Axisbank near the Bottom of rangeAxis Bank has been in a consolidation range since last 70+ days. Price's been making high of Rs 1240 and low of Rs 1150 since then.
Now, the price has come near 1150 (Range Low). Again price is expected to bounce from the range low to 1240 leaving an opportunity to grab near about 7% profit in a shorter period of time.
With Risk Taking till price reaches below Rs. 1150.
Price breaching below range low i.e. Rs. 1150 with good volume can lead the price to go to 1030 and 1000 price point.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Selling pressure, gold downtrendPlan XAU day: 09 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold (XAU/USD) continues to extend its decline on Wednesday for a second consecutive session, as the US Dollar (USD) and US Treasury yields strengthen ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) has climbed to a two-week high, exerting downward pressure on XAU/USD, which has fallen below the $3,300 level at the time of writing.
The forthcoming release of the FOMC Minutes from the June meeting is anticipated to provide insight into the Federal Reserve’s internal discussions regarding the future course of monetary policy.
In June, the central bank chose to maintain its benchmark interest rate within the 4.25% to 4.50% range, citing continued labor market resilience and persistent inflationary pressures.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price is in the accumulation zone below 3300, big selling pressure. Pay attention to selling gold according to the trend line 3294
Important price zone to consider : !!!
support zone point: 3274; 3252 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
CONCOR Price Action#### Current Price and Performance
- **CONCOR** (Container Corporation of India) is trading around ₹615 as of July 9, 2025.
- The stock has rebounded 3.35% in the past week and is up 12.26% over the last three months.
- Over six months, the return is modest at 1.45%.
- The 52-week high is ₹860, while the 52-week low is ₹481, indicating significant volatility and a wide trading range in the past year.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The stock has recently recovered from lower levels but remains well below its 52-week high.
- Short-term momentum is positive, with a steady climb over recent weeks.
- Technical indicators suggest the stock is in a recovery phase, but not yet in overbought territory.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 35.36, which is relatively high for the logistics sector.
- The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is 2.92, suggesting the stock is trading at a premium to its book value.
- Market capitalization is approximately ₹46,840 crore.
- Promoter holding is stable at 54.8%, with strong institutional presence.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Market sentiment has improved in the short term, reflected in the recent price uptrend.
- Despite the recent rally, the stock is still considered a laggard for the year, having declined over 3% in 2025 and about 26% over the past year.
- The outlook depends on continued volume growth, operational efficiency, and potential policy changes impacting the logistics sector.
#### Summary
CONCOR has shown a short-term recovery after a prolonged period of underperformance. The stock is trading at premium valuations and remains below its yearly high, with recent gains reflecting renewed investor interest. While the medium-term outlook is cautiously optimistic, further upside will depend on sustained operational improvement and broader sector momentum.
BECTORFOOD - Long Set Up at WAVE C completion zone\ 🛑 MRS BECTORS FOOD (NSE: BECTORFOOD) - Daily Chart Analysis\
\ 📍 Setup:\
Classic \ ABC corrective structure\ likely completed.
📉 Wave (A) → ⚡ Retracement (B) → 📉 Final leg (C) into a \ high-probability support zone\ .
---
\ 🟩 Wave C Completion Zone: ₹1326 – ₹1362\
• Price entered and respected this \ key demand zone\ .
• Previously acted as a strong support + rejection area.
• Now showing early signs of accumulation — possible bottom formation.
---
\ 📈 Long Trade Idea\
\ \ Entry Zone\ : ₹1326 – ₹1365
\ \ Stop Loss\ : Day close below \ ₹1313.90\
\ \ Target 1\ : ₹1500
\ \ Target 2\ : ₹1742
\ \ Risk-Reward\ : \~1:3+
---
\ ⚠️ Invalidation Scenario\
• \ Close below ₹1313.90\ will invalidate the bullish structure.
• Price may then drift toward \ ₹1071\ — opening bearish continuation possibility.
---
\ 🧠 Trade Notes\
• Wait for \ bullish candle or strong volume\ confirmation near the zone.
• Zone has proven history of \ strong rejections\ .
• Good setup for \ swing trades\ with risk-defined entry.
---
\ 📌 Summary:\
Wave C likely completed — positioned for a bounce.
\ Risk-defined long\ setup with significant upside potential.
---
🔔 Like this setup? \ Follow for more real-time Elliott Wave ideas!\
---
\ Disclaimer:\ Not SEBI Registered. For \ educational purposes only\ . Please do your own research before investing.
TORNTPOWER – Wave C Rally Loading from Golden Fib Zone?
