Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Swiggy Ltd. Reserch ReportBuy/Sell/Hold Recommendation: Given Swiggy’s strong revenue growth but continued losses and negative cash flows, the stock currently represents a high-risk, high-reward opportunity. Unless you have a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, a "Hold" stance is appropriate—wait for visible margin improvement and positive cash flows before considering aggressive buying. For conservative investors, it’s best to avoid new buys until profitability and sustainable cash generation are in sight. Only enter or add if Swiggy shows concrete signs of turning profitable and scaling successfully. HOld (Overvalued) Swiggy Investment Report: Independent Strategic & Financial Outlook Introduction Swiggy, a leading player in India’s food delivery and quick commerce industry, continues to pursue aggressive growth and operational dominance, shaping its own strategic path amid sector challenges. Financial Metrics In FY25, Swiggy posted revenue of ₹15,227Cr but remained loss-making with a net deficit of ₹3,117Cr and negative EBITDA margins, reflecting heavy investment in technology, logistics, and expansion—especially in its Instamart quick commerce division. Capital expenditures and higher working capital are keeping free cash flows negative (-₹2,693Cr in FY25), underscoring the company’s high-growth, cash-consuming phase. Strategic Progress & DCF Valuation Swiggy’s management aims for positive cash flows and margin turnaround, with plans to steadily improve profitability by scaling operations and increasing efficiency. A detailed DCF analysis, based on realistic growth and margin improvement assumptions (cost of equity 11.79%, terminal growth 10%), implies an intrinsic value of around ₹143 per share—indicating the current market cap still prices in optimism about future execution. Key Takeaways Swiggy operates in a capital-intensive, competitive market, facing margin pressure but also strong revenue momentum. Ongoing board and policy reforms reflect the company’s drive for operational maturity. Long-term success hinges on rapid margin improvement, successful turnaround of Instamart, and conversion of scale into sustainable profits. Conclusion Swiggy’s independent outlook shows promise with its robust platform and growth potential, but significant risks remain until losses are narrowed and cash flows turn consistently positive. For investors, Swiggy presents a high-risk, high-reward bet—success will be determined by its pace of execution and ability to transition from investment-driven growth to profitable leadership in India’s booming delivery market.
NSE:SWIGGY
by Tap_trader
Gallantt price ActionGallantt Ispat Ltd has shown notable price momentum in 2025, with the stock trading in the ₹524–₹555 range and reaching an all-time high of ₹568.65 in late June. Over the past year, the stock has delivered strong returns, nearly doubling from its 52-week low. The last three and six months have seen particularly robust gains, though the past month has included some profit booking and mild declines. On the financial front, Gallantt Ispat reported a full-year net income of over ₹400 crore for FY25, almost doubling from the previous year. Revenue growth has been steady, but the latest quarter saw a sequential decline in profit after tax, reflecting higher expenses and some variability in operational efficiency. The company’s earnings per share for the year also improved significantly. Recent quarters have seen an increase in non-operating income, which has contributed to profit growth but raises questions about the sustainability of these gains if operating performance does not keep pace. The company is trading at a high valuation relative to its book value, and its return on equity over the last three years has been moderate. Technically, the stock has found support near ₹520 and faces resistance at its recent high. Sustained movement above this level could lead to a fresh breakout, while a drop below support may prompt further consolidation. Overall, Gallantt Ispat remains in a positive trend but is subject to volatility and the need for continued operational improvement to justify its elevated valuation.
NSE:GALLANTTLong
by KamalKJoshi
HIRECT Price ActionAs of late July 2025, Hind Rectifiers Ltd (HIRECT) is trading in the range of ₹1,330 to ₹1,340. The stock has shown moderate volatility over the past month, reaching a recent high of about ₹1,369 and dipping to lows near ₹1,296. Over the past quarter, HIRECT experienced a strong rally but has recently entered a consolidation phase, with fluctuating daily gains and losses. The 52-week price range spans from a low near ₹706 to a high around ₹1,591, indicating substantial price appreciation in the past year. Market capitalization is approximately ₹2,280 crore, placing the stock in the small- to mid-cap industrials segment. From a trading and liquidity perspective, HIRECT sees steady turnover and sufficient volume for typical medium-sized trades. The recent trend shows the stock holding above key support levels, suggesting underlying investor confidence, though near-term momentum has softened compared to the earlier part of the year. Fundamentally, the company is characterized by stable financial strength and a reputation for high growth, but it is currently priced at a premium relative to earnings and book value. Shareholding patterns remain stable, with significant promoter ownership, which adds to stability but can somewhat limit free float. Overall, HIRECT displays a strong long-term growth trend with recent price consolidation. It is best suited for investors seeking exposure to Indian engineering and electrification themes, who are comfortable with some volatility and moderate valuation risk as the company sustains premium multiples.
NSE:HIRECTLong
by KamalKJoshi
2
BankNifty Market Structure & Trade Plan for 31st JulyBankNifty Market Structure – 31st July 🔍 Higher Timeframe (4H) Trend: Bearish bias; recent attempt at recovery faced resistance. Key Resistance Zone: 56,200 – 56,300 (tested, rejection seen). Support Zone: 55,800 – 55,900 (strong demand zone, buyers defended last time). Price is currently trading around 56,100, just below resistance. ⏰ 1H Chart Resistance: 56,200 – 56,300 (overhead supply zone, multiple rejections). 56,550 – 56,600 (next supply above). Support: 55,800 – 55,900 (demand zone; defended earlier). Observation: Consolidation under resistance with wicks rejecting upside attempts. ⏳ 15M Chart Short-Term Resistance: 56,150 – 56,250 Short-Term Support: 55,900 – 55,950 Structure: Minor lower highs forming; indicates sellers are active at each bounce. If price sustains below 56,100, more downside likely. 🎯 Trade Plan for 31st July 🔻 Bearish Scenario (Preferred) Short Entry Zone: 56,200 – 56,250 (on rejection signs / bearish wick). Target 1: 55,950 Target 2: 55,800 Stop Loss: Above 56,350 Rationale: Repeated rejection at 56,200 zone + bearish market structure across HTFs. 🔺 Bullish Scenario (Only if breakout occurs) Buy Trigger: Sustained close above 56,350 with volume. Target 1: 56,550 Target 2: 56,750 – 56,800 Stop Loss: Below 56,100 Rationale: Breakout above resistance will invalidate current supply zone, opening fresh upside. 📌 Key Action Areas Sell Zone: 56,200 – 56,300 Demand Zone: 55,800 – 55,900 Breakout Watch: 56,350+ for upside continuation ✅ Summary: For tomorrow, shorting BankNifty near 56,200 – 56,300 with targets towards 55,950 – 55,800 is the higher probability play. A confirmed breakout above 56,350 will flip bias to bullish.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Market structure and trade plan: 31st July 2025🔎 Nifty Analysis for 31st July 4H Chart Trend: Still in a corrective phase after a strong rebound from the 24,640–24,660 demand zone. Key Resistance: 24,880–24,920 (current supply zone; price rejected here today) 25,000–25,040 (FVG + supply) 25,100–25,130 (strong order block; sellers likely to defend) Support Levels: 24,760–24,780 (fresh demand formed today) 24,640–24,660 (previous swing demand and liquidity zone) Bias: Cautiously bearish unless price decisively breaks and sustains above 24,920. 1H Chart Structure: Price is consolidating just below the 24,880–24,920 resistance. Liquidity Zones: Buyside liquidity resting above 24,900 — potential liquidity grab before reversal. Sellside liquidity lies near 24,780 and deeper at 24,650. Observation: The 1H candles show exhaustion near resistance, suggesting sellers may attempt to push down. 15M Chart Intraday Context: Price is forming a range between 24,800 support and 24,880 resistance. Multiple equal highs near 24,880–24,890 → a liquidity pool. A sharp rejection candle seen, indicating short-term supply in play. Plan: Look for liquidity sweep above 24,880–24,900 and rejection patterns for shorts. 📌 Trade Plan for 31st July 🔻 Bearish Scenario (High Probability) Entry: Short between 24,880–24,920 if rejection confirmed. Stop Loss: Above 25,000. Targets: T1 → 24,760 T2 → 24,640 Extended → 24,460 if momentum builds. 🔺 Bullish Contingency Trigger: Only if price sustains above 24,920 with volume. Entry: Buy on retest of 24,920. Targets: T1 → 25,040 T2 → 25,130 Stop Loss: Below 24,860. ✅ Summary: Nifty is currently at a major resistance cluster (24,880–24,920). Unless it breaks out with strength, shorting near this zone with a tight SL is the preferred plan. First support to watch on the downside is 24,760.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
1
UK100-Short Setup After Supply Zone RejectionPrice rallied sharply from the lows after a Buy signal, showing strong momentum into resistance. After the rally, a Sell signal has emerged near local highs and beneath a defined structure zone. Price has started to reject from the zone, with EMAs flattening out — hinting at short-term weakness. 🔍 Educational Setup (Short Bias): Observed Entry Area: Near 9,146.80 Stop Reference: Above 9,155.96 (supply invalidation point) Target Zone: 9,092.29 — aligned with previous demand base and structural retest 🧠 SignalPro Observations: Earlier Buy sequence led to momentum burst — now fading as price meets resistance EMA behavior suggests potential for mean reversion or short-term correction Liquidity cluster below may act as a draw in the near term ⚠️ This chart and analysis are for educational purposes only. This is not financial advice. Please conduct your own analysis and manage risk before making any trading decisions.
