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Beyond Technical Analysis

Only one thing that rules the market and it's not LiquidityLiquidity is a very subjective but most of the time a baseless and useless concept because it is everywhere in the market. Also, there is nothing on the charts that tells a trader which liquidity is the price going to take and reverse or not. Even though if it worked 2 years ago, now it doesn't cos of your favourite youtubers and insta guru's that won't stop making videos on it just to make it saturated. There is only one thing that drives the price and it is not liquidity
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Jass_Mankoo
PFOCUS Price Action## PRIME FOCUS LIMITED (PFOCUS) – Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - The current share price is approximately ₹149–₹154 as of August 13–14, 2025. - Market capitalization stands in the range of ₹4,590–5,000crore. - The 52-week price range is ₹85 (low in March 2025) to ₹181 (high in July 2025). - The all-time high is ₹181.00 (July 15, 2025); all-time low was ₹5.18 (March 2009). - Recent trading volumes remain robust, averaging over 1.3million shares daily. ### Returns & Volatility - The stock has seen sharp movements: it’s down about 18% from its recent highs, having rallied earlier in the year. - Weekly and monthly swings are notable, with up to 7–10% daily moves during July and August. - Volatility is higher than sector average, with several abrupt corrections and rallies since June. ### Financial Performance & Fundamentals - For the June 2025 quarter, Prime Focus reported consolidated net profit of ₹61.9crore on record net sales (net profit up 15.18% YoY). - TTM revenue is about ₹3,600–9,800crore, depending on calculation methods; net income trends remain volatile, with losses earlier in the year and a recent turnaround into profit. - EBITDA stands near ₹2,320crore; overall sales growth for the year is about 8%. - EPS (TTM) is negative, reflecting the impact of previous losses (-₹12.17). - Book value per share: Around ₹13.50. ### Valuation - Current P/E ratio is not meaningful (negative EPS), but the P/B ratio is high at ~11, signaling premium valuation versus assets. - Intrinsic value is estimated at ₹147–148 per share, meaning the stock trades just above fair value by about 2%. - No dividend yield reported; Prime Focus reinvests earnings amid financial volatility. - The price-to-sales ratio is about 1.3–1.28, suggesting a slightly expensive stock in context. ### Qualitative & Technical Notes - Shareholder structure is stable, with zero pledged promoter shares. - The technical trend is mixed, showing recent rebounds after sharp corrections. Technical indicators are neutral to positive in the short term. - Market sentiment is cautious—there are concerns about sustainability of non-operating income and future profit growth. - Compared to broad indices and sector peers, Prime Focus is outperforming in terms of price momentum but underperforming in fundamentals due to recurring losses and high valuation. *** ### Summary Prime Focus (PFOCUS) is trading close to its estimated intrinsic value after a volatile period marked by sharp rallies, corrections, and a recent recovery to near ₹150. While the company posted profits for the latest quarter, overall fundamentals remain mixed: high asset-driven valuation, no dividend payout, and inconsistent earnings trends. The stock features notable price swings and trades at a premium to book value. Investors should approach with caution, considering the elevated volatility and possible risks related to sustainability of recent gains and ongoing sector challenges.
NSE:PFOCUSLong
by KamalKJoshi
NIFTY Eyes Long on 25133- Bullish Breakout WatchTimeframe: 2-hour (H2) Entry Zone: Around current breakout level of 24,619 Target: 25,133 – aligns with a prior reaction high and measured move projection from recent swing range. Stop-Loss: 24,542 – just below the most recent higher low, protecting the setup if momentum fails. Reasoning: Price has been forming higher lows since August 7, indicating gradual strength building. Moving averages have turned upward, confirming short-term trend change. Previous sell-side liquidity zones have been cleared, reducing overhead resistance until the 25,133 area. Volume profile shows a gap zone between 24,650 and 25,100, often filled quickly in trending conditions. Risk Management: This is a swing-style setup within an ongoing uptrend on the lower timeframe but still needs confirmation from follow-through buying. Disclaimer: This chart is for educational discussion only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets carry risk, and decisions should be based on your own analysis and risk tolerance.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
Breakout & Breakdown Strategies in Trading1. Introduction Trading is not just about buying low and selling high—it’s about identifying when the market is ready to move decisively in a particular direction. Among the most powerful price action-based methods, Breakout and Breakdown strategies have earned their place as timeless tools in a trader’s arsenal. Breakout: When the price pushes above a significant resistance level or price consolidation zone, signaling potential bullish momentum. Breakdown: When the price falls below a significant support level or consolidation zone, signaling potential bearish momentum. The reason these strategies are so popular is simple: when price escapes a strong level, it often triggers a wave of orders—both from new traders entering the market and from existing traders closing losing positions. This can create explosive moves. 2. Understanding Market Structure Before diving into strategies, it’s important to understand how the market’s “architecture” works. 2.1 Support and Resistance Support is a price level where buying interest tends to emerge, preventing the price from falling further. Resistance is a price level where selling pressure tends to emerge, preventing the price from rising further. A breakout happens when resistance is breached, and a breakdown occurs when support is breached. 