MAZDOC | Demand Zone Reversal with Fibonacci Analysis MAZDOC rebounded from the key demand zone and .786 Fibonacci level, confirming support for a bullish move. Price closed above the 0.618 retracement and immediate resistance (₹2,865.65), setting sights on higher targets: T1 (₹3,147.00, 0.382 Fib) and T2 (₹3,497.95, 0.618 Fib). Key supply and demand zones are mapped. Track the retest of breakout levels and volume confirmation for sustained uptrend
Beyond Technical Analysis
UNOMINDA Price ActionUNO Minda Ltd is trading at ₹1,282 as of September 12, 2025, delivering consistent financial and operational outperformance. For FY25, the company posted consolidated revenue of ₹16,775 crore, up 20% year-on-year, with net profit rising 9% to ₹936 crore. EBITDA grew 18% to ₹1,800 crore, and operating margins remain stable at 10.7%. Recent quarterly profit after tax is ₹289 crore, and EPS for the last twelve months stands at ₹13.97.
Expansion in premium switches, alloy wheels, lighting, sensors, sunroof products, and emerging EV technologies has bolstered top-line growth. Strategic projects—including new capacities for four-wheeler EV components and ADAS products—support a robust future pipeline, while strong cash flows enable ongoing fundraising and project commissioning.
Valuation remains at a premium to the sector, with trailing P/E around 79, price-to-book of 13, and price-to-sales ratio of 4.2, reflecting leadership in innovation and rapid growth. Return on capital employed is healthy at 15.7%, and debt remains modest, sustaining investor and institutional confidence. Technically, the stock is just below its 52-week high and continues to outperform broad market indices, maintaining an upward momentum trend.
Promoter and institutional holding are stable, affirming long-term commitment, and a final dividend of ₹1.50 per share was declared for FY25, rewarding shareholders alongside growth investments. UNO Minda’s medium- and long-term outlook remains highly constructive, anchored by strong financials, prudent capital allocation, innovative leadership, and a resilient growth trajectory.
Hindustan Zinc – 200 DEMA Crossover ProjectionCurrent price is ~ ₹450-₹451.
50-day SMA is ~ ₹432.6.
200-day SMA is ~ ₹446.6.
52-week high ~ ₹575.40, low ~ ₹378.15.
Support zones: ₹444-₹447
Close to 200-day SMA/DEMA, this is key support. If price stays above this, bullish bias strengthens.
₹432-₹435
Next lower support (50-day SMA ~432.6) and previous consolidation
Resistance zones
₹455-₹460
Short-term resistance (recent highs).
₹472-₹475
Stronger resistance ahead. Pivot / Fibonacci levels suggest resistance around here.
₹500
Major psychological / historical resistance. If break above, room for more upside.
Outlook: Projection (with 200-DEMA Crossover)
If price manages to break & hold above the 200-day DEMA/SMA (~₹446-₹447):
Short term (1-3 weeks):
Expect retests of ₹460-₹465 if momentum continues. Failure to hold above ~₹446-₹447 could lead to retests of support ~₹432-₹435.
Medium term (1-3 months):
Potential for move toward ₹500, provided strong volume & favorable commodity/metals environment. Resistance in the ₹472-₹500 range likely to slow the move unless clear catalysts appear.
Long term (6+ months):
If macro + fundamentals stay supportive (zinc prices, cost structure, demand), breakout above ₹500 could lead toward ₹550-₹600 zone — though that would require strong conviction.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
ACME Solar Holdings Ltd – Short-Term Price ProjectionRate for this projection by analyst ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ (4/5)
Current Snapshot
CMP: ~₹313
PE: ~47× (high, premium valuation)
PB: ~4.2× (fairly expensive vs book)
Profit growth strong, but sales growth weak.
Revenue growth modest recently; profit growth strong. E.g., FY25 net profit rose ~130% over FY24, revenue growth ~7.4%.
Interest coverage low → financial risk.
Market optimism: capacity additions, better upcoming quarters.
Short-Term Price Projection (3–6 Months)
Bullish: ₹350 – ₹370
Base Case: ₹300 – ₹330
Bearish: ₹270 – ₹290
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
EUR/USD | 30M | Live Execution Zone
We’ve marked out our trade zone post-CPI. Price tapped into our supply pocket at 1.1747 and is now reacting as anticipated. Position structured with:
Entry at the rejection from supply
Stop above the sweep zone
Target the lower liquidity pool near 1.1680
Key narrative: Market took out liquidity on both sides, confirmed displacement, and is now showing signs of delivering south before the next structural shift.