GOMARKETS:FTSE100Short
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
Gold price drops with FOMC today: 3342Plan XAU day: 30 July 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain confined within a narrow range around the $3,325 level during the Asian session on Wednesday, struggling to extend the previous day's modest gains. Persistent market caution ahead of a pivotal central bank event lends some support to the safe-haven precious metal. In addition, a slight retreat in the US Dollar (USD) from a more than one-month high reached on Tuesday could provide an added boost to gold prices. That said, upside potential appears limited, as investors exhibit restraint and await further clarity on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory before making directional commitments. Meanwhile, the prevailing consensus that the Fed will maintain higher interest rates for an extended period is likely to prevent a significant USD pullback. Coupled with renewed trade optimism, these factors may continue to cap any meaningful gains in the XAU/USD pair personal opinion:!!! Gold price accumulated and compressed since the beginning of the week. Waiting for today's interest rate announcement. Decreased back to 3300. Important price zone to consider : !!! resistance zone point: 3342 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JJainy
1
READY TO CRUSH OLA AND BECOME ROCKET WITH QUALITY PRODUCTlooks like the stock is showing good price contraction, with dominant green candles and minor red ones suggesting strong buyer confidence. it’s respecting a short-term trendline and just hit a new all-time high today. could be promising for the medium term if it stays above the ₹300 stop loss. with the market picking up, upside potential is strong. "FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ONLY NOT A BUY OR SELL RECOMMENDATION" please consult your financial advisor before doing anything
NSE:ATHERENERG
by AYUSH_VIJAY_LALWANI
1
Retail Speculation & Margin Debt SurgeIntroduction Retail speculation and the surge in margin debt are two intertwined phenomena that reflect the sentiment, behavior, and sometimes irrational exuberance of retail investors in financial markets. While speculation is not inherently negative, excessive speculative activity—especially when fueled by borrowed money—can amplify market volatility and contribute to asset bubbles and subsequent crashes. This essay delves into the mechanisms, historical context, driving forces, and implications of retail speculation and rising margin debt, using data and examples from key financial events, including the dot-com bubble, the 2008 financial crisis, and the post-COVID bull market. Understanding Retail Speculation Retail speculation refers to the activity of non-professional investors—often individuals trading for personal gain—who make investment decisions primarily based on price momentum, sentiment, hype, or news, rather than fundamental analysis. Speculators typically seek short-term gains, and in bullish markets, they are drawn to high-risk, high-reward assets such as penny stocks, cryptocurrencies, meme stocks, or options. Characteristics of Retail Speculation Short-term focus: Most retail speculators are not long-term investors. Their trades are usually driven by the hope of quick profits. High-risk instruments: Options trading, leveraged ETFs, and volatile small-cap stocks are often preferred. Influence of social media and forums: Platforms like Reddit (e.g., WallStreetBets), YouTube, and Twitter have become powerful tools for spreading speculation-driven narratives. Emotional trading: Greed and fear dominate speculative behavior, often leading to herd mentality. What Is Margin Debt? Margin debt refers to money borrowed by investors from brokers to purchase securities. Buying on margin amplifies both gains and losses, making it a double-edged sword. When margin debt increases substantially during bull markets, it suggests rising confidence and risk appetite. However, it also raises the fragility of the financial system, as sharp downturns can trigger forced liquidations and margin calls. How Margin Works Investors must open a margin account and maintain a minimum margin requirement. They borrow funds against their existing holdings as collateral. If the value of their holdings drops below a certain threshold, they face a margin call—they must either deposit more funds or sell assets to cover losses. Historical Context: Booms, Bubbles, and Crashes Retail speculation and margin debt surges are not new. Throughout financial history, periods of easy money and technological disruption have often led to waves of speculative fervor, followed by painful corrections. 1. The 1929 Crash and the Great Depression In the late 1920s, a surge in retail investing, fueled by margin loans, led to unprecedented levels of speculation. By 1929, over 10% of U.S. households owned stock, many with borrowed money. Margin requirements were often as low as 10%. The market crash in October 1929 wiped out millions of investors, and the excessive margin played a significant role in deepening the crash. 2. The Dot-Com Bubble (Late 1990s – 2000) During the dot-com era, retail investors were drawn to internet startups with little or no earnings. Margin debt surged along with valuations. Many speculators bought tech stocks on margin, hoping to capitalize on exponential growth. When the bubble burst in March 2000, the NASDAQ lost nearly 80% of its value over the next two years, and investors faced massive margin calls. 3. The 2008 Financial Crisis Although retail speculation played a smaller role than institutional excesses, margin debt was again at high levels before the collapse. Hedge funds and some retail investors used leverage to increase exposure to mortgage-backed securities and stocks. When Lehman Brothers collapsed, widespread deleveraging followed. Implications and Risks 1. Amplification of Market Volatility When large numbers of investors trade on margin, small price declines can lead to forced selling. This selling pressure pushes prices down further, triggering more margin calls—a vicious cycle that can exacerbate crashes. 2. Asset Bubbles Speculative fervor often inflates asset prices beyond fundamental value. The tech bubble, meme stocks, and cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin (which had little intrinsic value but saw massive price spikes) are examples. When sentiment shifts, these assets often collapse in value. 3. Retail Investor Losses While some retail traders made fortunes during speculative booms, the vast majority lost money, especially those who entered near the peak. Trading on margin magnifies losses, sometimes wiping out entire accounts. 4. Systemic Risk Though retail investors are not as systemically significant as large institutions, high levels of leverage across many accounts can create systemic risks, especially when linked with broader market structures like derivatives and ETFs. Risk Management and Investor Behavior Retail investors often underestimate the risks of margin trading, especially during euphoric markets. Best Practices Understand margin mechanics: Know how margin calls work and the impact of volatility. Limit exposure: Avoid using maximum leverage. Diversify holdings: Spread investments across asset classes to reduce risk. Set stop-losses: Automatically limit downside. Stay informed: Monitor market trends, economic indicators, and company fundamentals. Conclusion Retail speculation and surges in margin debt are recurring features of financial markets. They reflect the optimism—and sometimes irrational exuberance—of individual investors who seek to ride market waves for profit. While such behavior can inject liquidity and vibrancy into markets, it also brings significant risks. When speculation is fueled by leverage, the consequences of a downturn can be severe, both for individuals and the broader financial system.
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by TechnicalExpress
1
Kriti Nutrients Ltd Kriti Nutrients Ltd. is currently trading at 110.85 INR, up 5.02% as of July 30, 2025, with a market cap of about 557 Crore INR. The company seems financially stable, being almost debt-free, which may appeal to investors. Recent Q3 2024 results show total income up 4.26% year-over-year at Rs 175.41 Crore, with a net profit of Rs 8.25 Crore, suggesting some positive momentum. Management appears stable, led by Chairman Shiv Singh Mehta and a board including Purnima Mehta and others. The stock has shown a likely upward trend since mid-2023, rising from around 40 INR to 110.85 INR, which could indicate growth potential. Trading volume is relatively low at 18.97K shares, which might affect liquidity. Historical sales growth has been slow at 7.13% over five years, but recent quarterly improvements suggest possible recovery. The company focuses on soya seed extraction and cooking oil under the "KRITI" brand, serving retail and industrial markets. Promoter holding is high at 66.7%, which may indicate strong control but also potential alignment with shareholder interests. The evidence leans toward Kriti Nutrients being a potentially attractive investment in the agro-processing sector, given its debt-free status and recent performance, though investors should consider the slow historical sales growth.
NSE:KRITINUTLong
by stocktechbot
ONDO, thanks ONDO is perpective a big growth. The past trade results in a 100% without drawdown, just few consolidation phases. TRADE entrance 0.85 TP 1.73 max target fibo SL 0.68 ✅ TP TAKEN : RR 1.95 +37% days 10 drawdown 0% max consolidation -9,9% now i aspect a drawdown or a reversal since the uptrend line was broken and a 0.618 on sell was satisfied. The daily bearish fibo last targets hit 0.65$ but it's more likely to stop around 0.80-0.85$ and recover the inefficiency. keep updated M
by itsmcasalinii
Eternal: From Turnaround to Trend – Is ₹350+ the Next Stop?Eternal ( NSE:ETERNAL ) has been on a remarkable journey, transforming its financials and catching the eye of institutional investors. Despite a slight dip today, its impressive growth and unique shareholding structure raise a critical question: Is this just the beginning, or has the market overvalued its potential? Let's dive in. Current Snapshot: Price: ₹306.55 (-0.24% today) Market Cap: ₹2,95,832 Cr (Significant player) Key Question: Sustained growth phase or overbought? Shareholding Insights (June 2025): A truly unique aspect is Eternal's 0% promoter holding, suggesting a professionally managed entity driven by big money. FIIs: Dominant 42.34% (Strong international confidence) DIIs: Substantial 26.59% Public: 7.04% Others: 24.04% Implication: Stock movements heavily influenced by large fund flows. Financial Turnaround - A Glimpse: Eternal's recent financial performance shows a significant shift: Sales: Surged from ₹12,114 Cr (Mar 2024) to ₹20,243 Cr (Mar 2025) Operating Profit: Exponential leap from ₹42 Cr to ₹637 Cr OPM%: Jumped from 0% to 3% Net Profit: Rose from ₹351 Cr to ₹527 Cr Cash Flow (Mar 2025): Healthy ₹357 Cr (vs. ₹91 Cr in Mar 2024) Investing Activities: ₹-7,993 Cr (Mar 2025) vs. ₹-348 Cr (Mar 2024) - Suggests significant capital deployment for future growth. Balance Sheet Strengthening: Reserves & Surplus, and Total Assets showing strong growth. Valuation & Returns: P/E Ratio: Not listed (implies negative earnings or non-traditional valuation) Dividend Yield: 0% Market Focus: Valuation likely based on future growth prospects & asset play. Investment Returns: +2.25% (last week), +35.11% (last year) - Strong positive sentiment. Delivery Volume - Accumulation in Progress? Monthly delivery data points to high investor interest and potential accumulation: July 2025: +16.34% price gain, 45.10% delivery June 2025: +10.84% price gain, 54.30% delivery April 2025: +15.28% price gain, 46.48% delivery March 2025: -9.19% price dip, but high 57.29% delivery. Interpretation: Consistent high delivery suggests long-term holding, indicating strong underlying demand. Technical Outlook - Bullish Momentum: Eternal's recent price action, especially the gains in April, June, and July, combined with high delivery percentages, signals strong bullish momentum. Current Price: ₹306.55 Uptrend: Consistent positive monthly returns (except March and January). Technical Health: High delivery volume alongside price appreciation is a very healthy sign, indicating conviction behind the moves. Potential Target: From a technical perspective, Eternal looks very strong and appears to have the potential to reach ₹350+ soon. Real Talk: Navigating the Growth Story For Traders: This looks like a classic momentum play. Riding the trend with disciplined trailing stop losses will be key. Keep an eye on delivery percentages – a significant drop alongside price dips could signal a shift in institutional sentiment. For Investors: The turnaround story and strong institutional backing are compelling. However, the 0% promoter holding means external forces (FII/DII sentiment) will heavily dictate its trajectory. Long-term investors should dig deeper into the business model and future growth drivers. Given the strong technical indicators pointing towards ₹350+, this could be an attractive entry point for those who believe in the broader growth narrative. Your thoughts? Would you jump into this high-momentum, institutionally-driven growth story, anticipating the suggested technical upside, or wait for more traditional valuation metrics to emerge?
