakout has failed, and the upward trend might not continue. So, the next few days are very important to confirm whether the breakout is real and sustainable.
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🧠 How to Trade AGI GREENPAC (For Educational Use Only):
🔹 Breakout Plan
• Entry: ₹988.60 or Pullback Zone ₹903–₹915
• SL: ₹842 (Closing basis)
• Risk-Reward: 1:1 | 1:2 +
• Position Sizing: Never all-in — always size by risk
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⚠ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• These Trades are shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
I am not responsible for trading decisions based on this post.
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How would you trade this — chase momentum or wait for pullback entry?
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🚀 Trade with patience, trust your charts, and stay clear-headed!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊________________________________________
HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD – Technical Analysis________________________________________
🧠 HINDUSTAN UNILEVER LTD – Technical Analysis
Ticker: NSE: HINDUNILVR | Sector: FMCG
Current Price: ₹2,521.20 ▲ (+3.44% on July 31, 2025)
Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Pattern: Volume-Driven Range Breakout
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Latest News & Developments
Hindustan Unilever (HUL) reported strong Q1 FY26 results, with standalone net profit rising 7.6% YoY to ₹2,732 crore and consolidated profit up ~6%. Revenue grew ~4–5% YoY, aided by a rural demand rebound and volume-led gains in home care and beauty segments. While demand recovery is still gradual and margin guidance has been trimmed, the company is ramping up investments for future growth. A key structural change includes the demerger of its Kwality Wall’s ice-cream business by FY26-end. Leadership transition is also underway, with Priya Nair set to take over as CEO & MD from August 1, 2025. Shares surged 3.5% on July 31 to ₹2,521.85, outperforming the market.
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Technical Analysis & Chart Pattern
Hindustan Unilever Ltd (HUL) has broken out above a key resistance zone of ₹2,440–2,445 on the daily chart, supported by strong volume and a bullish candle. This move ends the prior consolidation phase between ₹2,136–2,602. Momentum indicators such as RSI (~70), MACD, and moving averages show a bullish bias. If the price sustains above ₹2,500, the stock may trend toward resistance levels at ₹2,573, ₹2,625, and ₹2,702. Key support levels lie at ₹2,445, ₹2,368, and ₹2,316.
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Trade Analysis (SEBI-Compliant | Educational Purpose Only)
As per the chart structure, the stock has shown a breakout above the ₹2,440–2,450 zone on strong volume, currently near ₹2,521. If momentum sustains, potential price zones to watch are ₹2,575–2,625 in the near term and ₹2,700+ in the medium term. A logical risk level could be around ₹2,395 or near the breakout point of ₹2,440.
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Technical & Sentiment Snapshot
The stock recently broke out with strong volume, indicating accumulation post-consolidation. A pullback toward ₹2,440–2,430 may test the breakout zone, while a move to ₹2,360–2,316 could signal range re-entry. Sustained trade above ₹2,500–2,520 may indicate trend continuation. Market participants are watching volume behaviour on dips and potential sentiment shifts under new leadership. Key risks include broader market weakness, margin pressures, and rural/urban demand trends.
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Educational Insight for Learners
A classic breakout occurs when a stock trades within a defined range (support and resistance) and then moves sharply beyond that range with strong volume. To identify such setups, observe the range boundaries, wait for a confirmed close outside the range, and ensure volume rises on the breakout. Entry is ideally near the breakout, with a stop just inside the range and targets based on the range height. The recent price action in HUL aligns well with this rectangle breakout concept — a valuable pattern for learners to study.
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⚠️ Disclaimer & Educational Note
This content is strictly for educational and research purposes only. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and no buy/sell recommendations are being provided. All insights are based on personal analysis and experience and are not financial advice.
📘 This setup illustrates how combining price action (candlesticks), support/resistance zones, volume, and indicators like RSI or MACD can help build conviction in trades. However, trading—especially in derivatives like options—involves high risk, and losses can exceed the initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a SEBI-registered advisor before taking any position.
👉 Use strict risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no liability for any losses incurred.
By engaging with this content, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
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🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
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KAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Price Action + ZonesKAYNES TECHNOLOGY IND LTD – Price Action + Zones
Ticker: NSE:KAYNES | Sector: Electronics & Semiconductors
Timeframe: 15-Min | Current Price: ₹6,200.00 ▲ (+0.49%)
Technical View: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Setup: Breakout with Zone-Based Trade Planning
Kaynes Technology (NSE:KAYNES) has exhibited strong directional momentum following a structured breakout above a prior consolidation range, as seen on the 15-minute chart. The price surged past intermediate resistance near ₹5,990 and is currently stabilizing around ₹6,200, suggesting trend continuation if supported by further volume. Marked zones like the Top Range (₹6,284) and Bottom Range (₹5,405) provide a visual framework to understand price behavior—where strength above upper resistance may invite bullish setups, while failure to hold could signal re-entry into the lower band. A clearly defined demand zone (₹5,850–₹5,764.50) with an example SL near ₹5,755 offers a contextual learning area to study zone-based entries with risk-reward alignment. Observing volume expansion on the breakout and contraction during consolidation is key for interpreting trend strength. The annotation “Trade as per Trend + Supporting Setup” reinforces the importance of directional bias and confluence. All observations are shared to help learners understand breakout structure, demand zones, and price-volume correlation in a real-world context.
⚠️ Disclaimer & Educational Note
This content is strictly intended for educational and research purposes related to the technical study of Kaynes Technology (NSE:KAYNES). I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and no buy/sell recommendations are being made. All insights are based on personal chart analysis, price-action interpretation, and educational zone-mapping — not financial advice.
📘 The visual setup in this post demonstrates how traders and learners can study breakout structures, demand/supply zones, price-volume behavior, and risk levels in a controlled technical environment. Tools like support/resistance mapping, volume confirmation, and structure-based SL planning help illustrate disciplined trade preparation. However, trading — particularly in leveraged instruments like options or intraday setups — involves substantial risk, and losses can exceed the initial investment.
