Bank Nifty Trade Setup for July 19, 2025 |Bank Nifty is currently trading around 56,250, in a tight range between a strong 4H demand zone and multiple overhead supply zones. After a sharp fall from ~57,400, price has stabilized near the 56,140–56,200 demand base. A bounce or breakdown from this zone will decide the next intraday trend.
🔴 Key Supply Zones (Resistance):
56,420 – 56,500 → Fresh 15-min bearish zone (recent rejection)
56,700 – 56,820 → Previous base before breakdown (1H/4H supply)
57,180 – 57,400 → Major resistance from 4H chart (sharp sell-off zone)
🟢 Key Demand Zone (Support):
56,140 – 56,200 → Strong buying base seen across 15min to 4H. Market is holding here with multiple rejections.
📈 Trading Scenarios:
1. Long Trade Plan (Buy on Rejection from Demand Zone):
Entry: Above 56,230 (after bullish reversal confirmation)
Stop Loss: Below 56,120
Target 1: 56,420
Target 2: 56,700
2. Short Trade Plan (Sell on Rejection from Supply Zone):
Entry: Below 56,390 if price rejects 56,420–56,500 zone
Stop Loss: Above 56,520
Target: 56,200
3. Breakdown Trade (Aggressive Bearish Bias):
Break below 56,140 with retest failure
Entry: On retest rejection of 56,140–56,160
Target: 55,900 – 55,600
Stop Loss: Above breakdown retest high
🧭 Bias:
Neutral to Bullish as long as price respects 56,140.
Breakdown below 56,140 would shift bias to Bearish.
⚠️ Notes:
Wait for confirmation candles, especially on 15-min chart
Avoid trades in the middle of the range (56,200–56,400) unless structure is clear
Monitor broader market cues (Nifty + global indices) before confirmation
Beyond Technical Analysis
Nifty 50 Trade Plan – July 19, 2025 |📊 Timeframe: 4H | 1H | 15M
🔍 Methodology: ICT Concepts | Market Structure | Supply & Demand Zones
🔻 Bias: Bearish to Neutral
The index is in a clear downtrend, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows on the 4H and 1H charts. Price is currently trading below the key structural resistance zone of 25,070, and any pullback into this zone is a potential short opportunity unless invalidated by a bullish breakout.
🔑 Key Levels:
Supply Zones:
🟥 25,030 – 25,070 (1H Supply)
🟥 25,150 – 25,250 (HTF Supply)
Demand Zone:
🟩 24,880 – 24,910 (1H Demand)
🟩 Below that: 24,700 (next liquidity zone)
Current Price: 24,965
📌 TRADE SETUPS:
✳️ Plan A – Short Setup (High Probability)
Trade with trend, from supply zone rejection.
Entry: Around 25,030–25,070
Trigger: Bearish rejection candle (engulfing / pin bar) on 5M–15M
Stop Loss: Above 25,100
Targets:
🎯 T1: 24,910
🎯 T2: 24,860
🎯 T3: 24,700 (if structure breaks)
✳️ Plan B – Long Setup (Countertrend, Low Conviction)
Only if strong bullish PA emerges with break above 25,070.
Entry: Retest of 24,880–24,910 demand zone with bullish engulfing on 15M
Stop Loss: Below 24,850
Targets:
🎯 T1: 25,030
🎯 T2: 25,150–25,200
🧠 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT:
Element Status
HTF Trend 🔻 Bearish
Demand Holding ✅ Yes (24,880 zone)
BOS for Bullish Shift 🚫 Not yet confirmed
Liquidity Pool 🟥 Above 25,100
Risk-Reward Zones ✅ Clear structure for both long & short
📌 Conclusion:
Unless Nifty gives a clean breakout above 25,070, rallies are to be sold into. Keep watch for rejection patterns from supply zones. If the 24,880 demand breaks, we could see accelerated downside.
Stay patient. Let price come to your zones. React, don't predict. 🎯
Earnings in Focus Companies in the Spotlight
Reliance Industries (RIL)
Reliance’s results are among the most awaited in the Indian market. It touches almost every Indian household through its telecom (Jio), retail, and oil-to-chemicals arms.
In Q1, analysts expected strong year-on-year growth in profit, partly helped by a one-time gain from a stake sale.
Retail and digital segments were projected to post steady growth.
Oil-to-chemicals margins were expected to remain stable due to global energy price stabilization.
Since Reliance has a significant weight in both Nifty and Sensex, even a 2–3% move can swing the broader indices.
JSW Steel
JSW Steel posted stronger-than-expected operating profits. The volume growth was robust and pricing held steady despite global uncertainties.
Steel performance is considered a proxy for infrastructure and housing demand.
Better margins mean improved profitability outlook, which often lifts peer stocks like Tata Steel and SAIL too.
Wipro
Wipro surprised the street with a better-than-expected net profit growth and steady revenue.
This came after a few muted quarters, giving confidence to IT investors.
The firm also secured some large deals, which improved guidance.
When a Tier-1 IT company beats expectations, it often leads to a short-term sector-wide rally.
Axis Bank
Axis Bank reported a small decline in net profit due to an increase in provisions and asset quality slippage.