This is a clean setup aligning with the higher-timeframe bias — patience and discipline doing the work.
TCS 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
~ ₹3,131
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
~ ₹3,160 – ₹3,180 (near-term resistance)
~ ₹3,200 – ₹3,220 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
~ ₹3,120 – ₹3,100 (immediate support)
~ ₹3,050 – ₹3,000 (secondary support)
~ ₹2,900 (deeper support if weakness intensifies)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If TCS holds above ~ ₹3,120 and manages to break past ~ ₹3,180 – ₹3,200, there is potential to move toward ~ ₹3,220+
Bearish Scenario: A drop below ~ ₹3,100 could lead to a slide toward ~ ₹3,050 or lower
Neutral / Range: Between ~ ₹3,100 – ₹3,180, TCS may consolidate until a clearer breakout or breakdown
$Nifty MIGA + MAGA = MEGA Rally is in makingNifty opened the session at 24,700 and slipped to an intraday low of 24,507.20. This zone looks like a swing bottom, providing a strong base for the next leg higher.
Despite the heavy flow of bearish headlines in the broader market, the index structure is pointing towards strength. My view remains the same as shared at market open – Nifty is setting up for a rally towards 25,400+ levels in the near term.
Price action is clearly showing resilience, and dips are getting bought into.
BEML IN ( BEML Limited) LongBEML is the second largest manufacturer of earthmoving equipment in Asia
BEML manufactures a wide range of products including:
Earthmoving Equipment: Bulldozers, Excavators, Dump Trucks, Motor Graders.
Mining Equipment: Underground Mining Machines, Road Headers.
Rail: Metro Coaches, Electric Multiple Units, Vande Bharat Trains.
Defence Equipment: High Mobility Vehicles, Missile Systems, Aerospace Equipment
Since the Government of India holds 54% stake in the company, BEML receives significant support from the government, especially in the defence and infrastructure sector. This provides the company with stability and access to large government contracts
The company recently received an order for LHB coaches worth and an order for High Mobility Vehicles worth from the Ministry of Defence.
The company's current order book is over INR 16,700 crore, which provides visibility of earnings for the coming years
The company pays out about 30% of its profits as dividends. The dividend yield is small and can be considered as an additional bonus to the growing business. The dividend growth will continue in the coming years
The defense complex will be in great demand in the country in the next decade
The company's profit has been growing at an average rate of 35.7% per annum over the past five years. We expect the positive dynamics in this parameter to continue.
In terms of the Technical picture, the price is testing the support level of the ascending trend line, and a double bottom is also visible so far.
HINDUNILVR 1D Time frame:
🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹2,578.90 - ₹2,582.00
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹2,634.90 – ₹2,636.40 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹2,650.00 – ₹2,660.00 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹2,569.00 – ₹2,570.00 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹2,550.00 – ₹2,560.00 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹2,520.00 – ₹2,530.00 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If HINDUNILVR holds above ₹2,570.00, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹2,636.40 can open the way toward ₹2,650.00+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹2,520.00, risk increases toward ₹2,510.00 – ₹2,530.00.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹2,570.00 – ₹2,636.40, the stock may consolidate before a directional move.
BDLTechnical Analysis (Daily Chart)
Major Trend
The stock has completed a major uptrend from ~₹600 to ~₹2,100 before entering into a corrective phase.
Currently, it has retraced back near the 50% retracement level of this entire up-move, which is an important support zone.
Support Zone (Monthly FVG)
Around ₹1,300–₹1,400, there is a monthly fair value gap (FVG) which acts as a discount zone.
The price has taken support here multiple times, indicating accumulation by buyers.
Resistance Zone (Weekly FVG)
On the upside, strong resistance lies between ₹1,750–₹1,850 where the weekly FVG is placed.
This zone may act as a supply area, where sellers could re-enter.
Current Price Action
Price has bounced sharply from the discount zone (~₹1,350–₹1,400) and is now trading at ₹1,564 (+5.56%) with good volume support.
This bounce suggests short-term bullish momentum.
Possible Scenarios
Bullish case: If the stock sustains above ₹1,500–₹1,520, it may head towards ₹1,750–₹1,850 (weekly FVG resistance).
Bearish case: If it fails near resistance and breaks below ₹1,400, deeper correction towards ₹1,200–₹1,250 is possible.
Volume Observation
Rising volume on the bounce signals strong buying interest from the support zone
TATACONSUM 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹1,101.30
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹1,110 – ₹1,115 (recent highs; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹1,120 (psychological resistance)
₹1,130 – ₹1,140 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹1,095 – ₹1,100 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹1,085 – ₹1,090 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹1,070 – ₹1,080 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If Tata Consumer holds above ₹1,100, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹1,115 can open the way toward ₹1,120+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹1,085, risk increases toward ₹1,070 – ₹1,080.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹1,100 – ₹1,115, Tata Consumer may consolidate before a directional move.
SAIL 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹132.28
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹133.00 – ₹134.00 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹135.00 – ₹136.00 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹131.50 – ₹132.00 (immediate support; failure to hold above this may lead to a decline)
₹130.00 – ₹130.50 (short-term support; a break below this could indicate weakness)
₹128.00 – ₹129.00 (deeper support zone if price dips further)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If SAIL holds above ₹132.00, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹134.00 can open the way toward ₹135.00+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹130.00, risk increases toward ₹128.00 – ₹129.00.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹132.00 – ₹134.00, SAIL may consolidate before a directional move.
My Trade Plan for BSE1. Trendline Breakout Attempt
• Price had been in a downtrend since May 2025, making lower highs and lower lows.
• A falling trendline (red) was respected multiple times.
• Recently, price broke above the trendline, showing a possible bullish reversal.
2. Support Zone
• Around 2,000–2,100 (green box), buyers stepped in multiple times (Aug & Sep).
• This acts as a strong demand zone.
• Stop loss placed near 2,130–2,150 is logical, just below the demand.
3. Resistance Levels / Targets
• First Target (TP1): 2,501 → Previous swing supply zone.
• Second Target (TP2): 2,866 → Key resistance & liquidity zone.
• Extended Target (TP3): 3,551 → Full measured move of breakout rally.
4. Candlestick Psychology
• Recent candles show bullish momentum with long lower wicks, meaning buyers are aggressively defending support.
• Breakout above the trendline shows shift in control from sellers → buyers.
5. Risk–Reward
• Entry around 2,200, Stop near 2,130, Target at 3,551 gives an excellent Risk–Reward ratio (1:8 approx).
• Even the conservative TP at 2,501 offers a safe 1:3 RR.
• Short-term (2–3 weeks):
Price likely retests 2,250–2,300 zone, then moves toward 2,500 (TP1).
• Medium-term (1–2 months):
If it sustains above 2,500, the rally can extend toward 2,850–2,900 (TP2).
• Long-term (3–6 months):
Sustained bullish sentiment can take the stock toward 3,500+ (TP3), completing a major breakout move.
⸻
⚠️ Key Watchpoints
• If price falls below 2,130, the setup invalidates → stock may retest 1,950–2,000 zone.
• Watch for volume confirmation on breakout above 2,250–2,300 → if strong, it will fuel a rally.
• Market-wide sentiment (Nifty trend, midcap performance) will influence momentum.
BAJAJ_AUTO 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
Trading around ₹9,092 – ₹9,110
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹9,150 – ₹9,200 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹9,300 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹9,070 – ₹9,090 (immediate support)
₹8,900 (stronger support if price dips further)
₹8,800 (deeper support zone)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If Bajaj Auto holds above ₹9,090, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹9,200 can open the way toward ₹9,300+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹8,900, risk increases toward ₹8,800.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹9,090 – ₹9,200, Bajaj Auto may consolidate before a directional move.
RELIANCE 1D Time frame🔢 Current Level
RELIANCE is trading around ₹1,391 – ₹1,392
🔑 Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Zones:
₹1,392 – ₹1,396 (near-term resistance; breakout above this may lead to further upside)
₹1,400 (psychological resistance)
₹1,427 (stronger resistance above)
Support Zones:
₹1,380 – ₹1,385 (immediate support)
₹1,370 (short-term support; break below may indicate weakness)
₹1,350 (deeper support zone if selling pressure continues)
📉 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: If RELIANCE holds above ₹1,385, upward momentum may continue. Break above ₹1,396 can open the way toward ₹1,400+.
Bearish Scenario: If it falls below ₹1,370, risk increases toward ₹1,350.
Neutral / Range: Between ₹1,385 – ₹1,396, RELIANCE may consolidate before a directional move.
F&O Watchlist – Stocks with Action👋 Hello Traders!
Welcome to the Daily Options Trade Setup & Watchlist – 12th Sept 2025 🚀
The market is showing strong activity today with fresh long build-ups, surging volumes, and supportive OI data across key F&O names. Volatility remains balanced, creating opportunities for traders to ride the momentum while keeping risks in check.
This watchlist highlights stocks where data and trend are aligning, giving us a clearer picture of market sentiment and possible trading setups.
Let’s explore today’s opportunities 👇
ADANIENT | 11th Sept 2025
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ₹2,446.50
Trend: Uptrend
Volatility: Moderate (IV ~24–25%)
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional Bullish + OTM Convexity + Hedge via PE
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✅ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
ADANIENT 2450 CE LTP @ ₹34.45
Why:
Long Build-up at 2450 CE → OI ↑ 173% with Price ↑ 118% (strong confirmation).
Volume surge 986% → heavy participation.
Delta 0.46 → balance of ITM probability & convexity.
Rising IV (5.9%) → supports premium expansion.
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⚠️ Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
ADANIENT 2300 PE LTP @ ₹21.50
Why:
Acts as a downside hedge in case of reversal.
IV 28.7% with IV ↑ 26.8% → room for premium spike.
Delta -0.33 → controlled risk hedge.
Suitable for protection if momentum stalls.
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🎯 Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Bull Call Spread → 2450 CE LTP @ ₹34.45 & 2550 CE LTP @ ₹10.75
Why:
• Aligns with strong bullish OI build-up (2400–2600 CE cluster).
• Captures upside momentum with defined risk.
• Excellent R:R (1:3+) → low cost, high potential reward.
• Short CE hedge (2550) cuts theta decay and risk.
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ADANIPORTS | 11th Sept 2025
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ~₹1,438 (near 1440 zone)
Trend: Uptrend
Volatility: Moderate (IV ~23–26%)
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional Bullish + OTM Convexity + Hedge via PE
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✅ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
ADANIPORTS 1440 CE LTP @ ₹13.90
Why:
Long Build-up at 1440 CE → OI ↑ 100.6% with Price ↑ 50.3% (classic long-side confirmation).
Volume surge 524.5% → strong participation.
Delta 0.39 → sweet spot between ITM probability & convexity.
IV rising 20.7% → supportive of premium expansion.
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⚠️ Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
ADANIPORTS 1400 CE LTP @ ₹27.90 (used here as hedge/play on exhaustion)
Why:
Higher ITM CE with Delta 0.51 → limited convexity, may underperform if momentum slows.
OI ↑ only 12.3% → weaker build-up compared to mid-OTM strikes.
IV 23.0% (low side) → less premium expansion potential.
Can act as a contrarian hedge if market consolidates below 1440.
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🎯 Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Bull Call Spread → ADANIPORTS 1440 CE LTP @ ₹13.90 & 1500 CE LTP @ ₹4.95
Why:
• Strong long build-ups across 1420–1460 strikes → confirms directional bias.
• Captures upside momentum with defined risk using OTM convexity (1500 CE).
• Excellent R:R (≈ 1:2+) → low debit, higher potential payoff.
• Short OTM CE (1500) reduces theta decay and caps risk.
________________________________________
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AUROPHARMA | 11th Sept 2025
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ~₹1,118 (near 1120 zone)
Trend: Uptrend
Volatility: Rich (IV ~30–32%)
Ideal Strategy Mix: Bullish Directional + Debit Spreads (IV hedging) + Convexity via OTM Calls
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✅ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
AUROPHARMA 1140 CE LTP @ ₹18.95
Why:
Long Build-up → Price ↑ 351% with OI ↑ 280% (strong long confirmation).
Volume surge 1792% → very active participation.
Delta 0.40 → sweet convexity with good ITM odds.
IV rising 6.2% → supports premium expansion.
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⚠️ Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
AUROPHARMA 1060 CE LTP @ ₹64.25 (deep ITM hedge / slowdown risk)
Why:
Short covering at 1060 CE (OI ↓ 15.8%) → weaker continuation if fresh longs don’t add.
Higher ITM delta (0.74) → less convexity, less reward-to-risk.
IV rich (31.6%) → premiums already expensive.
Could underperform if price momentum cools off near resistance zones.
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🎯 Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Bull Call Spread → AUROPHARMA 1120 CE LTP @ ₹26.65 & 1160 CE LTP @ ₹13.10
Why:
• Strong long build-ups between 1120–1160 strike cluster confirm bullish continuation.
• Captures upside momentum with limited debit exposure.
• IV ~30+ → spreads preferred over naked calls (reduces risk of IV crush).
• Good convexity → balance of ITM probability and upside leverage.
________________________________________
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HAL | 11th Sept 2025
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ~₹4,650 (near 4600–4700 zone)
Trend: Uptrend
Volatility: Moderate (IV ~25–28%)
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional Bullish + OTM Convexity + Debit Spreads for IV balance
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✅ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
HAL 4800 CE LTP @ ₹36.10
Why:
Long Build-up → Price ↑ 16.8% with OI ↑ 7% (fresh long confirmation).
Volume surge 72.5% → active participation.
Delta 0.34 → balance of convexity & ITM probability.
IV 25.7% → stable with upside potential.
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⚠️ Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
HAL 4500 CE LTP @ ₹158.55 (short covering driven, contrarian hedge)
Why:
Short covering at 4500 CE → OI ↓ 13.7% while Price ↑ 12.8%.
Delta 0.61 → deeper ITM, lower convexity.
Volume dropped 56% → thinner liquidity, size should be reduced.
Better suited as hedge / risk balancer in case momentum stalls.
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🎯 Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Bull Call Spread → HAL 4800 CE LTP @ ₹36.10 & 4900 CE LTP @ ₹21.00
Why:
• OI build-up across 4700–4900 CE cluster confirms bullish continuation.
• Debit spread reduces IV risk (IV ~25–27%) and limits loss.
• Defined-risk setup with convexity at 4900 CE.
• Cleaner R:R profile compared to naked long calls.
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TCS | 11th Sept 2025
Overall Bias: Bullish
Spot Price: ~₹3,135 (near 3140 zone)
Trend: Uptrend
Volatility: Moderate (IV ~17–19%)
Ideal Strategy Mix: Directional Bullish + OTM Convexity + Debit Spread to balance low IV
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✅ Bullish Trade (Naked options as per trend)
TCS 3200 CE LTP @ ₹25.05
Why:
Long Build-up → Price ↑ 9.2% with OI ↑ 7.9% (long confirmation).
IV 17.9% → moderate, stable for option buying.
Delta 0.36 → sweet spot of convexity & ITM odds.
Fits directional bullish bias near resistance breakouts.
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⚠️ Contrarian Trade (Naked options against trend)
TCS 3100 CE LTP @ ₹67.85 (short covering driven, weaker momentum trade)
Why:
Short covering at 3100 CE → OI ↓ 4% while Price ↑ 6.1%.
Volume dropped 72.5% → thin liquidity, size down.
IV 17.2% easing -5.3% → weaker premium expansion.
Higher ITM delta (0.59) → less convexity, limited upside gearing.
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🎯 Strategy Trade (As per trend + OI data)
Bull Call Spread → TCS 3200 CE LTP @ ₹25.05 & 3300 CE LTP @ ₹8.25
Why:
• Strong long build-ups in 3140–3200 CE cluster confirm bullish continuation.
• Low IV environment (17–19%) → debit spreads attractive.
• Defined-risk setup with convexity via OTM CE (3300).
• Good balance of premium outlay vs reward with capped downside.
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📘 My Trading Setup Rules
Avoid Gap Plays → Check pre-open price action to avoid trades influenced by gap-ups/gap-downs.
Breakout Entry Only → Enter trades only if price breaks previous day’s High (for bullish trades) or Low (for bearish trades).
Watch Volume for Confirmation → Monitor volume closely. No volume = No trade.
Enter on Strong Candle + Volume → Execute the trade only if a strong candle appears with increasing volume in the direction of the trade.
Defined Risk:Reward Only → Take trades only if R:R is favorable (ideally ≥ 1:2).
Premium Disclaimer → Option premiums shown are based on EOD prices — real-time premiums may vary during execution.
Time Frame Preference → Trade with your preferred time frame — this strategy works across intraday or positional setups.
⚠️ Disclaimer – Please Read Carefully
The information shared here is meant purely for learning and awareness. It is not a buy or sell recommendation and should not be taken as investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor, and all views expressed are based on personal study, chart patterns, and publicly available market data.
Trading — whether in stocks or options — carries risk. Markets can move unexpectedly, and losses can sometimes exceed the money you have invested. Past performance or past setups do not guarantee future results.
If you are a beginner, treat this as a guide to understand how the market works — practice on paper trades before risking real money. If you are experienced, always assess your own risk, position sizing, and strategy suitability before entering trades.
Consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making any real trading decision. By engaging with this content, you acknowledge full responsibility for your trades and investments.
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How FII & DII Flows Impact Nifty & BankNifty Daily Moves!Hello Traders!
Every evening, traders check the data: FII (Foreign Institutional Investors) bought or sold ₹X crores, DII (Domestic Institutional Investors) did the opposite.
But how do these flows actually affect the daily moves of Nifty and BankNifty? Let’s break it down.
1. FII Flows Drive Short-Term Sentiment
FIIs have massive capital, and their buying or selling often leads to sharp moves.
When FIIs are heavy buyers, indices like Nifty and BankNifty usually see strong rallies because of large inflows.
When they sell aggressively, the market often corrects, especially in large-cap stocks where they hold big stakes.
2. DII Flows Provide Stability
DIIs include mutual funds, insurance companies, and pension funds.
They act as a counterbalance to FIIs.
When FIIs sell in panic, DIIs often buy the dip, providing support to the market.
This is why sometimes, even with heavy FII selling, Nifty doesn’t crash as much as expected, DIIs are absorbing the supply.
3. Sector Impact – Why BankNifty Moves More
FIIs and DIIs both invest heavily in banking and financial stocks.
That’s why BankNifty often reacts more sharply to their flows compared to other sectors.
FII buying in banks = sharp rallies.
FII selling in banks = bigger drag on BankNifty.
4. Daily Data vs Long-Term Trend
Daily FII/DII numbers show short-term sentiment but don’t decide long-term trends alone.
Sometimes FIIs sell for weeks due to global issues, but strong domestic growth attracts them back eventually.
It’s important to watch whether the flows are consistent in one direction or just short-term adjustments.
Rahul’s Tip:
Don’t overreact to just one day’s FII/DII numbers. Look at the trend over several sessions.
Combine this data with charts of Nifty and BankNifty for a clearer picture.
Smart traders use flows as confirmation, not as the only reason to take trades.
Conclusion:
FII and DII flows are like the push and pull forces in the market.
FIIs bring speed and sharp moves, while DIIs bring balance and stability.
By tracking both, you can understand why Nifty and BankNifty move the way they do, and plan your trades with more confidence.
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PICCADIL ATH Breakout | Flamingo Effect in PlayPICCADIL has surged past its previous all-time high (ATH), confirming a strong bullish momentum after multi-month consolidation. The “Flamingo Effect” highlights how breakout rallies can accelerate when all holders turn profitable and shorts scramble to cover. This setup is favored by swing traders—watch for sustained moves as buyers dominate and fresh highs are established.
• Previous resistance now acts as support, enhancing risk-reward for long entries.
• Price action and volume indicate explosive potential—monitor consolidation for secondary entry.
• Classic ATH breakout strategies suggest momentum can last days to weeks post-breakout.
This pattern aligns with historical breakout behaviors and can offer quick returns in strong market conditions
Ashok Leyland: Q1 Results Drive Breakout MoveTechnical Analysis
Ashok Leyland has showcased an extraordinary super bullish rally spanning an incredible 25-year journey since 1999. The stock's transformation from trading below ₹1 in 1999 to the current level of ₹134 represents a phenomenal 13,400%+ growth over two and half decades - a testament to India's commercial vehicle revolution.
However, since 2024, the stock encountered formidable resistance at the ₹130-132 zone, creating a critical supply area that tested multiple times. In August 2024, this resistance proved too strong, causing a sharp correction down to ₹96 levels, representing a significant 27% decline from resistance.
The game-changing catalyst arrived with the announcement of strong Q1 FY26 results, showcasing record commercial vehicle volumes and impressive cost discipline. These stellar quarterly numbers provided the momentum needed to stage a remarkable recovery, with the stock breaking above the stubborn ₹132 resistance level with strong volume confirmation on September 8th, 2025.
Currently trading at ₹134, the stock has successfully conquered the 130-132 resistance zone. If this previous resistance transforms into robust support with bullish candlestick pattern confirmation, the technical setup appears highly favorable for the next leg of rally.
Entry Strategy: Enter on any dips toward ₹130-132 range, ensuring the old resistance holds as new support with volume confirmation.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹140
Target 2: ₹145
Target 3: ₹150
Stop Losses:
Critical Stop: ₹130 (previous resistance, now key support)
If ₹130-132 zone doesn't sustain as support or demand zone, no more expectations on this stock.
Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹11,709 Cr (↓ -20.3% QoQ from ₹14,696 Cr; ↑ +9.2% YoY from ₹10,724 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹9,535 Cr (↓ -18.5% QoQ from ₹11,705 Cr; ↑ +7.7% YoY from ₹8,856 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹2,173 Cr (↓ -27.4% QoQ from ₹2,991 Cr; ↑ +16.3% YoY from ₹1,868 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹891 Cr (↓ -45.0% QoQ from ₹1,621 Cr; ↑ +16.5% YoY from ₹765 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹658 Cr (↓ -47.2% QoQ from ₹1,246 Cr; ↑ +19.4% YoY from ₹551 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹1.04 (↓ -45.8% QoQ from ₹1.92; ↑ +19.5% YoY from ₹0.87)
Fundamental Highlights
Ashok Leyland delivered impressive Q1 FY26 performance with PAT surging 19.4% YoY to ₹658 crore, driven by record commercial vehicle volumes and superior cost discipline. The company achieved record Q1 volumes with profit rising on improved market execution and cost control, with exports reaching all-time high levels.
As India's 2nd largest commercial vehicle manufacturer, 4th largest bus manufacturer globally, and 19th largest truck manufacturer worldwide, Ashok Leyland maintains a dominant market position with diversified operations across 9 manufacturing plants internationally.
The company sold 44,238 units in Q1 - its highest for any first quarter - and posted revenues of ₹8,725 crore, marking the strongest-ever first-quarter results in company history. This record performance validates the technical breakout above ₹132 resistance levels.
Operating margin resilience demonstrated through 16.3% YoY operating profit growth despite seasonal QoQ decline, showcasing management's focus on operational efficiency. Recent January 2025 sales data shows continued momentum with 8% YoY growth in commercial vehicle sales to 17,213 units.
The commercial vehicle cycle is expected to continue into FY25 driven by economic growth and infrastructure spending, with government likely to introduce payment security mechanism for electric buses. This provides strong sectoral tailwinds for sustained growth.
Strategic expansion initiatives include network expansion in Eastern India to tap regional economic growth and strengthen customer service in light commercial vehicle segment. Partnership with Nidec in October 2024 to boost commercial vehicle electrification through E-Drive system development positions the company for future mobility trends.
Cost management excellence reflected in expense control while maintaining record volume performance, demonstrating operational leverage benefits. Strong balance sheet fundamentals and established market leadership support the technical breakout thesis for sustained momentum.
Conclusion
Ashok Leyland's spectacular 19.4% YoY PAT growth and record Q1 volumes triggering successful breakout above 25-year resistance at ₹132 creates compelling technical and fundamental convergence. The company's market leadership position, record quarterly performance, and strong sectoral tailwinds from infrastructure spending provide robust backing for the upward trajectory. Critical support at ₹130-132 breakout zone must sustain for continued bullish momentum toward the ₹150 target zone. The 25-year wealth creation journey continues with fresh technical setup favoring further upside.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Jindal Steel: Q1 Turnaround Fuels Technical Breakout SetupTechnical Analysis
Jindal Steel has demonstrated an exceptional super bullish rally spanning the past decade, establishing itself as a market leader. However, since 2024, the stock encountered formidable resistance at the 1050-1100 zone, creating a critical supply area that has tested multiple times.
The game-changing catalyst arrived with the announcement of stellar Q1 FY26 results in August 2024, showcasing remarkable operational turnaround. These super positive quarterly numbers provided the momentum needed to challenge the stubborn resistance zone once again.
Currently trading at ₹1,039, the stock sits just below the crucial 1050-1100 supply zone. A decisive breakout above this range with strong volume confirmation would mark a significant technical milestone, transforming previous resistance into robust support.
Entry Strategy: Enter on sustained breakout above ₹1,100 with volume confirmation, ensuring bullish candlestick patterns emerge.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,150
Target 2: ₹1,200
Target 3: ₹1,250
Stop Losses:
Critical Stop: ₹1,050 (supply zone breakout level)
If the supply zone sustains and market fails to hold above these levels, no more expectations on this stock.