👉 Always do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any positions in the market.
👉 Practice strict risk management, and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility for financial decisions based on this educational content. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these terms.
💬 Found this helpful?
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
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🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
GODREJ CONSUMER PRODUCTS – Price Action + ZonesGODREJ CONSUMER PRODUCTS – Price Action + Zones
Ticker: NSE\:GODREJCP | Sector: FMCG
Timeframe: 15-Min | Current Price: ₹1,259.00 ▼ (−0.08%)
Technical View:⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Chart Setup: Range Bound Structure with Demand Zone Revisit in Focus
Godrej Consumer Products (NSE\:GODREJCP) is currently trading within a well-defined short-term range, with resistance capped near ₹1,265.50 and an anchored demand zone around ₹1,224.40–₹1,216.90. The stock has shown prior strength with a breakout above ₹1,244.35, but price is now consolidating between the orange mid-range and red supply zone, reflecting indecision. A clean zone-based structure is visible: the Top Range (₹1,265.50) may trigger bullish momentum if breached with volume, while failure to sustain may invite short setups within the range. The mid-structure zone (₹1,244.35) acts as a trend filter, while the green Demand Zone provides a case study for risk-managed entries — with example SL at ₹1,215.75 and mapped risk of ₹8.65. The Bottom Range (₹1,202.20) defines a lower band, and annotations like “Trade as per Trend + Supporting Setup” guide the learner to wait for trend + confluence. This setup is ideal for understanding how price reacts at key zones, how to frame directional bias within ranges, and how demand zones aid structured trade planning with logical stop-loss levels.
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⚠️ **Disclaimer & Educational Note**
This content is strictly intended for educational and research purposes related to the technical study of Godrej Consumer Products (NSE\:GODREJCP). I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and no buy/sell recommendations are being made. All insights are based on personal chart analysis, price-action interpretation, and educational zone-mapping — not financial advice.
📘 The visual setup in this post demonstrates how traders and learners can study breakout structures, demand/supply zones, price-volume behavior, and risk levels in a controlled technical environment. Tools like support/resistance mapping, volume confirmation, and structure-based SL planning help illustrate disciplined trade preparation. However, trading — particularly in leveraged instruments like options or intraday setups — involves substantial risk, and losses can exceed the initial investment.
👉 Always do your own due diligence and consult a SEBI-registered investment advisor before taking any positions in the market.
👉 Practice strict risk management, and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility for financial decisions based on this educational content. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge and accept these terms.
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💬 **Found this helpful?**
Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
🔁 Share this post with your trading friends and community — help them discover clean charts, structured setups, and zone-based learning.
✅ Follow **simpletradewithpatience** for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 *Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.*
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
**Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊**
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DMART – A Clean Case Study in Patience & Price Action________________________________________
Ticker: NSE: DMART
Sector: Retail – Supermarkets & Hypermarkets
Market Cap: ≈ ₹2.78 lakh crore (approx as of July 30, 2025)
Current Price: ₹4,281.40 (up ~7% on July 30, 2025)
Technical Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
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📢 DMart (Avenue Supermarts) Update – July 30, 2025:
If you’re a new investor tracking India’s retail space, DMart just gave us a masterclass in how market sentiment can flip fast — and why fundamentals still matter.
In its Q1 FY26 results, DMart reported a modest 2% profit growth (₹830 cr), despite a solid 16% jump in revenue. This raised concerns among analysts about tight margins and intensifying competition, especially from fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) and quick-commerce players. Not surprisingly, the stock dipped around 2.6% post-results.
But fast-forward to late July, and the narrative flipped.
On July 30, DMart shares surged 7–8% intraday, marking their biggest rally since March, after announcing the opening of its 426th store and laying out a bold expansion plan. The market cheered the company’s strong growth visibility and confidence in its value-retail model. CEO Neville Noronha emphasized the importance of store additions, digital scaling via DMart Ready, and the company’s resilience in a competitive landscape.
On the digital front, online grocery sales grew 21% YoY to ₹3,502 cr in FY25 — a good sign of consumer shift — though losses widened as DMart expanded into new cities.
What’s the takeaway? For learners, this is a great example of how stocks don’t move just on earnings, but on future guidance, strategy, and investor confidence. DMart may not have wowed with profits this quarter, but its long-term vision still packs a punch.
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📉 Technical Analysis | Chart Pattern: Potential Breakout Brewing:
DMART has been consolidating in a symmetrical triangle pattern on the daily chart since April 2025 — a classic setup that often signals a big move ahead. On July 30, the stock showed signs of life with a strong 7% gain and a 5× volume spike, which usually reflects institutional accumulation and rising trader interest.
🔍 But here’s the key insight:
Despite the surge in volume, the price has not yet convincingly broken above the triangle’s upper trendline. This means there’s no valid price breakout yet — only a volume-based alert. For newer traders, this is a great example of why volume alone isn't enough. A true breakout needs a strong candle closing above the pattern, preferably with follow-through buying.
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🔼 Key Resistance Levels to Watch:
₹4,403 – Recent swing high and immediate target if breakout confirms
₹4,526 – April top and near-term bullish milestone
₹4,728 – Long-term resistance if momentum builds up post-breakout
🔽 Important Support Levels:
₹4,078 – Breakout support zone and first pullback entry area
₹3,876 – Base of the triangle, also a structural support
₹3,753 – Deeper support, invalidation point if breached
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🧭 Strategy Insight for New Traders:
This is a textbook case of a "breakout watchlist" setup. With strong bullish indicators — RSI > 60, MACD crossover, Supertrend flip, and a BB Squeeze breakout setup — the chart is preparing for a move. But confirmation is key.