After a 5-wave fall and clean ABC correction, price is poised for a potential Wave C breakout.
Golden retracement zone held strong – is this the beginning of a bullish continuation toward ₹1825?
🧩 Elliott Wave Structure:
Full 5-wave impulse decline completed → Wave 5 bottom at ₹1195
Sharp Wave A rally confirms initial trend reversal
Wave B retraced to Golden Zone (50–78.6%) → ₹1399–1422
Structure now favoring development of Wave C
📌 Key Confluences:
Golden Zone Support: Price holding firm at ₹1399–1422
CHoCH (Change of Character): Clear structure shift after Wave 5 bottom, confirming trend reversal
Price action above CHoCH level = bullish intent
Support + Fib + CHoCH = high-conviction reversal case
🎯 Targets:
Wave C Completion Zone: ₹1778–1825
Upside potential: ~28.5% from current levels
🛑 Stop-Loss & Risk Control:
Stop-loss: Day close below ₹1301
Risk:Reward: 3.4+
📈 Summary:
5-wave decline + ABC setup = classic reversal blueprint
CHoCH confirms structure flip from bearish to bullish
Low-risk swing opportunity from high-probability zone
Wave C often delivers strong directional moves – and with CHoCH in place, the foundation looks ready!
#TORNTPOWER #WaveC #CHoCH #ElliottWave #SwingTrade #GoldenZone #TrendReversal
BSE - Support Break with Bullish Recovery SetupSymbol: BSE (Bombay Stock Exchange)
Timeframe: Daily
Key Levels:
✅ Breakdown: 2500 (closed below) → Next support: 2300 → 2000 (major).
✅ Bullish Anchor: Price > 200 MA + ascending trendline (Jan 20, 2025 breakout now support).
📊 Technical Structure
Critical Support Break:
-Daily close below 2500 (confirmed breakdown of key support).
-Next supports: 2300 (immediate) → 2000 (major swing low).
Bullish Anchors:
-Price above 200-day MA (long-term uptrend intact).
Ascending Trendline Support:
-Originating from Jan 20, 2025 (resistance until May 13 breakout).
-Now acting as dynamic support (resistance-turned-support).
Key Reversal Signal: Watch for reclaim of 2500
-Requires strong bullish candle + above-average volume.
-Confirms failed breakdown and resumption of uptrend.
🎯 Trading Plan
Scenario 1: Buy Dips (Conservative)
Entry Zone:
-Layer 1: 2300 (trendline + horizontal support confluence).
-Layer 2: 2000 (swing low + 200 MA reinforcement).
-Stop Loss: 1950 (below 2000 structure).
-Targets: 2500 → 2700 → 2900.
Scenario 2: Breakout Re-entry (Aggressive)
Trigger: Daily close above 2500 with: Bullish candle (preferably >1.5% gain).
-Volume ≥ 20% above 10-day average.
-Stop Loss: 2450 (below breakout level).
-Targets: 2700 → 2900 (measured move).
⚠️ Risk Management
Position Size: ≤3% capital per trade.
Invalidation Conditions:
-Close below 2000 (invalidates bullish thesis).
-Failed 2500 reclaim (weak volume/rejection candle).
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Conduct your own due diligence. Past performance ≠ future results. Risk capital only.
🔥 Boost if this analysis helps your strategy!
💡 Comment below any stocks you want me to analyse next!
NTPC price action### NTPC Price Analysis
#### Current Price and Performance
- NTPC is trading in the ₹370–₹380 range as of early July 2025.
- The stock has achieved a 52-week high near ₹390 and a low around ₹200, reflecting a strong upward trend over the past year.
- Year-to-date, NTPC has delivered a return of over 60%, with particularly strong momentum in the last six months.
- Short-term price action shows some consolidation after a sharp rally, with minor fluctuations in the past few weeks.
#### Trend and Technical Overview
- The medium-term trend remains bullish, supported by robust earnings, capacity expansion, and favorable sector dynamics.
- Technical indicators suggest the stock is in overbought territory, with some analysts expecting a pause or correction before the next leg up.
- NTPC’s beta is below 1, indicating lower volatility compared to the broader market.
#### Valuation and Financial Metrics
- NTPC trades at a moderate price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, below many private sector peers, making it relatively attractive from a valuation perspective.
- The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is reasonable, reflecting the company’s stable asset base.
- Dividend yield is above 3%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- The company maintains a strong balance sheet, steady cash flows, and a history of consistent dividend payouts.
