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RUNEUSDT Thor's hammer almost Ready on a HighProbable QSD SetupAgain lets talk just the setup and what has just happened on the immediate left, QS1 in Blue, QSD1 Lift below QS1 bound to go beyond the HH of QS1 in blue. Same repeating for the bigger QS2 Fractal in white. We are at the QSD2 Bounce level (2.51). after giving a wick below the line, if we are holding this level. This is major buy SIGNAL till the QS2 HH (In white) and beyond The trade is as marked Trade Range 2.68->3.69->4.2->6.2->7.89->11.11 SL is as marked on the trade 1.91 Tight Relaxed 1.68 We might get similar waves structure or faster as marked in Green based on the replica of Previous lift @ QDS1 Safe trade is from Fib 0.5->1.619 of the Fib marked based on the expected first impulse of QSD2 Bounce ( Hence an early call ) But the extended targets are at fib 4.2 levels @11.11 $ What this Pick ! As its baby coin VTHOUSDT just showed us, something is cooking by moving from 0.2->1.2 almost 6X in a day. This trade might also execute like that, MIGHT ! BOOM !!
Long
by trancenaari
1
Warren Buffett’s 10 Golden Rules for Smart InvestingWhen it comes to investing, no name shines brighter than Warren Buffett. Known as the "Oracle of Omaha," Buffett has shared timeless principles that can help every investor achieve long-term success. Here's a breakdown of his golden rules to guide your trading and investment journey: 1. Never lose money. Buffett's most famous rule: "Rule No. 1: Never lose money. Rule No. 2: Never forget Rule No. 1." Protecting your capital is more important than chasing high returns. 2. Invest in what you understand. Focus on industries and businesses that you can analyze and comprehend. Investing in areas where you lack knowledge is a recipe for unnecessary risk. 3. Quality over quantity. Choose businesses with strong competitive advantages, consistent earnings, and exceptional management. Buffett calls these "wonderful businesses." 4. Patience pays. Buffett famously said, "The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." Successful investing requires the discipline to wait for the right opportunities. 5. Price vs. Value. "Price is what you pay, value is what you get." Always look for companies trading below their intrinsic value to maximize returns. 6. Avoid unnecessary debt. Buffett avoids borrowing money for investments and prefers companies with low debt. High leverage can amplify risks and lead to losses. 7. Think long-term. Invest with the mindset of holding a stock indefinitely, provided the business remains strong and continues to grow. 8. Be contrarian. Buffett advises, "Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy." Market downturns are opportunities to buy great companies at discounted prices. 9. Reinvest your earnings. Reinvest dividends and profits to harness the power of compounding, which is the key to exponential growth over time. 10. Commit to lifelong learning. Buffett spends hours reading every day to expand his knowledge. Continuous learning is essential to stay ahead in the market. By following these rules, you can build a strong foundation for long-term success in the stock market. Remember, investing isn’t about luck—it’s about strategy, discipline, and staying informed.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
EURUSD - 1H LONGFOREXCOM:EURUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!
Long
by Phinics
BIOCON : A Cup and Handle BreakoutIn this falling market BIOCON is showing a cup and handle Breakout with good amount of volume. Upside potential is 45% (approx.) ... CMP : 388 TG1 : 485 (High) TG2 : 570 SL : 329 TSL : Below 9 EMA Stock's selection based on 5 Point Analysis: 1: Idea : Breakout. 2: Support : Volume, Delivery . 3: Technical : 21/55/200-EMA, Super trend up, RS>0 RSI. 4: Fundamental : PE, PAT, Industry & peer PE and sector performance. 5: Timing : Entry Timing on Daily chart. Disclaimer : It is my personal view as a trader and for educational purpose only. Equity market involves risk . Please consult your financial adviser before taking any decision.
NSE:BIOCONLong
by SthitaprajnaYogi
3
USDCADUpward Trend and Consolidation: From mid-October to late November, there was a notable upward trend, which then entered a consolidation phase. Recent Price Action: The recent candlesticks show a mix of green (bullish) and red (bearish) candles, pointing to market indecision. Potential Reversal: Given the consolidation and trendlines, there's potential for a reversal in the trend. Support and Resistance Usage: These levels can help identify potential entry and exit points for trades.
Short
by EquityGainer
Accumulation Stock market always moves in cycles, switching between phases where investors either accumulate (buy) or distribute (sell) stocks. Understanding these phases helps us make better decisions. Recently, after Nifty broke its resistance zone of –23,300 and hit a lifetime high, the market pulled back, forming a pattern of Lower Lows and Lower Highs (LLLH). This pullback is part of an accumulation phase, where buyers are gradually stepping in at lower levels. The 23,000–23,300 zone remains a strong support level, indicating a solid foundation for the market. As we approach the budget, we can expect increased volatility, with the index potentially falling 500–700 points. However, this range offers a great opportunity to invest in high-quality value stocks, as these dips often set the stage for future growth. This is a time to stay calm, focus on your investment strategy, and take advantage of this accumulation phase to build a stronger portfolio. Patience and discipline are key in navigating these market conditions. Considering the Growth rate which took a southern trend in the past 2 quaters, indicates the market is looking for a fair vaulation, since the consumption has declined. The upcoming budget should hopefully boost the Capital Expenditure and motivate the masses to consume goods & services thereby bolstering the masses to consume goods & services. Keeping in mind this view I'm of a personal opinion that the Economy is at large still the fastest growing economy despite the downtrend due to macroeconomic factors. Note: I'm not a SEBI registered analyst, please consult your financial advisor before taking any investment opportunities.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by ANomadinTrading
Why does market do OPPOSITE of what you THINK ?Cognitive Biases and Heuristics in Trading: How Our Minds Impede Sound Decision Making Trading is often seen as a rational, data-driven activity, where success hinges on analysis, strategy, and execution. But, in reality, it is not just technical indicators and chart patterns that affect a trader’s performance. The human mind, with its biases and heuristics, plays a critical role in shaping our decisions — often in ways that undermine our trading success. Understanding how cognitive biases and heuristics affect our decision-making can help traders improve their strategies, minimize errors, and gain a psychological edge. Let’s dive into some of the most common cognitive traps in the trading world and explore how they can hinder rational decision-making. 1. **Confirmation Bias** Confirmation bias occurs when traders seek out information or interpret data in a way that confirms their preexisting beliefs or positions, rather than objectively considering all available evidence. **Example in Trading**: A trader who believes that a stock will rise may only pay attention to news or technical indicators that support this belief, while ignoring signals that suggest a downturn. This can lead to poor decision-making and missed opportunities for risk management. **How to Overcome It**: Traders can counter confirmation bias by deliberately seeking out opposing viewpoints, considering alternative scenarios, and challenging their assumptions regularly. --- 2. **Anchoring Bias** Anchoring bias occurs when traders rely too heavily on an initial piece of information (the “anchor”) when making decisions, even if it’s irrelevant or outdated. **Example in Trading**: A trader might base their decision to enter a trade on a stock’s price at a specific point in time, such as the price at the previous high. Even if market conditions have changed significantly, the trader may become anchored to that original price level, influencing their decision to buy or sell at suboptimal levels. **How to Overcome It**: Avoid clinging to arbitrary price levels and continuously reassess market conditions and fundamentals. Create flexible trading rules that consider the latest data. --- 3. **Overconfidence Bias** Overconfidence bias is when traders overestimate their knowledge or ability to predict market movements, leading to excessive risk-taking. **Example in Trading**: A trader who has experienced a few profitable trades may believe they can consistently predict market trends with high accuracy, causing them to take larger positions or use high leverage — which often results in significant losses. **How to Overcome It**: Traders should regularly assess their performance, acknowledge uncertainty, and be realistic about their capabilities. A strategy based on proper risk management, including stop-losses and position sizing, can help mitigate overconfidence. --- 4. **Loss Aversion** Loss aversion is a key concept in behavioral economics, referring to the tendency for individuals to prefer avoiding losses over acquiring equivalent gains. In trading, this manifests as an unwillingness to cut losses, leading traders to hold onto losing positions in the hopes that the market will turn around. **Example in Trading**: A trader may refuse to exit a losing position because they fear realizing a loss. This often results in the position bleeding out further, accumulating larger losses. **How to Overcome It**: Set predefined exit points or stop-loss orders to enforce discipline. Accept that losses are a natural part of trading, and focus on maintaining a balanced risk-to-reward ratio. --- 5. **Herding Bias** Herding bias refers to the tendency to follow the crowd and make decisions based on what others are doing, rather than relying on individual analysis. **Example in Trading**: A trader may buy into a stock simply because others are buying or because of social media hype, without understanding the fundamentals or technical indicators that might suggest otherwise. **How to Overcome It**: It’s important to have a clear strategy and stick to it, even when market sentiment is against you. Independent research and analysis should guide decisions, rather than the actions of others. --- 6. **Recency Bias** Recency bias is the tendency to give undue weight to recent events and to assume that they will continue in the future. In trading, this often leads to overreaction to short-term market movements. **Example in Trading**: After a stock has made a significant upward move, a trader may believe that the trend will continue simply because it has been recent, ignoring historical patterns or broader market conditions. **How to Overcome It**: Traders should look at long-term trends, not just recent price action. Implementing a comprehensive strategy based on multiple timeframes can help reduce the impact of recency bias. --- 7. **Endowment Effect** The endowment effect describes the tendency for people to place higher value on things they own simply because they own them. In trading, this leads to an irrational attachment to assets and positions. **Example in Trading**: A trader may be reluctant to sell a losing position because of the emotional attachment to the trade, leading them to hold onto it far too long. **How to Overcome It**: Approach each trade with a level of detachment. Regularly assess the value of your holdings based on current market conditions, not emotional attachment. --- 8. **Availability Heuristic** The availability heuristic is when people make decisions based on what information is most readily available to them, rather than evaluating all possible data. **Example in Trading**: A trader may recall a recent news story about a company and make a trading decision based on that single piece of information, without considering a broader range of data. **How to Overcome It**: Take a holistic approach to trading. Gather data from a wide variety of sources, including fundamental analysis, technical indicators, and macroeconomic trends, to ensure well-rounded decision-making. --- 9. **Gambler’s Fallacy** The gambler’s fallacy is the belief that past events can influence future outcomes in random events, even when the events are statistically independent. **Example in Trading**: A trader might think that after a series of consecutive losses, a win is “due,” leading them to take larger, riskier trades based on this false assumption. **How to Overcome It**: Recognize that markets operate based on probabilities, not patterns that guarantee outcomes. Stick to your strategy and avoid trying to “chase” losses with larger, riskier trades. --- 10. **Framing Effect** The framing effect occurs when people react to a particular choice depending on how it is presented, rather than based on the actual content or value of the choice. **Example in Trading**: A trader may interpret a "loss of $100" as less severe if it's framed as a “small drawdown” compared to a “significant loss,” even if the monetary impact is the same. **How to Overcome It**: Always focus on the underlying value and impact of the decision itself. Avoid letting the framing of information distort your judgment. --- Conclusion: Navigating the Cognitive Minefield Trading is inherently psychological. While there’s no way to fully eliminate biases, understanding these cognitive traps can provide traders with the tools they need to make more rational decisions. By incorporating strategies that mitigate the influence of cognitive biases — such as disciplined risk management, regular self-assessment, and an adherence to a structured trading plan — traders can enhance their decision-making processes and improve their overall performance. Awareness is key, and the more we understand about how our minds work in trading, the better we can optimize our actions for success. The markets may be unpredictable, but by reducing the noise created by our biases, we can gain greater clarity in our decision-making.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar
DXY to CRASH to 100.Attached: Daily Price Chart Live 24th Jan 2025 #DXY has Topped out on Trump saying he will Demand Immediate Interest Rate Cuts at DAVOS, and also BOJ Hiking Rates today to highest since 2008 GFC The Sell Off has got triggered by break of 50 DEMA and a Classic HNS Top Pattern🐻 Indicators like Daily RSI breaking below 50 and also Daily MACD in Sell Mode are supportive of the bearish price action Downside Target: TVC:DXY headed back to 100🎯📉 This would also be Very Bullish for Precious Metals like #XAUUSD and #XAGUSD
TVC:DXYShort
by T_Harth
OFSS Stock of the Week.NSE:OFSS is at a perfect level for a Short Downside Swing as per the price action on daily charts. Although the RSI is in an Oversold Zone it may give a dead cat bounce. F&O Activity: 11,000 Looks like a Big Resistance With Major Long's being Covered. Trade Setup: It can be a Good 1:1 RISK-REWARD Trade for Aggressive Swing Trader if the Level is Breached. Target(Take Profit): 8866.65 Levels for Swing Trade. Stop-Loss: 11187.65 Levels for Swing Trade. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:OFSSShort
by Karanshah137
Positional Trade with 50% + Expected GainRounding Bottom & Breakout with Volume BBTC LTP 2232 Weakness : incase if it breaks & Sustains below 2070 Add on Dips till 1900 SL CLB @ 1700 Strength 💪 : when it'll sustain above 2410 Possible Targets 🎯 : 2280/2480/2580/2680/2880/2980/3080 TSL MUST to Maximize your Profit's Even from LTP 2232 if it goes till 3080 -->> its 38% Gain if you like this Idea 💡 - Don't forget to Like / Boost 🚀it For more info - Plz visit my Profile & Follow me Rgds, Naresh G Sebi Reg.RA
NSE:BBTCLong
by NareshG_SEBI_REGISTERED_RA
USDJPYThe chart shows the USD/JPY exchange rate over time. The data shows a slight upward trend from September to February, with some fluctuations. Two dashed trendlines are plotted on the chart, suggesting a potential upward channel. The volume is shown at the top left, indicating trading activity. The current bid price is 156.552 and the ask price is 156.563. The high for the period shown is 158.874 and the low is 139.576. The chart uses candlestick patterns to represent price movements over various time intervals.
Long
by EquityGainer
POSITIONAL TRADE with Expected Gain @ 75%PNB HSG FIN During Aug 2018 it hit High of 1200 & In 2020 came to LOW of 120 Again during Sep 2024 it Hit High of 1200 Currently quoting @ 883 If it goes below 800 Then Add on Dips till 650 & SL CLB @ 560 But if & when it sustains above 950 Then it can move towards 1090/1190/1290 & 1390 Hint : Anything Below 800 Keep adding in Tranches' If you like this idea - Don't miss to Boost 🚀 like it For more info - Plz visit my profile & Follow me Rgds, Naresh G Sebi Reg. RA
NSE:PNBHOUSINGLong
by NareshG_SEBI_REGISTERED_RA
TipsMusic - Great Addition to your longterm PF - Buy above 680TipsMusic - I believe is a core stock, which can be kept for your long term investment. People consume content on youtube / amazon and other music streaming platforms giving direct benefit to this co. People won't stop consuming music. Current market fall is a good opportunity to add at 680 levels. With Dollar $ strengthening the payouts on all Platforms is going to only improve. One can add for targets of 700/780/950. with a strict stop loss of 655. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ☎️ Con-call Highlights - #TipsMusic Ltd Tips Music Limited (TIPSMUSIC) - Q3 FY25 Earnings Call Key Takeaways Current Financial Performance (Q3 FY25): Revenue: Rs.77.7 crores, a growth of 20% YoY and a slight decline of 4% QoQ. Operating EBITDA: Rs.55.6 crores, marking a 28% increase YoY. Operating EBITDA Margin: Stood at 71.6%, up by 458 bps YoY. PAT: Rs.44.2 crores, up 27% YoY and a minor dip of 8% QoQ. Content Cost: Rs.14.6 crores, a 1% decrease YoY and a 5% increase QoQ. Current Financial Performance (9M FY25): Revenue: Rs.232.2 crores, a 30% growth YoY. PAT: Rs.136 crores, a 34% increase YoY. Operational Performance: Song Releases: 116 songs launched in Q3 FY25, featuring 40 film songs and 76 non-film songs. YouTube Growth: Subscriber base reached 113 million. Global Reach: Partnered with TikTok to provide global access (excluding India and China) to Tips Music content. Social Media Engagement: Noticed healthy search and content usage growth across Meta platforms like Instagram and Facebook. Popular Tracks: "Jhooti Kasoori," "Afghani Jalebi," and "TR" gained significant traction. Streaming Milestone: Songs from the film Ishq Vishk Rebound exceeded 100 million streams on Spotify. Continued Success: "Manna" from the film Crew showed strong performance across platforms. Future Outlook: Management anticipates a 30% YoY revenue and PAT growth in FY25 and onwards. Predicts growth through increased subscriptions, with a focus on Spotify. Sees promising monetization in increased YouTube Shorts and Meta video lengths up to 3 minutes through advertising. Identifies live performances and public events as lucrative revenue channels. Foresees short-form video content, live events, and subscriptions as major growth drivers. Anticipates an exceptional year with 50% industry growth driven by subscriptions. Open to acquisitions to bolster market share in the music streaming domain. Concerns: Analysts raised concerns over lower-than-expected content acquisition costs affecting long-term growth. Management expects content costs to rise to 25% to 27% and reassures robust long-term growth with their current catalog. Concerns about the impact of a shortage of blockbuster films on the music industry and reliance on its catalog were addressed. The company forecasts revenue improvements with new 2025 releases and emphasizes the catalog's strength. Questions on the timeline for short-form video monetization were answered with an estimate of three to four more quarters for realization. Other Important Points: The board announced a Rs.3 per share dividend. Completed a share buyback valued at Rs.46.61 crores. Total shareholder payout for 9M FY25 was Rs.136.09 crores, including the buyback. Management aims to maintain a digital to non-digital revenue split of 75%/25%. The TikTok deal involves advance payments with revenue recognition over quarters, covering international markets except India and China. The deal remains undisclosed for competitive reasons but was described as decently sized. Content costs are fully expensed in the release quarter, with no plan to alter this practice. Disclaimer : Educational Post. Please do your own due diligence.
NSE:TIPSMUSICLong
by jain_geetesh
SILVER all set to MASSIVELY OUTPERFORM Banking Stocks!Attached: Silver Spot vs. IndusInd Bank Monthly Chart as of 22nd January 2025 I have taken Indusind Bank as a proxy for Indian Banking Stocks as it is a Major Large Cap Private Bank that is not only part of Bank Nifty but also part of Nifty 50 and once used to be part of Top 20 Nifty stocks but because it crashed 40% in 2024 it lost that spot The Monthly Ratio Chart has the following Observations that support a Bullish Investment Case for Owning Silver vs. Indian Banking Stocks, they are as follows: 1) 20/ 50 Monthly EMA Bullish Crossover for the first time since 2009 2) Ratio closing above 100 Month EMA and consolidating for the Next Leg Up 3) Ichimoku Cloud Resistance that held for more than a Decade also getting cleared And the Upside as shown on the Ratio Chart is crazy which if you translate to a Price Chart, means Silver over the years can see Triple Digit Returns, Doubling to Quadrupling!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by T_Harth
2
WHY DO TRADERS FAIL?Every Field Demands Skills, and Trading is No Different Every profession requires a unique set of skills—doctors need precision, engineers need problem-solving abilities, and athletes need discipline and endurance. Yet, when it comes to trading, many people mistakenly believe it’s just about clicking buttons and watching numbers move. The truth? Trading demands a distinct set of skills that most people—99% of traders, to be precise—don’t possess. The fun (or alarming) part? They don’t even know they lack them. Here’s why trading is a skill game, not a gamble: --- 1. Emotional Mastery Trading isn’t about the market; it’s about the trader. The biggest battle is internal—fear, greed, frustration, and overconfidence are the real opponents. While many think they can "control" emotions, most fail miserably when the pressure mounts. Skill Needed: Emotional discipline. Why 99% Lack It: They underestimate how emotions can hijack rational decisions, especially during volatile markets. --- 2. Risk Management Ask any professional trader, and they’ll tell you: managing losses is more important than chasing profits. However, most traders fail because they ignore risk management. They over-leverage, avoid stop-losses, or bet too much on a single trade, thinking they can outsmart the market. Skill Needed: Protecting capital at all costs. Why 99% Lack It: They’re so focused on winning that they forget the primary rule: don’t lose big. --- 3. Adaptability Markets are like living organisms—they change constantly. A strategy that worked yesterday might fail today. Successful traders know how to adapt to new trends, data, and market conditions. Skill Needed: Ability to pivot and learn continuously. Why 99% Lack It: They cling to rigid strategies, hoping for consistent results in an inconsistent environment. --- 4. Patience Most traders want instant results. They jump into trades without waiting for the right setup, driven by FOMO (fear of missing out). Ironically, patience—waiting for the perfect trade—is one of the hardest skills to master. Skill Needed: Knowing when NOT to trade. Why 99% Lack It: The urge to stay "busy" blinds them to the fact that doing nothing is sometimes the best move. --- 5. Long-Term Thinking Trading isn’t about getting rich overnight. It’s a long game of compounding small, consistent wins while avoiding catastrophic losses. Yet, most traders dream of big wins and gamble their capital on high-risk trades. Skill Needed: Strategic thinking with long-term goals. Why 99% Lack It: They’re seduced by the idea of quick money and overlook the importance of sustainability. --- 6. Self-Awareness Here’s the catch: most traders don’t even know what they lack. They believe more screen time or better tools will make them profitable, but the real issue lies within themselves. Without self-awareness, they repeat the same mistakes and wonder why they fail. Skill Needed: Identifying personal weaknesses and blind spots. Why 99% Lack It: Introspection is uncomfortable, and many prefer blaming the market instead of looking in the mirror. --- The Harsh Reality Trading is a skill-intensive field disguised as a simple one. The charts, indicators, and strategies might look straightforward, but the underlying mental and emotional demands are far more complex. Most traders lose not because the market is unfair but because they’re unprepared for the unique challenges it presents. --- Conclusion If you’re a trader—or aspiring to be one—ask yourself: Do I have the patience to wait for the right trade? Can I manage my emotions when things don’t go my way? Am I protecting my capital instead of chasing unrealistic gains? The answers might surprise you. Remember, trading isn’t about working harder or staring at charts longer. It’s about building the right skills—skills that set the top 1% apart from the rest. And the first step? Realizing what you don’t know. Because in trading, ignorance isn’t bliss—it’s expensive.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by keshevdugar