✅ Wait for a clear breakout above the trendline with sustained volume
✅ Avoid chasing the move too early — breakout traps are common
✅ If the breakout confirms, ₹4,403 and ₹4,526 become logical targets
✅ A retest toward ₹4,080 could offer a low-risk long entry if supported by volume
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🧠 Pro Note for Beginners: A breakout isn’t just about price jumping — it’s about structure, confirmation, and follow-through. Think of volume spikes as the "whispers" before the market makes a bold statement.
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🔍 Fundamental Analysis:
If you’re just starting out in stock market investing, DMART offers an interesting case study—a well-run retail company with strong fundamentals and a clear growth story. As of July 2025, DMART has shown solid performance, especially in revenue growth, while keeping debt levels incredibly low.
In Q1 FY26, the company posted standalone revenues of ₹15,932 crore—up 16.2% YoY—highlighting strong consumer demand and steady growth momentum. Over the full FY25, consolidated revenue rose nearly 17% YoY, reflecting DMART’s consistent top-line performance. However, while revenues are rising fast, margins have seen slight compression. PAT (net profit) for FY25 stood at ₹2,707 crore with a PAT margin of 4.6%, down from 5% a year earlier.
DMART’s earnings per share (EPS) is growing steadily too—₹41.61 in FY25, up ~7% from last year. But with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of ~96x, the stock trades at a steep premium compared to peers, signaling that the market has high expectations for its future growth.
One of DMART’s biggest strengths is its minimal debt—the company operates with almost zero leverage, giving it exceptional financial flexibility. It also generates healthy free cash flows from its core retail operations, though its online grocery venture (DMart Ready) is still in the investment phase, posting losses as it expands.
From a valuation standpoint, DMART is expensive, no doubt. But investors are paying for its scalability, low-risk model, and disciplined management. With 415 stores across India and consistent quarterly additions, the company continues to grow organically while maintaining a lean balance sheet.
🔔 Bottom Line for Beginners: DMART is a financially strong and well-managed company with proven business fundamentals. But with a very high valuation and slowing profit growth, new investors should be cautious. It may be wise to watch for better entry points or wait for earnings to catch up with the price. For long-term investors with patience and a high-quality bias, it could still be a worthy contender—especially if margins and digital growth improve.
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📈 DMART Chart Study – Educational Swing Trade Example:
Disclaimer: This is an educational post intended to help new traders understand breakout setups. This is not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any stock or security. Always consult your registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
If you're learning how swing trades work, this DMART daily chart setup from July 30, 2025, offers a great example of how price action, volume, and key levels can come together. It’s a practical case study to understand the breakout trading concept.
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🛠️ Trade Structure (For Educational Purposes)
Reference Entry Price: ₹4,324.00
Reference Stop Loss: ₹3,925.85
Risk-Reward Scenario: Approx. 1:1, with potential extension to 1:2+ (based on hypothetical higher target)
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🔍 Key Chart Observations:
✅ Breakout Candle Formation: A strong bullish candle closed near its high — a typical sign of price strength.
✅ Volume Confirmation: Volume surged to 3.39 million shares, which is over 4× the daily average — often seen in breakout moves.
✅ Price Range Context:
• Support/Base Zone: Around ₹3,340
• Initial Target Zone: ₹4,557.70
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📘 Educational Insights:
🔴 Risk-Reward Perspective: At the observed entry level, the risk-to-reward ratio was near 1:1 — not ideal for most strategies. A more efficient trade setup might occur on a pullback or with a more distant target.
🔄 Retest Possibility: If the price retraces to ₹4,150–₹4,200 with lower volume, that zone could serve as a reference for learners exploring re-entry setups (purely for study).
🧠 Capital Risk Planning: Risk management is crucial. Avoid risking more than 2–3% of total trading capital on any single idea, no matter how strong the pattern looks.
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📌 Beginner Learning Point:
Breakout trading is more than just chasing big candles. A proper breakout setup usually involves volume surge, clear consolidation range, and defined risk management. Learning to combine these elements is key to developing trading discipline.
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🧾 Why I’m Watching DMART — A STWP Perspective for Beginner Investors:
One of the best lessons I’ve learned in my investing journey is this: It’s better to buy a great business at a fair price than a fair business at a great price. And when I look at DMART (Avenue Supermarts Ltd.), I see the foundation of a truly great business — even if the price isn’t quite right just yet.
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🛒 A Business Anyone Can Understand:
DMART isn’t chasing trends or building flashy tech. It’s focused on something much simpler — and far more reliable: selling everyday essentials. Groceries, home goods, basics — the things people need no matter what. And they do it efficiently, consistently, and affordably. That simplicity, when executed well, is a major strength.
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🧱 A Strong, Repeatable Model:
What really impresses me is their cost discipline. DMART owns many of its stores, keeping rental costs low. They avoid unnecessary frills and instead focus on efficiency and tight operations. The result? A cost advantage that’s tough for others to beat. Even though retail has thin margins, DMART’s model is scalable, profitable, and built for the long haul.
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👨💼 Led by a Trusted Name:
The company is backed by Radhakishan Damani — a man known for his patience, clarity, and capital discipline. He’s not in a rush to make headlines. He’s building something durable. And when you find great leadership combined with a focused business model, that’s a rare combo worth watching.
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📉 Why This Stock Is on My Watchlist?
In one word: Valuation.
DMART often trades at 80–100 times earnings — which is expensive, even for a wonderful business. As an investor, I’d rather wait for a better deal than rush in and overpay. Great businesses can still turn into poor investments if you don’t get the price right. So for now, I’m staying patient.