2.2 Consolidation Zones Markets often move sideways before a breakout or breakdown. These “tight” ranges reflect indecision. The tighter the range, the stronger the potential move after the breakout. 2.3 Market Participants Understanding who’s involved can help: Retail traders often chase moves. Institutions accumulate positions quietly during consolidation. Algorithmic traders may trigger breakouts with large volume spikes. 3. Market Psychology Behind Breakouts & Breakdowns Price movements are not just numbers; they reflect human emotions—fear, greed, and uncertainty. 3.1 Breakouts Traders waiting for confirmation jump in as soon as resistance breaks. Short sellers may cover their positions (buy to exit), adding buying pressure. Momentum traders and algorithms pile on, accelerating the move. 3.2 Breakdowns Long holders panic and sell when support breaks. Short sellers initiate fresh positions. Stop-loss orders below support get triggered, adding to the downward momentum. 3.3 False Breakouts/Breakdowns Not every breakout is genuine—sometimes price quickly returns inside the range. This is often due to: Low volume breakouts. Manipulative “stop-hunting” by large players. News events reversing sentiment. 4. Types of Breakout & Breakdown Setups 4.1 Horizontal Level Breakouts Price breaks a clearly defined horizontal resistance or support. Works best when levels are tested multiple times before the break. 4.2 Trendline Breakouts A downward sloping trendline break signals bullish potential. An upward sloping trendline break signals bearish potential. 4.3 Chart Pattern Breakouts Ascending Triangle → Breaks upward most often. Descending Triangle → Breaks downward most often. Flags/Pennants → Continuation patterns after a sharp move. Head and Shoulders → Breakdown after neckline breach. 4.4 Range Breakouts Price has been moving sideways; breaking the range signals a new directional trend. 4.5 Volatility Breakouts Using Bollinger Bands or ATR to identify when volatility expansion may trigger breakouts. 5. Technical Tools for Breakout & Breakdown Trading 5.1 Volume Analysis Genuine breakouts usually have above-average volume. A price breakout without volume can be a trap. 5.2 Moving Averages Breakouts above the 50-day or 200-day MA often attract attention. Crossovers can confirm breakouts. 5.3 Bollinger Bands Breakout beyond the upper band often signals bullish continuation. Breakdown beyond the lower band often signals bearish continuation. 5.4 Average True Range (ATR) Helps set stop-losses based on market volatility. Breakouts with ATR expansion are more reliable. 5.5 RSI & Momentum Indicators RSI crossing above 50 during a breakout supports bullishness. Divergences can warn against false moves. 6. Step-by-Step Breakout Trading Strategy Let’s break down a long breakout strategy: Identify Key Level Mark strong resistance levels or consolidation highs. Wait for Price to Approach Avoid preemptively entering; wait until price tests the level. Check Volume Confirmation Look for higher-than-average volume during the breakout candle. Entry Trigger Enter after a candle closes above resistance, not just a wick. Stop-Loss Placement Place SL below the breakout candle’s low or below the last swing low. Profit Targets First target: Equal to range height. Second target: Use trailing stop to capture more upside. 7. Step-by-Step Breakdown Trading Strategy For a short breakdown strategy: Identify Strong Support Multiple touches strengthen the level. Observe Price Action Watch for compression near support. Volume Confirmation High volume on breakdown increases reliability. Entry Enter after candle closes below support. Stop-Loss Above the breakdown candle high or last swing high. Profit Targets First: Range height projection. Second: Trail stop for extended moves. 8. Risk Management Breakout and breakdown trading is high-reward but also high-risk without proper risk controls. 8.1 Position Sizing Risk only 1–2% of capital per trade. 8.2 Avoid Overtrading Not every breakout is worth trading—quality over quantity. 8.3 Stop-Loss Discipline Never widen stops once placed. 8.4 Recognizing False Breakouts No volume surge. Price rejection at the breakout point. Sudden reversal candles (shooting star, hammer). 9. Advanced Tips for Success 9.1 Multi-Timeframe Analysis Confirm breakouts on higher timeframes for reliability. 9.2 Retest Entries Instead of chasing the breakout, wait for price to retest the broken level and bounce. 9.3 Combine With Indicators MACD crossovers, RSI breakouts, or Ichimoku Cloud confirmations can filter false signals. 9.4 Avoid News-Driven Breakouts These are often short-lived spikes unless supported by strong fundamentals. 10. Real-World Example Breakout Example Stock consolidates between ₹950–₹1000 for weeks. Volume surges as it closes at ₹1015. Entry at ₹1015, SL at ₹990. Price rallies to ₹1080 within days. Breakdown Example Nifty support at 19,800 tested thrice. Price closes at 19,750 with high volume. Short entry at 19,750, SL at 19,880. Price drops to 19,500. 11. Pros and Cons Pros: Captures explosive moves early. Works in all markets (stocks, forex, crypto). High reward-to-risk potential. Cons: False breakouts can be frustrating. Requires discipline to wait for confirmation. Volatility can trigger stop-losses before the real move. 12. Summary Table: Breakout vs Breakdown Feature Breakout (Long) Breakdown (Short) Key Level Resistance Support Volume Signal High volume on upward candle High volume on downward candle Stop-Loss Below breakout candle low Above breakdown candle high Target Range height or trend ride Range height or trend ride 13. Final Thoughts Breakout and breakdown strategies work because they align with the natural order flow of the market—when key levels are breached, they often trigger a flood of buying or selling activity. However, success depends heavily on patience, confirmation, and risk management. A trader who learns to differentiate between a true breakout and a false move has a powerful edge. By combining technical levels, volume analysis, and disciplined execution, breakout/breakdown trading can become a cornerstone strategy in any trading plan.
NSE:AXISBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
5
Building a Consistent Trading PlanIntroduction Trading without a plan is like sailing without a compass — you may catch some winds, but without direction, you’ll eventually drift into trouble. A consistent trading plan is the blueprint that guides your decision-making, helps control your emotions, and allows you to measure performance objectively. It’s the difference between gambling and structured, calculated trading. In this guide, we’ll explore how to build a complete trading plan from scratch, the core components every trader must include, the psychological discipline needed, and real-world implementation steps to maintain consistency. 1. Why a Trading Plan Matters Before we start building, let’s understand the why. Removes Emotional Decision-Making Without a plan, traders tend to react impulsively to market moves, buying out of greed or selling out of fear. A trading plan gives a predefined set of rules, reducing emotional bias. Creates Measurable Consistency Consistency is key in trading. A trading plan ensures that every trade is based on the same logic, making it easier to identify strengths and weaknesses in your approach. Improves Risk Management It forces you to define how much you’re willing to lose per trade and per day/week/month, helping to protect your capital. Enables Continuous Improvement When you follow a documented plan, you can review your trades, find patterns in mistakes, and improve over time. 2. Foundations of a Trading Plan A good trading plan rests on four pillars: Clear goals – Defining what you want to achieve and in what timeframe. Trading strategy – How you find, enter, and exit trades. Risk management – Protecting capital and managing exposure. Psychological discipline – Staying consistent under stress. Step 1: Define Your Trading Goals Your goals need to be Specific, Measurable, Achievable, Relevant, and Time-bound (SMART). Example: Earn 3% per month on average. Limit monthly drawdown to 5%. Execute no more than 20 trades per month. Review performance weekly. Long-term vs. Short-term goals: Short-term: Develop discipline, avoid overtrading, stick to stop-loss rules. Long-term: Build a track record, scale position sizes, move toward full-time trading. Step 2: Choose Your Trading Style Different trading styles require different plans. Choose the one that matches your time availability, personality, and capital. Trading Style Holding Time Time Commitment Risk Profile Example Assets Scalping Seconds–Minutes High High Forex, Index Futures Day Trading Minutes–Hours High High Stocks, Commodities Swing Trading Days–Weeks Medium Medium Equities, ETFs Position Trading Weeks–Months Low Low Stocks, Bonds Step 3: Select Your Market & Instruments A trading plan should specify exactly what markets you trade to avoid distraction. Example: Markets: Nifty50, Bank Nifty, Gold, EUR/USD Instruments: Futures, Options, Spot Market Avoid spreading yourself too thin — mastering one market is more profitable than dabbling in many. 3. Core Components of a Trading Plan Let’s break down exactly what to include in your plan. A. Entry Criteria Clearly define the conditions that must be met before you enter a trade. Example (Technical-based Entry): Price must be above the 50 EMA for long trades. Entry trigger: Breakout of last swing high with above-average volume. Confirmation: RSI above 50 but below overbought. Example (Fundamental-based Entry): Quarterly earnings growth > 20%. Stock in strong sector outperforming the market. Institutional buying trend confirmed. Tip: Avoid vague signals like “when I feel it’s right” — your rules should be objective and back-testable. B. Exit Criteria Exits are more important than entries for profitability. Two types of exits: Stop Loss Exit – A predefined loss limit per trade. Target Profit Exit – A predefined profit goal, or trailing stop for trend-following. Example: Stop Loss: 1.5% below entry. Target: 3% above entry (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio). Trailing Stop: Move stop to breakeven after 1% gain. C. Risk Management Rules Without risk control, even the best strategy will fail. Key Rules: Risk per trade: 1–2% of capital. Max daily loss: 4% of capital. Max open positions: 3 at a time. Position sizing formula: Position Size = (Account Size × Risk %) / Stop Loss (in price terms) Example: Account Size = ₹5,00,000 Risk per trade = 1% = ₹5,000 Stop loss distance = ₹10 Position size = 500 shares. D. Money Management Money management focuses on how profits are reinvested and how losses are recovered. Approaches: Fixed Fractional: Risk a fixed percentage of current equity. Kelly Criterion: Optimize bet size based on historical win rate and payoff ratio. Scaling In/Out: Increase size in winning trades, reduce exposure in losing trades. E. Trade Management Trade management deals with what you do after entering a trade. Do you let profits run or take partial profits? Do you move your stop loss after a certain gain? Do you hedge positions? A strong trading plan has exact decision points for trade management. F. Trading Journal A trading journal is non-negotiable. It records: Date & time Market & instrument Entry & exit price Stop loss & target Trade rationale Result (profit/loss) Emotional state Why it’s important: Reviewing past trades exposes patterns of mistakes and successes. 4. Psychological Discipline in Trading A trading plan is useless if you don’t follow it. Key Mental Challenges: Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) – Chasing moves without confirmation. Revenge Trading – Trying to recover losses quickly. Overtrading – Taking too many trades without quality setups. Loss Aversion – Cutting winners too early and letting losers run. Solutions: Pre-market checklist. Daily routine. Accountability partner or trading community. Meditation or breathing exercises to reset focus. 