NSE:ETERNALLong
by iampatilkishor
2
GBPJPY Short Setup- Momentum Rejection from ResistanceThis chart explores a potential short opportunity in GBPJPY on the 15-minute timeframe following a visible loss of bullish momentum near the upper structure. 🔍 Key Observations: Sell Labels appeared after a strong upside move, near a key resistance zone. A Caution Marker was triggered near the high — typically indicates a potential trend exhaustion. Price lost support from short-term moving averages and began to trade below them. A downside continuation setup is now active with price targeting prior demand levels. 🎯 Target Area: A previous structure low and untested support zone around 197.699 is being monitored as a potential target, pending continued bearish momentum. 🧠 Educational Notes: This idea highlights how momentum-based tools can help identify potential intraday turning points. The confluence of resistance rejection, caution labeling, and sell signals offers a clean example of short-term reversal structure. ⏱ Timeframe: 15-Minute (Intraday)
Short
by LEOLALENS-OFFICIAL
State Bank Of India ---- Deep Analysis________________________________________ Technical Research Report on SBI (NSE: SBIN)---------- Segment: Equity – Large Cap Sector: Banking – PSU Analyst: Hitesh Tailor Date: July 29, 2025 Time Frames Analyzed: Daily Time Frame ________________________________________ 1. Performance Summary-------------- State Bank of India (SBIN) is currently at a key technical levels. The stock recently showed a bearish divergence on the RSI while approaching an extreme orderblock near ₹840.60. A rejection from this level with divergence confirmation indicates potential downside towards the imbalance zone and deeper OB + FVG zones. Currently trading around ₹798.30, the bias is cautious bearish for swing traders. ________________________________________ 2. Stock Profile-------------- Parameter Details Company Name State Bank of India (SBI) Ticker Symbol SBIN (NSE) Sector PSU Banks Market Cap ₹6.5+ Lakh Crores (approx.) 52 Week High/Low ₹899.65 / ₹666.30 CMP (as of July 29, 2025) ₹799.20 ________________________________________ 3. Chart Setup & Timeframe Analysis---------- A. Daily Timeframe • Trend: Recent lower high and lower low structure (LL) • Pattern: Bearish RSI divergence + rejection from Order Block (OB) zone • Support Zone: ₹770 – ₹760 (Gap imbalance support zone) • Resistance Zone: ₹840.60 – ₸899.65 (OB and extreme resistance) • Price Action View: Price rejected from OB with clear bearish divergence and a breakdown below short-term structure. Weakness expected until FVG zone. B. Weekly Timeframe • Trend Continuity: Mixed. Long-term trend intact, but facing supply pressure near 52-week highs • Price Relative to EMA: Trading near 200 EMA; watching for hold or breakdown C. Intraday 1H Timeframe • Outlook: Price showing LH-LL structure. Short-term liquidity grab may occur before downside continuation. ________________________________________ 4. Technical Indicators----------------- Indicator Observation Moving Averages Price below 20 EMA but above 200 EMA – Neutral to Bearish RSI (14) ~42 with bearish divergence (daily) MACD -- Not analyzed Volume -- Not Analyzed Bollinger Bands -- Not Analyzed ________________________________________ 5. Key Technical Levels------------ Type Price (₹) Immediate Support 770.00 Major Support 700.00 (OB + FVG) Resistance 1 840.60 Resistance 2 899.65 CMP 798.30 ________________________________________ 6. Trade Idea / Recommendation------------- Swing Sell Setup (1–2 Weeks) • Sell Zone: ₹800 – ₹820 • Target 1: ₹770.00 • Target 2: ₹700.00 • Stop Loss: ₹845.00 • Risk-Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:2.5 Bias: Bearish below ₹820. Reversal confirmation only above ₹840.60. ________________________________________ 7. Risk Factors------------ • Positive PSU bank sector news or surprise earnings could invalidate downside • Global risk-on events may cause aggressive short-covering • RBI interventions or policy rate changes ________________________________________ 8. Conclusion------------ SBI appears technically weak after facing rejection from a strong supply zone marked by an extreme orderblock and bearish RSI divergence. Price is below short-term EMAs and breaking structure levels, pointing towards downside potential. Traders can consider short trades with a strict stop loss and monitor price behavior near imbalance and FVG zones. ________________________________________ Disclaimer: This Technical Research Report is made for Educational Purpose Only. Do not consider it as any Investment idea. I'm not SEBI Registered Research Analyst. Consult your Registered Financial Advisor Before Investment. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Your Views or Comments are Most Welcome. Hit like if you find these insights helpful. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Regards, Hit_Analyst
NSE:SBINShort
by Hit_Analyst
Banknifty’s market structure and trade plan : 30 July🔹 Market Structure (4H, 1H, 15M) Trend Context: Overall bearish structure with lower highs & lower lows. Recent Action: Price bounced sharply from the 55,800–56,000 demand zone, showing buyers defending this area. Current Level: Trading near 56,230, just below a key resistance zone. Liquidity Sweep: The downside liquidity around 55,800 was tapped; now price is retracing. 🔑 Key Levels Support Zones 55,800 – 56,000 → Major demand zone (recent bounce). 56,100 – 56,200 → Minor intraday support (FVG + retest). Resistance Zones 56,350 – 56,400 → Intraday resistance (first hurdle). 56,500 – 56,600 → Strong supply zone; likely rejection area. 56,850 – 57,000 → If momentum sustains, next target. 57,200 – 57,300 → Major resistance; structure reversal point if broken. 📝 Trade Plan 🔹 Bullish Scenario (Retracement Play) Trigger: Sustained move above 56,350 – 56,400 with volume. Target 1: 56,500 – 56,600 Target 2: 56,850 – 57,000 Stop Loss: Below 56,050 Notes: Book partial profits at first target as supply pressure is strong there. 🔹 Bearish Scenario (Trend Continuation) Trigger: Rejection from 56,500 – 56,600 zone OR failure to hold 56,200. Target 1: 56,100 – 56,000 Target 2: 55,800 Extended Target: 55,400 if 55,800 breaks. Stop Loss: Above 56,650 Notes: This aligns with the broader bearish structure. Safer short entries at resistance rejections. ✅ Summary for Tomorrow BankNifty has pulled back from strong support at 55,800 and is now testing resistance levels. If it fails near 56,500–56,600, shorts are favorable targeting back to 56,000–55,800. If it breaks & sustains above 56,600, expect a retracement toward 56,850–57,000.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
Nifty’s market structure and trade plan: 30th July🔍 Market Structure Overall Trend: Short-term bearish, but a strong intraday pullback is underway. Current Price: 24,830 (retracing from recent lows around 24,650). Liquidity Sweep: We saw liquidity grabbed near 24,650–24,670 before the bounce, which often acts as a springboard for retracements. Fair Value Gap (FVG): Visible on the 1H and 4H charts between 24,950–25,050, which may attract price. Resistance Clusters: Multiple supply zones stacked above current price, showing likely selling pressure. 📍 Key Resistance Areas 24,880–24,900 → First reaction zone; expect sellers to defend. 24,950–25,050 → Strong FVG / supply zone; high-probability rejection area. 25,200–25,250 → Previous swing supply & OB zone; if breached, could trigger short covering. 📍 Key Support Areas 24,650–24,670 → Fresh demand; recent bounce origin. 24,600 → Psychological round level + earlier BOS retest. 24,420–24,450 → HTF demand; critical if breakdown continues. 📝 Trade Plan for 30th July 🔻 Scenario 1 – Sell on Pullback Wait for price to test 24,880–24,950 zone. Short entry if rejection wicks form with volume. Targets: 24,700 → 24,600 Stop-loss: Above 25,050 (FVG high). 🔼 Scenario 2 – Intraday Buy (Counter-trend) If price sustains above 24,870 on 15M with strength, scalpers may buy. Targets: 24,950 → 25,000 (fill FVG). Stop-loss: 24,780. 🚨 Scenario 3 – Breakout Play If price closes decisively above 25,050, expect short covering. Targets: 25,200 → 25,250. Trail SL aggressively. 📌 Bias Summary Primary Bias: Sell rallies near 24,880–25,050. Secondary Bias: Quick longs only if 24,870 holds, targeting the FVG above. Invalidation: Clean breakout above 25,050 with volume.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
1
Breaking 3322, gold price continues to recoverPlan XAU day: 29 July 2025 Related Information:!!! Gold prices (XAU/USD) advance to a new intraday high during the first half of the European session on Tuesday, recovering from the nearly three-week low around the $3,300 level reached the previous day. As market participants absorb the latest wave of trade-related optimism, lingering uncertainty ahead of this week’s key central bank events and high-impact US macroeconomic releases continues to lend support to the safe-haven precious metal. At the same time, the US Dollar (USD) has eased slightly from its highest level since June 23, providing an additional tailwind for gold. Nonetheless, the increasingly widespread expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period is likely to limit any significant USD correction. Consequently, this may act as a headwind for the XAU/USD pair as attention turns to the highly anticipated FOMC meeting set to commence later today. personal opinion:!!! Gold price recovered, broke 3322. Good buying power, continued to recover and accumulate above 3300 Important price zone to consider : !!! Support zone point: 3322, 3302 zone Sustainable trading to beat the market
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JJainy
3
Profitable Consistent Trader... Part 2Markets are dynamic. You cannot predict how the market will behave in a certain way. Market movement is based on probability, and your trading reflects it. The price movement gives the information about the trend. From that, we form our perceptions/views about the market. Our perceptions are the basis for trading. Changing our perceptions can be a problem for some people. For instance, "Person A" holds an optimistic outlook on the market prior to its opening. When the market opens higher and indicates a potential reversal, if "Person A" fails to adjust their perspective by recognizing these reversal signals, they will incur losses. On the other hand, frequently altering one's viewpoint is also detrimental. If you switch your opinion about the trend with every single candle pattern, you will lack a clear understanding of the market's direction. Let’s address the crucial issue: how can we overcome it? Focus on high-probability trade setups and effective trading strategies. Only execute trades when your predetermined setups materialize. This approach will provide you with clarity and confidence as you rely on proven trade setups and strategies. Are you looking to shorten the duration of the intermediate phase? Steer clear of making random trades. Always prepare a plan for how to respond to market changes. Once market opens, your emotions will come into play, making it challenging to process information, devise a trade plan, and decide on your actions. Your success hinges on how you interpret the market through your trade setups and trading strategy. Market structures continuously evolve based on the mindset and sentiment of the participants. A trader's approach to managing their trades shifts accordingly. For instance, If you are driving on a highway, you can drive fast. However, you are not allowed to drive fast inside the city. In the same way, your trading strategy, risk management, and trade management must adapt to the current market structure. Relying on a single strategy across all market conditions is unlikely to yield profits for a trader. Gaining an understanding of market structure comes with experience, but enhancing that understanding hinges on the trader's ability to adapt. This can be explained through the tale of “rabbit & tortoise” The rabbit and the tortoise decided to compete in a race. Race 1: During the race, the rabbit took a nap, allowing the tortoise to emerge victorious. Moral of race 1: Continuous effort is essential for becoming a successful trader. Race 2: This time, the rabbit stayed awake and secured the win. Moral of race 2: No strategy is foolproof. Acknowledge that reality. Race 3: Wanting to win, the tortoise altered its approach and challenged the rabbit to a race across the river. The rabbit ran along the riverbank, taking longer to cross, while the tortoise simply swam straight across and reached the other side first. The tortoise triumphed. Moral of race 3: Choose your strategy according to the market conditions. Quickly adjust when there are changes in market dynamics. Race 4: The rabbit and the tortoise became companions. They agreed to alternate victories in their races. Moral of race 4: Long-lasting success or profit is achievable when there is little to no ego involved. In trading, when your stop loss is triggered, acknowledge it and exit the trade. Avoid engaging in revenge trading. To be successful, think differently from other traders. Profit is not reliant on flashy indicators or strategies; it hinges on how well you control your emotions during trading and how effectively you execute the trades. Although the rabbit had good speed, it lost in race 1 due to incorrect execution, just like a good strategy or trade set up that is not executed properly can take away your profit. (To be continued next week...)
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by vanathi
16