#### Market Sentiment and Outlook
- Market sentiment is positive, with analysts maintaining a buy or accumulate stance for long-term investors.
- The company’s focus on renewable energy and capacity addition is seen as a key growth driver.
- While the stock may experience short-term consolidation, the long-term outlook remains favorable due to NTPC’s dominant position in the power sector and ongoing expansion plans.
#### Summary
NTPC has delivered impressive returns over the past year, driven by strong fundamentals and sector tailwinds. The stock is currently consolidating after a significant rally, but its valuation, dividend profile, and growth prospects make it attractive for investors with a medium- to long-term horizon. Caution is warranted in the short term due to potential profit booking, but the overall outlook remains positive.
TVS Motor Near ATH Breakout Zone!📈Technical Analysis
Long-Term Rally: TVS Motor jumped from ₹100 over a decade to a peak of ₹2,958 in September 2024.
Double Bottom & Recovery: After a correction, the stock formed a strong double-bottom around ₹2,200 and rebounded, now hovering near ₹2,928—just shy of the all-time high.
Key Pivot Point: The ₹2,958 level is crucial. If this is decisively breached with strong volume and bullish candle confirmation—and then retested successfully as support—the stock may sustainably move higher toward:
🎯 Target 1: ₹3,100
🎯 Target 2: ₹3,200
🎯 Target 3: ₹3,300
Else, without a clean breakout above ₹2,958, upward momentum may stall, and upside expectations remain muted.
💰Q4 FY24 Financial Highlights (vs Q3 FY24 & Q4 FY23)
Total Income: ₹11,542 Cr (vs ₹11,035 Cr; ₹9,942 Cr)
Total Expenses: ₹9,638 Cr (vs ₹9,402 Cr; ₹8,487 Cr)
Operating Profits: ₹1,904 Cr (vs ₹1,633 Cr; ₹1,455 Cr)
Profit Before Tax: ₹1,004 Cr (vs ₹908 Cr; ₹647 Cr)
Profit After Tax: ₹698 Cr (vs ₹609 Cr; ₹412 Cr)
Diluted EPS: ₹13.64 (vs ₹11.91; ₹8.15)
Strong sequential growth in both revenue and margins; PAT up ~66% YoY with improved profitability.
🔍Fundamental Insights
Stellar Q4 Growth: Net profit surged 76% YoY to ₹852 Cr on a 17% rise in revenue to ₹9,550 Cr; record EBITDA of ₹1,333 Cr (14% margin)
EV & 2W Sales Surge: FY25 EV sales up 44%, 2W & 3W combined rose 13%
Dividend Declared: ₹10 interim dividend announced for FY25 (record date: March 26)
Profit Expansion: FY25 PAT hit ₹2,711 Cr (+30% YoY); revenue reached ₹36,251 Cr (+14%)
Margin Improvement: Q4 EBITDA margin rose ~120 bp YoY to 12.5%, aided by PLI benefits and favorable product mix
Global Reach & EV Push: Exports up 24.5% to 1.25M units; EV segment (iQube e2W & e3W) growing
🧭Conclusion
TVS Motor stands squarely at a critical juncture. The compelling Q4 performance—robust profits, strong sales (especially EVs), and improved margins—builds a strong case for upside. However, the technical breakout above ₹2,958 is key:
⚡ If cleared + retested as support → bullish rally toward ₹3,100 ➝ ₹3,200 ➝ ₹3,300.
🛑 Without breakout → risk of consolidation or pullback remains.
👀 Watch volume and candlestick patterns around the all-time high level for confirmation before positioning.
Disclaimer : lnkd.in
Hidden in Plain Sight – This PIDILITE Setup Screams Opportunity!📊 PIDILITE – Post 5-Wave Fall, ABC Recovery In Progress
Golden Fib confluence + strong structure = high-confidence swing setup
Wave structure aligns with ideal retracements; Wave C potential unfolding with swing targets ahead.
🧩 Elliott Wave Breakdown:
Complete 5-wave decline from swing highs → Wave 5 bottom confirmed
Wave A completed at extended fib zone (113%–127% of wave a)
Wave B retraced to Golden Zone: 50%–78.6% of Wave A
Wave C now progressing toward swing target zone
🔍 Technical Confluences:
Wave A Completion: ₹3130–₹3180 (113–127% extension)
Wave B Golden Zone: ₹2735–₹2921
Strong bullish rejection and follow-through from Wave B lows
CHoCH break confirms trend reversal from Wave 5 low
🎯 Target Zone for Wave C:
Primary Swing Target: ₹3433–₹3491
FNO Upside Level: ₹3298
🛑 Stop-Loss Levels:
Intraday SL: Hourly close below ₹2921.80
Positional SL: Day close below ₹2735.60
📈 Setup Summary:
Clear ABC corrective recovery in play
Ideal Fib alignment at both Wave A and B
Structure favors low-risk, high-reward long opportunity
Entry near ₹3070–3080 offers excellent positioning
A technically sound swing setup with defined structure and reward zones – great candidate for Wave C riders.
#Pidilite #ElliottWave #SwingSetup #WaveTheory #Nifty200 #TradingViewIndia
sell signal at the beginning of the week, downward pressurePlan XAU day: 07 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) maintain an intraday bearish bias during the first half of the European session, although the precious metal has managed to rebound from the $3,300 level—its lowest point in a week, recorded earlier on Monday. A notable uptick in demand for the US Dollar (USD) has emerged as a primary factor diverting flows away from gold. However, increasing market consensus that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to implement further interest rate cuts this year may temper bullish sentiment toward the USD and offer some support to the non-yielding yellow metal.
Additionally, concerns surrounding former President Donald Trump’s substantial tax-cut and spending proposals—seen as potentially exacerbating the United States’ long-term debt challenges—may also act as a constraint on USD strength. Meanwhile, overall market sentiment remains fragile due to ongoing uncertainty linked to Trump's unpredictable trade policies. Furthermore, renewed Israeli airstrikes on Yemen—the first in nearly a month—have dampened investor appetite for riskier assets, further helping to limit downside pressure on gold and warranting a cautious approach from bearish traders.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price adjusts and accumulates around 3300 before tariff policies this week, gold recovery opportunity
Important price zone to consider : !!!
Resistance point: 3324 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
### EMIL Price AnalysisElectronics Mart India Ltd (EMIL) recently closed at around ₹144, showing a modest uptick after a period of volatility. The stock has rebounded sharply over the past month, gaining over 16%, yet it remains well below its 52-week high of ₹262. The past year has been challenging, with the share price down more than 35%, underperforming both its sector and the broader market.
Technically, EMIL is trading above key short-term moving averages, suggesting a short-term uptrend. The price is above the 20-day and 50-day averages, but still below the long-term 200-day average, indicating that while momentum has improved, the broader trend remains cautious. The stock’s volatility is notably high, with weekly price swings above the market average.
Momentum indicators like MACD and RSI are showing positive signals, but there are early signs of momentum loss, and volume-based indicators suggest some recent selling pressure. The stock is currently near a resistance zone, and a sustained move above ₹150 could trigger further upside, while support is seen around ₹138.
Fundamentally, EMIL has demonstrated steady revenue and profit growth over the last few years, but recent quarters have shown a decline in profitability. The company’s price-to-earnings ratio is on the higher side, suggesting it is not undervalued relative to its earnings. Analyst forecasts indicate moderate growth potential, with a one-year price target in the ₹160–₹190 range.
In summary, EMIL is showing signs of a short-term recovery with improving technicals, but long-term investors should remain cautious given its recent underperformance and valuation concerns. A clear breakout above resistance levels would strengthen the bullish case, while failure to hold above support could lead to renewed weakness.
Swing/Positional Setup: Sector-wise Analysis – Cash/Options Segm✅ Swing and Positional Trade Setup
Sector-wise Analysis – Cash / Futures & Options Segment:-
Over the past 18+ years, I have developed a trading setup that revolves around sectoral analysis. My trades are taken in cash, futures, and options, based on which sector and which stock is showing strength.
Below, I’ve shared the complete sector-wise stock list. This will help you skip the most time-consuming part—stock selection—so you can focus purely on execution and discipline.
🔍 Stock Selection Criteria: List Provided Sector Wise Stocks -
• Market Capitalization
• Liquidity
• Volumes
📊 1. Positional/Swing Trade Setup
This setup begins by identifying:
• Which sector is currently showing strength (e.g., Nifty Auto).
• Which stocks in that sector are outperforming the benchmark.
⚠️ Note for Beginners:
If your capital is below ₹20 lakhs, avoid trading in futures. Stick to cash market or stock options only.
🕒 Timeframes for Analysis:
• Monthly
• Weekly
• Daily
🛠️ Technical Tools Used:
• 9 SMA (Simple Moving Average)
• Volumes
• RSI (Relative Strength Index)
• Market Structure
(HH–HL for bullish, LH–LL for bearish)
📈 Entry Criteria (Bullish / Long Trades):
For Options (Call), Cash or Futures Buy:
• Price must be above 9 SMA on Monthly, Weekly, and Daily charts.