Q1 FY26 Financial Highlights (vs Q4 FY25 & Q1 FY25)
Total Income: ₹12,294 Cr (↓ -6.7% QoQ from ₹13,183 Cr; ↓ -9.7% YoY from ₹13,618 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹9,289 Cr (↓ -14.9% QoQ from ₹10,922 Cr; ↓ -13.8% YoY from ₹10,779 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹3,006 Cr (↑ +32.9% QoQ from ₹2,262 Cr; ↑ +5.9% YoY from ₹2,839 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹2,018 Cr (↑ +2,703% QoQ from ₹72 Cr; ↑ +8.6% YoY from ₹1,859 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,498 Cr (Turnaround from ₹-304 Cr QoQ; ↑ +11.8% YoY from ₹1,338 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹14.65 (↑ +540% QoQ from ₹-3.33; ↑ +11.5% YoY from ₹13.14)
Fundamental Highlights
Jindal Steel delivered a spectacular operational turnaround in Q1 FY26 with PAT surging to ₹1,498 crore, marking an impressive 11.8% YoY growth and complete recovery from Q4 FY25 losses. The dramatic quarterly improvement showcases superior cost management with expenses declining 14.9% while operating profits jumped 32.9%.
Market cap stands at ₹1,05,635 crore (up 7.49% in 1 year) with strong promoter holding of 62.4% indicating management confidence. The company maintains diversified operations across steel, power, mining and infrastructure sectors providing business stability.
Operating margin expansion from 20.8% in Q1 FY25 to 24.5% in Q1 FY26 demonstrates exceptional operational efficiency improvements. The integrated steel-to-power business model offers competitive advantages and revenue diversification benefits.
India's steel sector momentum provides strong tailwinds with market projected to grow from $102.67 billion in 2024 to $166.96 billion by 2030 at 8.28% CAGR. Infrastructure boom and government initiatives support sustained steel demand growth prospects.
Cost optimization excellence reflected in 13.8% YoY expense reduction while maintaining operational capabilities, showcasing management's focus on profitability enhancement. The company's strategic positioning in key infrastructure segments aligns with India's growth trajectory.
EPS improvement from negative territory to ₹14.65 validates the operational turnaround strategy. Strong balance sheet fundamentals and debt management support the technical breakout thesis for sustained momentum.
Conclusion
Jindal Steel's remarkable Q1 FY26 turnaround with 11.8% YoY PAT growth and operational margin expansion creates compelling technical setup at the 1050-1100 resistance zone. The company's integrated business model and sector tailwinds from India's infrastructure boom provide strong fundamental backing. Critical breakout above ₹1,100 with volume confirmation could unlock significant upside to the ₹1,250 target zone. Support at ₹1,050 breakout level must sustain for continued bullish trajectory.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Sensex structure analysis and Trade Plan: 12th September 🔎 Market Structure Analysis
4H Chart (Swing Context)
Price is respecting the ascending channel, but currently stalling inside the 81,500–81,700 supply zone.
Prior impulsive leg broke above 81,200 (former resistance, now turned demand zone).
Bias: Short-term bullish, but entering a resistance-heavy zone.
1H Chart (Intraday Context)
Structure: Clear series of higher highs & higher lows → bullish market structure.
81,200 level has multiple rejections in the past → key support now.
Current candles are consolidating inside the red supply zone (81,500–81,700) → indecision.
BOS (Break of Structure) confirms buyers’ dominance, but upside liquidity is thinning.
15m Chart (Execution View)
Sideways consolidation just below 81,600 supply.
Order block around 81,200–81,250 acting as a buffer for downside liquidity.
Small FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) in 81,300–81,350 zone may act as intraday support zones.
📝 Trade Plan (12th Sept)
Bullish Scenario
✅ Buy on retracement near 81,200–81,250 demand zone (OB + structure support).
Targets:
TP1: 81,500 (intraday liquidity)
TP2: 81,700–81,750 (supply zone top & channel resistance)
Stop Loss: below 81,000 (channel bottom & invalidation).
Bearish Scenario
❌ Short only if price rejects 81,600–81,700 zone with strong bearish engulfing.
Targets:
TP1: 81,300 (gap fill)
TP2: 81,200 (major demand zone)
Stop Loss: above 81,750.
🎯 Bias
Neutral-to-bullish → Expect pullback to 81,200 before another push higher.
Caution: If 81,200 fails, downside acceleration towards 80,800–80,600 could unfold.