XAUUSD - ASCENDING TRIANGLE BREAKOUT POSSIBLEXAUUSD - BULLISH BREAKOUTS
We can see a good momentum above the marked levels with a possible breakout of Ascending triangle pattern.
Wait for a candle CLOSE above the marked levels i.e. 3368-3369.
Expected targets can be 100$ from the marked levels or more can be captured by trailing SL.
Stoploss could be placed at 3268.
1st Target - $3468
2nd Target - $3500
3rd Target - $3568
Please consult your advisor before taking any trade.
#swingtrade
#xauusd
#technicals
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold price increased, broke 3360Plan XAU day: 21 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are extending their upward momentum for the second consecutive session on Monday, as buyers remain cautiously optimistic and await a decisive breakout above a multi-week trading range before committing to further gains. The US Dollar (USD) begins the new week on a softer footing amid mixed signals regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook—an important factor currently supporting the precious metal.
Additionally, persistent concerns over the potential economic consequences of former President Donald Trump’s unpredictable trade policies are bolstering gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
personal opinion:!!!
Short term H1 frame, gold price breaks 3360 forming bullish structure. Uptrend continues to maintain
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3377 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
HAVELLS Pre-Result Reversal Watch I Holds for Potential 1600Chart Type: 15-minute | Tool Used: Leola Lens SignalPro
Price action has rebounded from a key liquidity zone (highlighted yellow) with visible accumulation below ₹1,520.
Key Observations:
Price retested prior demand zone (marked by SignalPro with structure and volume signals).
Potential bottom formation visible intraday with higher low attempt post 12 PM.
Rejection of downside wick near ₹1,514, aligning with earlier liquidity pockets.
Idea View:
If price sustains above ₹1,525–₹1,530, possible momentum expansion toward resistance zone at ₹1,600.60.
Clean structure break above previous order blocks may attract trend traders.
Result-based volatility expected — manage risk, especially with expected earnings post-market today.
Risk Reference Zone:
Invalid below ₹1,510 (red shaded zone)
This is not financial advice. Chart is for educational and structural reference only.
#HAVELLS #PriceAction #ChartAnalysis #MarketStructure #SignalPro #LiquidityZones #TechnicalAnalysis #TrendReversal #NSEStocks #EarningsSetup
EURUSD 1H ANALYSIS (ICT MARKET STRUCTURE)As we have taken support form 1h fvg and the bias is bearish , when the take supprt from fvg we make a swing high as itm(intermediate high)and his left and right side we make short term high (STH),we are expecting to reach the target that i have marked but if we break sth then we will close the trade ....for more update keep following me.
Bajaj Finance is taking support from the bottom of the channel.Bajaj Finance has again taken support from the bottom of the channel and is all set to make Higher High.
However, price may wait for the upcoming quarterly result which is to be announced on 24th July.
ENTRY, SL AND TARGET are mentioned in the chart.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
HERO MOTOCORP LTD. ----- Deep AnalysisHERO MOTOCORP Ltd.--- High Probability Reversal Setup based on (Power of 3) concept of ICT Strategies.
Timeframe - Daily
Current Price -- 4396
Projection -- High Probability Reversal Setup after Manipulation phase.
Price Action Overview ---
Stock is currently Respecting higher time frame Orderblock just after Accumulating Liquidity in its sideways Range.
Orderblock Zone -- 4390-4500
In retailers term, It is rejecting upside Resistance or Orderflow zone of 4380-4500 Levels.
Liquidity & POI Zone --
Immediate Liquidity is resting in orderblock zone of 4400-4500
Volume Imbalance ---
Downside Unmitigated Liquidity is resting in Volume Imbalance zone of 3800-3920 Levels.
RSI ---
1st Divergence observed at bottom From March to April period which showed bullishness and market moved upside.
2nd Divergence observed at Upside from 20 may to Mid july period which now shows bearishness and market likely downside.
Final Projection for 2-3 months View -----
Main Target (High Probability)
-- Price likely to grab Orderblock Liquidity (4390-4480) to manipulate retailers.
-- After rejection and Clear Market structure shift on lower time frame, Entry module will be confirmed.
-- From entry Module a Sell position expected towards downside Volume Imbalance zone as marked as Distribution.
-- Entry Module --- In the Orderblock zone price levels (4390-4480)
-- Target projection --- Volume Imbalance Zone (3850-3930)
-- Exit Area --- If stock continue going upside without giving any market sturcutre shift then avoid above 4600.
This setup is just reflecting the POWER OF 3 Concepts -- Accumulation >>>>>> Manipulation >>>>>> Distribution.
it means that first stock accumulates large liquidity and then gives a fakeout or false breakout before giving huge opposite move.
Traders or Investors views or comments are most welcome.
[Disclaimer --- This setup is made just for Educational purpose onlu. Dont consider it as any Investment Idea.
Consult Your Financial Advisor before any investment.)