• Monthly and Weekly RSI > 50
• Daily RSI > 60 → This confirms a 7-Star Setup (Big Momentum Trade)
✅ Execution Plan:
• Entry: Above the high of the previous daily candle.
• Stop Loss: Below Daily 9 SMA or the recent swing low.
• Trailing Strategy:
• After 3 daily candles, trail stop loss to cost.
• Continue trailing below each new daily candle's low.
Exit Criteria:
• Daily close below 9 SMA
• OR RSI drops below 60
• OR both conditions occur
📉 Entry Criteria (Bearish / Short Trades – Put Option or Short in Futures):
• Daily and Weekly RSI < 50
• Price must be below 9 SMA on Daily and Weekly charts.
• Entry, stop-loss, and exit follow the same process in reverse.
📂 Sector-wise Stock List to Focus On:
🚗 Auto:
ASHOKLEY | BAJAJ-AUTO | BALKRISIND | BHARATFORG | BOSCHLTD | EICHERMOT | EXIDEIND | HEROMOTOCO | MRF | M&M | MARUTI | MOTHERSON | TVSMOTOR | TATAMOTORS | TIINDIA
🏦 Banking & Financial Services:
AU Small Finance Bank Ltd. | Axis Bank Ltd. | Bank of Baroda | Canara Bank | Federal Bank Ltd. | HDFC Bank Ltd. | ICICI Bank Ltd. | IDFC First Bank Ltd. | IndusInd Bank Ltd. | Kotak Mahindra Bank Ltd. | Punjab National Bank | State Bank of India | Bajaj Finance Ltd. | Bajaj Finserv Ltd. | Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company Ltd.
⚗️ Chemicals:
Aarti Industries Ltd. | Atul Ltd. | Bayer Cropscience Ltd. | Chambal Fertilizers & Chemicals Ltd. | Coromandel International Ltd. | Deepak Nitrite Ltd. | E.I.D. Parry (India) Ltd. | Gujarat Fluorochemicals Ltd. | Gujarat Narmada Valley Fertilizers and Chemicals Ltd. | Himadri Speciality Chemical Ltd. | Linde India Ltd. | Navin Fluorine International Ltd. | PCBL Chemical Ltd. | PI Industries Ltd. | Pidilite Industries Ltd. | SRF Ltd. | Solar Industries India Ltd. | Sumitomo Chemical India Ltd. | Tata Chemicals Ltd. | UPL Ltd.
🛍️ FMCG:
Britannia Industries Ltd. | Colgate Palmolive (India) Ltd. | Dabur India Ltd. | Emami Ltd. | Godrej Consumer Products Ltd. | Hindustan Unilever Ltd. | ITC Ltd. | Marico Ltd. | Nestle India Ltd. | Patanjali Foods Ltd. | Radico Khaitan Ltd. | Tata Consumer Products Ltd. | United Breweries Ltd. | United Spirits Ltd. | Varun Beverages Ltd. | Dmart
💊 Pharma & Healthcare:
Abbott India Ltd. | Alkem Laboratories Ltd. | Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Ltd. | Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. | Biocon Ltd. | Cipla Ltd. | Divi's Laboratories Ltd. | Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd. | Fortis Healthcare Ltd. | Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. | Granules India Ltd. | Ipca Laboratories Ltd. | Laurus Labs Ltd. | Lupin Ltd. | Mankind Pharma Ltd. | Max Healthcare Institute Ltd. | Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. | Syngene International Ltd. | Torrent Pharmaceuticals Ltd. | Zydus Lifesciences Ltd.
💻 IT & Tech:
Coforge Ltd. | HCL Technologies Ltd. | Infosys Ltd. | LTIMindtree Ltd. | MphasiS Ltd. | Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd. | Persistent Systems Ltd. | Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. | Tech Mahindra Ltd. | Wipro Ltd.
⚒️ Metals:
APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. | Adani Enterprises Ltd. | Hindalco Industries Ltd. | Hindustan Copper Ltd. | Hindustan Zinc Ltd. | JSW Steel Ltd. | Jindal Stainless Ltd. | Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. | Lloyds Metals And Energy Ltd. | NMDC Ltd. | National Aluminium Co. Ltd. | Steel Authority of India Ltd. | Tata Steel Ltd. | Vedanta Ltd. | Welspun Corp Ltd.
🏙️ Realty:
Anant Raj Ltd. | Brigade Enterprises Ltd. | DLF Ltd. | Godrej Properties Ltd. | Macrotech Developers Ltd. | