Nifty Astro Technical Analysis from September 2024 to March 2025Saturn's Transit and Market Impact
Saturn Transit: From Capricorn to Aquarius from March 5, 1993 to June 2, 1995.
Market Fall: Began when Saturn entered the third pada of Sadayam Nakshatra on September 12, 1994, until Saturn entered Pisces on June 2, 1995.
Sensex Decline: Fell from an all-time high of 4643 to 2966 (a 36% drop) over nine months.
Similar Situation in 2024-2025
Recent All-Time High: 26,277 on September 27, 2024.
Projected Decline: Saturn will enter Pisces by March 30, 2025.
Expected Fall: Considering a 4% average monthly decline over six months, a 24% drop is projected, amounting to 6307 points.
Target for Nifty: Should fall to around 20,000 by March 31, 2025 based on percentage-based correction.
Time-Based Correction: The lowest value in 1994-95 was 2966, which had earlier occurred on December 1, 1993, equivalent to 20,500 on December 1, 2023.
Astrological View: Nifty is expected to correct to approximately 19,900 to 20,500.
Disclaimer:
I am not Sebi Registered. This analysis is based on historical data, astrological patterns, and market trends. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading and investment involve risks, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP)-Breakout Strategy ExplainedHello everyone! I hope you’re doing great, not just in life but also in your trading journey. Today, I’m here to share something exciting—a strategy I started using just a few months ago. It’s been performing really well for me, and I’m confident that if you use it properly, you’ll see great results too.
So, without wasting any more time, let’s get straight to it. Here we go!
Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP): A Blueprint for Explosive Breakouts
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is one of the most powerful chart patterns I’ve come across. It reveals when a stock is gearing up for a significant breakout. By understanding how price tightens over time and paying close attention to volume behavior, traders can catch high-probability moves before they unfold .
Let’s take a closer look at this concept using the example shown in the chart above.
What Is the VCP?
The VCP is all about price contractions. Here’s what typically happens:
Each pullback becomes smaller, signaling reduced volatility.
Volume starts to decline, which shows that sellers are losing steam.
Finally, the breakout occurs, often with a surge in volume, confirming the move.
It’s like a spring coiling tighter and tighter until it bursts free.
Step-by-Step Breakdown of Chart above
1. First Contraction (-19.31%)
This is where the pattern begins. The stock sees a sharp correction of 19.31%, showing some initial volatility.
At this point, volume begins to decrease, which is the first clue that sellers are starting to back off.
2. Second Contraction (-9.34%)
The price recovers but pulls back again, this time by just 9.34%.
This smaller contraction is a clear sign of the tightening price action, which is a hallmark of the VCP.
3. Third Contraction (-6.70%)
Another pullback happens, but now it’s even smaller—just 6.70%.
Volume continues to decline during this phase, further confirming that selling pressure is steadily fading.
4. Fourth Contraction (-4.56%)
The final contraction is the tightest of all, with a pullback of only 4.56%.
At this stage, the price is moving in a very narrow range, setting the stage for the big breakout.
Breakout
The stock finally breaks above the ₹5,000 resistance zone with a surge in volume.
This is the signal traders wait for—the confirmation that buyers are stepping in with strength.
How to Trade the VCP
Here’s how you can trade this pattern effectively:
Spot the Pattern:
Look for a sequence of contractions where each pullback is smaller than the previous one. Draw trendlines connecting the highs and lows to visualize the tightening range.
Volume Behavior:
Make sure that volume decreases during contractions and spikes significantly on the breakout.
Entry Point:
Enter the trade when the price breaks above the resistance level with high volume (₹5,000 in this case).
Stop-Loss Placement:
Place your stop-loss slightly below the last contraction low (₹4,500 here) to limit your risk.
Profit Targets:
Use trailing stops or set predefined targets based on previous price movements to lock in your gains.
Key Observations on the Chart
Take a moment to review the chart above, and here’s what stands out:
Resistance Zone (₹5,000):
The resistance level acted as a strong barrier, containing price until the breakout.
Consolidation Zone:
The price moved within a tightening range, building up energy for the breakout.
Volume Behavior:
Volume steadily declined during each contraction, and a spike in volume confirmed the breakout.
Breakout Candle:
The large breakout candle above ₹5,000 was the ultimate signal for entry.
Why Does the VCP Work?
The VCP reflects the psychology of the market:
Fear Fades: Each contraction shows that sellers are losing control.
Demand Grows: Buyers quietly step in, creating higher lows.
Energy Builds: As price tightens, the stock prepares for an explosive move.
Context Is Key:
The VCP works best in trending markets or fundamentally strong stocks. Always consider the bigger picture
.
Volume Is Crucial:
Without a volume surge, breakouts might not sustain. Be cautious of false signals.
Conclusion
The Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP) is a highly reliable setup for spotting breakout opportunities. Once you master this pattern, you’ll be able to identify and trade high-probability moves with confidence.
Take a close look at the chart above to see how this setup played out in this example. Have you noticed similar patterns in other stocks? Share your thoughts in the comments—I’d love to hear your insights!
If you found this strategy or educational content helpful, don’t forget to hit the like button and show your support. It keeps me motivated to share more valuable insights with you all! 😊
Bajaj Healthcare Showing Strength, Crossing Key Levels after BO.NSE:BAJAJHCARE today closed strongly on weekly charts of the consolidation after a big breakout with heavy volumes and RSI and MACD are Showing Strength on the Weekly timeframe.
About the Company:
NSE:BAJAJHCARE manufactures a wide range of Active Pharmaceutical Ingredients and Formulations, It is focused on the development, supply, and manufacturing of Amino Acids, Nutritional Supplements and Active Pharma Ingredients for the Pharmaceutical, Nutraceuticals and Food industries.
Trade Setup:
It can be a Good 1:1 RISK-REWARD Trade. With the recent base being crucial levels. It is now in Blue Sky Terriorty so have a small Position Size
Target(Take Profit):
805.80 Levels for Positional Trader.
Stop-Loss:
Around 535.95 For Swing Trade and Recent BO Base for Positional Trader.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NBCC constructed a 8.5% green candle on charts today. Reasons?NBCC is a fundamentally strong company & has recently bagged 5 orders worth Rs. 405 Cr. Not just this, it also inked a deal worth 3,500 Cr with Sarkari Awas Nirmal Avam Vitt Nigam.
The slight positive sentimental push from the market today pushed the share price high.
The share can give another 14% move once it crosses Rs. 100 mark.
Why Options buyers lose money Statistical Proof.I have downloaded this statistics from NSE website from November 2023 to November 2024 to see how market performed percentage wise daily of 250 days of trading days for that one year.
Out of 250 of days of trading days only 36 days are trending days more than or equal 1% here i'm considering has trendy days ,rest 214 days sideways to minor trend days.With that it proved that Call/Put Sellers on top or below the ranges make good money.Rest Minor to Trendy days Option buyers can make money if one's view is in right direction vice versa if view goes wrong huge losses can occur also.
Hence proved that option buying is not at all good prospect to trading avoid instead go for futures or selling with hedge ofcourse one will need more money to trade but money makes money.
Last to mention i was a option buyer early days of my trading days burnt my hands ,later moved on to Option selling .Posting this to if this helps fellow traders to understand and get out of option buying ,the more you wait the more pain it will give.
214 Days Sellers have upper hand over Buyers.
36 Days Buyers have upper hand over Sellers.
Learn and Upgrade yourself .
Happy Trading !!!!
Kalyan Jewellers Crash to 340 - 300 Support ZoneThe Stock is still trading at a PE of 100
And once it got entry in F&O segment, the Bears took control
Price Chart shows AVWAP from inception comes around 300 level
And approx. 340 is the 4th June 2024 Election Day Low
Price in a Strong Waterfall Decline and is probably headed to meet that Downside Target/ Support Zone
EURUSD Let's dive into the analysis of this EUR/USD trading chart. Here's what I'm seeing:
1. **Price Action**: The main chart displays the daily price movements of the EUR/USD currency pair. The candlesticks reflect the opening, closing, high, and low prices for each day.
2. **Downtrend**: There are purple dashed trendlines forming a downward channel, indicating a bearish trend. The "Lower Highs" (LH) annotations confirm this bearish sentiment.
3. **Volume**: The volume bar chart below the price chart shows the trading volume for each day. Higher volume bars on down days can confirm bearish pressure.
4. **Stochastic Oscillator**: This indicator at the bottom shows that the blue line is at 42.89 and the orange line is at 41.22. These values suggest that the market is neither overbought nor oversold but is closer to the middle range.
5. **Key Price Levels**:
- **Current Price**: 1.02881, with a slight decrease of 0.08%.
- **High**: 1.12138
- **Low**: 1.01694
- **Bid**: 1.02879
- **Ask**: 1.02886
6. **Highlighted Area**: The green and red boxes highlight a potential trade setup, with suggested entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels. This setup could be a good opportunity if you believe the bearish trend will continue or reverse.
Overall, the chart suggests a bearish trend with some potential trading setups. Keep an eye on the volume and stochastic oscillator for signs of any potential reversals. If you need any more detailed analysis or have questions about specific parts of the chart, feel free to ask!
Nike’s Price is Too Good to Ignore – Time to Buy!When a high-quality stock like Nike offers a rare discount, it’s worth paying attention. I believe this price level presents a strong long-term investment opportunity. While there’s always risk in the market, I see this as a solid long-term play and will be considering an investment at these levels.
These are my thoughts, not financial advice. Analyze the market yourself before making a decision.
Nifty View 17/01/2025We will again short the markets today plan is for gap filling downside. We achieved 100 points yesterday in our short trade. And today we can target for 150 points. Even if market bounce don't go for long find only short setup.
I also share exact entry point with very small sl. Connect me personally for that. You can check our previous trades also.
A BUY SetupsAsian Paints Hits Monthly DZ
with Nominal risk of 3%
Plan a BUY trade from here for Minimum target of 9%
Always use proper risk management by assessing your financial goals and personal risk tolerance, ensuring you never risk more than you can afford to lose. Set a proper stop loss before entering any trade to minimize potential losses if the market moves against you, and stick to it without letting emotions interfere. Take full responsibility for your trading decisions, learning from mistakes to improve over time. Plan every trade carefully with clear entry, exit, and risk management strategies, as consistency and discipline are key to long-term success.
BHEL - Don't miss this opportunity!!BHEL is trading just under the value zone due to various Micro and Macro economic news in the last 2 quarters, however in the recent quarter BHEL posted healthy news with good order book.
Between Price range 220 to 270 a massive 800 Million shares were traded which accounts more than 60% of total free float shares available in the Market.
So investing now would be good idea and you will get this share at a good discount compared to many others in the market.
Happy Investing and Trading!!
Minda Corp Breaking Major Levels after Bouncing from 200 DEMANSE:MINDACORP today broke major Levels with good Volumes and Made a Good Base near the demand zone near 200 DEMA, and RSI showing Bullishness.
Trade Setup:
It can be a Good 1:1 RISK-REWARD Trade. With the recent base being crucial levels.
Target(Take Profit):
631.50 Levels for Positional Trader.
Stop-Loss:
Around 504.95 For Swing Trade and Recent Base for Positional Trader.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
SBI LIFE Looking Good Made A Good BaseNSE:SBILIFE is looking good. It has made a base around 1395-1338; today, it broke above major Levels.
The RSI and MACD are Showing Strength.
Results are Due in a few Days Watch Closely.
F&O Activity:
Short Covering Seen Today With PCR of 0.70 and 1400 PE as Strong Option Base.
Trade Setup:
It can be a Good 1:1 RISK-REWARD Trade. With the recent base being crucial levels.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 200 DEMA For Swing Trade or 1660 Levels for Positional.
Stop-Loss:
Around 20 DEMA For Swing Trade Recent Base for Positional Trade.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
🙏FLLOW for more
👍BOOST if useful
✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Infosys presented stellar results. Will stock stop falling now?Infosys presented outstanding results today on not just year on year but also showed consistent growth on quarterly time frame. The street might have expected this already and that's why the stock price soar in recent past. What they wouldn't have expected is their revision in growth estimates from the earlier band of 3.75-4.5 to 4.5-5%.
Still the stock fell today. Will the fall continue? (HCL Tech fell 10% even after awesome results)
Honestly speaking, this has to be seen in the coming trading sessions. But what's sure is that investors will make money if they buy this stock in dips!