Regards,
Hit_Analyst
Sensex 1D Timeframe✅ Current Market Status:
Closing Price: ₹82,452.00
Change: –148.32 points
Percentage Change: –0.18%
Day’s Range: ₹82,300.70 – ₹82,892.30
52-Week Range: ₹65,302.20 – ₹83,822.00
🔍 Key Technical Levels:
📌 Support Zones:
Support 1: ₹82,200 – minor trendline support
Support 2: ₹81,800 – recent bounce zone
Support 3: ₹81,000 – strong institutional buying level
📌 Resistance Zones:
Resistance 1: ₹82,900 – intraday high rejected
Resistance 2: ₹83,400 – multi-session top
Resistance 3: ₹83,800 – all-time high zone
🕯️ Candlestick Pattern:
Candle Type: Bearish body with upper wick
Formation: Reversal candle after a small bounce
Implication: Supply seen near highs; indicates hesitation in buying
📈 Indicator Status (1D Timeframe):
Indicator Value & Signal
RSI (14) ~45 – Neutral but slipping downward
MACD Bearish crossover – sellers gaining control
20 EMA ~₹82,780 – Price below this level (short-term bearish)
50 EMA ~₹82,000 – May act as dynamic support soon
📊 Price Structure Summary:
Sensex is in a tight range between ₹81,800 and ₹83,400.
The price rejected from ₹82,900, showing sellers are active.
If ₹82,200 breaks, we might see movement toward ₹81,800 and ₹81,000.
A bullish breakout will only occur above ₹83,400 with strong volume.
🧠 Market Sentiment & Institutional View:
Volatility: Moderate — no extreme panic or euphoria
Volume: Average — no big accumulation seen
Smart Money Activity: Likely waiting near breakout levels or lower discount zones (₹81,000)
🔚 Summary:
🔴 Short-Term Bias: Slightly Bearish
🟡 Key Range: ₹81,800 – ₹83,400
✅ Buyers' Entry Point: Above ₹83,400
⚠️ Sellers' Trigger: Below ₹82,200 or ₹81,800 for more downside
True Close Theory in Action: Institutional Levels In modern trading, price action alone isn’t enough. What separates professional and institutional traders from the rest is how they interpret where price closes — not just where it goes.
This concept is captured in what we call the True Close Theory — the belief that:
"The candle’s close reveals the market’s true intent — not the wick, not the high, and not the drama."
Here’s a live market example to show how you can apply True Close Theory using 1-hour closes, with confirmation and entries from 15-minute or 5-minute charts.
📊 Chart Breakdown
Let’s break this down:
🟨 Yellow Zones: Manually marked support and resistance zones, drawn based on past price reactions, where institutional activity is likely.
➡️ White Arrows: Represent the 1-Hour True Close for the Day — highlighting how price reacted around those institutional zones on a daily basis.
🔵 Blue Downtrend Line: Visual structure of lower highs confirming a bearish environment until a new character shift happens.
🧠 The Power of 1-Hour True Close
Instead of chasing moves or relying on breakout wicks, the True Close method waits for:
The daily close of the 1-hour candle.
A close above or below an important level or zone.
If it fails to close above resistance or below support, it signals institutional rejection.
This daily closing behavior often sets the tone for the next session.
🧷 Real Market Behavior from the Chart
🔽 Shorts from Supply Rejection
Price enters the upper yellow resistance zone.
Each day, the 1-hour close fails to stay above — shown by white arrows closing back inside or below.
This indicates strong institutional selling, not a breakout.
👉 Lower timeframe entry (15m/5m): Once the daily close rejects, traders drop to the lower TFs to find pullback entries with:
VWAP/EMA rejection
Reversal patterns
Liquidity sweep fake-outs
📉 Consolidation to Breakdown
Mid-chart shows several days of tight range inside a minor structure.
Despite upward attempts, the true closes show no bullish follow-through — just sideways absorption.
Eventually, price breaks down from support with a daily 1-hour close outside the yellow box.
👉 Again, entries can be managed on LTF pullbacks to the breakdown zone.
🔽 Final Leg to Demand
Price sells off sharply toward the bottom yellow support zone.
Even after a minor bounce, the daily close doesn’t show strength — again highlighted by weak closes with no bullish engulfing or structure reclaim.
🔁 How to Use This in Your Trading
✅ Strategy Flow:
Mark Institutional Zones (support/resistance from HTF like 1H/4H).
Wait for 1-Hour Daily Close (ideally around session end like NY close).
Check if the candle:
Rejected the zone (closed inside)
Broke clean (closed above/below with body)
Drop to 15m or 5m chart the next day/session:
Look for re-tests, patterns, structure shifts.
Enter with tight stops, targeting the next zone.
🔚 Final Thoughts
This chart is a live example of how True Close Theory combined with institutional S/R zones gives you a powerful advantage:
You’re not guessing.
You’re not chasing wicks.
You’re aligning with how smart money actually operates — by watching the close and letting the market reveal its bias.
