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Beyond Technical Analysis

Nifty price actionNifty 50 closed at 25,461 with a modest gain, reflecting cautious optimism after recent profit booking and volatility. The index formed a bullish hammer candlestick, which is often interpreted as a sign of potential short-term reversal or support. Buying interest in heavyweight stocks like Bajaj Finance, Infosys, Dr. Reddy’s, ICICI Bank, and Wipro helped offset declines in sectors such as metals and auto. Technically, Nifty found support near its near-term EMA trendline, and the RSI remains healthy in the low 60s, suggesting the trend is still neutral to positive. Immediate support levels are at 25,240 and 25,103, while resistance is seen at 25,682 and 25,819. Sustained trading above 25,682 could trigger further upside, possibly toward 26,000, but a break below 25,240 would increase the risk of a deeper correction, with 25,000 and 24,500 as the next key supports. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with advances outnumbering declines. However, overbought oscillators and low ADX readings indicate limited momentum, so the index may remain rangebound unless a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Traders are advised to watch for a decisive move above 25,600 for bullish confirmation, or below 25,240 for signs of renewed weakness.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by KamalKJoshi
Banknifty price actionBank Nifty closed at 57,031.9 on July 4, 2025, up 0.42%, showing resilience after a brief dip earlier in the week. The index has been consolidating near all-time highs, maintaining a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Despite some profit booking, Bank Nifty remains above its key moving averages, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD continue to support the broader uptrend. Short-term support is seen around 56,500–56,600, which aligns with the 20-day EMA. As long as Bank Nifty holds above this zone, the bias remains positive and the index could attempt to move towards resistance levels at 57,540 and 57,854. A decisive close above 57,800 would likely open the path to 58,500. However, overbought oscillators and a weak ADX suggest the trend strength is moderate and the market could remain rangebound unless a breakout occurs. Constituent performance has been mixed, with ICICI Bank, AU Bank, HDFC Bank, and Axis Bank contributing to gains, while Bank of Baroda, IndusInd Bank, and Federal Bank saw mild declines. Overall, the structure favors a buy-on-dips approach as long as the index stays above its immediate support. A close below 56,500 would be the first sign of a deeper correction.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by KamalKJoshi
Educational | Completed a complex triple correctionEthereum seems to have completed a triple combination pattern Wave Z ended with a neutral triangle Wave Y was a zigzag Wave W was a flat. Wave Y took equal time as Wave W to form Wave Z took twice the time of Wave W/Y. This triple combination completed Wave E of a larger neutral triangle. The internal Wave E of a triangle is generally similar to the larger triangle of which it is a part of. In this case too, the Wave E of the neutral triangle itself concluded with a neutral triangle. Let me know if you'd more such educational content or larger timeframe analysis of Ethereum or any other asset. Happy Trading!!
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by sith_trades
3
HINDALCO – Breakdown From Supply Zone | Short Below ₹632📉 Technical Analysis – Daily & Weekly Time Frame Hindalco has faced a strong rejection from the ₹670 level, which aligns with a well-marked supply zone (highlighted on the chart). This zone has historically acted as strong resistance. 🔻 Breakdown Confirmation: Price has broken below both the 50-day and 200-day Moving Averages on the daily chart, signaling increasing bearish momentum. On the weekly chart, there's a clear breakdown below the 50-week MA, adding higher timeframe confirmation to the bearish view. 🔍 Multiple Confluences for Bears: Supply zone rejection near ₹670 Breakdown of key Moving Averages (Daily 50 & 200 MA, Weekly 50 MA) Weak price action and failure to reclaim MA levels 📉 Trade Plan: Short below ₹632 Targets: ₹605 and lower Stop-loss: Above ₹650 (or above recent high, based on risk preference) 💬 Keep an eye on volume and broader market sentiment for stronger confirmation. ⚠️ Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:HINDALCOShort
by karanacharya
Ashok Leyland Stock Update - Daily and Weekly Chart Breakdown🔍 Ashok Leyland Analysis 📉 The stock faced a strong rejection at the key supply zone near ₹248 and reversed sharply from that level. 📊 Ashok Leyland has broken down below the 10-day moving average on the daily timeframe — a clear bearish signal indicating weakening momentum. 🔻 A strong bearish candle confirms sellers are taking control after failing to sustain above the supply zone. 📉 The weekly chart also shows signs of weakness, which aligns with the bearish setup on the daily timeframe. 📊 Trade idea: ▶️ Watch for potential downside below ₹235. 📊 Refer to the marked zones on the chart for key supply and demand levels. ⚠️ Not SEBI registered. This is not financial advice. Please do your own research before trading.
NSE:ASHOKLEYShort
by karanacharya
Institutional Trading ProcessInstitutional Trading Process 1. Research and Strategy Development Extensive quantitative research. Backtesting models. Scenario analysis using risk management software. 2. Trade Execution Executing trades via dark pools to prevent market impact. Using smart order routers for best price execution. 3. Risk Management Continuous monitoring of positions. Real-time adjustments using delta-hedging. Portfolio diversification to spread risk. 4. Reporting and Compliance Institutional trades are heavily regulated. Detailed reporting to regulatory bodies like SEBI, SEC, etc.
NSE:BANKNIFTYEducation
by SkyTradingZone
1
GOOD EVENING INSTITUTIONAL TRADERDATE 04-07-2025 USD= HOLIDAY Direct entery trade but msrket goes to consolidation because of no liquid in market USD HOLIDAY NOT A GOOD TRADE BUT I CONSIDERED EVERY TRADE IS UNICQ AND BEST TRADE IN MY LIFE 😂🤣 Let's see what happen in future SL= BREAK EVEN TP = YOU CAN SEE MY TP ON CHART HAPPY TRADING ALL OF YOU MY MEMBER 1. One Strategy 2. Never change setup just you need to improve add some cnf to imrove you strategy 3. Only Focus on loosing trade on your stratey 4. i Grantee you if you find 20 losing trade mistake you will be profitable if you ask any thing in comment below ( sorry my english is not good😁)
Short
by TheBankerstudent
jane street manipulationjane street manipulation on 17 Jan 2024. I shows how small retail player are dominated by those who have large capital and manage index and create heafty profit so please avoid doing bank nifty or nifty call or put strategy is you do not no how to tread on in because you will blow your account and your self-confidence to in this market which is ruthless and is after jane street lots of firm is their which will continue to do this so be careful and avoid doing intraday strategy
NSE:HDFCBANK
by Akash07kashyap
Nifty 50 Index Nifty 50 Index (NSE) current value of 25,470.25, up 0.22% (+55.70 points). Key observations: Trend: The index is in an upward trend, supported by a rising trendline since early 2025. The price recently approached the upper resistance level near 26,200.00 INR. Moving Averages: The 50-day EMA (red line) and 200-day EMA (blue line) indicate a bullish trend, with the price staying above both averages. Volume: Trading volume has fluctuated, with notable spikes during price increases, suggesting strong buying interest. Resistance/Support: The 25,461.00 INR level acts as a resistance, while the trendline provides dynamic support around 24,500-24,700 INR. The index shows continued bullish momentum, with potential to test higher resistance levels if it breaks above 25,461.00 INR. So, here always ready with your EXIT plan. I am using trailing stop loss 10 EMA plan.
NSE:NIFTY
by askbiswanath2025
1
Swing Trading - Stock Options Strategy (Part 2)🔍Important Add-On: RSI Divergence Strategy in Swing Trading (Stock Options) In the previous educational video on swing trading using stock options, one key element was missing — RSI Divergence. 📉 What is RSI Divergence? RSI Divergence occurs when the price of a stock makes a higher high, but the RSI forms a lower high on the daily chart. This is a strong signal of weakening momentum and a potential reversal. 📌 Key Guidelines to Follow: Avoid Taking Long Positions: If you observe a higher high in price but a lower high in RSI (bearish divergence), avoid entering into a long (buy) trade — even if all other criteria align. Use the Divergence as a Filter: Among the pre-selected 25 liquid F&O stocks I provided, if you identify such bearish divergence on the daily chart, that stock should be kept aside and not considered for a long trade setup. Look for PE (Put Option) Opportunities: If a stock is showing RSI divergence to the upside while the monthly and weekly charts are above the 9 SMA, this could indicate an upcoming downside move. In such cases, consider PE (Put Option) selling or downside trades (with proper risk management). 🧠 Always Combine with Multi-Timeframe Confirmation: While divergence is a powerful signal, always validate it alongside your existing strategy rules like 9 SMA and market structure. Note - You can see in the chart that prices are forming higher highs, while RSI levels are making lower lows. In this case, even if the momentum or the monthly and weekly trends push the price above the 9 SMA, we will not consider this option for entry. Any doubts, please ask in the comment section.
NSE:ADANIPOWEREducation
by ITCconceptsMarketStructure
EURUSD SHORT - 15M/1HFOREXCOM:EURUSD Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied... Keep trading Hustle hard Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading. Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!! !
Short
by Phinics
NIFTY Analysis – 04 july 2025 ,morning update at 9 amNifty closed yesterday between 23.6% and 38.2% level, suggesting a likely flat opening near 25444 🔍 Key Price Action Levels: If Nifty sustains above 25,480, it may attempt a bullish move towards 25,582. If Nifty fails to hold above 25,480 (especially on volume rejection), expect a downside slide towards 25,311(38.2% ) 👉 Action Plan: Wait for a clear pattern and then apply BOD (Buy on dip) or SOR (Sell on rise) strategies. Scalping is ideal in early volatility. 📉 Support Levels (Spot): 25,312 25,201 25,092 📈 Resistance Levels (Spot): 25,480 25,590 25,649
NSE:NIFTYLong
by susheelddk
Technical Analysis: MERICO LTDTrend and Structure: The chart shows a strong uptrend leading up to a recent pullback. After the pullback, price is consolidating between a support zone (~708 INR) and a resistance zone (~720 INR). There is a clear weekly support level marked around 690-695 INR below the support zone. Volume is moderate but showing no large spikes, indicating potential consolidation. Support and Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is around 718-721 INR, acting as short-term overhead supply. The support zone is roughly between 707-710 INR, serving as a base for potential bounce. The weekly level below (roughly 690-695 INR) may act as a strong support if price breaks current support. Price Projections: The drawn projection suggests a short-term dip toward the support zone, followed by a strong bounce above the resistance. This implies a possible bullish continuation after a minor correction or consolidation. Volume: Volume during consolidation is relatively steady. Watch for volume pickup on a breakout above resistance for confirmation. Trading plan: Entry: Consider entering a long position near or just above the support zone (~708-710 INR) when there is confirmation of buying interest (e.g., bullish reversal candlestick or volume spike). Alternatively, a breakout entry can be taken above the resistance zone (~720-722 INR) with volume confirmation. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support zone or slightly below the weekly level, around 700-705 INR to protect against downside risk. Targets: Initial target near the resistance breakout level (~720-725 INR). Secondary target around 745-750 INR based on the upward arrow projection, representing the next resistance area. Risk-Reward: Risk: Approximately 8-10 INR per share. Reward: Potential gain of 35-40 INR per share. Favorable risk-reward ratio around 3:1 or better. Additional Notes: If the price falls below the support zone and weekly level with strong volume, consider exiting or avoiding long positions. Look for confirmation signals before entry to reduce false breakouts or breakdowns. Summary: Table Parameter Details Entry Price ~708-710 INR (on support) Stop Loss ~700-705 INR Target 1 ~720-725 INR Target 2 ~745-750 INR Trend Pullback in uptrend Risk-Reward Ratio ~3:1 or better
NSE:MARICO
by TradeAXN
Nifty50 Analysis for 04/07/2025: 25,400 Key Intraday LevelCurrent Context: Nifty50 trading near 25,400, a tested support zone. Market structure suggests two potential scenarios based on price reaction at this level. 🔍 Key Levels to Monitor Immediate Support: 25,400 (recent price anchor) Next Supports: 25,300 (minor swing low) → 25,220 (major historical base) Near-Term Resistance: 25,480 (recent swing high) Trendline Resistance: 25,575 (drawn from June 30 highs) 📈 Bullish Scenario Framework Observation Criteria: A robust green candle closing above 25,400. Potential Structure: Break above 25,480, Recent Resistance (Orange line) may signal momentum toward 25,575 trendline resistance. Note: Volume confirmation could strengthen validity. 📉 Bearish Scenario Framework Observation Criteria: Strong red candle closing below 25,400. Potential Structure: Sustained move below 25,400 opens 25,300 zone (Blue Line) as next interest area. 25,220 becomes focal point if 25,300 fails to hold. 🔎 Why This Matters 25,400 Significance: Acts as a hinge between recent consolidation (bullish) and distribution (bearish). Volume & Candles: Strength/weakness in breakouts may be validated by volume spikes. Trendline Context: 25,575 aligns with a 4-session descending trendline (tested twice). ⚠️ Disclaimer This idea highlights observed market structure levels and is not trading advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy/sell securities or any financial instrument. Market conditions change rapidly; always conduct independent analysis and consider your risk tolerance before trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:NIFTY
by Alert_Trader
Technical Analysis: Aster DM HealthcareTrend and Structure: The chart shows a clear ascending trendline (marked in green), supporting higher lows from May through early July. Price recently broke out strongly above a horizontal resistance zone around 600-620 INR, which acted as a weekly resistance. Volume spiked during the breakout, confirming buying interest. Support and Resistance: The previous resistance zone (~600-620 INR) has now turned into a support zone (labeled as "weekly resistant" on the chart). The ascending trendline also offers a lower support around 580-590 INR. Immediate resistance post-breakout is not clearly marked but could be tested in the 680-720 INR zone based on price moves and arrows on the chart. Price Projections: The arrows indicate an expected pullback to the breakout zone (~620), followed by a bounce. This suggests a classic retest of support after a breakout, a common bullish sign. Volume: Volume is high during the breakout, supporting the surge. Watch for volume consistency on the retest to validate support strength. Trading plan: Entry: Consider entering a long position on a confirmed pullback/retest of the breakout zone around 620-630 INR. Confirmation could be a bullish candlestick pattern or bounce off support. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the weekly resistance turned support zone or below the ascending trendline, around 590-600 INR, to manage risk. Targets: First target can be near recent highs at ~680 INR. Second target may be near the next resistance zone around 720 INR. Risk-Reward: Risk: Approx. 20-30 INR per share (stop loss zone) Reward: Potential gain of 50-80 INR per share Risk-reward ratio of approximately 2:1 or better. Additional Notes: If the price fails to hold above 620 INR and dips below the ascending trendline, reconsider the trade and wait for a clearer setup. Monitor volume during the retest; strong volume on the bounce confirms the move. The trade aligns with the prevailing uptrend and breakout confirmation principles.
NSE:ASTERDM
by TradeAXN
OFSS Price ActionOracle Financial Services Software Ltd (OFSS) is currently trading around ₹9,030, reflecting a volatile but active price environment. Over the past week, the stock declined by nearly 3%, but it has gained over 6% in the last month and more than 15% in the past three months. Despite this recent recovery, OFSS remains down about 29% over six months and approximately 13% over the past year. Technically, the stock has faced strong resistance in the ₹9,060–₹9,288 range, with immediate supports at ₹8,837, ₹8,731, and ₹8,611. A close above ₹9,195 could trigger fresh buying momentum, while a sustained move below support levels may signal further downside. Options data indicates heightened volatility, with active trading in both calls and puts near the ₹8,000–₹9,500 strikes. Fundamentally, OFSS reported a 7.4% year-on-year revenue increase in FY2025, with net income up 7.2% and a robust profit margin of 35%. The company’s earnings per share beat analyst expectations, though revenue was slightly below estimates. The dividend yield stands at a healthy 2.96%, and the company maintains a strong market capitalization above ₹77,000 crore. Overall, OFSS is showing signs of stabilization after a sharp correction, with short-term price action suggesting a cautious but potentially positive outlook if key resistance levels are breached.
NSE:OFSSLong
by KamalKJoshi
MOTILALOFS Price actionMotilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd (MOTILALOFS) has experienced **strong price momentum over the past year, rising more than 50%**. The stock recently traded between ₹854 and ₹929, with its all-time high of ₹1,064 reached in October 2024 and a 52-week low near ₹488. **Short-term action:** In the last week, the stock moved up by about 0.4%, and in the past month, it gained nearly 7%. Over three months, the gain was especially notable at nearly 40%. However, the stock is highly volatile—about 3.8 times as volatile as the Nifty index—and has a high beta of 1.79, indicating large price swings. **Recent trend:** After peaking above ₹1,000 in late 2024, MOTILALOFS saw a correction, dropping to the ₹700-800 range by mid-2025. Since then, it has rebounded, climbing back above ₹850. The last few sessions show a mix of minor gains and losses, reflecting ongoing volatility and active trading interest. **Volume and liquidity:** Trading volumes have been robust, with some sessions seeing over a million shares traded, especially during sharp moves. This indicates strong liquidity and sustained investor interest. **Valuation and fundamentals:** The stock is considered overvalued relative to market averages, with a price-to-earnings ratio above 20 and a price-to-book ratio above 4. Its dividend yield is modest at 0.58%. Despite high volatility, the company has delivered solid profitability and efficiency metrics, with return on equity above 25%. **Outlook:** Analysts remain optimistic, with some forecasting potential upside toward ₹1,150, though downside risk remains to ₹763. The company’s business is diversified across broking, asset management, investment banking, and housing finance, and recent results show strong revenue growth, especially in wealth management and housing finance. However, there have been short-term challenges, such as a decline in cash market share and weaker performance in private wealth management. **Summary:** MOTILALOFS is in a recovery phase after a sharp correction, showing renewed upward momentum but with high volatility. The outlook is positive, supported by strong fundamentals and sector growth, but investors should remain cautious due to the stock’s elevated valuation and price swings.
NSE:MOTILALOFSLong
by KamalKJoshi