Markets reacted negatively, with the stock dropping more than 5%.
This raised some concerns for the entire banking sector, especially around retail loan delinquencies.
Bank earnings are carefully tracked for signs of economic health since they’re the first to show stress in the system.
Hindustan Zinc
Despite a year-on-year drop in profit, Hindustan Zinc beat market expectations.
The metal segment held up well.
Higher cost efficiency offset pricing pressure.
It shows that even in commodity-heavy businesses, efficiency and scale can drive earnings resilience.
3. 📈 How Markets React During Earnings
Earnings are one of the biggest catalysts for short-term market movements. Here’s how different market participants respond:
Retail Traders: Look for quick intraday or swing opportunities based on the reaction to earnings.
Institutional Investors: Focus more on guidance, margin outlook, and strategic plans.
FIIs & DIIs: Use results to rebalance portfolios across sectors.
This week, markets opened flat with mixed sector movements. Financials remained under pressure due to Axis Bank, while energy and metals were relatively stronger.
4. 🎯 Trading Strategies During Earnings Season
🔹 Intraday Traders:
Monitor stock-specific results.
A strong beat often results in gap-up opens, followed by either a continuation rally or profit-booking.
Misses often result in sharp selling pressure.
🔹 Swing Traders:
Look for strong earnings + bullish technical setup for 3–5 day momentum trades.
Weak earnings can be played with bearish options like puts or bear spreads.
🔹 Investors:
Focus on long-term stories where earnings confirm improving fundamentals.
Use dips in strong businesses as buying opportunities.
5. 💼 Sectoral Trends from Current Earnings
✅ IT Sector:
Wipro’s good performance and deal wins have created optimism.
If the rest of the IT majors follow suit, it may indicate a bottom in the tech cycle.
✅ Metals:
JSW Steel’s strong numbers confirm ongoing industrial demand.
Infra push and China’s restocking are adding tailwinds to global metal prices.
❌ Financials:
Axis Bank’s weaker asset quality is a concern.
Market will now look toward HDFC Bank, SBI, and ICICI Bank to see if this is a one-off or an emerging trend.
⚖️ FMCG & Consumer:
Awaited earnings from major players like HUL, Dabur, and Nestlé will show how rural and urban consumption are shaping up.
Margin expansion through easing input costs will be closely monitored.
6. 📊 Impact on Broader Indices
Nifty:
Reliance alone has over 10% weight in the index. A positive surprise there can lift Nifty meaningfully.
IT and metals also have significant representation, so results from Wipro and JSW Steel are important.
Bank Nifty:
Axis Bank’s fall dragged the index.
A recovery depends on upcoming results from ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank.
Sector Indices:
Nifty Metal may outperform if positive surprises continue.
Nifty IT needs more broad-based strength to reverse the downtrend.
7. 🧠 What Smart Money Is Watching
Institutional investors are focusing on:
Guidance for the rest of FY25
Cost management: Are companies protecting or growing their margins?
Volume growth: Are revenues rising due to real demand or just price hikes?
Loan growth and credit quality: Especially in the banking space
These insights help long-term investors identify early winners and avoid laggards.
8. 🧾 Key Takeaways for Traders & Investors
Earnings are the strongest short-term trigger in markets.
Reliance results can tilt the entire Nifty one way or the other.
IT is stabilizing, Metals are strong, Financials are shaky—sector rotation is visible.
Stay stock- and sector-specific rather than going fully index-based during earnings season.
9. ✅ Final Words
“Earnings in Focus” isn’t just a headline—it’s the heartbeat of market sentiment right now.
In a market driven by uncertainty (inflation, interest rates, global slowdown), real numbers from real companies matter more than ever. This is the time when:
Traders can catch powerful moves based on short-term surprises
Investors can spot trends and leaders early
Portfolio rebalancing decisions can be guided by facts, not emotions
Whether you’re in for a quick trade or a long-term position, understanding earnings and their market impact is essential.
GIFT Nifty Signals Bullish Start🏛️ What is GIFT Nifty?
Let’s start with the basics.
GIFT Nifty is the new name for what used to be known as the SGX Nifty—a derivative contract that mirrors the Nifty 50, but is traded outside India.
It now runs on the GIFT City platform (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City).
It gives traders, especially foreign institutional investors (FIIs), the ability to trade in Nifty futures even before the Indian market opens.
Think of it as an early indicator of how the Nifty 50 might perform when the Indian market opens at 9:15 am.
✅ Important: GIFT Nifty is NOT a separate index.
It simply reflects the expected movement of the Nifty 50 index, based on global market cues and overnight developments.
🧠 Why Did SGX Nifty Become GIFT Nifty?
Until July 2023, the Nifty futures were traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX).
But to bring more liquidity and volume back to Indian shores and to establish India as a global financial hub, the trading of Nifty derivatives was moved from Singapore to the GIFT IFSC platform.
Thus, SGX Nifty became GIFT Nifty.
📈 Why GIFT Nifty’s Morning Move Matters
Each morning, traders, analysts, media houses, and even retail investors check GIFT Nifty levels.
Why?
Because it acts as a directional clue. Here’s how:
If GIFT Nifty is up by 100 points, it’s a sign that Nifty 50 is likely to open higher.
If it’s down by 75 points, it hints at a gap-down opening.
It reflects the sentiment of global markets, overnight US cues, geopolitical risks, and FII mood.
📊 Example:
GIFT Nifty trading at 22,450 (up 80 points)
Yesterday’s Nifty close: 22,370
→ Bullish sign → Indian markets may open with a gap-up of 70–100 points.
📌 What Does “Bullish Start” Mean?
A bullish start means the market is expected to open on a positive note—meaning, the index (like Nifty or Sensex) may start the day higher than the previous day’s closing.
This can happen due to:
Strong global cues (e.g., Dow Jones, Nasdaq closing higher)
Positive FII activity
Good earnings announcements
Supportive macroeconomic data
Favorable government or budget policy
Cooling of global tensions or crude oil prices
So, when GIFT Nifty shows a positive movement before 9 am, traders call it a bullish pre-market setup.
🔍 Real-World Example – July 18, 2025
On July 18, 2025:
GIFT Nifty was up by 55 points, indicating a positive start.
This came after a volatile weekly expiry on Thursday.
Strong earnings expected from companies like Reliance, JSW Steel, L&T Finance added to positive sentiment.
US markets closed flat, but no major negative surprise.
FIIs were net sellers, but DIIs absorbed selling pressure.
→ All this combined gave a green signal from GIFT Nifty to the domestic market.
💼 How Traders Use GIFT Nifty in Strategy
✅ 1. Pre-Market Planning
GIFT Nifty gives early clues, so:
Intraday traders plan opening range setups
Option traders adjust straddles/strangles based on expected gap
F&O traders look at overnight position rollover
✅ 2. Risk Management
A weak GIFT Nifty warns of gap-downs due to global negativity.
This allows traders to:
Hedge long positions
Tighten stop-losses
Avoid aggressive morning trades
✅ 3. Sectoral Rotation
If GIFT Nifty is up, focus shifts to high-beta stocks like Bank Nifty, Reliance, Adani Group, etc.
If it's down, defensive plays like FMCG and Pharma may perform better.
🧮 How to Read GIFT Nifty Properly?
Here are 3 simple tips:
✔️ Tip 1: Compare with Previous Day’s Nifty Close
If GIFT Nifty > Last close → Gap-up expected
If GIFT Nifty < Last close → Gap-down likely
✔️ Tip 2: Watch Global Cues
Dow/Nasdaq closing + crude oil + USD/INR = impact GIFT Nifty
If all show strength, GIFT Nifty usually reacts positively
✔️ Tip 3: Use With FII/DII Data
Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Buying = Strong setup
Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Selling = Weak opening might reverse later
🌎 GIFT Nifty & Global Linkage
India is now deeply linked with:
US markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500)
Crude oil
Dollar Index
Global interest rate policies (Fed, ECB)
So if:
US markets crash overnight → GIFT Nifty reacts instantly
Crude oil falls sharply → Positive for India → GIFT Nifty turns green
📍 Important: GIFT Nifty Is Not Always Accurate
Sometimes GIFT Nifty shows bullish signs, but:
Domestic news (politics, budget) pulls market down
FII/DII data surprises post-opening
Index gaps up but then reverses during the day
That’s why traders use GIFT Nifty as a clue, not a guarantee
🚦 Final Thoughts – Why You Should Watch GIFT Nifty
GIFT Nifty is like the morning alarm for the market:
It tells you what’s likely to happen before the bell rings.
Gives you a head start to plan your trades.
Helps spot sectoral strength, F&O positioning, and market mood.
LONG OPPORTUNITY ON EURUSD 1.16048 LEVELOn 1hr time frame market is bullish and a pull back is remaining for a market to move upside as soon as we shift to 15 min time-frame we can see a level of resistance become support on 1.16048 zone level and also there is a Fibonacci retracement 61.8% golden ratio ONLY ENTER WHEN MARKET TAP AT THAT ZONE AND A HEALTHY BULLISH BAR CANDLE CLOSE.
XAUUSD BUY possible from 3333.52 price level On 1hr time frame Market has took a liquidity of previous buying area or previous buyers so currently the market Is at bullish trend on 15min we can see that if price comes to 3333.52 level then there would be a probability for scalping on upside because below that level there is good amount of space available for market to fall and this is visible to everyone so market would first take the liquidity by breaking that zone and then it moves upside possiblity of buying.
JINDALSTEL Price ActionJindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) is currently trading around ₹950 after a modest rebound in the last trading session. Over the past year, the stock has ranged from a high of ₹1,074 to a low of approximately ₹723, reflecting significant volatility. Much of July 2025 has seen the stock consolidating within the ₹932–₹950 zone after registering strong gains earlier in the year.
Jindal Steel & Power is among India’s leading steel producers and is active in both mining and the power sector, with operations that span internationally. The company holds a market capitalization close to ₹97,000 crore.
From a financial perspective, revenue growth has moderated, averaging about 6% compounded annually over five years, with a slight decline observed in the recent trailing twelve months. Profit growth has slowed as well, and return on equity is near 8% for the past year. The operating profit margin remains stable just under 20%, but is below the company’s multi-year peak levels. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio in the higher twenties, reflecting a valuation premium that is partly attributed to its business diversification and international reach.
Recently, the resignation of CFO Mayank Gupta, effective mid-July 2025, may create some near-term uncertainty in investor sentiment. On the positive side, the promoters have increased their stake by about 1% in the recent quarter—a sign of internal confidence.
On the technical chart, ₹950 serves as both a support and resistance level. Sustained movement above this could pave the way toward retesting the 52-week highs, while a drop below this area could invite further downward consolidation to the ₹930 or lower levels.
In summary, Jindal Steel & Power continues to be fundamentally sound within the steel sector, despite softer growth figures and current price consolidation. Investors should watch for potential breakouts near current levels, keep an eye on management transitions, and monitor broader sector trends for further cues.
IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS
Technical Outlook
CMP : 520.9
Chart Pattern
Stock has formed a cup and handle formation and looks poised to scale greater heights.
The stock has almost neatly recovered the March'24 Gapdown zone
Once it is completely recovered, I expect that stock to move towards its ATH
On weekly charts ,
EMA21 is approching EMA 63 and with the momentum, EMA21 should cross above EMA63 making LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(weekly)=72 , MACD line > MACD Signal and positive
On daily charts
LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish
RSI(daily) =75, overbought and MACD line has just crossed above MACD Signal
Industry Outlook
Sector/Industry - FINANCIAL SERVICE/NBFC
IIFL's Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving.
RS = 107.xx, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500
Momentum = 102, relatively Strong momentum compared to Nifty 500
IIFL is amongst the top performing NBFC's in the last 20 days based on normalised returns.
Its beaten the returns from the likes of BAJFINANCE, SHRIRAM FInance and Chola Finance among others
Future outlook
520>535>560>625>680>Blue Sky (NEW ATH)
Disclosure 1 - Invested
Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered
Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
#AEROFLEXAsset: Aeroflex Industries Ltd (AEROFLEX)
Breakout Level: 215
Potential Target: 272
Stop Loss: 205 (~4%)
Timeframe: Short to Medium term
Risk to Reward ratio : 1:6
Rationale:
Fundamentals -
Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes:
* ROCE - 22.3%
* ROE - 16.6%
* Debt to Equity - 0
* Stock PE 52.2 / Industry PE - 25.5 || Stock PBV 8 / Industry PBV 2.43 - Company is overpriced
* EPS / Revenue - Increasing
Technicals -
* HVE edge carry over, the stock is now showing tight price and volume action
* Price is surfing the 10/20 DMA
* 200 DMA is forming a slightly increasing structure
* Multiple timeframe analysis - Not much to be gathered from monthly charts however weekly charts are showing consolidation as well
* RS is increasing
* ADR 4.2%
Market analysis
* Forecasted for ~33% further increase
* Promoter holding at 67% and remains steady
* MFs are increasing their holding
Cons
* Momentum is slow holding patterns are not that ideal
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
Dhani Price Action## Current Price & Trend
- The latest trading price is approximately ₹65, significantly below its 52-week high near ₹110 and well above its 52-week low of about ₹47.
- The stock has seen a meaningful recovery off its lows, gaining over 40% from the bottom, but remains down nearly 40% from its recent peak.
- In the last month, momentum has turned negative with a price decline of more than 7%, and the past week also shows a small drop.
- Over a three-month window, there was a modest gain, but performance over the past six months remains negative with a double-digit decline.
## Financial Performance & Valuation
- The company recently returned to modest profitability after a streak of quarters with losses, posting small but consecutive net profits in recent reports.
- Revenue rebounded in the latest quarter after earlier declines, showing signs of business recovery.
- Key valuation indicators remain weak: the price-to-earnings ratio is currently negative, reflecting cumulative prior losses, and price-to-book is around 1.4, a typical range for this peer group.
- Market capitalization is about ₹4,000 crore, which gives the stock a mid-tier standing within the financial sector.
- Return on equity remains negative, highlighting continued pressure on core profitability.
## Ownership & Sentiment
- Promoter shareholding has been steady, and there was a recent increase in foreign institutional investor interest, while retail participation declined slightly.
- Market sentiment appears tentative, with recent trading volume and price moves reflecting cautious investor attitudes.
## Strengths & Risks
- The return to profitability in recent quarters is a promising sign, especially as revenues are stabilizing.
- However, the company’s long-term performance record has been mixed, with prior years marked by substantial losses and depressed cash flows.
- The current valuation in relation to earnings and book value suggests the market is waiting for clearer signs of sustainable growth.
- The share price remains highly sensitive to quarterly results and shifts in sector confidence.
## Outlook
- The medium-term trend is neutral to mildly negative, with no immediate catalysts for a breakout.
- Upside potential exists if the company can deliver consistent profits and further revenue growth.
- Investors should monitor for continued turnaround in earnings, while being alert to the possibility of renewed volatility given the stock’s historical swings.