Happy Trading !!!..
S Chand & Company Ltd. ---- Deep Analysis (On Subscriber's Demand)
S Chand & Company Ltd. ----Deep Analysis (Weekly & Daily Outlook) + Fundamental Outlook
===========================================================
1. Technical Outlook---------
This analysis is made on Higher Time frame Combined (Weekly & Daily)
I have used Weekly Time Frame chart for showing analysis (I will update Daily chart on Note.)
My Observation ----
1. Market Structure Shift (MSS) --
--Clear Shift from bearish to bullish around late 2020, with break of sturcuture (BOS)
and formation of idm (Inducement)
-- there we saw a trendline liquidity sweep and Institutional BUying Zone near 148-160 levels.
2. Current Price Acttion ---
-- Price currently reacting around 209-210 as former resistance and now becoming potential support.
-- Price has entered previou supply zone, targeting for High Probability POi zone near 260-300 levels.
3. Long Term Institutional Accumulation Zone --
-- Accumulation range and Institutional buy Zone are identified (you can check, i have marked in bold grey.)
-- The Bullish FVG(Fair Value Gap) and Order Blocks zone are respected buy price which means it follows Smart Money.
Short Term Bias (3-4 weeks ) ---- Bullish Outlook
Entry ZOne -- CUrrent Price zone around 210 can act as a base for short term long.
Immediate Target -- 270-280 Levels (A Minor Supply ZOne)
Pullback Possibility -- If market needs liquidity then it may test back towards 200-205 zone (Demand Flip Zone)
SL Zone -- If price breaks below 195-200 on strong volume then it voids the Bullish move for short run.
Mid term Bias (1-3 Months) --- Same Bullish Outlook
Price is gearing up to revisit the High Probability POI around 300-320 levels (Marked in Bold)
Weekly Sturcture is clean and following --
Accumulation >> Expansion >> Pullback >> Re-accumulation >>> Expansion
For Entry module --- Always follow lower time frame and check the Structure shift and displacement for Entry purpose.
IMP --- I will also share (on Note) Daily Time Frame chart and Lower Time Frame chart for Entry module Education purpose. Just Check that also on time when price reaches the demand zone marked in bold.
======================================================================
2. Fundamental Outlook ----------- (Source - Screener)
-- Company is engaged in publishing educational books with products ranging from schools books
, higher academic books, competition and reference books etc.
-- S chand & company is on 2nd position according to Market Cap in its peers and key competitor is Navneet Education.
-- Company has a diverse portfolio with over 11000 titles and has sold over 50 million books in past year.
-- Latest News on S chand reports Highest 5-year revenues.
---Compounded Sales Growth
10 Years: 4%
5 Years: 11%
3 Years: 14%
TTM: 9%
---Return on Equity
10 Years: 3%
5 Years: 4%
3 Years: 5%
Last Year: 6%
FY25 Projections ---
1. The Company Expects their Operating Revenues to grow in double digits.
2. EBITDA margin band upgraded to 17%-19% (up from 16%-18% in the last year).
3. Company aims to remain net debt-free for at least three quarters during FY25.
(Source -- Screener website for Fundamental information)
==========================================================================
(Traders and Analysts or Anyone, Your views or observations and comments are most welcome.)
Disclaimer -- This analysis is made for Educational purpose only. Do not consider it as any Investment idea. Consult your financial advisor before any investments.
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (19.07.25)
Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard
Link in bio
BTCUSDT Forecast:
Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only)
Forecast timestamp: ~14:30 UTC
Timeframe: 15m
Prediction horizon: 6 hours
Model output:
Central estimate (blue line): -118,036
Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction.
80% confidence band (light blue): 117,507 – 118,220
The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close
40% confidence band (dark blue): 116,886 – 119,191
The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration
Volume on signal bar: 197.06
This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones.
Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals.
This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
Survival First, Success LaterThere was once a stone that lay deep in the heart of a flowing river.
Every day, the water rushed past it, sometimes gently, sometimes with force. The stone wanted to stay strong, unmoved. It believed that by holding its ground, it could outlast the river.
For years, the stone resisted. It didn’t want to change. It believed that strength meant standing still, no matter how hard the current pulled.
But slowly, almost without noticing, the stone began to wear down. The river wasn’t trying to destroy it. The water wasn’t cruel. It was simply doing what rivers do - moving, shifting, carving its own path.
One day, the stone realised it wasn’t the same shape anymore. It was smoother now, smaller in places. It hadn’t won by resisting. It had survived by adapting. It had learned to let the river shape it without breaking it apart.
The stone couldn’t control the river. All it could do was endure without letting itself be shattered.
Trading is NOT so different.
The market moves like a river. It doesn’t care if you want it to go left or right. It doesn’t reward those who stand rigid against its flow. It rewards those who learn when to hold their ground, when to let go, and how to survive the constant pull of forces bigger than themselves.
This is NOT a story about rivers and stones. It’s a story about YOU.
About learning to endure without breaking. About understanding that survival comes not from fighting the current, but from learning how to live within it.
Much like the stone, every trader begins with the same illusion, that strength means control, that certainty can be conquered with enough knowledge or willpower.
But time in the markets teaches you otherwise. It shows you, again and again, that survival isn’t about resisting the flow. It’s about learning to move with it, to protect yourself from the inevitable storms without being broken by them.
And so, this is where the real story of trading begins.
Trading often appears simple from a distance. You buy, you sell, you make a profit, and then you repeat the process.
But anyone who has spent enough time in the markets will tell you the truth. This isn’t a game of certainty. This is a game of survival.
The market humbles you early. It doesn’t care how much you know, how brilliant you think you are, or how much confidence you bring. The market doesn’t reward ego; it breaks it down piece by piece.
Almost everyone starts with the same mindset. You want to win. You want to make money. You believe you can figure it out if you study hard enough, work smart enough, hustle more than the next person.
But eventually, reality steps in. You begin to understand this game isn’t about knowing where the price will go next. It’s about knowing where you will stop, where you will cut a loss, where you will step aside and wait.
The traders who survive are not the ones who chase perfection or seek to predict every move. They are the ones who learn how to lose properly - small losses, controlled losses. Losses that don’t bleed into something bigger, mentally or financially.
Most people can’t do that. They fight the market. They fight themselves. They refuse to accept small losses, believing they can somehow force a different outcome.
Those small losses eventually snowball. Blowups rarely come from one bad trade. They come from ignoring the small signs over and over again. The market isn’t cruel. It’s just indifferent. It’s your responsibility to protect yourself.
Good trading isn’t loud. It isn’t exciting. It isn’t full of adrenaline and big calls.
Good trading is quiet, repetitive, and frankly, a little boring. It’s built on discipline, not drama. Your job is to manage risk, protect your capital, and let time do its work.
There is no holy grail. There is only process. A process you can repeat with a clear head, day after day, year after year, without losing yourself in the noise.
Wins will come. Losses will come. Neither defines who you are. What defines you is how you respond.
⦿ Can you stay calm after a red day?
⦿ Can you follow your plan even after a mistake?
⦿ Can you sit on your hands when there’s nothing to do and trust the work you’ve already done?
Patience, in the end, is the real edge. Most won’t have it.
They’ll bounce between strategies, searching for certainty where none exists. They’ll burn out chasing shortcuts. They’ll forget that progress comes through small, steady steps taken over years, not through chasing big wins.
Trading is a mirror. It reflects your fear, your greed, your impatience. It shows you who you really are. Ignore what it reveals and you’ll keep paying for the same lesson until you finally learn it.
In the end, this game isn’t about the market. It’s about YOU.
⦿ Learn to protect yourself.
⦿ Learn to sit with boredom.
⦿ Learn to lose well.
⦿ Learn to wait without losing faith.
If you can do that, the market has a way of rewarding you in time.
Investment Trading Setup - Growth & Wealth✅ Investment Trading Setup – “GARP + RSI” Model
🧠 Step 1: Fundamental Filter (GARP - Growth at Reasonable Price):-
Use screeners or research reports to filter stocks with:
• Revenue Growth: > 12% CAGR (3–5 yrs)
• PAT Growth: > 15% CAGR (3–5 yrs)
• ROCE: > 15%
• Debt/Equity: < 0.5 (or < 1 for capital-intensive sectors)
• PEG Ratio: < 1.5 (Growth at a Reasonable Price)
• Institutional Holding: Rising trend over last 2–3 quarters
✅ Example sectors: Specialty Chemicals, Private Banks, IT Product, Pharma APIs, Auto Ancillaries.
I strongly advise you all to go for most mid cap and some small cap segments as major growth is expected from this 2 verticals.
📈 Step 2: Technical Entry (Monthly + Weekly RSI Confirmation)
Once fundamentals are strong, check charts:
On Monthly chart:
• RSI(14) > 60 or crossing above 60
• Price breaking out of multi-month resistance or cup & handle/base
On Weekly chart:
• RSI(14) > 55 and trending higher
• Volume > 20-week average during breakout week
🔁 Optional Add-On: Use 200 DMA and 50 DMA Golden Cross for extra confirmation.
🎯 Entry & Risk Management
• Buy Zone: After breakout on weekly chart with confirmation of RSI
• Stop Loss: Below recent swing low (weekly or monthly)
• Pyramid/Add: On every 15–20% dip if fundamentals remain intact
🏁 Exit Rules
• Major fundamental deterioration (falling ROCE, rising debt)
• Technical breakdown below 200 DMA with heavy volume
• Stock becomes significantly overvalued (e.g. P/E > 3x sector average + RSI > 80)
🧾 Example Stocks That May Fit This Model (as of mid-2025)
✅ Mid Cap Growth Stocks (₹10,000 Cr to ₹50,000 Cr Market Cap)
Suprajit EngineeringAuto AncillariesHigh ROCE, consistent profit growth, global exportsKPI Green EnergyRenewable EnergyStrong revenue CAGR, solar EPC + IPP modelKEI IndustriesCables/WiresScalable, infra theme, strong profit marginsSona BLW PrecisionEV & Auto TechEV-ready, global OEM exposureJ.B. ChemicalsPharmaConsistent earnings, margin expansion, clean balance sheetNarayana HrudayalayaHospitals/HealthcareAsset-light model, expanding RoCE, high promoter skinSansera EngineeringAuto EngineeringDiversified clientele, improving marginsPolycab IndiaWires & CablesStrong infra push, leader in B2C wire segmentTriveni TurbineEngineering/Clean TechHigh margin niche business, export growtheMudhra Ltd.IT/Digital SignatureFast growth, unique niche (cybersecurity theme)
🚀 Small Cap Growth Stocks (< ₹10,000 Cr Market Cap)
Ksolves IndiaIT Services/NicheDebt-free, high RoE, software exportsNGL Fine ChemPharma APIsHigh margins, good growth visibilityGensol EngineeringSolar EPCEV + Solar + Infra theme, fast-growingShivalik BimetalSpecialty AlloysHigh-tech materials, strong RoEHLE GlascoatSpecialty Chem/EquipLeader in glass-lined equipment, capex doneIndia PesticidesAgrochemClean books, exports-led growthGNA AxlesAuto ComponentsPickup in CV/Tractor cycle, strong balance sheetLa Opala RGConsumer DurablesHigh margins, niche player in opalwareDynacons SystemsIT Infra ServicesNiche contracts, high profitabilityZen TechnologiesDefence TechDefence theme, order book visibility
📊 Suggested Metrics You Can Track:
• Revenue CAGR (3Y): >15%
• PAT CAGR (3Y): >20%
• ROCE: >18%
• D/E Ratio: <0.5
• Promoter Holding: >50% (or rising trend)
• Cash Flows: Positive from operations
Note - I have provided you all with my best 4 setups used by big firm and I can assure you they are working for us for the past 18 years.
Check my post in the profile -
Setup provided were:-
Positional Trading Setup
Swing Trading Setup
Stock Options Buying Setup
And Investment Trading Setup above.
I wish you all the best and am sure and confident that you will reflect and ponder on how simple techniques work.
At Last, KISS - Keep it Simple and Systematic.
Happy Trading!
Faraaz T
Sr. Ex. Financial and Equity Analyst
Stockholm Securities
Liquidity Concepts & Smart Money Trading💧 What is Liquidity in the Stock Market?
In simple terms, liquidity means how easily you can buy or sell a stock (or any asset) without affecting its price too much.
📌 Imagine This:
You're at a crowded market and want to sell 10 bags of rice. If there are many buyers, you’ll sell quickly at your price. That’s high liquidity.
But if only 1 buyer is there, you’ll need to lower the price—or wait. That’s low liquidity.
✅ High Liquidity Stocks:
Easy to enter and exit
Tight bid-ask spread
High volume and interest
Examples: Reliance, HDFC Bank, TCS, Infosys
🚫 Low Liquidity Stocks:
Wide spread
May not execute large orders fast
Often in smallcap or SME segments
Prone to manipulation
So, as a trader or investor, liquidity matters because it affects:
Speed of your trades
Slippage (difference between expected and executed price)
Risk of getting trapped in illiquid counters
🧠 Who is “Smart Money”?
“Smart Money” refers to the big, institutional players who move the market silently.
🧱 Types of Smart Money:
FIIs (Foreign Institutional Investors)
DIIs (Domestic Institutional Investors)
Mutual Funds, Pension Funds
Hedge Funds
Prop Desks (Proprietary traders of large brokers or banks)
These players do not trade like retail traders. They have:
Huge capital
Access to better research
Advanced tools and algorithms
Patience to accumulate or distribute over days/weeks
The power to create or absorb liquidity
They don’t chase stocks. They build positions strategically.
🎯 The Relationship Between Liquidity & Smart Money
This is where it gets interesting.
Smart Money doesn’t want you to know what they’re doing. So they operate in stealth mode, using liquidity zones to enter/exit.
Let’s break this down in real terms.
💡 Real Example: How Smart Money Uses Liquidity
Scenario: Let’s say a mutual fund wants to buy ₹500 crore worth of a midcap stock.
If they suddenly place a large buy order, the price will shoot up.
So what do they do?
They wait for panic selling, like during news, results, or false breakdowns.
They create liquidity pools—zones where many stop-losses are triggered.
Retail traders sell in panic, creating supply.
Smart money absorbs quietly.
This is called accumulation.