5. Backtesting and Forward Testing Before trading live, your plan must be tested. Backtesting: Test your strategy on at least 1–2 years of historical data. Track win rate, average profit/loss, drawdowns. Forward Testing (Paper Trading): Execute trades in a simulated account. Evaluate performance under current market conditions. 6. Building Your Trading Routine Consistency comes from habits. Pre-Market Routine: Review overnight news. Identify key support/resistance levels. Prepare watchlist. Plan possible entry/exit levels. During Market Hours: Follow plan strictly. Avoid unplanned trades. Post-Market Routine: Review trades. Update journal. Analyze mistakes. 7. Continuous Improvement The market evolves — so should your plan. Monthly Review Checklist: What rules did I break? Which setups worked best? Is my win rate improving? Is my risk/reward ratio holding? Quarterly Updates: Adjust stop loss levels. Modify position sizing. Test new indicators or filters. 8. Common Mistakes to Avoid Trading multiple strategies without mastery. Ignoring risk rules after a streak of wins. Changing strategies too often. Not accounting for transaction costs and slippage. 9. Example of a Simple Trading Plan Trading Style: Swing Trading Market: Nifty50 stocks Strategy: 50 EMA trend-follow with RSI confirmation Entry Rules: Price above 50 EMA. RSI between 50–70. Breakout of last 10-day high with volume spike. Exit Rules: Stop Loss: 2% below entry. Target: 4% above entry or trailing stop. Risk Management: Risk per trade: 1% of account. Max open positions: 4. Routine: Pre-market: Scan for setups. Post-market: Journal trades, review performance. Conclusion A consistent trading plan is not a guarantee of profits — but it guarantees discipline, risk control, and structured decision-making, which are the foundations for profitability. The best traders are not those who predict the market perfectly, but those who manage their trades systematically over years. Your plan should be written down, tested, followed, and reviewed regularly. The market will keep changing, but your disciplined approach will keep you in the game.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TechnicalExpress
2
How Promoter Holding Tells You the Real Story of a Company!Hello Traders! When you invest in a company, you’re putting your money into the vision and decisions of its promoters. One of the most powerful yet overlooked indicators of a company’s future is its promoter holding , the percentage of shares owned by the people who run the business. Here’s why it matters and how to read it. 1. High Promoter Holding Shows Confidence If promoters own a large portion of the company, it means they have a big personal stake in its success. They win only when shareholders win, which often aligns their interests with yours. 2. Falling Promoter Holding Can Be a Red Flag If promoters are consistently reducing their stake without clear reasons, it could mean they are losing confidence or need cash for other purposes. This trend needs deeper investigation before you invest. 3. Pledged Shares Tell Another Story Sometimes promoters pledge their shares to take loans. If a large percentage of holdings is pledged, it’s a risk, because if the loan isn’t repaid, lenders can sell those shares, pushing the stock price down. 4. Stability Over Time is a Good Sign A steady promoter holding over years shows trust in the business and signals that promoters are in it for the long run. Rahul’s Tip: Promoter holding should never be looked at in isolation. Always check it alongside fundamentals, financial health, and industry outlook before making any decision. Conclusion: Promoter holding can reveal the real confidence level of the people behind the company. When the promoters are heavily invested, and not pledging their shares, it’s usually a sign you’re looking at a solid long-term bet. If this post gave you a new perspective, like it, drop your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more practical stock market insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
2
Sensex Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan: 14th August4H Timeframe Price has bounced sharply from the 80,000–79,800 demand zone, confirming it as strong support. Structure still in a broader downtrend channel, but recent candles show slowing bearish momentum. Immediate supply lies at 80,800–81,000, followed by a stronger zone at 81,400–81,600. A 4H close above 81,000 would be the first sign of trend shift potential. 1H Timeframe Recent market structure shift (MSS) from the lows with higher lows forming. Price is currently consolidating just below 80,800 resistance, which is the prior 1H order block. Sustaining above 80,600 can trigger a liquidity grab towards 81,000–81,200. Failure to hold 80,500 will likely bring price back into 80,200–80,000 demand. 15M Timeframe Short-term bullish structure but stuck under immediate resistance at 80,800. Minor Fair Value Gap (FVG) around 80,620–80,650 could act as a magnet before any continuation. Scalpers can watch for reaction at 80,800 — rejection = short scalp, breakout with retest = long continuation. 🎯 Trade Plan for 14th Aug (Sensex) 🔼 Long Setup (Preferred if 80,600 holds) Entry: Retest of 80,620–80,650 (FVG fill) with bullish reversal confirmation. Stop Loss: Below 80,500. Targets: T1: 80,800 (intraday supply) T2: 81,000–81,200 (liquidity sweep zone) 🔻 Short Setup (If rejection at 80,800–81,000) Entry: On bearish rejection candle from resistance. Stop Loss: Above 81,050. Targets: T1: 80,500 T2: 80,200–80,000 (demand zone) ⛔ No-Trade Zones Between 80,500–80,650 if price consolidates sideways. Inside 80,200–80,400 until a clean breakout — likely choppy and indecisive.
BSE:SENSEXLong
by BhardwajVipin
Banknifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan :14th August📊 Bank Nifty Market Structure Analysis 4H Timeframe Trend: Still respecting the broader downtrend channel. Support Zone: 55,000–54,950 has been tested multiple times and is holding for now. Demand Zone Below: Strong demand visible at 54,450–54,600. Resistance Levels: Immediate: 55,400–55,450 (local supply & channel top) Above: 55,800–55,850 and 56,350–56,400 (major supply zones) A breakout and close above 55,450 on 4H could lead to a test of higher supply. 1H Timeframe Price is consolidating between 55,000 support and 55,400 resistance. Slight bullish momentum since lows of 54,950, but rejection wicks visible at supply. If price sustains above 55,200–55,250, short-term bias turns bullish targeting 55,450–55,500. Below 55,000, selling pressure could increase towards 54,600. 15M Timeframe Structure is sideways with minor bullish bias after recent bounce. Minor intraday FVG near 55,150–55,180 could be retested. Watch for rejection around 55,380–55,400 for short scalp setups. 🎯 Trade Plan for 14th Aug (Bank Nifty) 🔼 Long Setup (Preferred if 55,000 holds) Entry: Retest of 55,150–55,180 with bullish reversal candle. Stop Loss: Below 55,000. Targets: T1: 55,380–55,400 (intraday supply) T2: 55,800–55,850 (liquidity sweep zone). 🔻 Short Setup (If rejection at 55,380–55,400) Entry: Bearish rejection from OB / supply zone. Stop Loss: Above 55,450. Targets: T1: 55,150 T2: 54,600 (major demand zone). ⛔ No-Trade Zones Between 55,150–55,250 if price consolidates. Inside 54,950–55,050 until a clean breakout — choppy action likely.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Market Structure Analysis & Trade Plan : 14th August📊 Market Structure Analysis 4H Timeframe Price remains in the broader downtrend channel but is challenging the upper trendline. Current resistance zone: 24,640–24,700 — price has entered and is testing this area. Demand base remains intact at 24,330–24,380. A decisive 4H close above 24,700 would indicate a potential trend shift towards the next supply zone 24,900–24,950. 1H Timeframe Strong recovery from 24,350 demand seen yesterday. Multiple rejections near 24,700, confirming sellers’ presence. If price sustains above 24,650, it could trigger a move towards 24,780–24,800. Breakdown below 24,560 will shift momentum back to bearish and target 24,430–24,400. 15M Timeframe Price is consolidating just below resistance. Micro-structure shows lower highs inside resistance zone — short-term sellers active. Any break and retest of 24,700 on 15M with strong bullish candle can be an intraday breakout setup. Support for scalpers: 24,580–24,560 zone. 🎯 Trade Plan for 14th Aug (Nifty) 🔼 Long Setup (Preferred if breakout happens) Entry: Break and retest of 24,700 with bullish confirmation. Stop Loss: Below 24,640. Targets: T1: 24,780 T2: 24,900–24,950 🔻 Short Setup (If rejection continues at 24,700) Entry: Bearish rejection candle from 24,640–24,700 supply zone. Stop Loss: Above 24,720. Targets: T1: 24,560 T2: 24,430–24,400 ⛔ No-Trade Zones Inside 24,580–24,640 during sideways price action. Between 24,430–24,380 until a breakout occurs.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by BhardwajVipin
KELLTONTEC Price Action## Kellton Tech Solutions Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - Current share price: ₹25.01 (NSE). - Market capitalization: Approximately ₹1,233 crore. - 52-week price range: ₹19.00 (low) to ₹35.50 (high). - Day's trading range recently: ₹24.80 to ₹27.70. - Recent price change: Slight decline of about 0.48% on the latest trading day. ### Returns & Volatility - The stock is down over 17% in the past year. - Year-to-date in 2025, it is down about 8%. - Despite a recent uptrend with a notable rally after Q1 FY26 results, the price remains approximately 22% below its 52-week peak. - Daily price swings show moderate volatility. ### Financial Performance (Q1 FY26 Highlights) - Revenue: ₹296.1 crore, up 12.8% year-on-year and 3.1% quarter-on-quarter. - EBITDA: ₹35.8 crore, with a margin of 12.1%. - Net profit: ₹22.7 crore, up 13.6% year-on-year and nearly 18% quarter-on-quarter. - EPS: 1.63. - Price/Earnings ratio: 15.34. ### Business & Growth Notes - Kellton Tech is focusing on an AI-first strategy, enhancing capabilities in product engineering, data engineering, and cloud engineering. - Major AI-related project wins in Q1 with global clients in beverages, health insurance, and travel technology. - Operational milestones include launching an AI platform for intelligent automation and a zero-downtime migration project for large clients. - The company participates in global conferences and has received recognition for AI tool performance improvements. ### Valuation & Sentiment - The current P/E ratio of 15.34 indicates moderate valuation relative to earnings. - The stock recently jumped nearly 10% after the strong Q1 FY26 results announcement. - Analysts see Kellton Tech as positioning itself competitively within AI-powered IT solutions. - Investor sentiment has improved due to earnings growth and strategic execution despite the stock being below its 52-week high. ### Summary Kellton Tech Solutions is showing steady financial growth supported by a clear focus on AI-driven projects and strong client engagement. The stock trades at a moderate valuation with a P/E around 15 and has shown resilience with notable earnings growth. Though its price is below the yearly highs, recent operational achievements and project wins provide a positive outlook. Investors should watch for continued execution on AI strategies and monitor overall IT sector trends for sustained momentum.
NSE:KELLTONTECLong
by KamalKJoshi
JMFINANCIL Price Action ## JM Financial Limited – Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - Current share price: ₹186.95. - Market capitalization: Approximately ₹17,875 crore. - 52-week price range: ₹78.00 (low) to ₹189.90 (high). - Day's trading range recently: ₹163.60 to ₹189.90. - Significant price increase noted recently, with a 14.87% rise on the day observed. ### Returns & Volatility - The stock has gained about 69% over the last 3 months. - 12-month return is roughly 97%, showing strong growth. - 3-year return stands near 182%. - Recent intraday volatility with daily price swings within a wide range. ### Valuation Metrics - Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Around 16.23. - Earnings per share (EPS): ₹11.52. - Price/Book (P/B) ratio: Approximately 1.52. - Dividend yield: Around 1.46%. ### Financial & Business Notes - The company has posted moderate sales growth (around 5% year-over-year as per last known data). - Profitability remains solid with steady net income growth. - Market sentiment has been strongly positive, driving recent price appreciation. - Technical indicators show the stock trading well above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, signaling bullish momentum. ### Summary JM Financial is currently trading near its 52-week high with strong recent price performance and solid returns over multiple timeframes. The valuation metrics like P/E around 16 and P/B near 1.5 suggest relatively reasonable valuation for a financial services firm with stable profitability. The significant price gains recently reflect positive market sentiment and business fundamentals, though some volatility is present. Investors should consider the solid growth and moderate valuation in the context of overall sector and market conditions when evaluating the stock.
NSE:JMFINANCILLong
by KamalKJoshi
ITDCEM Price Action## ITD Cementation India Limited (ITDCEM) Price Analysis (August 2025) ### Price & Market Metrics - **Current share price:** Around ₹793 (NSE, August 13, 2025). - **Market capitalization:** Approximately ₹13,622 crore. - **52-week range:** ₹467 (low) to ₹944 (high). - **Day's trading range:** ₹762–₹804. - **Recent price change:** Up about 4.5% on the day. - **Average volumes:** About 762,000 shares traded daily in recent periods. ### Returns & Volatility - The stock has seen a strong rebound from lows around ₹467 in the past year to near ₹793 currently. - Price movements recently show moderate volatility within a range of about 5% intraday. - The 52-week high near ₹944 was achieved recently in July 2025. ### Valuation Metrics - Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio: Approximately 33.3, which is moderately high. - Earnings per share (EPS): ₹23.83. - Dividend yield is low at around 0.25%. - The stock currently trades above its 50-day average price (~₹812) and significantly above its 200-day average (~₹612), indicating recent bullish momentum. ### Financial & Business Highlights - ITD Cementation is in the infrastructure sector, focusing on construction and civil engineering. - The company is supported by a solid order book and infrastructure demand growth. - Market sentiment has been positive with institutional investor meetings scheduled mid-August 2025. ### Technical Sentiment - The stock price has recently pulled back slightly from highs but remains strong overall. - Moving averages suggest upward momentum. - Volume patterns indicate active trading and buyer interest. *** ### Summary ITDCEM is trading near its upper range for the year, with a current price around ₹793 and a strong market capitalization above ₹13,000 crore. The valuation is moderately high with a P/E above 30 and EPS near ₹24. Recent price momentum is positive supported by infrastructure sector tailwinds and investor interest. While the stock has experienced some volatility, the technical indicators point to sustained buying at current levels. Dividend yield remains low, consistent with growth-oriented infrastructure companies. Investors should consider valuation moderately stretched but justified by growth prospects and market position. Caution is advised for short-term price swings given past volatility.
