Beyond Technical Analysis
HDFC BULLISHAMD phase completed AND manipulation phase completed. its time for price distribution
1ST TARGET PRICE = 1013
2ND TARGET EXPECTING = 1130
Option Trading Bull Call Spread (Controlled Bullish Strategy)
Best for: Beginners expecting moderate rise in stock.
Market Outlook: Moderately bullish.
How it works:
Buy a lower strike call.
Sell a higher strike call.
Example:
Nifty at 22,000.
Buy 22,000 call at ₹150.
Sell 22,200 call at ₹80.
Net cost = ₹70.
If Nifty rises to 22,200, max profit = ₹130 (₹200 – ₹70).
Max loss = ₹70 (if Nifty stays below 22,000).
✅ Pros: Limited risk, limited reward.
❌ Cons: Not suitable if stock rises sharply.
Bear Put Spread (Controlled Bearish Strategy)
Best for: Beginners expecting moderate fall in stock.
Market Outlook: Moderately bearish.
How it works:
Buy a higher strike put.
Sell a lower strike put.
Example:
Nifty at 22,000.
Buy 22,000 put at ₹160.
Sell 21,800 put at ₹90.
Net cost = ₹70.
If Nifty falls to 21,800, max profit = ₹130.
Max loss = ₹70.
✅ Pros: Controlled loss, cheaper than naked put.
❌ Cons: Profit capped.
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 4th September 🔎 Higher Timeframe (4H) Outlook
Price rebounded from the 79,800–80,000 demand zone (green box) with multiple wicks showing liquidity grab.
A descending channel breakout attempt is visible → short-term momentum turning bullish.
Overhead supply zones:
80,800–81,000 (immediate)
81,600–81,800 (major resistance + FVG)
Clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) left behind near 80,200–80,350, which may get retested before continuation.
✅ Bias (4H): Mild bullish → until 79,800 holds, upside targets are 80,800 and 81,600.
⏱ Intraday (1H) Structure
Price has broken the short-term downtrend line and reclaimed above 80,500.
Multiple FVGs:
Below current price: 80,300–80,400 → acts as intraday demand.
Above price: 80,800–81,000 → likely first magnet.
Liquidity pools visible above 81,200–81,400 (previous order block).
✅ Bias (1H): Bullish intraday → unless we break below 80,200.
🎯 Scalping / Execution (15M)
Market structure shift (MSS) confirmed after breaking the previous swing high.
Current consolidation around 80,500 after a sharp move.
OB + FVG support: 80,300–80,400 → potential re-entry area.
Next liquidity targets:
80,800 (first test/sell zone)
81,200+ if momentum continues.
📌 Trade Plan for Sensex
Long Setup
Entry: Around 80,300–80,400 (FVG / demand retest)
SL: Below 79,950 (demand invalidation)
Targets:
T1: 80,800
T2: 81,200
T3: 81,600–81,800
Short Setup (countertrend / if rejection seen)
Entry: 80,800–81,000 zone
SL: Above 81,250
Targets:
T1: 80,400
T2: 80,000
⚖️ Summary
Bias: Short-term bullish (demand at 79,800 held).
Key Support: 79,800–80,000.
Key Resistance: 80,800–81,000 → major decision point.
Strategy: Buy dips above 80,200; fade rallies only if rejection at supply.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 4th September 🔎 4H Chart Outlook
Strong bounce today with a wide green candle reclaiming 54,000.
Price is inside a short-term rising channel.
Overhead supply zone (54,200–54,400) + FVG remains untested.
Key demand sits at 53,400–53,600, aligned with previous rejection and liquidity sweep.
👉 Bias: Mild bullish, but supply at 54,200–54,400 is the first hurdle.
🔎 1H Chart Outlook
Price has broken above a short-term downtrend and filled the FVG at 53,800–54,000.
Immediate resistance at 54,100–54,200.
If rejected, we can expect a pullback retest into 53,800–53,900 (also aligns with demand zone & FVG).
👉 Bias: Range-bound between 53,800 demand and 54,200 supply.
🔎 15M Chart Outlook
Microstructure shows OB around 53,750–53,800 that pushed the breakout.
Current rejection candle printed at 54,100–54,200 supply zone.
Liquidity resting below 53,900–54,000 (intraday retrace level).
👉 Bias: Short-term sell-on-rise till 54,200 holds.
🎯 Trade Plan for 4th Sept (BankNifty Futures / Options)
🔵 Bullish Scenario
If price sustains above 54,200 with strong candles →
🎯 Targets: 54,400 → 54,600
📍 Stop-loss: below 54,050
🔴 Bearish Scenario
At open, if price fails at 54,100–54,200 and prints rejection →
🎯 Targets: 53,900 → 53,750 → 53,600
📍 Stop-loss: above 54,250
⚡ Intraday Key Levels
Demand: 53,750–53,850
Supply: 54,200–54,400
Range: 53,600 – 54,400
✅ Suggested Strategy:
Sell-on-rise near 54,150–54,200 with puts (strike 53,800 / 53,500).
Switch to long calls only if breakout candle closes above 54,200 with volume.
Nifty Trend Analysis & Trade Plan: 4th September 🔎 Market Structure Analysis (Nifty 50)
🔹 4H Chart (Swing Bias)
Nifty has been recovering inside an ascending channel after the recent downtrend.
Price is hovering around 24,700 resistance, which aligns with a supply/FVG zone.
Multiple rejections seen in this zone → shows sellers are active.
Support zone: 24,580–24,600 (channel base + previous FVG).
Overall: Market is trying to shift from bearish to neutral → but facing overhead supply.
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish as long as 24,580 holds. A break below opens 24,320 demand.
🔹 1H Chart (Intraday Bias)
Price is respecting the rising channel structure.
EMA is turning upward, but rejection near 24,740–24,760 supply zone.
Clean FVG gap support around 24,640–24,660.
If price sustains above 24,660 → can push toward 24,800–24,850 resistance.
Below 24,600 → structure weakens, pullback likely.
Bias: Intraday bullish above 24,660 | Bearish below 24,600.
🔹 15M Chart (Execution View)
Clear rejection from supply near 24,740–24,760.
Demand zones marked at 24,640–24,660 (short-term OB + FVG).
Another strong demand at 24,560–24,580.
If demand holds, scalps to the upside remain valid.
Break below 24,560 → triggers downside momentum.
📌 Trade Plan for 4th September (Nifty Futures/Options)
🔺 Long Setup (Bullish Bias)
Entry: Above 24,660 on 15m confirmation (green candle close).
Target 1: 24,740
Target 2: 24,800–24,850 (major supply).
SL: Below 24,600.
Rationale: Riding channel structure with EMA support.
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Bias)
Entry: On rejection from 24,740–24,760 OR breakdown below 24,600.
Target 1: 24,560
Target 2: 24,480
Target 3: 24,320 (if heavy selling persists).
SL: Above 24,770 (for rejection short) or above 24,640 (for breakdown short).
Rationale: Supply rejection and failed channel hold.
🎯 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance Zones: 24,740–24,760 | 24,800–24,850
Support Zones: 24,640–24,660 | 24,560–24,580 | 24,320
👉 In short:
Bias is neutral-to-bullish intraday, but risk of pullback if 24,600 breaks.
Preferred Plan: Longs above 24,660 toward 24,800. Shorts only if supply holds or 24,600 breaks.
Volume Profile & Market Structure AnalysisIntroduction
In modern financial markets, traders and investors rely on both price and volume to make informed decisions. While traditional technical analysis focuses heavily on price charts, patterns, and indicators, volume profile analysis introduces a powerful dimension: it shows not just where price has moved, but also where the most significant trading activity has occurred.
Markets are not simply a story of price fluctuations — they are a narrative of participation, commitment, and liquidity. By studying how much volume has traded at each price level, traders gain insights into which levels matter most to participants. This is where the volume profile becomes a key tool.
Coupled with market structure analysis — which identifies trends, ranges, supply-demand zones, and institutional footprints — traders can develop a deeper understanding of the underlying mechanics that drive market movement.
This guide explores the concepts of volume profile and market structure in detail, blending theory with practical application.
1. Understanding Volume in Trading
Volume represents the number of contracts, shares, or lots traded during a specific period.
High volume = Strong participation, more conviction.
Low volume = Weak participation, possible indecision.
Price movement alone can be deceptive. A rally with low volume may simply be speculative or driven by a few participants. Conversely, a rally with high volume suggests genuine market consensus and institutional interest.
Thus, when price is studied together with volume, we see where money is flowing in and out of the market.
2. What is Volume Profile?
Volume Profile is a charting tool that displays trading activity over a chosen time period at specified price levels. Unlike the typical volume indicator shown below price bars (which measures activity over time), volume profile shows how much volume was transacted at each price level.
It usually appears on the side of the chart as a histogram.
Key elements:
Point of Control (POC):
The price level with the highest traded volume. It’s often seen as the market’s “fair value.”
Value Area (VA):
The range where around 70% of trading activity occurred.
Value Area High (VAH): Top of the value range.
Value Area Low (VAL): Bottom of the value range.
High Volume Nodes (HVN):
Price zones where large amounts of trading took place — representing strong support/resistance.
Low Volume Nodes (LVN):
Price levels with little trading — often act as rejection zones where price moves quickly through.
In essence, volume profile reveals where participants are most interested in trading.
3. Why Volume Profile Matters
Identifies strong support/resistance: Prices with high volume tend to act as magnets.
Reveals institutional activity: Large players accumulate or distribute around high-volume zones.
Helps detect breakouts/fakeouts: If price moves away from a value area with volume, it’s often more sustainable.
Guides risk management: Stop-loss and target levels can be aligned with volume nodes.
For example, if the POC is at 15,000 in Nifty futures, traders know this is a strong pivot point. If price is above POC, bias is bullish; if below, bearish.
4. Building Blocks of Market Structure
While volume profile explains where participants are most active, market structure explains how the market moves.
Market structure refers to the repetitive patterns of price behavior, shaped by supply and demand imbalances.
a) Phases of Market Structure
Accumulation: Institutions build positions after a downtrend. Volume increases slowly.
Markup: Price trends upward, breaking resistance levels.
Distribution: Institutions unload holdings to late buyers at higher prices.
Markdown: Market declines as selling pressure outweighs demand.
b) Market Structure Basics
Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL): Uptrend.
Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL): Downtrend.
Equal Highs/Lows: Range or consolidation.
Traders map these swings to understand whether the market is bullish, bearish, or neutral.
5. Integrating Volume Profile with Market Structure
When combined, these two frameworks become powerful:
Trend confirmation: In an uptrend, high-volume nodes forming higher also confirm strong institutional support.
Range identification: A wide value area often signals consolidation.
Breakout validation: If price breaks above value area with high volume, chances of continuation are strong.
Liquidity hunts: Price may dip into low-volume nodes to trap traders before reversing.
Example: If Bank Nifty is making higher highs but each move is supported by rising POC levels, it confirms strength in the trend.
6. Practical Applications for Traders
a) Day Trading with Volume Profile
Identify intraday POC and VAH/VAL.
Trade rejections from value extremes (fade strategy).
Trade breakouts above VAH or below VAL with volume confirmation.
b) Swing Trading
Use weekly/monthly volume profiles.
Enter near HVNs (support zones) and exit near opposing HVNs.
Align swing trades with broader market structure (trend direction).
c) Position Trading
Focus on long-term volume profiles (quarterly/yearly).
Look for accumulation/distribution footprints of institutions.
Hold positions around POC shifts (where market’s fair value is migrating).
7. Volume Profile Strategies
Strategy 1: Value Area Rejection
If price moves above VAH but volume doesn’t confirm, expect a return back inside the value area.
Works best in range-bound markets.
Strategy 2: Value Area Breakout
If price breaks VAH/VAL with strong volume, trade in the breakout direction.
Works best in trending markets.
Strategy 3: POC Reversal
When price revisits the POC after a strong move, watch for reversal or continuation signals.
Strategy 4: Low-Volume Node Play
Price tends to move quickly across LVNs since there’s little resistance there.
8. Market Structure Strategies
Strategy 1: BOS (Break of Structure)
When price breaks a previous swing high in an uptrend → confirms continuation.
Strategy 2: CHoCH (Change of Character)
When price shifts from making HH/HL to LH/LL → signals reversal.
Strategy 3: Liquidity Grab
Market often sweeps previous highs/lows to trigger stop-losses before moving in the real direction.
Strategy 4: Supply/Demand Zones
Identify areas of sharp moves with high volume → strong institutional orders likely exist there.
9. Case Study Example (Nifty Futures)
Imagine Nifty is trading around 19,800.
Daily volume profile shows POC at 19,750.
VAH = 19,820, VAL = 19,700.
Scenario:
Price breaks above VAH with strong volume → continuation likely.
If it rejects above 19,820 and comes back inside → fade trade down to POC.
Market structure shows HH/HL → aligns with breakout trades.