Similarly, when they want to sell, they:
Push price up with breakout candles
Attract retail buyers chasing the move
Slowly distribute their holdings
Leave small players trapped at the top
🔄 Concepts You Must Know
1. Accumulation Zone
Where smart money buys silently
Flat or range-bound price action
Volume slowly rising
No major breakout yet
2. Distribution Zone
Where smart money sells quietly
Price looks strong, but momentum slows
Volumes stay high
Sudden rejections from resistance
3. Liquidity Grab / Stop Hunt
A deliberate move to trigger stop-losses and create liquidity
Often seen before real trend begins
Can be traps for retail traders
Example: Price breaks below support, then sharply reverses
📊 How to Track Liquidity & Smart Money Moves
Here are tools and techniques used by traders:
📌 1. Volume Profile
Shows where most trading has happened
High Volume Nodes (HVN): Liquidity zones
Low Volume Nodes (LVN): Price moves quickly
Watch for consolidation near HVNs—could be accumulation/distribution
📌 2. Order Book / Market Depth
For intraday traders
Shows how many buy/sell orders exist at various levels
Spikes in orders may signal liquidity traps or fake pressure
📌 3. Open Interest (OI) in Options
Rising OI + flat price = buildup
Long unwinding or short covering signals smart money behavior
📌 4. FII/DII Data
Track daily net buy/sell figures
Sectoral trends from mutual fund holdings
FII selling = market weakness, especially in large caps
📌 5. Wyckoff Method (Optional but powerful)
Focuses on market cycles
Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown
Helps understand the intent behind price action
🔥 Common Smart Money Setups
✅ 1. False Breakout Trap
Price breaks above resistance
Retail traders enter long
Smart money sells into strength
Price reverses
How to Spot:
Check volume
See if candle closes above or within resistance
Confirm with next bar’s reaction
✅ 2. Stop-Loss Hunting
Price dips below support
Retail SLs get hit
Price reverses sharply with strong volume
How to Spot:
Sudden wick below major swing low
Sharp V-shaped recovery
Volume spike + reversal candle
✅ 3. Liquidity Sweep Before Rally
Sideways phase ends with a big red candle
Then reversal and trend begins
This is smart money loading positions
🛠️ How to Use This in Trading (With Practical Tips)
✅ For Swing Traders:
Identify consolidation zones with rising volume
Wait for breakout or breakdown with volume
Add volume profile to spot high-activity zones
Check if OI is building around a strike in options
✅ For Intraday Traders:
Track OI buildup + price action around round numbers
Use Market Profile or VWAP to understand liquidity zones
Watch for traps near open or just before close
✅ For Investors:
Watch mutual fund buying sectors
Use MF/ETF monthly reports for accumulation patterns
Avoid chasing rallies—enter during base formation
✅ Final Thoughts
Most retail traders lose money not because their analysis is wrong—but because they don’t understand the rules smart money plays by.
In 2025’s market, where FIIs, algorithms, and institutions dominate, understanding liquidity and smart money behavior is not optional—it’s essential.
You don’t need millions to trade like smart money. You just need the right mindset, tools, and the patience to wait for clean setups.
📌 Remember: “Volume reveals the truth. Price tells the story. Liquidity is the language smart money speaks.
Dixon Price ActionDixon Technologies' latest share price is ₹15,960 as of July 18, 2025. The stock recently declined about 0.92% from its previous close of ₹16,107, though it has gained over 11% in the past month. It remains range-bound between strong support near ₹15,300 and resistance around ₹16,000 to ₹16,100. The stock holds a bullish weekly MACD crossover signal that historically has led to an average 11.62% price gain within seven weeks.
Technically, the price is above key short- and medium-term moving averages, indicating an overall positive trend, but it faces immediate resistance near ₹16,100–₹16,200 which must be cleared for further upside. On the downside, the critical support level lies near ₹15,300. With a PE ratio near 88 and a robust return on equity of over 36%, the company shows strong fundamentals. The upcoming quarterly results meeting on July 22, 2025, will be closely watched by investors for confirmation of growth momentum.
In summary, Dixon Technologies is consolidating near current levels after recent gains, supported by strong fundamentals and sector tailwinds. A decisive breakout above resistance could lead to new highs, while failure to hold support may invite short-term weakness.
Opening Range Breakdown – Intraday Bears’ Favorite Setup!Hello Traders!
Today, let’s explore one of the most reliable setups for intraday traders – the Opening Range Breakdown (ORB) . This strategy is widely used by professional traders to catch early downside momentum when the market shows weakness right after opening. If executed correctly, it offers quick profits and tight risk management. Let’s break down how it works and how to trade it with confidence.
What is Opening Range Breakdown (ORB)?
The ORB strategy focuses on the first 15 to 30 minutes of market open . The idea is to mark the high and low of this initial range and look for a breakdown below the low – which signals bearish pressure. This setup works best on volatile days or when there’s negative sentiment in global cues.
Mark the Opening Range:
Track the high and low of the first 15 or 30 minutes of the market open.
Wait for a Breakdown Candle:
Look for a strong bearish candle closing below the opening range low with rising volume.
Enter on Confirmation:
Take a short entry just below the breakdown candle with stop-loss above the opening range high.
Target Previous Day’s Support or VWAP:
Your exit target could be based on previous day’s support, VWAP, or risk-reward ratio like 1:2.
Volume Confirmation is Key:
Avoid low volume breakdowns. Strong volume is what separates real breakdowns from fake-outs.
Ideal Conditions for ORB
Gap Down Open or Weak Global Cues – ORB works well when sentiment is already negative.
High Beta Stocks or Indices like BankNifty – These respond sharply to breakdowns.
No Major Support Below the Breakdown Level – Clean charts increase trade reliability.
Risk Management Tip
Keep your position size small and risk predefined. Don’t chase entries. Let the candle confirm the breakdown and only then execute.
Conclusion:
ORB is a favourite among experienced traders due to its simplicity and effectiveness. If you’re an intraday bear looking for high-probability setups, Opening Range Breakdown is something you must master.
Have you used ORB before? Let me know your experience or results in the comments!
Trade Like Istitution Why Learn to Trade Like Institution?
Financial markets are not random. They are highly manipulated and structured systems, controlled by major financial entities. When you trade like institution, you stop guessing and start understanding:
Where the big players place their orders.
How liquidity zones work.
Why certain price levels are targeted before major moves.
How you can identify smart money footprints and follow the dominant trend.
This approach teaches you to trade strategically, patiently, and professionally — eliminating the emotional rollercoaster most traders experience.
What You Will Learn in “Trade Like Institution”
✅ Smart Money Trading Concepts
Understand how institutions manipulate markets, create liquidity, and trap retail traders. Learn the basics of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases.
✅ Market Structure and Order Flow
Read the market from an institutional perspective using pure price action and market structure analysis. Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHoCH) signals that reveal when the market is about to move.
✅ Order Block Identification
Learn to locate order blocks, where institutions place their large orders. These zones are often the key areas where price reverses or explodes in a specific direction.
✅ Liquidity Zones and Stop-Loss Hunting
Discover how to identify liquidity pools, understand stop-loss hunting techniques, and position yourself for trades after liquidity grabs.
✅ Risk Management Like Institutions
Master the art of risk management, learning how big players manage risk efficiently to stay profitable long-term, even after losses.
✅ High-Probability Trade Setups
Get access to reliable entry techniques with precise stop-loss placement and optimal reward-to-risk setups that minimize risk and maximize returns.
✅ Live Market Application
Learn through real-world market examples, live sessions, and chart analysis to see how institutional concepts apply in active markets like forex, stocks, indices, and crypto.
Who Should Learn to Trade Like Institution?
This course is designed for:
📊 New traders who want to start the right way without falling into retail traps.
💡 Intermediate traders who have experience but struggle with consistency.
💼 Full-time or part-time traders who wish to level up their skills.
📈 Investors who want to actively manage and grow their wealth.
🎯 Ambitious traders who want to make trading a serious and professional income source.
Benefits of Trading Like Institution
✅ Stop being a victim of market manipulation and start trading with the market movers.
✅ Eliminate confusion, follow clean price action, and trade with confidence.
✅ Avoid low-probability trades by understanding where the real market action happens.
✅ Build strong discipline and follow a professional trading process.
✅ Achieve long-term profitability by managing risk like professionals.
✅ Become a confident, independent trader capable of thriving in any market condition.
Trading success comes from learning the truth behind market movements and following the professional path. This course will completely transform your approach to the markets. With Trade Like Institution, you’ll stop guessing, start predicting, and trade with an edge just like the top institutional traders do every single day
Learn Institutional TradingWhy Learn Institutional Trading?
The financial markets are not random; they are highly structured environments controlled by large financial players who leave visible footprints on the chart. Most retail traders don’t see these footprints and end up on the wrong side of the market. By learning institutional trading, you will finally understand:
Why the market moves the way it does.
How to spot liquidity traps and avoid stop-loss hunting.
Where smart money enters and exits trades.
How to trade with confidence instead of fear and guesswork.
This course focuses on the real mechanics of price movement, not on unreliable indicators or random trade signals.
What You Will Learn in Institutional Trading
✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC):
Learn how institutional traders accumulate and distribute orders, using liquidity to their advantage. Understand the true story behind price action.
✅ Liquidity and Order Blocks:
Master the art of identifying liquidity pools, order blocks, and market manipulation zones. Understand where smart money enters the market and how you can follow their lead.
✅ Market Structure Mastery:
Learn to read market structures with precision, identify internal and external structures, and capitalize on market shifts with high-probability trade setups.
✅ Entry and Exit Strategies:
Get access to professional-grade entry methods, including refined confirmation entries, break-of-structure (BOS) trades, and optimal risk-reward setups.
✅ Risk Management Techniques:
Understand how institutions manage risks and protect their capital. Implement strong risk management rules to protect your trading account from unnecessary losses.
✅ Live Market Sessions and Mentorship:
Participate in live market discussions, chart breakdowns, and Q&A sessions with expert traders who trade institutional concepts every day.
Who Can Learn Institutional Trading?
This course is suitable for:
📌 Beginners who want to start with professional strategies from day one.
📌 Intermediate traders who are tired of inconsistent results.
📌 Advanced traders who want to refine their understanding of market manipulation.
📌 Investors who wish to add active trading as an income source.
📌 Aspiring professionals who aim to make trading a serious career path.
Benefits of Learning Institutional Trading
✅ Trade with clarity and confidence, knowing you are on the side of smart money.
✅ Stop chasing trades and start trading with high-probability setups.
✅ Learn to avoid retail traps and false breakouts.
✅ Build a sustainable trading career with proper risk management and psychological discipline.
✅ Apply your skills to any market: stocks, forex, crypto, indices, or commodities.
✅ Experience real growth as a professional trader, thinking several steps ahead of the market.
Learn Institutional Trading is more than just a course — it’s a complete professional transformation. It equips you with the skills, mindset, and strategies to succeed in modern financial markets. Stop trading blindly and start trading with purpose, accuracy, and confidence.
NTPC 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
NTPC Looking good for upside..
When it break level 343.75 and sustain.. it will go upside...
BUY@ 343.75
Target
1st 347.65
2nd 351.25
FNO
NTPC JUL FUT – LOT 6 (Qty-9000)
NTPC JUL 340 CE – LOT 6 (Qty-9000)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome to join the ride ..
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Nifty trend directionNifty 24968 is still in bearish trend. Volume increase confirms the trend.
On Wycoff analysis Nifty is in Phase C of UTAD test.
We expect Nifty will drop to 24822-24868 zone and give a pull back
and will drop to 24509 to 24568 zone after the pullback.
FII's have sold 3,206 contracts and have build short positions and have bought PUTS.
made us to believe Negative trend continuation.
Psychology Is 80% of Trading Success But Most Traders Ignore ItPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Ignore It
“Have you ever entered a perfect trade… and still lost?”
Right direction.
Clear technical setup.
Trend confirmation was there.
Yet you closed early.
Or held a losing trade too long.
Or jumped back in out of revenge after a loss.
It wasn’t your system’s fault.
It was your psychology.
💡 Most traders don’t fail because of bad analysis – they fail because of poor emotional control
Let’s walk through some common real-life situations every trader has experienced at least once:
🎯 1. You closed your trade early – afraid the market might reverse
Case study:
A trader entered a long position on XAUUSD at a support zone (2360), aiming for TP at 2375.
But when price reached 2366, he closed out early – afraid to “lose profits.”
The market later hit his original TP perfectly.
➡️ This is classic loss aversion – the fear of losing what you’ve already gained.
🎯 2. You refused to cut a loss – hoping the price would come back
Case study:
A trader shorted EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price broke resistance and continued up.
Instead of cutting the loss, he widened his stop loss, holding onto hope.
The result? A bigger loss than planned.
➡️ This is denial – a refusal to accept you’re wrong, leading to emotional attachment to the trade.
🎯 3. You increased your position size after a winning streak
Case study:
After two strong wins, a trader feels confident and increases position size on the next trade…
Even though the setup isn’t as strong.
That trade ends in a loss – wiping out earlier profits.
➡️ This is overconfidence bias – a dangerous psychological state after wins.
📊 Technical skills only account for 20% – the remaining 80% is mastering yourself
You might:
Understand price structure
Use advanced indicators
Follow a solid trading system
But if you:
Break your stop loss rules
Scale up recklessly
Enter trades impulsively
Then your edge vanishes.
Success becomes inconsistent.
🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology
✅ Keep a trading journal – especially track your emotions
Ask: “Did I follow my plan? Or was I trading to ‘feel better’?”
✅ Never change SL or TP mid-trade
Stick to your original plan. Discipline builds consistency.
✅ Use demo accounts to train discipline, not to prove profitability
Treat each demo trade as if real money is at stake.
✅ Set mandatory “cool-off” periods after consecutive losses
For example: 2 losses = no trades for 24 hours.
✅ Practice waiting – patience is your most underrated tool
Pro traders often wait days for a valid setup. That’s not inactivity – that’s control.
🔁 Trading is not a search for the perfect system – it’s a journey of mastering your own mind
A strategy with only 55% win rate can still be highly profitable
…if paired with discipline, risk management, and emotional control.
But…
A system with 70% accuracy can still blow your account
…if your psychology breaks down under pressure.
🎯 Final Thoughts:
The financial markets reward those who can control themselves – not just those who analyze well.
You don’t need to be smarter than others.
You don’t need to master 10 indicators.
But you must be able to stay calm, act rationally, and follow your rules.
Knowledge lets you see the opportunity – but psychology determines if you survive it.