NSE:CEMPROLong
by KamalKJoshi
How to Use Quarterly Results for Investment Decisions!Hello Traders! Every three months, listed companies announce their quarterly results. While many traders react instantly to the numbers, smart investors know how to read them in context before making a move. Here’s how you can use quarterly results to make better investment decisions. 1. Compare With Previous Quarters Don’t just look at the latest figures in isolation. Compare revenue, profit, and margins with the last 3–4 quarters to see if the business is improving or declining. 2. Check Year-on-Year Growth Seasonal factors can distort quarter-to-quarter results. That’s why comparing the same quarter of the previous year (YoY) gives a clearer picture of long-term growth trends. 3. Watch for Margin Changes Rising sales with falling margins can mean rising costs or pricing pressure. Stable or improving margins show operational efficiency and pricing power. 4. Look Beyond Profits Also track debt levels, cash flow, and promoter commentary in the results report. Sometimes profits rise due to one-time gains, which don’t indicate real growth. 5. See Market Reaction – But Think Independently Stock prices may jump or fall sharply after results. Don’t follow the herd; understand the data yourself before taking a position. Rahul’s Tip: Quarterly results are snapshots, not the full movie. Use them as a check-in point to confirm if your investment thesis still holds. Conclusion: Quarterly results can be a powerful tool if you know what to look for. By focusing on growth trends, margins, and underlying financial health, you can make smarter investment decisions and avoid knee-jerk reactions. If this helped you, like the post, share your thoughts in the comments, and follow for more practical stock market insights!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
4
Failure strong level(After-hours Research Analysis-NIFTY50NSE)24500 considered to be a major level as the market crossed more than once, and showed some significant value changes, which is pcr values after crossing. So my idea was if market opens above this 24500 strong level it will be a strong opening . And next market showed the continuity of its opening by making an independent swing which I have marked green. So as technical drawings. 1. I drew a a cone from previous day attempt swing high to this swing leg connecting both High and low. My idea is if market wants to plunge aggressively with speed then it should sustain at this line called S2 now ResistanceR2 . Next it should plunge rom this line to make another move to show its speed movement. This is pure chart analytics till here. 2. Since I have considered 24500 a strong level Even pcr value of all these high swings crossing it should go below 0.01-0.009 or below10%. 3. Same time the below derivatives value should show the support and above it should release. at this time or else if the conditions ceases . ... Condition -failure seen 1. The market will first follow through the speed loss by low swings to below cone S1- now written as ResistanceR1. . Then, At lower lows swings the pcr value reflected above 0 .25- then to 0.5. 2. But showed the break of strong level making pcr above 0.5 in swing lows. This showed its loosing bullish strength. INFERENCE: 1.From yesterdays the market showed its bullish nature by a. strong closing and today by strong opening. b. buy its high speed swings at higher cone level. Why failed: a Swing didn't plunge from speed cone level. b. Speed of wing became slow ,it should have reached by 2:35-to -2:40pm- C. Speed loss shown, pcr was not low as 0.01- 0.25 as expected. d. Support and release of macro levels didn't follow through. Thank you for your time and reading.
NSE:NIFTY
by bharathramarch
Part 12 Trading Master ClassCommon Mistakes to Avoid Holding OTM options too close to expiry hoping for a miracle. Selling naked calls without understanding unlimited risk. Over-leveraging with too many contracts. Ignoring commissions and slippage. Not adjusting positions when market changes. Practical Tips for Success Backtest strategies on historical data. Start with paper trading before using real money. Track your trades in a journal. Combine technical analysis with options knowledge. Trade liquid options with tight bid-ask spreads.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
6
Part 2 Ride The Big MovesAdvanced Options Strategies Butterfly Spread When to Use: Expect stock to stay near a specific price. How It Works: Buy 1 ITM option, sell 2 ATM options, buy 1 OTM option. Risk: Limited. Reward: Highest if stock ends at middle strike. Example: Stock ₹100, buy call ₹95, sell 2 calls ₹100, buy call ₹105. Calendar Spread When to Use: Expect low short-term volatility but possible long-term move. How It Works: Sell short-term option, buy long-term option at same strike. Risk: Limited to net premium. Reward: Comes from time decay of short option. Ratio Spread When to Use: Expect limited move in one direction. How It Works: Buy 1 option, sell multiple options at different strikes. Risk: Unlimited on one side if not hedged. Diagonal Spread When to Use: Expect gradual move over time. How It Works: Buy long-term option at one strike, sell short-term option at different strike.
OKX:BTCUSDEducation
by SkyTradingZone
5
Banknifty Market Structure & Tade Plan : 13th August 📊 Market Structure Analysis — Bank Nifty 4H Timeframe Price is still moving inside the descending channel. Current rejection seen from 55,400–55,600 supply zone, aligning with the channel’s upper trendline. Immediate support sits at 54,900–54,800, with a deeper demand at 54,600–54,400. Structure remains bearish until we get a strong close above 55,600. 1H Timeframe Price broke down from the intraday support zone around 55,200–55,300, now acting as resistance. Selling pressure is evident — multiple wicks rejecting from the mid-supply zone. If price fails to reclaim 55,200, likely continuation towards 54,600 demand zone. 15M Timeframe Short-term trend is bearish, with price hugging the channel’s lower half. Small liquidity pockets (FVGs) remain unfilled around 55,150–55,200. Any quick pullback here could be a selling opportunity if rejection candles form. 🎯 Trade Plan for 13th Aug (Bank Nifty) 🔻 Short Setup (Preferred) Entry: On retest of 55,150–55,200 (FVG + broken support retest) with bearish confirmation. Stop Loss: Above 55,300. Targets: T1: 54,800 T2: 54,600–54,400 (demand zone). 🔼 Long Setup (Only if 55,200 reclaimed) Entry: On bullish close above 55,200 and retest hold. Stop Loss: Below 55,000. Targets: T1: 55,400 T2: 55,600 (supply zone & channel top). ⛔ No-Trade Zones 55,000–55,150 if price moves sideways — high chance of choppiness. Inside 54,800–54,900 without momentum — likely to see consolidation before breakout.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty Market Structure & Trade Plan: 13th August📊 Market Structure Analysis 4H Timeframe Price is still respecting the downtrend channel with lower highs and lower lows. Supply Zones: 24,680–24,720 (recent rejection area). 24,900–24,950 (major HTF supply). 25,300–25,350 (macro supply). Demand Zone: 24,350–24,400 (strong prior reaction and buying pressure). Price failed to break 24,700, confirming sellers are still active at this level. Trend shift confirmation on 4H would require a sustained close above 24,720. 1H Timeframe Clear rejection from 24,680–24,700 supply after a retest. Price now approaching the mid-demand area around 24,450–24,430. If this zone breaks, price could retest the main demand 24,350–24,400. Lower high formation visible — suggests bearish bias unless 24,700 is reclaimed. 15M Timeframe Structure has shifted bearish after the intraday rejection from supply. Currently trading near the bottom of today’s range (24,480). Short-term bounce possible from 24,450–24,430, but sellers likely to re-enter around 24,600–24,620. 🎯 Trade Plan for 13th Aug (Nifty) 🔻 Short Setup (Preferred if price stays below 24,600–24,620) Entry: On rejection from 24,600–24,620. Stop Loss: Above 24,670. Targets: T1: 24,450 T2: 24,350–24,400 (demand zone). 🔼 Long Setup (Only if price reclaims 24,700) Entry: Break and retest of 24,700 as support. Stop Loss: Below 24,650. Targets: T1: 24,900–24,950 (supply zone). T2: 25,300 (macro supply). ⛔ No-Trade Zones 24,450–24,500 if price consolidates — risk of whipsaws. Inside 24,600–24,620 without a decisive breakout.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Dividend Yield vs Growth – What Kind of Investor Are You?Hello Traders! Every investor has a different style, but when it comes to building wealth, two popular approaches dominate, focusing on dividend yield or chasing growth stocks . Both have their pros and cons, and the right choice depends on your financial goals and risk appetite. 1. Dividend Yield Investors These investors look for companies that pay regular and high dividends. It’s like receiving a steady paycheck from your investments without selling your shares. When it Works Best: If you want stable income, lower volatility, and are happy with moderate capital appreciation, dividend investing can be ideal. Example: Large, mature companies like utilities, FMCG, and blue-chip banks often have high dividend yields. 2. Growth Investors These investors focus on companies with rapidly growing revenues and profits, even if they pay little or no dividend. The idea is that the money reinvested in the business will generate higher long-term returns. When it Works Best: If you are okay with higher volatility and want maximum wealth creation over the long term, growth stocks could be the way. Example: Tech companies, emerging sector leaders, and innovative startups usually fall into this category. 3. Finding Your Fit You don’t have to be 100% one or the other. Some investors create a balanced portfolio with both dividend-paying and high-growth stocks to get the best of both worlds. Rahul’s Tip: Choose your strategy based on your life stage, cash flow needs, and risk tolerance, not on what’s trending in the market. Conclusion: There’s no one-size-fits-all answer. Whether you prefer the stability of dividend yield or the excitement of growth, the key is to align your strategy with your goals and stick to it with discipline. If you found this comparison useful, like the post, share your style in the comments, and follow for more practical investing tips!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal