Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

The 1% Rule – How to Survive Long-Term in Crypto TradingHello Traders! Most traders think the secret to success in crypto is catching the next 10x coin. But real wealth in trading doesn’t come from big wins, it comes from not blowing up your account. The difference between a professional and a gambler is simple: risk per trade. That’s where the legendary 1% Rule comes in, the rule that separates survivors from those who disappear after every market crash. 1. What Is the 1% Rule? The 1% Rule means you never risk more than 1% of your total capital on a single trade. If your trading account is $10,000, your maximum loss per trade should not exceed $100. This rule doesn’t limit your profit, it protects your ability to keep playing the game. In crypto, where volatility is extreme, following this one principle can literally decide whether you last one month or one decade. 2. Why It Works in Every Market It removes emotional pressure, because you know even a losing trade won’t destroy your account. It keeps you focused on process, not outcome. It builds discipline automatically, you start thinking in probabilities, not predictions. Most traders fail because they risk 10–20% per trade hoping to get rich fast. They might win a few time, but it only takes one bad trade to lose everything. 3. How to Apply It Practically First, calculate your total trading capital (only what you can afford to lose). Multiply it by 0.01, that’s your maximum loss per trade. Now adjust your position size so that your stop loss equals that 1%. For example: if your stop loss is 5%, your position size should be 20% of your total capital. This method works whether you’re trading Bitcoin, Ethereum, or even meme coins. 4. The Psychological Edge It Gives You When you know your loss is small, you stop fearing the market. You think more clearly, follow rules better, and avoid revenge trades. Over time, this creates emotional stability, the most powerful trading skill of all. The 1% Rule is not just about numbers, it’s about peace of mind. Rahul’s Tip: Every professional trader survives on one rule: Protect capital first, profit second. If you lose 50% of your account, you need 100% gain just to recover. But if you risk only 1% per trade, you can lose 10 trades in a row and still live to trade again. Conclusion: The 1% Rule may sound boring, but it’s the foundation of every consistent trader’s journey. It teaches patience, discipline, and emotional control, the real “alpha” in trading. Follow it long enough, and you’ll realize success in crypto isn’t about being lucky, it’s about being alive in the market long enough to win. If this post helped you see risk in a new way, like it, share your thoughts in comments, and follow for more practical trading psychology insights!
Education
by TraderRahulPal
1
RBLANK: Volume Squeeze Hints at Major BreakoutIdea Summary: Daily Time frame RBLANK formed a massive 'Mother Candle' on Oct 20, 2025, then consolidated inside its range for 7 days. Volume has been declining during this compression, creating a classic volatility squeeze. The stage is set for a high-probability breakout. Trade Setup (Bullish Breakout): Trigger: Daily close above 328.85 Confirmation: Surge in volume (must exceed 20-period average) Target 1: 340 Target 2: 380 Target 3: 400 Stop Loss: 302 (trail stops after T1) The Rationale: The mother candle showed institutional interest. The 7-day consolidation with declining volume indicates exhaustion of sellers. Any breakout with significant volume expansion confirms fresh buying momentum, suggesting a sustained move. Volume Logic: Declining volume during consolidation + volume expansion on breakout = high-probability trade. Without volume confirmation, the breakout lacks conviction. Risk: Position size according to the 302-329 risk range. False breakouts possible without volume confirmation. Disclaimer: Educational purpose only. Trade at your own risk.
NSE:RBLBANKLong
by Alert_Trader
2
Part 1 Intraday Master ClassParticipants in Option Markets There are generally four participants in an options market: Buyers of Call Options – Expect prices to rise. Sellers (Writers) of Call Options – Expect prices to remain stable or fall. Buyers of Put Options – Expect prices to fall. Sellers (Writers) of Put Options – Expect prices to remain stable or rise. Buyers pay the premium and hold limited risk but unlimited profit potential. Sellers receive the premium but bear potentially unlimited risk, especially in the case of uncovered or “naked” positions. This difference in risk profile defines the strategic balance of the options market.
Education
by SkyTradingZone
The Need for a Consistent Trading PlanIntroduction Trading in financial markets—whether in equities, commodities, forex, or derivatives—is often perceived as an exciting path to wealth creation. However, behind the scenes of every successful trader lies one defining trait: consistency. Consistency is not born out of luck or intuition—it is the result of a well-structured, disciplined, and thoroughly tested trading plan. A consistent trading plan acts as the trader’s compass, providing clarity, direction, and control in an environment that is inherently uncertain and volatile. Without a trading plan, traders often operate based on emotions, market noise, or impulse decisions, which inevitably leads to losses. On the other hand, a well-defined and consistently executed trading plan transforms randomness into a structured process. It allows traders to manage risk, measure performance, and refine strategies over time. This essay explores the concept of a consistent trading plan, its importance, components, and the discipline required to execute it effectively. 1. What is a Trading Plan? A trading plan is a detailed, rule-based framework that defines how a trader approaches the market. It includes the criteria for identifying trade opportunities, entry and exit rules, position sizing, risk management strategies, and post-trade evaluation procedures. Think of it as a business plan for trading. Just as a business outlines its goals, market strategy, and risk controls, a trader’s plan defines how they will interact with the market to achieve consistent profitability. A good trading plan answers key questions such as: What markets and instruments will I trade? What is my risk per trade and overall capital exposure? What are my entry and exit signals? How will I track my performance and learn from my mistakes? By answering these questions in advance, traders avoid making impulsive decisions in the heat of the moment. 2. Why Consistency Matters in Trading In trading, success is not measured by one or two profitable trades, but by long-term, repeatable performance. Market conditions constantly change—bullish trends, bearish phases, sideways consolidations, or high-volatility spikes. A consistent trading plan helps traders adapt to these variations while keeping their emotions under control. Consistency offers several key benefits: Reduces Emotional Trading: Fear and greed are the two biggest enemies of traders. A consistent plan acts as a stabilizer, ensuring decisions are based on predefined logic rather than emotional reactions. Enables Objective Decision-Making: Without a plan, traders may chase market noise or react to every piece of news. A trading plan enforces objectivity—each trade is taken based on established criteria. Improves Risk Management: Consistent execution ensures that traders control losses and protect their capital through stop-loss levels and position sizing rules. Enhances Learning and Refinement: When trades follow a structured plan, it becomes easier to review results, identify strengths and weaknesses, and make data-driven improvements. Builds Long-Term Confidence: Confidence in trading doesn’t come from winning trades—it comes from knowing you’re following a system that works over time. Consistency breeds trust in one’s process. 3. Components of a Consistent Trading Plan To build a consistent trading plan, traders must focus on certain core components that collectively define their market approach: a. Trading Goals and Objectives Every plan begins with clear, measurable goals. These may include monthly return targets, maximum drawdown limits, or growth percentages. Goals must be realistic and aligned with one’s risk tolerance, time availability, and experience level. For example, a goal like “I aim for 2–3% monthly returns while limiting losses to 1% per trade” gives structure to performance evaluation. b. Market and Timeframe Selection Consistency requires focus. A trader cannot master every market at once. Choosing a few instruments (like NIFTY, BANKNIFTY, or gold futures) and timeframes (1-day, 1-hour, or 15-minute charts) helps maintain clarity and specialization. c. Entry and Exit Criteria This section defines when to buy or sell. Traders may use technical indicators (e.g., moving averages, RSI, MACD), chart patterns (e.g., breakouts, pullbacks), or price action setups. The entry must be rule-based, not guesswork. Similarly, exits should be pre-planned—whether taking profits at a target level or cutting losses with a stop-loss. d. Risk Management and Position Sizing No plan is complete without robust risk management. Professional traders prioritize capital preservation above profit. A common rule is to risk only 1–2% of total capital per trade. Position sizing—how many shares or contracts to buy—should be determined mathematically, based on account size and stop-loss distance. e. Trade Management Rules A consistent trader doesn’t simply “enter and hope.” Trade management involves adjusting stop-loss levels, booking partial profits, or trailing positions as the market evolves. This keeps risk and reward balanced throughout the trade. f. Record-Keeping and Journaling Every trade should be documented: the reasoning, entry and exit points, emotional state, and outcome. Reviewing this journal regularly provides invaluable insights into behavioral patterns and strategy performance. g. Review and Improvement Cycle A consistent trading plan is dynamic. Markets evolve, and so must the plan. Regular performance reviews help identify areas for improvement. The key is evolution, not random changes—adjustments should be data-driven. 4. The Psychological Edge of Consistency A consistent trading plan doesn’t just enhance strategy—it strengthens psychology. The emotional rollercoaster of trading—fear of missing out (FOMO), revenge trading, overconfidence after wins, panic after losses—can destroy discipline. Consistency offers psychological stability by turning trading into a structured process rather than an emotional gamble. Here’s how: Reduces Anxiety: Knowing you have clear rules removes uncertainty and decision fatigue. Builds Patience: Traders wait for valid setups instead of forcing trades. Encourages Discipline: You learn to follow the plan, not market noise. Manages Expectations: When you know your system’s average win rate and risk-reward ratio, you stop chasing unrealistic profits. In essence, consistency transforms trading from a game of luck into a business of probability and process. 5. The Dangers of Trading Without a Plan Many traders enter markets driven by excitement, social media influence, or quick-profit fantasies. Without a plan, they rely on instincts, tips, or random indicators—eventually leading to repeated losses. Here’s what happens without consistency: Emotional Trading: Decisions are based on fear, greed, or impatience. Overtrading: Jumping into multiple trades without strategy or confirmation. Lack of Risk Control: Traders often hold onto losing trades, hoping for reversal. No Learning Path: Without tracking and review, mistakes are repeated endlessly. Statistics suggest that over 90% of retail traders lose money, not because the markets are unfair, but because they lack a structured, consistent plan. 6. Building Consistency Through Testing and Backtesting Before going live with any plan, traders must test their strategies on historical data (backtesting) and real-time demo trading (forward testing). This process validates whether the plan has a statistical edge. For example, if a swing trader tests a breakout strategy on the NIFTY 50 index and finds it profitable across multiple time periods, they gain confidence in executing it consistently. Testing filters out randomness and reveals realistic performance expectations—win rates, drawdowns, and average returns. 7. Adapting Consistency to Market Conditions While consistency is vital, rigidity can be harmful. A consistent trading plan doesn’t mean never changing—it means changing systematically. For instance, in volatile markets, a trader might widen stop-loss levels or reduce position size. During low-volatility phases, they might switch to mean-reversion strategies. The key is to maintain the same disciplined process even when strategies are adjusted. 8. Consistency in Risk and Money Management Consistency extends beyond strategy execution—it must also apply to money management. Traders who randomly change lot sizes, risk percentages, or capital allocation undermine their own progress. A consistent approach ensures: Stable risk per trade. Balanced portfolio exposure. Protection against large drawdowns. Even with a 60% win rate, consistent risk control ensures long-term profitability. 9. The Role of Patience and Discipline Two pillars support every consistent trading plan: patience and discipline. Patience allows traders to wait for the right setups; discipline ensures they act according to the plan, even when tempted to deviate. The best traders are not those who predict markets perfectly, but those who execute consistently under all conditions. 10. Case Study Example Consider two traders, A and B. Trader A follows a defined swing trading plan: trades only NIFTY and BANKNIFTY, risks 1% per trade, uses a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, and journals every trade. Trader B trades based on social media tips, changes indicators weekly, and risks variable amounts based on “gut feeling.” Over a year, Trader A may have losing streaks but will likely grow steadily. Trader B, despite some big wins, will end up inconsistent and likely lose capital. The difference is not skill—it’s discipline and consistency. 11. Conclusion In the world of trading, consistency is the bridge between knowledge and success. The market rewards those who operate with structure, patience, and emotional control—qualities only a consistent trading plan can instill. A trading plan does not guarantee profits in every trade, but it guarantees process integrity—a structured way to manage uncertainty. With a consistent plan, traders can measure progress, adapt intelligently, and sustain longevity in the markets. Ultimately, trading is not about predicting every market move—it’s about preparing for every possibility. And that preparation begins with one essential tool: a consistent trading plan.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st OctoberBased on the charts and the market's performance on Wednesday, October 30, the Nifty experienced a sharp reversal/correction in the last half of the session, pulling back significantly from the high established earlier in the day. The index closed below a critical short-term support level. Detailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Nifty is now in a Corrective Phase within its broader uptrend. The price broke out of the ascending channel to the upside in the morning but was aggressively rejected from the 26,100 - 26,200 supply zone (All-Time High area). The final 4H candle is a large bearish candle, confirming the Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price closed right on the 9-period EMA (blue line on the chart). Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 26,000 - 26,100. This area (the breakdown level and psychological mark) is the immediate overhead resistance. Major Demand (Support): 25,750 - 25,800. This area, which includes the lower boundary of the previous steep channel and a key FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the medium-term rally. Outlook: The short-term bias is Bearish. The sharp reversal suggests strong profit-booking, and the market is likely to seek lower support levels. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart clearly shows the massive selling pressure that followed the failure to break the high. The price has broken below the lower trendline of the immediate ascending channel and has formed a distinct descending channel during the last hours of trading. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 25,950 (The breakdown level and upper boundary of the descending channel). Immediate Support: 25,750 - 25,800. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the steep descending channel and strong intraday bearish control. The market closed near its low, indicating bears are dominant for the open. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 25,950. Intraday Demand: 25,750 - 25,800. Outlook: Strongly Bearish for the session open. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is highly favored. 📈 Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st October Market Outlook: The Nifty witnessed an aggressive reversal after failing to make a new ATH. The primary strategy is to sell the breakdown or sell into any weak rise. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan: Correction Continuation) Justification: The aggressive rejection from the supply zone and the breakdown of the short-term bullish structure favor continuation toward the main FVG support. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 25,750. Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 25,950 level (upper channel/FVG). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 26,100 (above the high of the breakdown). Targets: T1: 25,600 (Next major support). T2: 25,400 - 25,500 (Major FVG demand zone). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal) Justification: Only valid if the Fed decision was extremely dovish, leading to a strong gap-up that negates the current selling structure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above 26,100. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 26,100. Stop Loss (SL): Below 25,900. Targets: T1: 26,277 (All-Time High retest). T2: 26,500 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 25,750 - 25,950 zone. Bearish Confirmation: Sustained trade below 25,750. Bullish Warning: A move back above 26,000. Line in the Sand: 25,750. Below this level, the short-term bias is strongly bearish.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Tatva Price ActionTatva Chintan Pharma Chem Ltd is trading near ₹1,069, having increased by about 2% in the latest session. The stock’s annual price range is between ₹621 and ₹1,233, showing a modest 4.65% gain over the past year but remains roughly 57% below its level from three years ago. It has a market capitalization of roughly ₹2,500 crore, placing it among mid-size specialty chemical companies. Technically, Tatva Chintan has mild upward momentum, supported by recent gains in both the short and medium term. The price is riding above its 20-day average and consolidating just under the recent ₹1,080-1,100 resistance zone. Volatility has diminished over the past month as the stock stabilizes after its sharp rally from yearly lows. Average volumes are healthy, and trend-following indicators continue to point to cautious optimism. Fundamentally, recent quarterly results showed a nearly 15% sequential revenue jump, with earnings per share at 2.8. However, the company’s price-to-earnings ratio is extremely high—well above 340—reflecting an expensive valuation relative to current earnings. Book value per share is ₹315.8, with the price-to-book ratio at 3.32. Operating expenses and employee costs expanded during the last quarter, and net profit slipped by over 30% sequentially, but rose more than 27% year-on-year. Profit margins face pressure, and return on equity has been declining, though debt levels remain low and a portion of profit has been returned as dividends. Long-term investors may need to wait for further earnings improvement or a more attractive valuation, while short-term price action favors range-bound strategies between the current levels and the next resistance close to ₹1,100. The sector outlook remains positive, but valuation and profit growth trends are the primary factors to monitor going forward.
NSE:TATVA
by KamalKJoshi
MCD Bulls Loading: Major Wave (3) Move ComingMcDonald’s has completed a clean 5-wave push to the upside, finishing Wave (1)/(A) near the recent high. After that, price entered a corrective channel forming an A-B-C pullback, which now looks close to completing as Wave (2)/(B). The drop is losing momentum near support, suggesting sellers are running out of strength. Once this correction finishes, the chart expects a sharp bullish move into Wave (3)/(C), targeting higher levels above recent highs. In simple terms: correction almost done → strong upside continuation likely. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
NYSE:MCDLong
by Money_Dictators
GBP/USD Correction Almost Done: Bulls LoadingGBP/USD has already completed a big corrective structure from the previous high and is now moving inside a complex W-X-Y pattern. The current drop is forming the final C-wave of Wave Y, which suggests the bearish move is close to finishing. Price is likely to dip slightly lower near the support zone before finding buyers again. Once this final leg completes, the chart expects a strong bullish reversal to the upside. In simple terms, one more small drop to finish the correction, then GBP/USD should bounce and start a new uptrend. Stay tuned! @Money_Dictators Thank you :)
by Money_Dictators
LANCORHOL Price ActionAs of **October 25, 2025**, **Lancor Holdings Limited (NSE: LANCORHOL)** closed at approximately **₹22.64**, marking a **4.6% gain** for the session after opening at ₹22.20. The stock traded between **₹21.68 and ₹23.44**, showing stable volume activity with around **1.07 lakh shares** traded. The company’s **market capitalization** stands near **₹166.5 crore**. Fundamentally, the firm has a **P/E ratio of about 87.1**, which is relatively high compared to its sector, reflecting market expectations of future growth despite modest earnings. Its **EPS** is **₹0.26**, and the share trades below both the **50-day** (₹23.09) and **200-day moving averages** (₹23.75), suggesting mild short-term consolidation. Technically, the stock is in a **sideways pattern** post its mid-year decline from a **52-week high of ₹45.90**. **Support** lies around **₹21.5–₹22**, while **resistance** is seen near **₹23.8–₹24.2**. A breakout above ₹24.5 may trigger a short-term uptick toward ₹26–₹27 zones, whereas sustained trade below ₹21.5 might invite a drift toward ₹20. Lancor’s medium-term trend remains **neutral to slightly positive**, supported by stable project execution in real estate and manageable leverage. However, caution is warranted due to its thin profit margins and elevated valuation multiples, which suggest that the stock might consolidate before any substantial directional move.
NSE:LANCORHOLLong
by KamalKJoshi
INTELLECT Price ActionAs of **October 24, 2025**, **Intellect Design Arena Ltd (NSE: INTELLECT)** closed at **₹997.95**, gaining around **3.6%** from the previous close of ₹963.50. The stock opened at **₹965.00**, reached a **high of ₹1,008.00**, and a **low of ₹950.50**, supported by a trading volume of about **4.01 lakh shares**. The company’s **market capitalization** stands around **₹13,760 crore**, with an **EPS of ₹25.05** and a **P/E ratio near 39.8**, suggesting a moderate premium valuation compared to the IT sector average. The **50-day moving average** is around ₹985, and the **200-day moving average** near ₹925, indicating a continued uptrend in both short-term and medium-term momentum. From a technical perspective, the stock shows signs of strength after recent consolidation between ₹940 and ₹995. The **RSI level at ~60** supports sustained positive momentum without nearing the overbought zone. **Immediate support** lies near ₹970–₹975, while **resistance** is placed at ₹1,010–₹1,025. If the stock sustains above ₹1,010, it could aim for the next target range of ₹1,050–₹1,080. In the broader outlook, **Intellect Design Arena** remains fundamentally strong with consistent revenue growth in digital banking and fintech solutions. Robust margins, recurring international contracts, and growing adoption of its AI-driven platforms reinforce a bullish medium-term trend, though investors should watch for consolidation near ₹970 as a potential accumulation zone.
NSE:INTELLECTLong
by KamalKJoshi
CANARA BANK BREAKOUTCANARA BANK ADD ON YOUR WATCHLIST If you see in the chart, the rounding pattern has broken out and it is in the weekly time frame You can buy at Rs 125 and go up to the target of 146 and 163. The Stop-loss can be kept at 117.50 Note: Our posts are posted for learning purposes. You are responsible for any profit or loss you make from the advice given in the channel. Before investing in the stock market, you must consult your financial advisor. WE ARE NOT A SEBI REGISTERED
NSE:CANBKLong
by tradingwithdp
CANARA BANK ROUNDDING PATERN BREAKOUTCANARA BANK ( W ) ADD ON YOUR WATCHLIST If you see in the chart, the rounding pattern has broken out and it is in the weekly time frame You can buy at Rs 125 and go up to the target of 146 and 163. The stop loss can be kept at 117.50 Note: Our posts are posted for learning purposes. You are responsible for any profit or loss you make from the advice given in the channel. Before investing in the stock market, you must consult your financial advisor. WE ARE NOT A SEBI REGISTERED
NSE:CANBK
by tradingwithdp
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Sensex is now in a Corrective Phase within its broader uptrend. The price broke out of the ascending channel in the morning but was aggressively rejected from the 85,300 - 85,600 supply zone (recent high). The final 4H candle is a large bearish candle, confirming the Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price closed right on the lower trendline of the corrective pattern. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 85,000 - 85,300. This area (the high of the breakdown and psychological mark) is the immediate overhead resistance. Major Demand (Support): 84,200 - 84,400. This area, which includes the lower trendline of the current corrective pattern and a strong FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the medium-term rally. Outlook: The short-term bias is Bearish. The sharp reversal suggests strong profit-booking, and the market is likely to seek lower support levels. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart clearly shows the massive selling pressure that followed the failure at the high. The price has broken below the 9-period EMA and the lower trendline of the immediate ascending channel. The market is now trading right above the 84,400 support. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 85,000 (The breakdown level/FVG). Immediate Support: 84,200 - 84,400. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the steep descending channel formed during the correction. The market closed near its low, breaking below the immediate swing low and confirming intraday bearish control. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 84,800 (Upper channel trendline). Intraday Demand: 84,200. Outlook: Strongly Bearish for the session open. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is highly favored. 📈 Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st October Market Outlook: The Sensex witnessed an aggressive reversal after failing to break the recent high. The US Federal Reserve decision (post-market yesterday) will introduce high volatility. The primary strategy is to sell the breakdown or sell into any weak rise. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan: Correction Continuation) Justification: The aggressive rejection from the supply zone and the breakdown of the short-term bullish structure favor continuation toward the main FVG support. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 84,200. Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 84,800 level (upper channel/FVG). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 85,300 (above the high of the breakdown). Targets: T1: 83,800 (Lower channel support/FVG). T2: 83,600 (Major FVG demand zone). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal) Justification: Only valid if the Fed decision was extremely dovish, leading to a strong gap-up that negates the current selling structure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above 85,300. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 85,300. Stop Loss (SL): Below 84,800. Targets: T1: 85,600 (Upper channel boundary). T2: 86,000 (All-Time High retest). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 84,200 - 84,800 zone. Bearish Confirmation: Sustained trade below 84,200. Bullish Warning: A move back above 85,000. Line in the Sand: 84,200. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is strongly bearish.
BSE:SENSEXShort
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st OctoberDetailed Market Structure Breakdown 4-Hour Chart (Macro Trend) Structure: The Bank Nifty is now in a Corrective Phase within its broader uptrend. The price was aggressively rejected from the All-Time High zone (58,577) and the upper channel boundary. The final 4H candle is a large bearish candle, confirming the Market Structure Shift (MSS) to the downside. The price closed below the midline of the current ascending channel. Key Levels: Major Supply (Resistance): 58,300 - 58,400. This area (the breakdown level and the FVG) is the immediate overhead resistance. Major Demand (Support): 57,800 - 58,000. This area, which includes the lower trendline of the current ascending channel and a prior FVG (Fair Value Gap), is the must-hold zone for the medium-term rally. Outlook: The short-term bias is Bearish. The sharp reversal suggests strong profit-booking, and the market is likely to seek lower support levels. 1-Hour Chart (Intermediate View) Structure: The 1H chart clearly shows the massive selling pressure that followed the failure at the ATH. The price has broken below the 9-period EMA and is now trading right above the 57,800 support, which is the lower trendline of the channel. Key Levels: Immediate Resistance: 58,300 (The breakdown level/FVG). Immediate Support: 57,800 - 58,000. 15-Minute Chart (Intraday View) Structure: The 15M chart confirms the steep descending channel formed during the correction. The market closed near its low, breaking below the immediate swing low and confirming intraday bearish control. Key Levels: Intraday Supply: 58,200. Intraday Demand: 57,800. Outlook: Strongly Bearish for the session open. A "Sell on Rise" strategy is highly favored. 📈 Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 31st October Market Outlook: The Bank Nifty witnessed an aggressive reversal after failing to hit a new ATH. Bearish Scenario (Primary Plan: Correction Continuation) Justification: The aggressive rejection from the ATH zone and the breakdown of the short-term bullish structure favor continuation toward the main FVG support. Entry: Short entry on a decisive break and 15-minute candle close below 57,800. Alternatively, short a retest and rejection of the 58,200 level (upper channel/FVG). Stop Loss (SL): Place a stop loss above 58,400 (above the immediate breakdown high). Targets: T1: 57,500 (Psychological support). T2: 57,200 (Major FVG demand zone). Bullish Scenario (Counter-Trend/Reversal) Justification: Only valid if the Fed decision was extremely dovish, leading to a strong gap-up that negates the current selling structure. Trigger: A sustained move and close above 58,400. Entry: Long entry on a confirmed 15-minute close above 58,400. Stop Loss (SL): Below 58,100. Targets: T1: 58,577 (All-Time High retest). T2: 59,000 (Extension target). Key Levels for Observation: Immediate Decision Point: 57,800 - 58,200 zone. Bearish Confirmation: Sustained trade below 57,800. Bullish Warning: A move back above 58,400. Line in the Sand: 57,800. Below this level, the short-term bullish bias is strongly bearish.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
ACC BULLISH BREAKOUT WITH VCPThe stock has formed a strong support zone around the ₹1,855–₹1,860 range, repeatedly bouncing from this box over the past several months, and is now testing a long-term descending trendline that has capped price rallies since early 2024. Technical Implications If ACC breaks above the descending trendline with strong volumes, it could signal a bullish reversal, targeting higher levels toward ₹2,000+. Failure to break out may result in another pullback toward the support box, with any breakdown below ₹1,855 likely triggering further downside. Risk is relatively defined, with the support box acting as a key stop-loss zone for traders, and the trendline break providing possible momentum for upside.
NSE:ACC
by Jaydeeppandya97