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📈 If the Price Comes Down…
If the market turns pessimistic or earnings grow into the valuation, DMART will be high on my buy list. Here’s why:
✅ A clean, debt-light balance sheet
✅ A brand people trust
✅ A scalable, cost-efficient model
✅ A long growth runway in India’s retail sector
✅ And thoughtful, no-drama leadership
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🪙 Final Thought for New Investors:
As Warren Buffett says, “Time is the friend of the wonderful company and the enemy of the mediocre.”
DMART, in my view, is a wonderful company. I’d love to own it — but only when the price is right. Until then, I’ll keep watching, learning, and staying patient.
(Of course, one could consider buying a small quantity now and adding more on dips — a strategy that balances quality with prudence.)
________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read Carefully):
This content is shared strictly for educational and research purposes only.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and no buy or sell recommendations are being made.
All views expressed are based on personal market analysis and experience. They are not intended as financial advice.
Trading — especially in derivatives like options — involves significant financial risk. Losses can exceed your initial investment.
👉 Always do your own research and consult a certified SEBI-registered advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
👉 Use proper risk management and only trade with capital you can afford to lose.
The author assumes no responsibility or liability for any trading losses incurred from acting on this content.
By engaging with this material, you agree to these terms.
________________________________________
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Drop your thoughts, questions, or insights in the comments below ⬇️ — let’s learn together!
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✅ Follow @simpletradewithpatience for clear setups, educational content, and a no-nonsense approach to price action, supply-demand zones, and risk-managed trades.
🚀 Trade with patience. Trust your charts. Stay clear-headed.
Because the goal is not just to trade — it's to trade better.
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Charts & Zones 📊
EMAMI LTD – Strong Bullish Breakout | Volume Spike________________________________________________________________________________
📈 EMAMI LTD – Strong Bullish Breakout | Volume Spike | Structure-Based Trade Idea
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
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📌 Price Action:
EMAMI LTD has delivered a decisive breakout from its recent compression phase after trading sideways between 570–585 for several sessions. On July 9, the stock posted a wide-range bullish candle, closing at 609.15, backed by high delivery and breakout volume. The candle formed with an open = low structure, a strong intraday move, and solid closing near the high, confirming buyer dominance. This marks a shift in control from range-bound consolidation to potential momentum continuation.
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📊 Chart Pattern:
This breakout is from a Box Compression Zone, where the stock had been moving within a tight band. This is a textbook bullish compression breakout, often seen before short-term trend expansions. The range contraction, followed by a sudden expansion with volume, signals that smart money may be entering. Though not a VCP, the narrowing of ranges followed by a strong candle reflects controlled buildup and release of bullish pressure.
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🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Bullish Engulfing
Open = Low Candle
Momentum Continuation Candle
The current candle also fits the "Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow" setup logic, especially useful for short-term intraday/momentum traders from an educational lens.
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🔊 Volume Analysis:
Volume on July 9 crossed 3x the 20-day average, showing an institutional-grade breakout. What's more important is that this move comes after multiple low-volume sessions, which indicates that the base was silent before this burst — classic sign of accumulation followed by breakout. The presence of a BB squeeze and volume compression breakout confirms the start of a volatility expansion phase.
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📈 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Daily): 65 – strong and rising
MACD: Bullish crossover on Daily, but flat on Weekly/Monthly
CCI: 319 – strong bullish momentum reading
Stochastic: 85 – in a bullish zone, showing follow-through possibility
SuperTrend & VWAP: Bullish bias confirmed
BB Squeeze: Compression off, likely start of expansion
These indicators align well to show a breakout backed by momentum and volume expansion.
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🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔺 Resistance Zones to Watch:
629.23 – First key level where supply may come in
649.32 – Major resistance from previous swing
678.63 – Long-term resistance zone
Top Range: 653.35 – Official top of the recent consolidation base
🔻 Support Levels:
579.83 – Immediate support post-breakout
550.52 – Minor swing base
530.43 – Deeper demand level from which recent trend started
Bottom Range (Demand Zone): 507.70 – Long-term structural support
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👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
What stands out in this chart is the confluence of breakout signals — RSI breakout, engulfing candle, Bollinger squeeze off, and high delivery volume — all firing together. The open-low bullish bar is not just random price movement; it's a statement from buyers that they're ready to defend this zone.
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🔍 What We’re Watching For:
We’re watching if EMAMI can sustain above 609–620 for the next couple of sessions. A consolidation above this zone will indicate strength. On the flip side, any rejection and close back below 579.83 will raise flags. We're also watching for any mild retest toward 580–585 on low volume, which can offer a secondary low-risk entry opportunity.
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✅ Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea):
Breakout Entry: Above 620 with follow-through or retest confirmation
Pullback Buy: Into the 579.83–585 support zone with a strong bounce candle
Stop Loss: 560.33 (structure-based, on closing basis)
Risk-Reward Lens: Start with a 1:1 target; trail for 1:2+ based on structure — avoid fixed upside projections
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💼 Sector Tailwinds:
The FMCG and personal care space is seeing renewed demand due to rising rural consumption, price stability in raw materials, and stronger brand-led companies gaining market share. EMAMI, with a wide product portfolio, is well-positioned to benefit. Fundamentally, the stock is also recovering from long-term price compression — aligning well with the recent breakout.
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⚠️ Risk to Watch:
A close below 579 will invalidate the breakout setup
Indicators are strong but slightly stretched, so chasing blindly can invite volatility
The price must confirm above 620+ for the trend to gain broader legs
Always wait for follow-through before committing fresh capital
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🔮 What to Expect Next:
If EMAMI sustains above 609–620, the stock could gradually move toward 629.23 and test higher levels like 649.32. But if it fails to hold above the breakout candle, we may see a pullback to 580–585. Either way, price and volume in the next 2–3 sessions will confirm whether this is a false breakout or the start of a real trend.
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🧠 How to Trade EMAMI LTD (For Educational Use Only):
Breakout Plan (Hypothetical Setup):
🔹 Entry: Above 620 only if follow-through confirmation candle appears
🔹 Stop Loss: 560.33 (on closing basis)
🔹 Pullback Buy: Into 580–585 with same SL, if bullish reversal shows
🔹 Risk-Reward: 1:1 minimum; trail for more
🔹 Position Sizing: Use capital allocation based on risk tolerance — never go all-in on breakout
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
What would be your ideal trade in EMAMI — breakout follow-through or support pullback?
Drop your thoughts in the comments below ⬇️
🔁 Share this with your trading community
✅ Follow STWP for clean technical setups backed by price action and volume
🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Logic
________________________________________________________________________________
PG ELECTROPLAST – Volume Breakout from Tight Base________________________________________________________________________________
📈 PG ELECTROPLAST – Volume Breakout from Tight Base | Bullish Momentum Brewing
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
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📌 Price Action:
PG ELECTROPLAST LTD has shown an impressive breakout from a tight base, rising from the 735–755 congestion zone with a wide-range bullish candle on July 9. The candle had an open = low structure, closed near the high, and was backed by massive volume. This signals clear buying strength and suggests that bulls are stepping in after a period of low volatility and sideways movement. The stock had been trading in a narrow band and has now broken out with strong conviction, hinting at the beginning of a possible trend reversal or a short-term momentum rally.
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📊 Chart Pattern:
The chart displays a tight base breakout from a multi-week compression zone. While not a textbook wedge or flag, the narrowing range combined with flat moving averages suggested the stock was coiling up for a move. The breakout candle pierced the upper end of the range, with volume confirming that it wasn't a false push. This kind of price behaviour often leads to trend expansion — especially when confirmed by broader volume activity.
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🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Bullish Engulfing Candle
Open = Low Structure
Strong Bullish Range Candle
This combination, particularly when seen after a base, is a strong signal of fresh buying interest. It also fits the “Buy Today, Sell Tomorrow” short-term momentum logic, especially for educational model trades.
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🔊 Volume Analysis:
The breakout was supported by a 10-day volume breakout, with volumes spiking over 3x the average. This is not just intraday noise — it reflects strong delivery participation and genuine interest. Volume spike at breakout is a key sign of smart money involvement. Moreover, the spike occurred from a compressed base, which adds further weight to the strength of the breakout.
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📈 Technical Indicators:
RSI (Daily): 56 — rising from neutral territory, not yet overbought
MACD: Bullish crossover active on Daily & Monthly
Stochastic: 90 on Daily – indicates strong upward momentum
CCI: 155 – overbought but in a bullish continuation zone
Bollinger Bands: Price broke out of a tight squeeze zone — start of volatility expansion phase
BB Squeeze + Bullish VWAP: Adds confirmation that the trend is beginning to expand
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🧱 Support & Resistance:
🔺 Resistance Levels:
810.43 – First resistance to watch above current price
832.12 – Prior swing level; price may pause or consolidate here if momentum continues
867.33 – Longer-term resistance zone, marked as a level of interest
Top Range: 1054.2 – Long-term weak resistance zone that triggered the previous major selloff
🔻 Support Levels:
753.53 – Closest support below breakout
718.32 – Well-tested swing level; acted as floor in recent range
696.63 – Important structural support
Bottom Range (Demand Zone): 597.05 – Major long-term support, last zone from where price rallied strongly
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👀 What’s Catching Our Eye:
The combination of price compression, bullish engulfing breakout, and high volume participation makes this setup stand out. Volume is not just high — it’s clean and backed by structure. The candle formation, RSI breakout, and BB squeeze all come together, creating a powerful setup for momentum continuation. This kind of alignment is rare and usually signals smart money entry.
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🔍 What We’re Watching For:
The most critical zone is the 796.90 breakout level. If price sustains above it for the next couple of sessions, the structure remains intact. We’re also watching for a possible retest toward the 753–755 zone — if the stock pulls back there on low volume and bounces again, it may offer a low-risk entry setup. Continuation beyond 810 could build momentum, but we will rely on risk-reward and price behaviour — not predictions.
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✅ Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea):
Breakout Entry: Above 796.90, only on follow-through or sustained closing above breakout zone
Pullback Entry: Into the 753.53–755 support zone if the price stabilizes and shows a bullish reversal
Stop Loss: Structure-based, below 736.95 (on closing basis)
Risk-Reward Thinking: Look for 1:1 initially, then trail the stop as the move develops; no fixed projections — price action will guide the outcome
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💼 Sector Tailwinds:
PG ELECTROPLAST operates in the electronics and contract manufacturing sector — two spaces getting a major boost from PLI schemes, China+1 shift, and rising domestic demand. India’s push toward import substitution, rising middle-class consumption, and government incentives are all helping businesses like PG scale up. This provides a strong macro tailwind to any technical strength seen on charts.
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⚠️ Risk to Watch:
If price slips back below 753, the breakout weakens
A close below 736.95 negates the breakout setup and could invite selling pressure
Indicators are showing strength, but slightly stretched — so expect volatility and avoid over positioning
Never trade based only on breakout excitement — always wait for confirmation and manage risk first
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🔮 What to Expect Next:
If the price holds above 796.90, the path toward 810.43 may open up quickly. Sustained volume and consolidation near highs would indicate strength, while sharp rejection could signal a trap. A minor pullback to support zones (753–755) could offer a second opportunity if structure holds. The next few candles will tell us whether this breakout becomes a trend or just a temporary spike.
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🧠 How to Trade PG ELECTROPLAST (For Educational Use Only):
Breakout Plan (Hypothetical):
🔹 Entry: Above 796.90 (only if price sustains)
🔹 Stop Loss: 736.95 (closing basis; risk-controlled)
🔹 Trade Logic: Use position sizing as per capital and SL distance
🔹 Risk-Reward: Look for 1:1 minimum, trail for 1:2+ if structure expands — don’t fix targets, let the chart lead
🔹 Pullback Buy: Into 753–755 zone with same SL (if structure supports)
________________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
________________________________________________________________________________
💬 Found this helpful?
Where would you look for a trade in PG — breakout follow-through or pullback into the support zone?
Share your thoughts or questions in the comments ⬇️
🔁 Share this with your trading community
✅ Follow STWP for clean technical setups backed by price action and volume
🚀 Let’s trade with patience, logic, and clarity!
Be Self-Reliant | Trade with Patience | Learn with Logic
________________________________________________________________________________
METROPOLIS – Big Volume Breakout + Price Action + Momentum___________________________________________________________________________
📈 METROPOLIS – Big Volume Breakout | Strong Momentum Building |
Price Action | Volume Structure
🕒 Chart Type: Daily Chart
📆 Date: July 9, 2025
___________________________________________________________________________
Price Action: METROPOLIS HEALTHCARE LTD has delivered a strong breakout on the daily chart, moving out of a multi-week consolidation zone between 1880–1910 with a wide-range bullish candle on July 9. This breakout above the key resistance of 2110.9 comes with a clean structure, strong closing, and sharp momentum — now placing the stock near its 52-week high. The accumulation phase is likely over, and this price action suggests the beginning of a new trend. As a key player in the diagnostics sector, METROPOLIS is gaining renewed attention post-COVID, with the healthcare space showing strong tailwinds and fresh investor interest.
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Chart Pattern: The chart is showing a Flat Base Breakout following a multi-week consolidation, indicating the potential beginning of a new momentum leg within the broader structure. Notably, the base was tight and shallow, which is considered a strong bullish signal as it reflects controlled accumulation and limited profit-booking. This clean breakout hints at renewed strength and the possibility of sustained upside if volume and structure hold.
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Candlestick Pattern: NA
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Volume Analysis: The volume analysis strongly supports the breakout, with trading volume on the breakout day soaring to over 5 times the average of the past 20 sessions. This surge was not just in quantity but also in delivery volume, signaling that the move was backed by genuine long-term accumulation rather than intraday speculation. As the classic saying goes, “volume precedes price” — and this sharp spike clearly points to smart money entering the stock, lending credibility to the breakout and hinting at further upside potential.
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Technical Indicators: The technical indicators paint a strongly bullish picture. The RSI on the daily timeframe is at 84, which, while overbought, reflects strength and momentum rather than exhaustion. The MACD has triggered a bullish crossover, with a steadily rising histogram indicating a healthy momentum buildup. Both CCI and Stochastic oscillators are deep in bullish territory — CCI above 300 and Stochastic over 88 — highlighting the intensity of the current uptrend. Additionally, the price has expanded beyond the upper Bollinger Band, suggesting the start of a volatility expansion phase, which often accompanies strong directional moves.
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Support & Resistance: The stock has given a decisive breakout above ₹2110.9, which now acts as a strong reference point and the official top of its recent consolidation range. This level was pierced by a bullish candle backed by high volume, confirming strength and conviction in the move. Ahead, the stock faces its first hurdle at ₹2157, a short-term resistance just above the breakout zone where minor profit-booking may emerge. Beyond that, ₹2256.1 marks a key medium-term resistance aligned with a previous swing high — a level to watch closely if the rally continues on solid volume. For positional traders, ₹2401.3 stands as a distant resistance zone that, while weak, could be relevant if momentum accelerates. On the downside, ₹1912.7 offers immediate support, being the level that held firm during base formation. If deeper retracements occur, ₹1767.5 and ₹1668.4 are layered supports where the price previously showed strength. At the very base lies ₹1315, the major long-term demand zone — a structural support that triggered the prior trend and serves as the final defence in case of any broad weakness.
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What’s Catching Our Eye: The price has decisively broken above a multi-week resistance zone, and what makes this move stand out is the massive volume backing it. This isn't just a random spike — it's a structured breakout with all the internals lining up beautifully. Momentum indicators like RSI, MACD, CCI, and Stochastic are all in bullish alignment, confirming that the strength is real and not a one-off event. This kind of confluence often signals the start of a meaningful trend, not just a short-lived rally.
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What We’re Watching For: The key question now is whether the price can sustain above ₹2110.9, the breakout level, without slipping back into the previous range — a crucial sign of breakout validation. We're also keeping an eye out for a healthy pullback toward the ₹1880–₹1910 zone, which could offer a far better risk-reward entry if the uptrend remains intact. Most importantly, the bigger picture is in focus: Is this the beginning of a larger trend aiming for ₹2400+, or are we simply witnessing a short-term momentum burst? The next few sessions will be critical in answering that.
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Best Buy Level for Equity (Low Risk Idea): A low-risk buying opportunity opens above ₹2110.9, but only if the price sustains this breakout for a day or two — confirming strength and avoiding a false breakout scenario. Alternatively, a pullback to the ₹1880–₹1910 zone could offer an excellent risk-reward setup, especially if accompanied by a clear bullish reversal signal (like a strong candle or volume spike). In both cases, keep a strict stop loss at ₹1839 on a closing basis to protect against deeper downside.
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Sector Tailwinds: The diagnostic sector continues to build long-term strength in the post-COVID landscape, as healthcare awareness and preventive testing become mainstream. Investors are increasingly allocating capital toward healthcare services, recognizing their structural growth potential. Add to that the rising urban demand for quality diagnostics and the company's strong brand trust, and you get a solid layer of fundamental support fueling this rally — making the technical breakout even more meaningful.
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Risk to Watch: If the price fails to hold above ₹2110 and starts slipping below ₹1910, there’s a real risk of this breakout turning into a false move. While the current momentum is strong, indicators are overheated, which increases the chances of a short-term pullback or shakeout. Most importantly — no confirmation means no trade. Avoid chasing blindly; let the price action validate the move before committing capital.
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What to Expect Next: The stock may see a sideways move or a minor pullback toward the ₹1910 zone as it digests the breakout. However, if the price holds above the breakout level, we could see a continuation move toward ₹2157–₹2256 in the near term. The key to watch is volume — if the stock holds near highs with rising volume over the next 2–3 sessions, it could trigger a strong trending move, confirming that smart money is firmly in control.
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How to Trade METROPOLIS (For Educational Use Only):
Here’s a simple Breakout Trade Plan based on current structure and volume confirmation:
🔹 Entry: Above ₹2110.9 — either on a successful retest of the breakout level or a clean follow-through candle with strength
🔹 Stop Loss: ₹1839 (on closing basis) to protect capital in case of breakdown
🔹 Risk-Reward: Aim for 1:1 initially, then trail for 1:2+ if momentum holds
🔹 Position Sizing: Adjust based on your capital, risk appetite, and SL range — avoid going all-in; stay disciplined with allocation
📌 Always follow your trading plan. This setup is for educational and analysis purposes only.
___________________________________________________________________________
⚠️ Disclaimer (Please Read):
• This chart is shared for educational purposes only and is not investment advice.
• I am not a SEBI-registered advisor.
• The information provided here is based on personal market observation.
• No buy/sell recommendations are being made.
• Please do your own research or consult a registered financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
• Trading involves risk. Always use proper risk management.
___________________________________________________________________________
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What would be your ideal entry in this METROPOLIS setup — breakout follow-through or demand zone pullback?
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OIL : A good stock to kept under your radarOil India is engaged in exploration, development and production of crude oil & natural gas, production of LPG, transportation of crude oil & natural gas and generation of renewable energy. The Stock is stuck in a range forming a symmetrical triangle where the bottoms are getting higher and higher and we may see a break out very soon. Due to high consolidation , the breakout may lead to a sharp increase in the value of the stock in a very short span of time. Hope we see this break out today itself. The entry level is 263 with stop loss of 254.53
My Targets for this stock are 297.85 , 331.40 and 374.05
Please remember , this analysis is only for education purpose and does not carry any TIP to buy or sell the stock. Please make your own analysis and invest accordingly.
Good Luck !!!
BEGINNERS RULE :1. Before starting any new venture, we must learn the basics of that subject.
So, learn the basic ABCD of trading.
2. Beginners should avoid the Futures and Option (f&o) trading.
First, one needs to get a good grip over the cash equity segment.
3. Learn technical analysis and try to master any one strategy and stick to it.
4. Avoid dependence on anyone for too long,
"Trust your own setup always”
5. Don't be impressed so quickly and start dreaming after seeing other trader's earning or profits screenshot.
6. 'Simplicity is the best policy.' Keep your analysis simple and stick to basics.
7. Backtest your new setup for at least 3 months to find out the Return on Investment (ROI) percentage.
8. Price Action is above all. Don't complicate your study with too many indicators/tools.
We have come here to earn money, not to complete a Ph.D.
9. Avoid business/finance TV channel recommendations.
Don't follow it blindly.
10. Mistakes are fine but try to avoid committing again and again.
11. Use proper and safe trailing stop-loss.
Keep learning and earning.
Happy profit making :)
How to be successful by following the foot prints of Big Banks.A Very simple way to identify the foot prints of Big banks / Institutions / Big players in trading.
Why to follow the big banks ?
Because they are the market leaders who decide the direction of a market, and also they never loose their position most of the
time.
So who will be successful ? following big players or the one who follow retailers?
So hope you can find the answer - the one following the big banks / or institutions.
This can be achieved by finding the Valid Supply and Demand Zones and taking trade at those Zones only.
More info is given in below comments
Stock market basics Part:21. Buy the right investment
Buying the right stock is so much easier said than done. Anyone can see a stock that’s performed well in the past, but anticipating the performance of a stock in the future is much more difficult. If you want to succeed by investing in individual stocks, you have to be prepared to do a lot of work to analyze a company and manage the investment.
“When you start looking at statistics you’ve got to remember that the professionals are looking at each and every one of those companies with much more rigor than you can probably do as an individual, so it’s a very difficult game for the individual to win over time,” says Dan Keady, CFP, chief financial planning strategist at TIAA.
If you’re analyzing a company, you’ll want to look at a company’s fundamentals – earnings per share (EPS) or a price-earnings ratio (P/E ratio), for example. But you’ll have to do so much more: analyze the company’s management team, evaluate its competitive advantages, study its financials, including its balance sheet and income statement. Even these items are just the start.
Keady says going out and buying stock in your favorite product or company isn’t the right way to go about investing. Also, don’t put too much faith in past performance because it’s no guarantee of the future.
You’ll have to study the company and anticipate what’s coming next, a tough job in good times.
2. Avoid individual stocks if you’re a beginner
Everyone has heard someone talk about a big stock win or a great stock pick.
“What they forget about is that often they’re not talking about those particular investments that they also own that did very, very poorly over time,” Keady says. “So sometimes people have an unrealistic expectation about the kind of returns that they can make in the stock market. And sometimes they confuse luck with skill. You can get lucky sometimes picking an individual stock. It’s hard to be lucky over time and avoid those big downturns also.”
Remember, to make money consistently in individual stocks, you need to know something that the forward-looking market isn’t already pricing into the stock price. Keep in mind that for every seller in the market, there’s a buyer for those same shares who’s equally sure they will profit.
“There are tons of smart people doing this for a living, and if you’re a novice, the likelihood of you outperforming that is not very good,” says Tony Madsen, CFP, founder of NewLeaf Financial Guidance in Redwood Falls, Minnesota.
An alternative to individual stocks is an index fund, which can be either a mutual fund or an exchange traded fund (ETF). These funds hold dozens or even hundreds of stocks. And each share you purchase of a fund owns all the companies included in the index.
Unlike stock, mutual funds and ETFs may have annual fees, though some funds are free.
3. Create a diversified portfolio
One of the key advantages of an index fund is that you immediately have a range of stocks in the fund. For example, if you own a broadly diversified fund based on the S&P 500, you’ll own stocks in hundreds of companies across many different industries. But you could also buy a narrowly diversified fund focused on one or two industries.
Diversification is important because it reduces the risk of any one stock in the portfolio hurting the overall performance very much, and that actually improves your overall returns. In contrast, if you’re buying only one individual stock, you really do have all your eggs in one basket.
The easiest way to create a broad portfolio is by buying an ETF or a mutual fund. The products have diversification built into them, and you don’t have to do any analysis of the companies held in the index fund.
“It may not be the most exciting, but it’s a great way to start,” Keady says. “And again, it gets you out of thinking that you’re gonna be so smart, that you’re going to be able to pick the stocks that are going to go up, won’t go down and know when to get in and out of them.”
When it comes to diversification, that doesn’t just mean many different stocks. It also means investments that are spread among different asset classes – since stock in similar sectors may move in a similar direction for the same reason.
4. Be prepared for a downturn
The hardest issue for most investors is stomaching a loss in their investments. And because the stock market can fluctuate, you will have losses occur from time to time. You’ll have to steel yourself to handle these losses, or you’ll be apt to buy high and sell low during a panic.
As long as you diversify your portfolio, any single stock that you own shouldn’t have too much of an impact on your overall return. If it does, buying individual stocks might not be the right choice for you. Even index funds will fluctuate, so you can’t get rid of all of your risk, try how you might.
“Anytime the market changes we have this propensity to try to pull back or to second guess our willingness to be in,” says NewLeaf’s Madsen.
That’s why it’s important to prepare yourself for downturns that could come out of nowhere, as one did in 2020. You need to ride out short-term volatility to get attractive long-term returns.
In investing, you need to know that it’s possible to lose money, since stocks don’t have principal guarantees. If you’re looking for a guaranteed return, perhaps a high-yield CD might be better.
The concept of market volatility can be difficult for new and even experienced investors to understand, cautions Keady.
“One of the interesting things is people will see the market’s volatile because the market’s going down,” Keady says. “Of course, when it’s going up it’s also volatile – at least from a statistical standpoint – it’s moving all over the place. So it’s important for people to say that the volatility that they’re seeing on the upside, they’ll also see on the downside.”
5. Try a stock market simulator before investing real money
One way to enter the world of investing without taking risk is to use a stock simulator. Using an online trading account with virtual dollars won’t put your real money at risk. You’ll also be able to determine how you would react if this really were your money that you gained or lost.
“That can be really helpful because it can help people overcome the belief that they’re smarter than the market,” Keady says. “That they can always pick the best stocks, always buy and sell in the market at the right time.”
Asking yourself why you’re investing can help determine if investing in stocks is for you.
“If their thought is that they’re going to somehow outperform the market, pick all the best stocks, maybe it’s a good idea to try some type of simulator or watch some stocks and see if you could actually do it,” Keady says. “Then if you’re more serious about investing over time, then I think you’re much better off – almost all of us, including myself – to have a diversified portfolio such as provided by mutual funds or exchange traded funds.”
(Bankrate reviewed some of the best investing apps, including a few fun stock simulators.)
6. Stay committed to your long-term portfolio
Keady says investing should be a long-term activity. He also says you should divorce yourself from the daily news cycle.
By skipping the daily financial news, you’ll be able to develop patience, which you’ll need if you want to stay in the investing game for the long term. It’s also useful to look at your portfolio infrequently, so that you don’t become too unnerved or too elated. These are great tips for beginners who have yet to manage their emotions when investing.
“Some of the news cycle, at times it becomes 100 percent negative and it can become overwhelming for people,” Keady says.
One strategy for beginners is to set up a calendar and predetermine when you’ll be evaluating your portfolio. Sticking to this guideline will prevent you from selling out of a stock during some volatility – or not getting the full benefit of a well-performing investment, Keady says.
7. Start now
Choosing the perfect opportunity to jump in and invest in the stock market typically doesn’t work well. Nobody knows with 100 percent certainty the best time to get in. And investing is meant to be a long-term activity. There is no perfect time to start.
“One of the core points with investing is not just to think about it, but to get started,” Keady says. “And start now. Because if you invest now, and often over time, that compounding is the thing that can really drive your results. If you want to invest, it’s very important to actually get started and have … an ongoing savings program, so that we can reach our goals over time.”
8. Avoid short-term trading
Understanding whether you’re investing for the long-term future or the short term can also help determine your strategy – and whether you should be investing at all. Sometimes short-term investors can have unrealistic expectations about growing their money. And research shows that most short-term investors, such as day traders, lose money. You’re competing against high-powered investors and well-programmed computers that may better understand the market.
New investors need to be aware that buying and selling stocks frequently can get expensive. It can create taxes and other fees, even if a broker’s headline trading commission is zero.
If you’re investing for the short term, you risk not having your money when you need it.
“When I’m advising clients … anything under a couple of years, even sometimes three years out, I’m hesitant to take too much market risk with those dollars,” Madsen says.
Depending on your financial goals, a savings account, money market account or a short-term CD may be better options for short-term money. Experts often advise investors that they should invest in the stock market only if they can keep the money invested for at least three to five years. Money that you need for a specific purpose in the next couple years should probably be invested in low-risk investments, such as a high-yield savings account or a high-yield CD.
Bottom line
Investing in the stock market can be very rewarding, especially if you avoid some of the pitfalls that most new investors experience when starting out. Beginners should find an investing plan that works for them and stick to it through the good times and bad.