EFCI Stock Analysis: Hidden Gem with Multibagger Potential🚀 EFC (I) Ltd: On Track to Hit ₹560 — Multibagger in the Making
1. Sector Leadership & Contract Wins
EFC recently clinched a ₹183 cr interior turnkey fit‑out project with a major Indian MNC
Bloomberg.com
+11
Screener
+11
The Economic Times
+11
, showcasing its strength in a niche where it consistently outperforms competitors.
2. Financial Momentum & Operational Excellence
Market cap stands at ~₹3,395 cr, with a current stock price around ₹341
ICICI Direct
+6
Screener
+6
INDmoney
+6
.
Q4 FY25 results revealed revenue of ₹211 cr (+19% YoY) and net profit of ₹48 cr (+19%) .
Efficiency gains evident—debtor days fell from ~71 to ~55, and working capital cycle improved from 142 to 105 days
Screener
.
Return ratios are healthy: ROCE ~21%, ROE ~23%
The Economic Times
+2
Screener
+2
INDmoney
+2
.
3. Analyst Outlook and Valuation Potential
Although consensus 12‑month target is ₹465 (~36% upside)
Screener
+12
Investing.com
+12
INDmoney
+12
, the company’s robust growth trajectory and order pipeline support a far more ambitious outcome.
4. Technical Confirmation (Your Chart Setup)
Your proprietary chart signals align perfectly: strong momentum and breakout structure suggest a swift move to ₹560. This isn’t theoretical—it’s anchored in recent price action and validated patterns.
📈 To Summarize:
High-Quality Business: Clear leadership in the real estate services niche and strong recent order flow.
Growth & Efficiency: Double-digit YoY revenue/profit growth, with improving working capital conversion.
Valuation Re-rating in Sight: Justified by fundamentals and technical momentum.
Bullish Target: From the current ₹340–345 region, we see a realistic path to ₹560 based on converging drivers.
Thangamayil Jewellery LtdThangamayil Jewellery cmp 1909 by Daily Chart view
- Support Zone 1850 to 1900 Price Band
- Resistance Zone 2050 to 2100 Price Band
- Symmetrical Triangle Breakout in the making process
- Price is currently testing retesting the Support Zone band
- Price action momentum respecting Rising Support Trendline
- Volumes are flat and need to increase for the upside momentum
Nifty 50 Rejected from FVG | ICT Bearish Setup in Play 18/07/25Nifty 50 has shifted into a bearish structure based on ICT Concepts . Here's a detailed breakdown:
🔹 1D (Daily Timeframe)
✅ Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirmed.
🟥 Price rejected strongly from the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 25,350–25,450.
📉 Bias: Bearish until this zone is reclaimed with strong bullish structure.
🔹 4H (Execution Timeframe)
🔻 Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by rejection from a newly formed FVG.
📉 Price failed to hold above 25,200–25,250, confirming short-term bearish control.
🔹 1H + 15M
❗️Multiple bearish FVGs + Order Block confirmed.
🔻 BOS has shifted intraday trend lower.
Trade Plan
Direction Entry Zone Target(s) Invalidation Level
Short 25,200–25,250 25,000 → 24,800 Close above 25,450
Bank Nifty Facing Rejection from Supply Zone |18/07/202Bank Nifty is showing neutral-to-bearish structure on higher timeframes and potential short setups intraday. Let’s break it down using ICT Concepts :
🔹 1D (Daily Timeframe)
✅ Earlier bullish BOS still intact.
🟥 But price is failing to sustain above 57,300–57,500, where multiple FVGs + OBs exist.
📉 Bias: Bearish below 57,300–57,500.
🔹 4H
❌ Price has been repeatedly rejecting from a stacked supply zone.
🟩 A bullish FVG zone at 56,000–56,200 remains untested and might act as draw-on-liquidity.
🔹 1H + 15M
🔻 Recent BOS + fresh OB confirms intraday weakness.
📉 Price broke structure at 56,950 and is now heading toward lower liquidity levels.
🎯 Trade Plan
Direction Entry Zone Target(s) Invalidation Level
Short 57,100–57,300 56,600 → 56,200 Close above 57,500
Concepts Used: MSS | BOS | FVG | OB | Liquidity
Swing Trading - Pullback and Volume contraction setup - PROA pullback entry with volume contraction is a powerful setup used by swing traders and position traders to enter strong trends at low-risk points. Here's how you can identify and trade this setup:
✅ Concept:
• A pullback is a temporary decline in price within an established uptrend.
• Volume contraction during this pullback shows reduced selling pressure, indicating that the correction is healthy and likely to resume upward.
📊 Technical Setup:
1. Trend Filter
• Uptrend confirmation using:
• Monthly RSI > 60
• Weekly RSI > 60
• 50 EMA above 200 EMA on Daily chart (optional confirmation)
2. Price Action
• Stock is making higher highs and higher lows
• After a sharp rally, price pulls back 3–5 candles on the Daily chart
• Pullback should be orderly (no panic selling or wide candles)
3. Volume Contraction
• Volume decreases gradually during the pullback
• Look for lowest volume near the end of the pullback
• Indicates sellers are drying up and big players are not exiting
4. Entry Trigger
• Entry when price breaks above previous day's high with:
• Spike in volume on breakout
• Optional: bullish candlestick (Marubozu, Bullish Engulfing, or Hammer)
5. Stop Loss
• Just below the pullback low or
• Below the 10 EMA on daily chart
6. Target
• First target = previous swing high
• Trail SL using ATR or 20 EMA if trend extends
📘 Example:
Let’s say you’re watching Tata Motors:
• Monthly RSI = 68
• Weekly RSI = 65
• Daily chart: Stock rallied from ₹800 to ₹860, then pulls back to ₹840 with 3 red candles
• Volume during pullback: 12M → 10M → 7M → 5M
• On Day 4, price forms a bullish hammer and breaks ₹845 on higher volume
📈 Entry = ₹845
🛑 Stop Loss = ₹835
🎯 Target = ₹865+ (prior high), trail after that
🔍 Bonus Filters (Optional):
• Inside bar formation
• Fibonacci retracement (38.2%–50% zone)
• Near support from moving averages (20 EMA / 50 EMA)
Check my previous post in understanding full concept in detail. Support and follow for PRO level understanding. Share with as many retail traders as possible.
God Bless you All!
Faraaz T
Sr. Equity Research Analyst
Stockholm Securities - UK
Swing Trading - Stock Options - Setup CE/PE🔥 Stock Options Trading Strategy – Built on Core Swing/Positional Principles (85% Win Rate Setup)
As a continuation of my last post on Swing and Positional Trading Setup with 85% Win Rate, I’m now sharing a Stock Options Trading Concept that follows the same core principles but is tailored specifically for liquid stock options.
You’ve already been provided with a list of 100+ high-beta, liquid stocks. For this strategy, you will strictly focus only on those stocks.
✅ Strategy Setup
🔹 Timeframe Filters:
• Monthly RSI > 60 (RSI has crossed and is holding above 60)
• Weekly RSI > 60 (same condition as above)
• Daily RSI: RSI must be crossing 60 or on the verge of crossing
Now, on the Daily Chart, mark the current swing high and swing low.
📌 Two Entry Approaches:
Approach 1: Breakout Entry
• Entry: When swing high is broken.
• Stop Loss (SL): Swing low or previous week’s low.
Approach 2: Pullback Entry
• Wait for a retracement from swing high (should not exceed 50% retracement).
• Confirmation of pullback weakness: Volume bars should be shrinking/decreasing.
• Entry: On breakout of the last candle high of the pullback.
• Stop Loss: Swing low or previous week’s low.
Once in the trade, trail your stop loss to cost after 3 consecutive bullish candles.
📤 Exit Rules
• Exit the Stock Options position only if the Daily RSI drops below 60.
⚠️ Important Guidelines for Stock Options
• 💡 Trade with only 1 lot. Never exceed your lot size.
• 📅 Enter after 2 days of the monthly expiry and exit before 2 days of next monthly expiry to avoid smart money manipulation.
• 🎯 Choose strike prices in multiples of 25, 50, 75, or 100 for better liquidity.
• Example: If stock is at 1564, choose 1550 ITM or 1575 ATM.
• ⏱️ For quick exits, always place exit orders at round numbers like 5 or 10 levels.
• Example: If you entered at ₹70 and the option is at ₹144, place an exit at ₹140 or ₹145—not any random price.
For PE buying-
Monthly RSI < 40
Weekly RSI < 40
Daily RSi crossing 40 or below
Same process for PE with 2 approach as you like but in reverse form.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Stick to this simple, structured setup. Don’t complicate it.
✅ Backtest thoroughly
✅ Understand each setup
✅ Plan your trades BEFORE entering, never after.
Let the market come to you—don’t chase it.
Disclaimer -
These posts are only to educate you all. You are responsible for the actions you take. Consult your advisor if you need. I am a Sr. Research Analyst in Equity Firm BUT not yet SEBI reg.
High Beta Stock List for Options-
🚗 Auto
• Bajaj Auto
• Bosch Ltd
• Eicher Motors
• Hero Motocorp
• Maruti Suzuki
• TVS Motors
• Tata Motors
🏦 Banking & Financial Services
• Bank of Baroda
• Kotak Mahindra Bank
• Axis Bank
• ICICI Bank
• HDFC Bank
• IndusInd Bank
• Bajaj Finserv
• Bajaj Finance
• SBI
🧪 Chemicals
• Aarti Industries
• Atul Ltd
• Navin Fluorine
• UPL
• Tata Chemicals
🍫 FMCG
• Britannia Industries
• Godrej Consumer
• Tata Consumer
• DMart
• Hindustan Unilever
• Dabur
💊 Pharma & Healthcare
• Apollo Hospitals
• Alkem Labs
• Biocon
• Divis Labs
• Dr. Reddy’s
• IPCA Labs
• Laurus Labs
• Lupin
• Aurobindo Pharma
• Sun Pharma
• Cipla
💻 IT Sector
• HCL Technologies
• Infosys
• LTIMindtree
• TCS
• Tech Mahindra
• Wipro
⛓️ Steel & Metals
• APL Apollo Tubes
• JSW Steel
• Jindal Steel
• Tata Steel
• Hindalco
• L&T
🛢️ Oil & Gas
• Reliance Industries
• Gujarat Gas
• Indraprastha Gas (IGL)
• Mahanagar Gas (MGL)
• Tata Power
🏢 Realty
• DLF Ltd
• Godrej Properties
• Lodha (Macrotech Developers)
• Oberoi Realty
• Phoenix Mills
🛋️ Durables & Others
• Sona BLW (Sona Comstar)
• Amber Enterprises
• Bata India
• Crompton Greaves
• Dixon Technologies
• Titan Company
• ACC Cement
• Ambuja Cement
• Ultratech Cement
• Voltas Ltd
• Polycab India
• Mazagon Dock (Mazdock)
• Asian Paints
• Berger Paints
Cummins
recovery 3352, signal SELL gold trendline todayPlan XAU day: 16 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintain a firm tone during the early European session on Wednesday, currently trading just below the $3,340 level. Investor sentiment remains cautious amid concerns over the potential economic repercussions of US President Donald Trump’s tariff policies, coupled with expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain elevated interest rates for an extended period. This risk-averse mood—reflected in the generally weaker performance of equity markets—is helping to revive demand for the safe-haven precious metal following two consecutive days of losses.
Additionally, a modest pullback in the US Dollar (USD) from its highest level since June 23—reached in response to slightly stronger-than-expected inflation data for June—provides further support to gold prices. Nevertheless, the growing consensus that the Fed is likely to postpone rate cuts amid persistent inflationary pressures should limit significant USD depreciation and cap upside potential for the non-yielding yellow metal. Consequently, a cautious approach remains advisable for XAU/USD bulls as market participants await the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI) later in the North American session
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovers to gain liquidity in Asian and European trading sessions, inflation indicators increase, DXY recovers, gold price continues to be under selling pressure
Important price zone to consider : !!!
resistance zone point: 3352 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Swing Trading Stock Options - High Momentum Strategy🔥 Stock Options Trading Strategy – Built on Core Swing/Positional Principles (85% Win Rate Setup) -
As a continuation of my last post on Swing and Positional Trading Setup with 85% Win Rate, I’m now sharing a Stock Options Trading Concept that follows the same core principles but is tailored specifically for liquid stock options.
You’ve already been provided with a list of 100+ high-beta, liquid stocks. For this strategy, you will strictly focus only on those stocks.
✅ Strategy Setup
🔹 Timeframe Filters:
• Monthly RSI > 60 (RSI has crossed and is holding above 60)
• Weekly RSI > 60 (same condition as above)
• Daily RSI: RSI must be crossing 60 or on the verge of crossing
Now, on the Daily Chart, mark the current swing high and swing low.
📌 Two Entry Approaches:
Approach 1: Breakout Entry
• Entry: When swing high is broken.
• Stop Loss (SL): Swing low or previous week’s low.
Approach 2: Pullback Entry
• Wait for a retracement from swing high (should not exceed 50% retracement).
• Confirmation of pullback weakness: Volume bars should be shrinking/decreasing.
• Entry: On breakout of the last candle high of the pullback.
• Stop Loss: Swing low or previous week’s low.
Once in the trade, trail your stop loss to cost after 3 consecutive bullish candles.
📤 Exit Rules
• Exit the Stock Options position only if the Daily RSI drops below 60.
⚠️ Important Guidelines for Stock Options
• 💡 Trade with only 1 lot. Never exceed your lot size.
• 📅 Enter after 2 days of the monthly expiry and exit before 2 days of next monthly expiry to avoid smart money manipulation.
• 🎯 Choose strike prices in multiples of 25, 50, 75, or 100 for better liquidity.
• Example: If stock is at 1564, choose 1550 ITM or 1575 ATM.
• ⏱️ For quick exits, always place exit orders at round numbers like 5 or 10 levels.
• Example: If you entered at ₹70 and the option is at ₹144, place an exit at ₹140 or ₹145—not any random price.
For PE buying-
Monthly RSI < 40
Weekly RSI < 40
Daily RSi crossing 40 or below
Same process for PE with 2 approach as you like but in reverse form.
🧠 Final Thoughts
Stick to this simple, structured setup. Don’t complicate it.
✅ Backtest thoroughly
✅ Understand each setup
✅ Plan your trades BEFORE entering, never after.
Let the market come to you—don’t chase it.
Disclaimer -
These posts are only to educate you all. You are responsible for the actions you take. Consult your advisor if you need. I am a Sr. Research Analyst in Equity Firm BUT not yet SEBI reg.
100+ Stocks List - High Beta -
🚗 Auto
• Bajaj Auto
• Bosch Ltd
• Eicher Motors
• Hero Motocorp
• Maruti Suzuki
• TVS Motors
• Tata Motors
🏦 Banking & Financial Services
• Bank of Baroda
• Kotak Mahindra Bank
• Axis Bank
• ICICI Bank
• HDFC Bank
• IndusInd Bank
• Bajaj Finserv
• Bajaj Finance
• SBI
🧪 Chemicals
• Aarti Industries
• Atul Ltd
• Navin Fluorine
• UPL
• Tata Chemicals
🍫 FMCG
• Britannia Industries
• Godrej Consumer
• Tata Consumer
• DMart
• Hindustan Unilever
• Dabur
💊 Pharma & Healthcare
• Apollo Hospitals
• Alkem Labs
• Biocon
• Divis Labs
• Dr. Reddy’s
• IPCA Labs
• Laurus Labs
• Lupin
• Aurobindo Pharma
• Sun Pharma
• Cipla
💻 IT Sector
• HCL Technologies
• Infosys
• LTIMindtree
• TCS
• Tech Mahindra
• Wipro
⛓️ Steel & Metals
• APL Apollo Tubes
• JSW Steel
• Jindal Steel
• Tata Steel
• Hindalco
• L&T
🛢️ Oil & Gas
• Reliance Industries
• Gujarat Gas
• Indraprastha Gas (IGL)
• Mahanagar Gas (MGL)
• Tata Power
🏢 Realty
• DLF Ltd
• Godrej Properties
• Lodha (Macrotech Developers)
• Oberoi Realty
• Phoenix Mills
🛋️ Durables & Others
• Sona BLW (Sona Comstar)
• Amber Enterprises
• Bata India
• Crompton Greaves
• Dixon Technologies
• Titan Company
• ACC Cement
• Ambuja Cement
• Ultratech Cement
• Voltas Ltd
• Polycab India
• Mazagon Dock (Mazdock)
• Asian Paints
• Berger Paints
Cummins
Best of luck. Comments if you have any doubts. God bless you all, be happy!
Faraaz T
Sr. Equity Research Analyst
Stockholm Securities - UK
This Isn’t a Range It’s a Distribution Before Collapse.~ H4Gold is on the verge of a breakdown this isn’t speculation, it’s unfolding in real time. Price has failed repeatedly to reclaim the HVZ zone between $3370 and $3400 making it abundantly clear that this is not accumulation this is distribution. Every push into that zone has been systematically sold into, with no follow-through. The order flow confirms it: smart money is offloading, not positioning for upside. Unless we see a complete reclaim and hold above $3430 which looks increasingly improbable this remains a high-conviction sell zone.
The key structural pivot now sits at $3290. Once that level cracks, we gonna see an aggressive move lower, especially with the weak bounce zones exhausted. The medium-strength support between $3310 –$3315 is the final shelf before a sharp drop. Don’t expect it to hold this level is soft and already tested. A breakdown from here activates the next major liquidity zone around $3188, which is where the real target lies. That level aligns with prior unmitigated demand, and price is magnetized toward it.
This isn’t a market in balance it’s a trap. Gold is coiling for a clean flush. The structure, momentum, and broader flow all signal the same outcome: downside continuation. Until $3430 is reclaimed and held on a closing basis, all rallies into HVZ are shorting opportunities.
LUXIND Price Analysis## Current Price & Recent Performance
- The latest share price is around ₹1,468.
- Over the past year, the stock is down nearly 25%, showing underperformance.
- In the last five years, returns are positive but modest, with periods of pronounced volatility.
- The 52-week range spans from a low near ₹1,211 to a high close to ₹2,493, highlighting large swings in price.
- Short-term momentum remains soft, with one-month and three-month returns relatively flat.
## Valuation & Financial Metrics
- LUXIND is currently valued at a price-to-earnings ratio close to 27, which is above broader market averages but not extreme for its sector.
- The price-to-book ratio sits at about 2.5, marking a premium to historical levels for textile manufacturers.
- Debt is low, and the latest dividend yield is minimal, suggesting the company retains most profits for growth.
- Price-to-sales and enterprise value-to-EBITDA ratios point to average to modestly expensive relative valuation.
- Discounted cash flow analysis and fair value models indicate the stock is somewhat overvalued at current prices.
## Growth, Profitability & Fundamentals
- Revenue growth has averaged approximately 10% annually in recent years with some acceleration recently observed.
- Earnings trends have been inconsistent, with a decline over the past five years but a robust rebound in the latest reporting periods.
- Net profit margins remain steady, roughly 6%, and operating expense control is demonstrated by low interest and employee cost ratios.
- Return on equity is below 10%, which is modest and signals room for efficiency improvement.
## Market Sentiment & Analyst View
- Most short- and medium-term forecasts suggest neutral to mildly positive technical momentum, with occasional buy signals from technical models.
- Longer-term analyst price targets vary, but consensus expects limited upside in the near future given current valuation levels.
- Projected earnings per share and revenue growth remain solid, with the company expected to improve performance metrics over the next few years.
- Intrinsic value estimates based on fundamental analysis suggest the stock trades above its calculated fair value, raising some caution for new investors.
## Key Takeaways
- LUXIND stands out for disciplined cost management and stable margins, but faces pressure from subdued industry growth and relatively high valuation metrics.
- While the business remains fundamentally sound and growth is projected to continue, the stock may be fully priced at current levels.
- Short-term price action could stay range-bound unless there is a significant change in sector sentiment or a positive surprise in earnings.
- Investors may consider waiting for a more attractive entry point if focusing on value, while growth-oriented investors might monitor for signals of a sustained earnings recovery.