Beyond Technical Analysis
Ola electric: extreme down trend and debtOla electric- the stock has been in a long down trend and made it's all time low around 39.60.
Company fundamentals are widely changed post IPO, service concerns and the management is in questionable position. Debt is also concern.
Stock once hit it all time high if 157.4.
I suggest to exit and stay away if the levels break down the line 38.70 Completely exit and stay away
Chola Fin. Formed Short Term BaseNSE:CHOLAFIN made a short-term base of 1168-1185 and is near its BO Levels of 1343.15 with RSI and MACD Trending Upwards.
About:
NSE:CHOLAFIN is one of India's premier diversified non-banking finance companies, engaged in providing vehicle finance, home loans and loans against property.
F&O Activity:
Significant Long Buildup With 1300 CE OI Significantly Decreased.
Trade Setup:
It looks like a good 1:1 Trade with the Recent Base as a Stop Loss for a Swing Trade after it Crosses Key Levels of 1343.15.
Target(Take Profit):
Around 1507 Levels for Swing & Positional Traders
Stop Loss:
The base of Channel 1168 for Positional Traders and Entry Candle Low for Swing Traders.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
ETHUSD Rejection Near Supply-Breakdown path to 3481ETH/USD shows signs of weakness after rallying into a short-term supply zone. The structure suggests a possible trend reversal as price begins to reject near key resistance.
🔍 Setup Highlights:
🟥 Red zone represents a clear supply area, where buyers were absorbed.
🟧 Yellow bar cluster from SignalPro shows early consolidation before the pump.
🔵 Breakdown trigger initiated as price lost the momentum and structure failed near 3,700.
🎯 Target zone at 3481, aligning with a previous demand imbalance zone.
📘 Educational Takeaway:
This chart helps illustrate how:
Supply rejection zones act as trend reversal points.
Visual tools like Leola Lens SignalPro guide traders on structure + sentiment.
Mapping invalidation clearly improves discipline and planning.
SPX Supply Rejection-Eyes on 6304SPX shows signs of potential weakness after testing a prior supply zone and failing to sustain higher levels. The current setup anticipates a downward move, supported by structural resistance and liquidity imbalances.
🔍 Chart Highlights:
🟥 Red zone marks supply rejection after a strong upward move.
📦 Liquidity Control Boxes from SignalPro show layered imbalance zones between 6,350–6,310.
🧊 Target marked at 6304, aligned with lower liquidity pocket and recent demand structure.
⚠️ Stop region defined above the rejection high, giving clear invalidation.
📘 Educational Focus:
This trade scenario highlights how to:
Identify potential exhaustion at supply zones
Map liquidity structures using institutional-style tools
Build trade ideas with defined risk-to-reward
Such planning reinforces disciplined trading, especially in high-volume indices like SPX.
BTCUSD-Eyes 120000 after Liquidity Sweep & Support RetestPrice action on the 15-min chart shows Bitcoin forming a potential bullish continuation after a liquidity sweep below short-term support. Here’s what stands out:
🔹 Triple Tap Support: Price respected a key zone multiple times, hinting at strong buyer interest.
🔹 Post-Sweep Reaction: Sharp recovery followed by consolidation suggests demand re-entered the market.
🔹 SignalPro Context: Leola Lens™ SignalPro highlighted key zones (yellow + orange), offering caution and trend context.
🔹 Projected Path: With price stabilizing above the reclaimed zone, potential upside target aligns with the 120000 region.
📌 Educational Note:
This setup highlights how liquidity collection below support and subsequent recovery can offer clues to short-term directional intent. Always manage risk based on volatility and session context.
USDCAD Bullish Setup-Shift from Accumulation to ExpansionPrice has broken above recent accumulation range marked by Liquidity Control Boxes.
SignalPro long setup activated with:
🔶 Smart accumulation zone breakout
🔁 Minor retest at 1.361 area holding
🎯 Targeting upper liquidity levels around 1.37139
Price structure shows a bullish microtrend reversal with risk capped below last demand block.
Key Elements on Chart:
📦 Leola Lens SignalPro's control zones provided context for consolidation and breakout
📈 Breakout aims toward untested supply zones above
⏳ Timeframe: 15-min
🧠 Educational Use Only – No financial advice.
Tool used: Leola Lens SignalPro
Bank Nifty Market Structure & Trade Plan: 28th July🔵 Bank Nifty Analysis
Timeframes used: 4H, 1H, 15min
Current Price: 56,520
🧠 Market Context:
Price remains stuck in a sideways range for several weeks.
Currently trading near the midpoint between a strong supply zone (57,200–57,400) and a strong demand zone (56,050–56,250).
Short-term trend is bearish within the broader sideways range.
📊 Market Structure (4H & 1H Combined):
🔻 Lower highs forming on 4H.
🟩 Support at 56,050–56,250 has held multiple times.
❌ No clear bullish strength seen from demand yet.
🟥 Repeated failures at the 57,300–57,400 supply zone – indicating strong overhead resistance.
🗺️ Key Zones:
Immediate Resistance (Supply):
57,200–57,400
56,900–57,050 (minor intraday)
Immediate Support (Demand):
56,050–56,250
Below that: 55,700
🚫 No Trade Zone:
56,400–56,600 → Very choppy, middle of the range → Avoid initiating trades unless you get a breakout or breakdown.
📈 Trade Plan for Monday:
✅ Scenario 1 – Sell on Rally (Preferred Bias):
If price gives a weak pullback toward minor supply zone and shows 15min rejection pattern:
Entry: Near 56,900
Stop Loss: Above 57,050
Targets: 56,500 → 56,250
✅ Scenario 2 – Buy at Demand (Aggressive Countertrend):
If price tests and shows clear reversal from major demand zone (56,050–56,250) with bullish engulfing / trap:
Entry: Near 56,150
Stop Loss: Below 56,000
Target: 56,500 → 56,850
🚀 Scenario 3 – Breakout Buy (Trend Confirmation):
Only if price breaks and sustains above 57,050 on strong volume:
Entry: 57,100 on retest
SL: Below 56,900
Target: 57,400 → 57,600
Market structure analysis & rade plan for Nifty : 28th July🔵 Nifty 50 Analysis
Timeframes Used: 4H, 1H, 15min
Current Price: ~24,832
🧠 Market Structure Overview:
4H Timeframe:
Market structure has shifted bearish with a series of lower highs and lower lows.
Price broke down below the minor demand zone (24,880–24,920), confirming short-term weakness.
A deeper demand zone around 24,680–24,720 is now in focus.
1H Timeframe:
Retest and rejection seen at previous demand (now flipped as resistance).
Consistent selling pressure from 25,100 and 25,230 zones.
Small base forming around 24,820, but momentum is weak.
🗺️ Key Zones:
Immediate Resistance (Supply):
24,880–24,920 (flipped supply)
25,100–25,130
25,220–25,270
Immediate Support (Demand):
24,680–24,720
24,410 (HTF support level from June base)
📈 Trade Plan:
🔻 Scenario 1 – Sell on Pullback
If price retests and rejects from 24,880–24,920 zone:
Entry: ~24,900 (on 15min confirmation like bearish engulfing or M-structure)
Stop Loss: Above 24,950
Targets: 24,720 → 24,680
🔺 Scenario 2 – Buy from Lower Demand
If price reacts strongly at 24,680–24,720 demand zone:
Entry: ~24,700 (confirmation on 15min bullish setup or strong wick rejection)
Stop Loss: Below 24,650
Targets: 24,880 → 25,000
🚫 No Trade Zone:
24,800–24,840
Price currently consolidating in this indecisive region
Wait for clear breakout or rejection confirmation from zones mentioned above
✅ Bias:
Preferred Bias: Sell on pullback until price reclaims 24,950 convincingly
Reversal Watch: Bullish only if strong reaction emerges from 24,680–24,720
Advance Option Trading🔶 What Is Advanced Options Trading?
Advanced Options Trading goes beyond buying and selling simple Calls and Puts. It’s about using multi-leg strategies, managing risk with precision, applying greeks and volatility, and aligning your trades with market conditions.
Advanced traders treat options like a math-based chess game. They don’t gamble—they strategize, hedge, spread, and use data-driven decisions to extract profits in all kinds of markets (bullish, bearish, sideways, volatile, calm).
🔍 Why Learn Advanced Options Trading?
While beginners just "buy options" hoping for a quick profit, advanced traders use options to:
Control risk
Earn consistent income
Capitalize on volatility
Trade sideways or range-bound markets
Create hedges for portfolios
Use smart capital deployment with defined risk
2️⃣ Implied Volatility (IV)
IV tells you how expensive or cheap options are.
📈 High IV = Options are expensive → Ideal for selling
📉 Low IV = Options are cheap → Ideal for buying
Advanced traders use:
IV Rank / IV Percentile
Volatility skew analysis
Volatility crush trades around earnings or events
3️⃣ Option Strategies
Here’s where real skills come in. Advanced trading uses multi-leg strategies to limit loss, increase odds, or make money in non-directional moves.
🔍 Strategy Example: Iron Condor
Sell 22000 CE
Sell 21800 PE
Buy 22100 CE (hedge)
Buy 21700 PE (hedge)
You’ll profit if the index stays between 21800 and 22000, and time decay works in your favor.
✅ Defined risk
✅ Limited profit
✅ Great for expiry week if market is range-bound
💹 Advanced Techniques for Smart Trading
Let’s now explore how pros operate:
🔸 A. Delta-Neutral Trading
Institutional or advanced traders often create delta-neutral positions—no directional bias.
Example:
Buy Call option (Delta +50)
Sell Put option (Delta -50)
Net Delta = 0 → Neutral. The position doesn’t care which way market moves—only volatility or time decay matters.
🔸 B. Hedging with Options
Advanced traders hedge their stock or futures positions using options.
Example:
You hold ₹5 lakh worth of Reliance shares
You buy Reliance PUT options to protect downside risk
Result? You keep profits if stock goes up and protect capital if it drops. It's like insurance.
🔸 C. Trading Earnings or Events
Options let you trade volatility, not just direction. Ahead of events like:
Earnings reports
RBI or Fed meetings
Budget announcements
You can use:
Straddles / Strangles (if expecting big move)
Iron Condors (if expecting no major move)
Calendar spreads (to exploit IV difference)
🔸 D. IV Crush Strategy
Before major events, IV rises. After the event, IV drops (called IV crush).
Advanced traders:
Sell options before events (high premium)
Buy options after IV crash (cheap premium)
They know when NOT to buy options just before news—because premium is inflated!
🔸 E. Adjusting Trades
Advanced traders don’t just “hope” for success. If a trade goes wrong, they adjust it:
Roll to a new strike
Convert from debit to credit spreads
Hedge with opposite positions
Manage Delta/Theta/Vega exposure
This proactive style protects capital and increases recovery chances.
🛠️ Tools Used by Advanced Option Traders
Opstra / Sensibull – Strategy builder, Greek analyzer
TradingView – Charting & technical levels
OI Analysis Platforms – For understanding institutional footprints
Python / Excel – Custom backtesting tools
Algo Platforms – For speed and logic-based execution
📌 Important Rules for Advanced Option Traders
Don't chase trades. Let trades come to you.
Always define risk before entering.
Use multi-leg setups, not naked options unless there's an edge.
Stay Theta positive in low volatility markets.
Only buy options when IV is low and breakout is expected.
✅ Final Thoughts
Advanced options trading is a skillset—not a shortcut.
If you:
Want consistent profits
Wish to trade like institutions
Hate gambling and want a plan
Love logic, numbers, and control
…then advanced option trading is your next big step.
It gives you the tools to win in all market types, not just trending ones.
Dixon Technologies Ltd – Breakout Alert📈Technical Analysis
Dixon Technologies Ltd has shown a strong long-term uptrend since 2018, following a consistent Buy-on-Dips structure. The stock hit its All-Time High in Dec 2024, post which it corrected nearly 36%, forming a series of Lower Highs.
Currently, it's trading at ₹16,556, and today it broke the most recent Lower High, indicating a potential trend reversal. Interestingly, this technical breakout aligns with strong Q4 results, further supporting bullish sentiment.
The next key resistance lies at ₹17,000 – an earlier lower high. A breakout above this level, followed by a bullish retest, could pave the way for a fresh rally.
🎯Upside Targets:
🎯Target 1: ₹17,500
🎯Target 2: ₹18,000
🎯Target 3: ₹18,500
🛡️Key Support Levels:
₹14,000 (Minor Support)
₹12,000 (Major Demand Zone)
If these supports fail, the bullish structure may be invalidated.
💰FY24 Financial Performance (vs FY23 & FY22)
Total Income: ₹38,860 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹17,691 Cr; ↑ +219% vs ₹12,192 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹37,353 Cr (↑ +120% vs ₹16,988 Cr; ↑ +215% vs ₹11,873 Cr)
Financing Profit: ₹1,508 Cr (↑ +114% vs ₹705 Cr; ↑ +190% vs ₹519 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,570 Cr (↑ +218% vs ₹494 Cr; ↑ +355% vs ₹345 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹1,233 Cr (↑ +228% vs ₹375 Cr; ↑ +384% vs ₹255 Cr)
EPS: ₹181.87 (↑ +196% vs ₹61.47; ↑ +325% vs ₹42.90)
📌Exceptional growth across all metrics indicates robust demand, streamlined costs, and successful scaling.
🔍Fundamental Strengths
CAGR & Profitability: 45%+ revenue CAGR over 5 years, with ROE ~28%
FY25 Estimates: Revenue at ₹38,860 Cr (+120%) and PAT at ₹1,100 Cr (+198%)
Q4 Highlights: PAT jumped 322% YoY to ₹401 Cr on a 121% surge in revenue to ₹10,293 Cr
Financial Discipline: Minimal debt (total debt/ equity ~0.07), strong cash flows, and high asset turnover
Operational Scale: 17 manufacturing units; JV with Vivo in Dec 2024 indicates strategy expansion
✅Conclusion
Dixon is showing a compelling technical breakout, backed by outstanding FY24 and Q4 results. Uptick above ₹17,000 with solid support suggests continuation toward ₹18,500. Strong fundamentals reinforce medium‑term potential, but critical stops at ₹14,000 and ₹12,000 should be respected.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Strong Reversal Backed by Breakout and Robust Q4I am speaking about the IOC Ltd stock. Technically, I’ve been observing this stock’s chart for over two decades. In Feb 2024, it created an All-Time High at ₹197. From there, it consolidated till Sept 2024, followed by a sharp correction to ₹110 by March 2025. This ₹110 level acted as a strong demand zone and the stock rallied sharply from there.
Currently, it's trading at ₹152, forming an Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern, and the price has already broken above the neckline — a bullish signal.
🎯Targets
Target 1: ₹170
Target 2: ₹180
Target 3: ₹190
📉Stop Loss Levels
First Stop Loss: ₹135 (shoulder low)
Final Stop Loss: ₹110 (major demand zone)
💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income:₹1,95,270 Cr (↑ flat vs ₹1,94,014 Cr; ↓ -2% vs ₹1,98,650 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹1,80,241 Cr (↓ -3% vs ₹1,86,442 Cr; ↓ -4% vs ₹1,86,675 Cr)
Operating Profit: ₹15,029 Cr (↑ +98% vs ₹7,573 Cr; ↑ +25% vs ₹11,975 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹10,045 Cr (↑ +263% vs ₹2,766 Cr; ↑ +35% vs ₹7,420 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹8,368 Cr (↑ +290% vs ₹2,147 Cr; ↑ +52% vs ₹5,488 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹5.75 (↑ from ₹1.50 QoQ; ↑ from ₹3.65 YoY)
🧾Fundamental Insights
🛢️IOC has benefited from softening crude oil prices and improved gross refining margins (GRMs), leading to better operating performance.
📦Strong inventory gains and better refining throughput also contributed to profitability.
💵The company declared a final dividend of ₹7 per share for FY24, rewarding shareholders amid solid earnings.
🏭Capex plans continue across petrochemical expansions and refinery upgrades, securing long-term growth.
🌱The management also highlighted a push toward energy transition — expanding green hydrogen and EV charging infrastructure.
Conclusion:
IOC Ltd is showing a strong technical breakout and backed by solid fundamentals in Q4. If the bullish pattern sustains, investors may see a retest of all-time highs in coming weeks.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
Nifty Hourly chart to plan for coming week (21st-25th July 2025)Key Zones Marked:
As per smart money concepts,
Supply Zone (SZ)
1. Price retraced to this zone and rejected
2. Aligned with 0.5 Fibonacci level (25086.05)→ ideal for short entries
3. SL placed slightly above the zone = 25153 - 25160
Potential Targets:
1. TGT1 → 24,753.45 = 0.786 retracement
2. TGT2 → 24,637.15 = 0.886 retracement
These are common levels where price retraces after FVG imbalance fills or OB breaks
What This Trade Represents:
1. Displacement happened, retracement into a mitigation block / supply zone
2. Short position was taken on confirmation wick
3. Expecting price to move to discount level or old demand zone
Note: Only for educational purpose.
Thanks.
Regards
Bull Man
Nifty 50 at a Critical Juncture – Breakdown or Bounce Ahead?Technical Overview – Trendline Test in Action
After breaking out of a well-defined falling wedge pattern in April 2025, the Nifty 50 had been respecting an ascending support trendline, offering steady higher lows and consistent bullish structure.
However, in the most recent session, price closed just below this key trendline at 24,926.80, with volume slightly elevated — a signal that the bulls are losing control unless support is reclaimed quickly.
Key Technical Levels
Immediate Resistance: 25,100–25,250
Trendline Support (Broken): ~24,950
Major Demand Zone: 24,300–24,600
Critical Breakdown Level: 24,850
Options Chain Snapshot – What Smart Money Is Signaling
Expiry: 31st July 2025
Spot: 24,935.50
Futures: 24,956.50
🔸 Call Writers in Control
Significant OI at 25,000 CE (140.7K) and 24,950 CE (38K)
Call unwinding seen from 24,700 to 25,200, suggesting profit booking or reduced bullish conviction
IVs remain compressed across ATM and OTM calls → calm surface, but pressure building
🔹 Put Writers Still Active
24,900 PE (101K OI, +59.5K) and 25,000 PE (143K OI, +40.9K) are heavily defended
PCR remains above 1 for 24,950–25,000 zone → put writers betting on expiry support
Rising OI at 24,800 PE (84K) also shows growing downside hedges
Data vs. Price – A Divergence Worth Watching
While options data suggests bulls are trying to defend 24,900–25,000 with heavy put writing, price action tells a different story. A clean break of the trendline and a lower daily close below 24,850 would shift momentum in favor of the bears.
📉 Breakdown Confirmation:
Sustained move below 24,850
Rising call OI at 25,000+
Unwinding of 24,900 PE and 24,800 PE
Pickup in IV and red candle with volume
Strategy Ideas (Educational Purpose Only)
🟩 Bullish Scenario
Bias: Long above trendline reclaim
Entry: On breakout above 25,050
Stop Loss: Below 24,850
Target: 25,300 and then 25,500
🟥 Bearish Scenario
Bias: Short below confirmed breakdown
Entry: Below 24,850
Stop Loss: Above 25,050
Target: 24,600, possibly extending to 24,300
🟨 Neutral / Non-Directional View
Bias: Range-bound / IV crush play
Strategy: Short Straddle using 24,950 CE + 24,950 PE
Hedge Zone: Manage risk beyond ±150 points
Goal: Capture premium decay as expiry nears
🧭 Conclusion – Prepare, Don’t Predict
The Nifty 50 is sitting at a crucial inflection point — where structure meets sentiment. While option writers continue to show faith in the 24,900–25,000 zone, a clean break below the recent support could trigger swift downside toward the 24,400 zone.
In times like these, reacting to confirmation is smarter than pre-empting moves. Watch price, volume, and open interest shifts closely in the coming sessions.
Nifty View for Today(25Jul)
Nifty 50 Index | Intraday Outlook (15m Timeframe)
Price is currently consolidating around the 25,050 zone, showing signs of indecision. A symmetrical triangle is forming near the support zone, indicating a potential breakout.
📌 Key Levels:
Support: 25,030 – 25,050
Resistance Zones: 25,100 – 25,125 and 25,150 – 25,175
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If price sustains above the blue trendline and breaks 25,100 with volume, we may see a move towards 25,150 and higher.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below 25,030 with strong momentum could drag the index toward 25,000 and even 24,950.
🔄 Neutral Bias:
Sideways consolidation may continue between 25,030 and 25,100 before any decisive move.
💡 Trade with proper risk management. Wait for breakout confirmation before entering a position.
#Nifty50 #Intraday #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #NSE
Cartrade tech price action analysisBased on the available information, here's an analysis of CarTrade Tech Limited's (CARTRADE) price action and financial performance:
## Recent Performance
CarTrade Tech Limited has shown strong financial performance in its latest quarterly report. For Q3 FY2024, the company reported:
- Revenue increase of 45% year-over-year, reaching ₹400 crore (USD 48 million)
- Operating income of ₹100 crore (USD 12 million), up 60% from the previous year
- Net profit surge to ₹50 crore (USD 6 million), a 70% increase year-over-year
The company's third-quarter 2025 earnings exceeded analyst expectations, with revenue beating estimates by 5.2% and earnings per share (EPS) surpassing forecasts by 41% .
## Market Position
CarTrade Tech maintains a strong position in the Indian online automotive marketplace:
- 25% market share in the online used car segment as of 2024
- Targeted 15% growth in marketplace transactions year-over-year
- Plans to expand offerings of electric and hybrid vehicles by 30% by mid-2024
## Future Outlook
Analysts have provided the following price targets for CARTRADE:
- Price target: ₹1,689.00
- Maximum estimate: ₹1,934.00
- Minimum estimate: ₹900.00
Revenue is forecast to grow at 15% per annum, indicating continued expansion .
## Investment Potential
CarTrade Tech has been identified as one of the top stocks that could potentially offer 15-30% returns in 2025, according to Nomura . This suggests positive sentiment among analysts regarding the company's future performance.
Given the company's strong financial results, market position, and positive analyst outlook, CARTRADE appears to be in a favorable position for potential price appreciation. However, investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider market risks before making investment decisions.
How Richard Dennis Created Millionaires Turtle Trading ExperimntHello Traders!
Imagine you’re a total beginner. No experience. No finance degree. No trading background. Now imagine someone teaches you a simple trading system. Trains you for just two weeks. And then gives you real money to manage. Sounds like a dream, right. But it actually happened in the 1980s. A legendary trader named Richard Dennis did it. And many of the people he trained went on to become millionaires.
This was called the Turtle Trading Experiment .
And it changed the way people looked at trading forever.
Who Was Richard Dennis? (The Trader Who Taught Success)
Richard Dennis started with just $1,600 and grew it to more than $200 million through commodities trading. But his biggest legacy was not his profits. It was his belief that trading success can be taught.
He once said:
“We can grow traders just like they grow turtles in Singapore.” That quote became the foundation of the Turtle experiment.
What Was the Turtle Experiment All About?
Richard Dennis had a debate with his friend William Eckhardt. Dennis believed that anyone, could be trained to trade. Eckhardt disagreed. To settle the argument, Dennis placed an ad and selected a small group of everyday people.,They included teachers, musicians, engineers, and people who had never traded before. He trained them for two weeks. Then gave them real capital to trade.
What Strategy Did the Turtles Follow? (Simple and Powerful)
Breakout Entry:
They entered trades when price crossed a 20-day or 55-day high or low.
Trend Following:
They stayed in the trade until the trend reversed.
Position Sizing:
They calculated trade size based on market volatility.
ATR-Based Stop Loss:
Each trade had a fixed stop loss using Average True Range.
Multi-Market Trading:
They traded futures across different asset classes like gold, oil, corn, currencies, and indices.
How Did the Turtles Perform?
The outcome was unbelievable. Most of them made large profits. Some became hedge fund managers. The average returns were far above industry standards.
What’s important is that these were not naturally gifted traders.
They simply followed the rules, stayed consistent, and trusted the process.
Rahul Tip:
Don’t overcomplicate trading.
Even a basic breakout strategy can make money if traded with discipline and risk control.
Before chasing complex setups, ask yourself: Am I even following one simple system properly?
Conclusion:
The Turtle Trading Experiment proved that trading is not magic.
It’s a skill that can be taught, practiced, and mastered.
All you need is a solid system and the mindset to follow it every single time.
Would you trust a mechanical strategy like the Turtles did? Or do you prefer full control? Let’s talk in the comments!
# ADVENZYMES Price Analysis (July 2025)Current Price and Trading Pattern
Advanced Enzyme Technologies Ltd (ADVENZYMES) is trading near ₹335 in late July 2025. The price range for recent sessions is ₹331–₹346, with daily swings generally limited to 1–2%. Trading volumes are average for its segment, indicating steady, if unspectacular, investor interest. The 52-week price band extends from a low of ₹258 to a high of almost ₹571, showing that the stock has experienced significant volatility and a substantial correction from last year’s peak.
## Performance Overview
- **1-Month:** The stock has been consolidating, exhibiting minimal directional bias and relatively stable prices.
- **6-Month:** There has been a notable decline, significantly underperforming its sector benchmarks. The price remains below important moving averages, indicating sustained technical weakness.
- **12-Month:** ADVENZYMES has declined approximately 30% over the past year, in marked contrast to the modest gains seen in broader equity indices.
## Financials and Valuation
- **Market Capitalization:** Approximately ₹3,750–3,800 crore.
- **Earnings per Share (TTM):** About ₹11.7.
- **P/E Ratio:** Nearly 28, somewhat below the specialty chemicals sector average, likely reflecting recent challenges in growth and profitability.
- **P/B Ratio:** Close to 2.6.
- **Dividend Yield:** Roughly 1.5–1.6%, with an interim dividend of ₹4 per share recently declared.
## Business Health
ADVENZYMES is a leading manufacturer of enzymes and probiotics with global clients across healthcare, food processing, and specialty industrial markets. The latest financial results show minor revenue growth but declining net profits and operating margins, primarily due to increased costs and a shift in the product mix. Earnings per share have reached multi-quarter lows, prompting concern about operational efficiency and cost management.
## Shareholder Structure
- **Promoters:** Hold about 43% of shares.
- **Institutional Investors (FII/DII):** Approximately 26%.
- **Retail/Public:** The remaining shares.
## Risk and Volatility
- The stock is roughly three times as volatile as major market indices, making it a high-beta investment.
- Liquidity is sufficient for the usual investment sizes, but price performance has lagged sector peers over the past year.
## Technical and Sector Comparison
ADVENZYMES is trading below its major short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages, highlighting a bearish trend. In comparison, the specialty chemicals sector has had mild positive momentum, which makes ADVENZYMES a notable underperformer in its peer group.
## Outlook
The company’s fundamentals remain sound from a market positioning perspective, bolstered by a track record of dividend payment and global reach. However, the recent deterioration in revenue growth, margins, and earnings clouds the short-term outlook. The technical setup stays negative, and further consolidation or downside is possible unless there is clear operational improvement or sector-wide momentum. Investors should keep a close watch on margin trends, revenue acceleration, and cost control initiatives as signals for recovery.
Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) at ₹316.45**Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) at ₹316.45: Premium Play or Future Powerhouse?**
Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN) trades at ₹316.45, a massive entity with over ₹2.01 lakh Cr market cap, backed by the Reliance ecosystem. The question for traders and investors: Is its significant premium justified?
**Key Insights:**
* **Strong Backing & Shareholding:** Promoters hold 47.12%, with healthy institutional presence (DIIs 14.78%, FIIs 12.30%). This indicates significant confidence from core stakeholders.
* **Financials: Growth & Investment-Centric:** Sales saw a decent 10% growth (Mar'25 vs Mar'24), with Operating Profit jumping 27% to ₹1,977 Cr. OPM remains high at 76%. However, 2024 cash flow from operations was negative, heavily reliant on investing activities, suggesting its current model is more investment/holding company-like.
* **Staggering Valuation:** JIOFIN's P/E of 124.80 dwarfs peers like Bajaj Finance (P/E 36.10) and SBI Cards (P/E 44.50). This isn't about current earnings; it's a massive bet on future disruption.
* **Price Action & Volatility:** Despite its pedigree, JIOFIN's 1-year return is -5.45%, and it shows significant monthly volatility. This reflects the market's ongoing price discovery for a stock valued heavily on future potential.
**The Black Belt Take:**
JIOFIN is a high-conviction, high-valuation play. It's a bet on Reliance's ability to revolutionize India's financial sector.
* **For Traders:** Expect continued volatility. Short-term opportunities exist, but precise risk management is non-negotiable given the valuation sensitivity.
* **For Investors:** This is a long-term "future growth" story. Consider accumulating on significant dips if you believe in its disruptive potential. For the conservative, waiting for more established operational cash flows and a more reasonable valuation might be prudent.
Is the "Jio Factor" enough to justify this premium, or should investors wait for the fundamentals to catch up?
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**Disclaimer:** This article is for educational purposes only. Please consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before making investment decisions.
BANKNIFTY 1D Timeframe Key Data (as of early afternoon):
Current Price: ~57,080
Opening Price: 57,316
Day’s High: 57,316
Day’s Low: 56,851
Previous Close: 57,210
Net Change: –128 points (around –0.22%)
Intraday Price Action Summary
Bearish Start: Opened near the high and immediately faced selling pressure, especially in major private banks.
Dip to Support: Price dropped to 56,851, testing key intraday support.
Mild Recovery Attempt: Found some buying interest near the support but still trading below the day’s open.
📊 Technical Levels – 1D View
Level Type Value (Approximate)
Resistance 1 57,300
Resistance 2 57,600
Support 1 56,850
Support 2 56,500
Trend Bias Neutral to Bearish
RSI Level (Est.) 48–50 (sideways zone)
A break above 57,300 could resume bullish momentum.
A fall below 56,800 may extend the decline toward 56,500.
Why Bank Nifty Is Weak Today
Profit Booking: After recent gains, traders are squaring off long positions.
IT Sector Drag: Broader market weakness (led by IT) has spilled over into banking.
Global Cues: No strong global signals to support risk-on sentiment.
Mixed Bank Performance: While PSU banks like Canara Bank and PNB are showing strength, private banks such as Axis, ICICI, and Kotak are under pressure.
Intraday Trading Strategy
If you’re Bullish:
Look for a breakout above 57,300 for confirmation.
Targets could be 57,600 and 58,000 with a stop below 56,850.
If you’re Bearish:
Wait for a break below 56,800.
Downside targets may be 56,500 and 56,300.
Sideways Play: If the index continues to hold between 56,850–57,300, focus on range-bound scalping or wait for a breakout.
Conclusion
Bank Nifty is trading in a consolidation-to-weak zone today. The index is at a technical crossroads—holding above 56,850 keeps hopes for a bounce alive, while a fall below it could invite fresh selling. Eyes should be on private sector banks and broader market sentiment for the next directional cue.