Thus, both tools together offer context + execution clarity.
10. Psychological Edge of Volume Profile & Market Structure
Traders feel more confident when trades are backed by objective volume data rather than just subjective chart patterns.
Understanding market structure helps avoid emotional decisions by providing a map of price behavior.
Together, they reduce overtrading and improve patience by waiting for high-probability zones.
Conclusion
Volume Profile and Market Structure are two complementary tools that transform how traders view the market.
Volume Profile shows the hidden story of participation, liquidity, and fair value.
Market Structure provides the roadmap of how price evolves over time.
Together, they:
Identify high-probability trading zones.
Reveal institutional footprints.
Help traders avoid emotional decisions.
However, success lies not in the tools alone but in how consistently and patiently traders apply them with risk management. Over time, these methods can provide a decisive edge in understanding and navigating financial markets.
GLENMARK ATH BOSL 1900
Made a ATH BO
retested the BO
Keep an eye on the next qtr results
last two qtr results were not that great
either an insider or a trap BUT BO is strong
UNIVCABLES Price ActionUniversal Cables Limited is currently trading near ₹736 as of early September 2025, continuing its upward momentum from the past six months where the share price surged more than 46%. The stock has a 52-week high of ₹867 and a low of ₹408, showing substantial volatility but also strong resilience during the year. Market capitalization stands at about ₹2,550 crore, placing it firmly in the mid-cap segment for the cables and electricals industry.
The company reported outstanding financial results for Q1 FY26, with net sales rising to ₹600 crore—a 22% year-on-year increase. Profit after tax jumped nearly 489% year-on-year to ₹32.91 crore. Operating profits and margins have also expanded, powered by a rise in sales volumes and efficiency improvements. The earnings per share for the quarter was ₹9.50, reflecting a solid jump from the same period last year.
Valuation wise, Universal Cables carries a price-to-earnings ratio around 21 and a price-to-book ratio close to 0.72, which suggests it still trades at reasonable levels compared to sector averages. However, the debt-equity ratio has risen to 0.48, indicating the company is using more leverage, which may impact liquidity but is manageable for growth. Dividend yield remains modest, with a final dividend of ₹4 per share announced for the period.
Technically, the stock is in an uptrend, trading well above key moving averages, and volume patterns indicate strong trading interest. Near-term sentiment is positive, though some profit taking is possible around resistance zones near the recent highs. Universal Cables benefits from product diversity and sector demand, and if financial momentum continues, the outlook remains constructive for medium-term investors.
02SEP2025-Nifty 50: A Day of Consolidation and Sudden DeclineIntraday Chart Analysis & Key Data Points (as of September 2, 2025):
Opening and Early Session: The Nifty 50 opened strong, trading with a bullish bias. For the first three hours, the index was in a consolidating range, indicating a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, but with a slight upward momentum. The intraday high was 24,756.1.
The Breakdown: A significant shift occurred around 1:30 PM. The index broke below its consolidation range, leading to a sharp and rapid decline. This move saw Nifty plummet by over 230 points from its day's high. The index closed at 24,579.6, below the psychologically important 24,600 mark.
FII/DII Activity: The market movement aligns with the FII (Foreign Institutional Investor) and DII (Domestic Institutional Investor) data.
FIIs: Were net sellers in the cash market, offloading shares worth ₹1,652.11 crore. In the derivatives segment, they were net sellers in index options, which confirms their bearish stance.
DIIs: Provided support by being net buyers, absorbing some of the selling pressure from FIIs.
Technical Levels: The sharp sell-off tested crucial support levels. The immediate support zone is identified between 24,300 and 24,200. The day's low of 24,522.35 is also a key level to watch. On the upside, the resistance zone is now around 24,650-24,700.
Derivatives Data: The Put-Call Ratio (PCR) for the day declined to 0.71, indicating a bearish sentiment. A PCR below 1.0 suggests that more puts (bearish bets) were traded than calls, pointing to a negative outlook. Additionally, the India VIX, a volatility index, also showed a slight decline.
Analysis of Conditions and Possibilities:
The market is in a "sell-on-rally" mode. The consolidation followed by a sharp breakdown suggests that institutional players were booking profits, which overpowered the initial bullish sentiment. The FIIs' bearish stance, especially in the derivatives market, is a significant red flag.
Bearish Scenario: If Nifty breaks below the 24,500 level and fails to hold the 24,300-24,250 support zone, it could trigger further selling pressure. The next possible targets on the downside could be 24,150 and potentially 24,000. This scenario is likely if global markets remain weak or if FIIs continue to be aggressive sellers.
Bullish/Consolidation Scenario: A minor bounce or consolidation cannot be ruled out. The heavy short buildup in Nifty stocks could lead to a short-covering rally. If the index manages to hold the 24,500 support and reclaims the 24,650 level, it could signal a temporary reversal. However, given the overall sentiment, any such upward move might be met with selling at higher levels.
Trading Plan for the Next Day:
Given the high volatility and negative sentiment, a cautious approach is recommended.
For Aggressive Traders (Bearish Outlook):
Entry: Look for a breakdown below the day's low of 24,522.35. A short position can be initiated with a stop-loss just above the consolidation range, for instance, around 24,650.
Target: The first target would be the 24,300-24,250 support zone. If this level is breached, the next target would be 24,150.
For Cautious Traders (Wait-and-Watch):
It's best to wait for a clear directional trend to emerge. Avoid initiating long positions until Nifty reclaims and sustains above the 24,700 resistance level.
Alternatively, you can consider a "sell on rise" strategy. If Nifty rallies towards the 24,650-24,700 zone and shows signs of weakness (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns), a short position could be initiated with a tight stop-loss.
Key Takeaways:
The market sentiment has shifted from bullish to bearish.
FIIs are the primary drivers of this bearish trend.
Crucial support levels are at 24,500 and then 24,300-24,250.
Resistance is now at 24,650-24,700.
As a retail trader, it is crucial to manage risk and avoid trading against the prevailing trend. A long position is extremely risky under current conditions.
LTIM: The Final Squeeze – Breakout or Breakdown?LTIMINDTREE: The Big Squeeze! ⚡ Which Way? 🐂🐻
Timeframe: Daily
Trade Type: Swing/Positional
Pure Price Action Setup: LTIMINDTREE is compressing into a textbook Symmetrical Triangle on the daily chart. This is a classic consolidation pattern where the market is building energy for a significant breakout. Volatility is collapsing into a tight apex!
Key Decision Levels:
Bullish Trigger: A decisive daily close above 5350 (the recent upper trendline resistance).
Bearish Trigger: A decisive daily close below 5067 (the rising lower trendline support).
The Trade Plan:
👉 BULLISH BREAKOUT Scenario 🐂
Entry: On a close above 5350.
Confirmation: A significant increase in volume on the breakout candle should confirm buyer commitment.
Target 1: 5554 (Previous major high)
Final Target: 6042 (All-Time High & Pattern Confluence)
SL: Below the breakout candle or the lower trendline.
👉 BEARISH BREAKDOWN Scenario 🐻
Entry: On a close below 5067.
Confirmation: A noticeable spike in volume on the breakdown would validate seller dominance.
Target 1: 4939 (Initial support zone)
Final Target: 3767 (Major Swing Low & Pattern Confluence)
SL: Above the breakdown candle or the upper trendline.
Pattern Depth & Significance:
The triangle's maximum depth is measured from its origin: the high of 6042 (Feb 5) to the low of 3767 (Apr 7).
This is a 2,275-point range.
In percentage terms, that's a ~60.3% move from high to low.
Why this matters: The energy stored in a pattern of this scale suggests the resulting breakout could be powerful and sustained. Always trail your stop loss after Target 1 is hit! 🔒
Risk Management is NON-NEGOTIABLE!
This is a high-risk, high-reward setup. Your stop loss is your best friend.
📜 Disclaimer: This is an educational example of technical analysis and NOT financial advice. Trading carries a high level of risk. You should consider whether you can afford to take the risk of loss. Perform your own research before making any trade decisions.
Like & Boost if this clear analysis helps you! ✅
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Sensex structure analysis and trade plan: 3rd September 🔹 4H Chart (Swing Bias)
Trend: Still bearish; lower highs and lower lows intact inside a descending channel.
FVG Supply: Around 81,600–81,800 remains untested and acts as a strong supply cap.
Recent Reaction: Price rejected sharply from ~80,600 (near 20 EMA & supply).
Demand Zone: 79,800–79,600 (highlighted green box) is the last demand block; defended intraday but being retested.
✅ Bias: Bearish to sideways
Resistance: 80,600–80,800
Demand: 79,800–79,600
🔹 1H Chart (Intraday Bias)
Breakdown: Price lost 20 EMA and structure after retesting 80,600.
FVG: Fresh bearish FVG between 80,400–80,600 → short re-entry zone.
Support: Demand block at 79,800–79,600 is holding for now, but repeated testing weakens it.
Channel: Price is respecting downward sloping channel resistance.
✅ Bias: Bearish with possible pullback
Short re-entry: 80,400–80,600 (FVG & channel resistance)
Targets: 80,000 / 79,800 → 79,600
SL: Above 80,800
🔹 15m Chart (Execution View)
Order Flow: Break of market structure (BOS) at 80,300; sellers stepped in aggressively.
OB + FVG: Overlapping bearish order block & FVG at 80,400–80,600 = ideal short zone.
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity resting below 79,800 → likely sweep area.
✅ Trade Plan for Tomorrow (3rd Sept):
Primary Setup (Short Bias):
Look for rejection / bearish PA at 80,400–80,600.
Short entry in that zone.
Targets: 80,000 → 79,800 → 79,600.
Stop loss: Above 80,800.
Alternate Bullish Scenario (if 79,800 demand holds with strong reversal):
Buy only after clean BOS above 80,600.
Target: 81,000–81,200.
But probability lower while within channel.
📌 Summary:
Sensex structure is still bearish, with rallies into 80,400–80,600 likely to get sold into. Tomorrow’s trade should be sell on rise unless price gives a strong breakout above 80,800 (invalidating the bearish structure). Watch 79,800–79,600 carefully; a clean breakdown can accelerate fall toward 79,200–79,000.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 3rd September 🔎 Higher Timeframe (4H) Outlook
Trend Bias: Clear bearish market structure — price rejected from supply around 54,000–54,100 and printed a strong bearish candle.
Key Supply Zones:
54,400–54,500 (FVG + strong supply)
54,000–54,100 (fresh supply that caused the last drop)
Demand Zone: 53,300–53,450 (green zone marked)
Observation: Price broke short-term bullish corrective channel, resuming bearish trend.
✅ Bias: Bearish on 4H until demand around 53,300–53,450 is tested.
⏱ 1H Chart Structure
Trendline Break: Price broke rising structure and retested supply.
FVG: Fresh bearish Fair Value Gap at 53,800–54,000.
EMA: Acting as dynamic resistance, price closed below.
Support: Immediate support around 53,600–53,650.
⚠️ If support breaks, expect a quick slide to 53,300 zone.
📉 15M Intraday Chart
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed at 53,800, marking bearish intent.
Order Blocks:
Bearish OB at 53,950–54,050 (likely short entry zone if retested).
Bullish OB around 53,350–53,400 (possible intraday bounce).
Liquidity: Sell-side liquidity resting below 53,500.
📝 Trade Plan for 3rd September
🔻 Bearish Scenarios
Short on Pullback to Supply
Entry: 53,900–54,000 (FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 54,150
Target 1: 53,600
Target 2: 53,350
Breakdown Play
If 53,600 support breaks with momentum, enter short.
SL: Above 53,800
Target: 53,300 demand zone
🔼 Bullish Scenarios (Low Probability)
Only valid if 53,300 demand zone holds with strong rejection.
Intraday bounce possible towards 53,700–53,800, but overall still a sell-on-rise market.
✅ Final Bias
Primary Bias: Bearish → Sell on rise.
Invalidation: If Bank Nifty sustains above 54,100, bearish view is invalidated.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 53,900–54,100
Support: 53,600 & 53,300–53,350
Nifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 3rd September 🔹 4H Chart (Swing Bias)
Trend: Market still in broader downtrend, but we saw a corrective bounce.
Supply Zones:
24,700–24,800 (fresh supply zone, rejected strongly)
25,000–25,100 (major FVG + OB confluence)
Demand Zones:
24,300–24,350 (previous OB + demand block)
Observation: Price got rejected exactly from 24,700 supply and closed near 24,575. Weakness showing continuation bias.
✅ Bias: Bearish below 24,700 | Expect re-test of 24,300
🔹 1H Chart (Intraday Bias)
Price attempted a breakout but failed, leaving a large bearish rejection candle from 24,700.
Current structure: MSS (Market Structure Shift) → downtrend continuation confirmed.
Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed near 24,650–24,700 → this becomes intraday supply zone.
EMA is overhead, acting as resistance.
✅ Bias: Sell on rallies toward 24,650–24,700
🔹 15M Chart (Execution Levels)
OB (Order Block) formed at 24,650 → aligns with higher timeframe supply.
Minor demand visible around 24,500–24,520 (liquidity sweep possible).
If 24,500 breaks, expect quick slide to 24,300 demand.
📌 Trade Plan for 3rd September
Primary Setup (Sell on Rally)
Entry: 24,650–24,700 (supply + FVG zone)
Stop Loss: Above 24,780
Targets:
T1 = 24,500
T2 = 24,350
Extended = 24,300
Alternative Setup (Breakdown Play)
If price opens weak and breaks 24,500 cleanly:
Entry: Below 24,480 after retest
SL: Above 24,600
Target: 24,300
Invalidations
If price sustains above 24,800 on 1H close → bearish plan invalid, upside open toward 25,000–25,100 supply.
👉 Overall, structure favors short positioning with Sell-on-Rally bias, unless bulls reclaim 24,800.
Nifty Intraday Expiry Setup! Sep 02 - Cup & Handle in Play!Body:
Nifty 15m is painting a classic price action setup! A nice rounding cup ☕ is aiming for the resistance zone ⚡
⚔️ Key Levels:
Resistance: 24680 - 24700
Support: 24595 - 24600
The Playbook:
✅ Handle Formation (Ideal): Price hits resistance, makes a U-turn to test 24595-600 as support to form the handle. Then we wait for the next breakout!
🔻 Break DOWN (Support Breaks):
T1: 24500
T2: 24400
🔺 Break UP (Resistance Breaks):
T1: 24800 - 24840
T2: 24900 - 24920
No directional trades between support & resistance! Wait for the break for a clear signal. 🚦
Disclaimer: This is purely an educational idea and not trading advice. Please do your own research and understand the risks involved before trading.
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Intraday Alert: Nifty Bank Symmetrical Triangle! Nifty Bank is squeezing into a tight Symmetrical Triangle on the 15-min chart! Expect a strong intraday breakout soon.
Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle
Timeframe: 15 Minutes
Strategy: WAIT for the breakout. No trades inside the pattern.
🟢 LONG above resistance
🎯 Target: 54300
❌ Stop: Below breakout candle
🔴 SHORT below support
🎯 Target: 53600
❌ Stop: Above breakdown candle
Patience pays!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is NOT trading advice. This post is for educational purposes only. Trading is high risk. Please do your own research and consult a SEBI registered advisor before making any trade decisions.
💬 Boost if helpful! Follow for more! ✅
Exide Industries – Ready for Breakout After Long Accumulation📈 Exide Industries – Ready for Breakout After Long Accumulation
Chart Pattern:
Stock has been consolidating in an accumulation phase after forming a Bullish Order Block around ₹320–340.
A cup-shaped structure has developed with higher lows, indicating strong demand absorption.
Price has now broken out above the falling trendline resistance and is trading around ₹412.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: ₹387–400 zone (previous resistance, now support).
Resistance 1: ₹455–465
Resistance 2: ₹515–525
Resistance 3 / Target Zone: ₹575–585
All-Time High: ₹620+
Trade Setup Idea:
✅ Entry Zone: ₹400–415 (on dips or sustaining above breakout).
🎯 Targets:
₹460 (Resistance 1)
₹520 (Resistance 2)
₹580 (Resistance 3)
🛡️ Stop Loss: Below ₹385 (closing basis).
Technical Confluence:
Breakout from multi-month trendline.
Strong accumulation visible in volumes.
Cup & handle–like formation suggesting momentum build-up.
⚡ View: Medium-term bullish. A breakout above ₹460 can open the gates for higher targets up to ₹580–600 .
Buy on DipsBajaj-Auto seems to have entered Wave 3.
Buying opportunities could be looked out for on dips
Currently it has reached at an important resistance of around 9100, so a pullback is expected
BANKNIFTY at a major resistanceAlthough, Banknifty is still in an uptrend on weekly chart but it has reached a major resistance level.
In which, Wave C has achieved 61.8% of Wave A.
It'd be good to avoid taking long positions for now and book atleast partial profits.
Price breaking below 53,500 and stabilizing there, could call for shorting opportunities.
Price moving up 57,800 will point towards continuation of Wave C
Will keep you guys posted
PCR Trading Strategy Options Strategies (Beginner to Advanced)
Options allow many strategies:
Beginner:
Buying Calls & Puts – Simple directional trades.
Intermediate:
Covered Call – Sell call against owned stock.
Protective Put – Buy put to protect long positions.
Advanced:
Straddle – Buy call + put (expect volatility).
Strangle – Similar, but with different strikes.
Iron Condor – Profits from sideways markets.
Butterfly Spread – Low-risk range-bound strategy.
Options in the Indian Market
Traded mainly on NSE (National Stock Exchange).
Popular instruments: Nifty, Bank Nifty, FinNifty, and top stocks.
Expiry cycles: Weekly (Thursday) and Monthly.
Lot sizes fixed by SEBI (e.g., Nifty lot = 25).
India is one of the world’s largest options markets today.
Sensex Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 2nd September 🔹 4H Chart (Swing Bias)
Trend: Clear downtrend with consecutive lower lows inside a red channel.
Recent Move: Price bounced strongly from the 79,800–79,600 demand zone.
FVG: Price is currently reacting to the Fair Value Gap (80,300–80,600).
Resistance: 80,800–81,200 supply + FVG above.
Bias: Temporary relief rally, but macro remains bearish until 81,200 breaks convincingly.
🔹 1H Chart (Intraday Bias)
Structure: Break of structure (BOS) on the upside after strong rejection from 79,800 demand.
Momentum: Short-term bullish push, filling the first FVG around 80,300–80,600.
Liquidity: Buyside liquidity resting near 80,800–81,000 zone.
Bias: Price likely to continue towards 80,800 before facing supply pressure.
🔹 15M Chart (Execution Bias)
Current Setup: Price is consolidating just above the lower demand (80,200–80,300).
OBs: A bullish OB at 80,100–80,200 could serve as intraday support.
Targets: Immediate target = 80,600; Extended = 80,800.
Stops: Below 79,950 (previous swing low).
📌 Trade Plan for Tomorrow
Primary Bias: Buy on Dips (Intraday Relief Rally)
Entry 1 (Aggressive): 80,200–80,300 retest zone (OB + demand + FVG overlap).
Entry 2 (Conservative): If price sweeps 79,950 and reclaims 80,100 → long setup.
Target 1: 80,600 (FVG fill).
Target 2: 80,800 (liquidity sweep & supply zone).
Stop Loss: Below 79,950 (swing low).
Invalidation: If price closes below 79,800 on 1H → bias flips back bearish, expect 79,400–79,200.
✅ Summary:
Swing bias = Bearish (still inside down channel).
Intraday bias = Bullish relief rally toward 80,800.
Execution = Look for dip buys near 80,200 with SL below 79,950.
Banknifty Structure Analysis & Trade Plabn: 02nd September 🔎 Multi-Timeframe Analysis
4H Chart
Trend: Strong bearish structure intact, price consistently making lower lows.
Current Action: Price has bounced from 53,400 demand zone and is now testing supply around 54,000–54,200 (FVG + supply block).
Bias: Still bearish overall, but short-term relief rally is underway until this supply zone holds.
1H Chart
Trend: Recovery move inside a descending channel. Recent candles show strength but hitting 54,000 resistance zone.
Supply: 54,000–54,200 is a critical supply block. Above this, next resistance at 54,400–54,500.
Demand: Strong support sits near 53,400–53,500.
15M Chart
Structure: Clear break above intraday structure with higher highs and higher lows.
Immediate Resistance: Price is consolidating just below 54,000–54,100 supply.
Short-term Bias: Momentum bullish, but into heavy resistance.
🎯 Trade Plan for 2nd September
🔹 Scenario 1: Rejection at 54,000–54,200
If price rejects this supply zone with bearish candle confirmation:
Entry: Short near 54,000–54,100
Target 1: 53,700
Target 2: 53,400 (major demand zone)
Stop-Loss: Above 54,250
✅ Favorable Risk-Reward for trend continuation.
🔹 Scenario 2: Breakout above 54,200
If price sustains above 54,200 with volume:
Entry: Long above 54,250
Target 1: 54,500
Target 2: 54,800
Stop-Loss: Below 54,000
⚠️ More counter-trend, so reduce size.
🔹 Scalping Intraday (15M Setup)
Look for short entries at 54,000–54,100 zone rejection.
Quick longs possible only if 53,700–53,750 holds intraday as support.
📌 Summary:
Bigger picture = bearish bias.
Best probability = Sell on rise around 54,000–54,200.
Bulls only valid above 54,200 for a short-covering rally.
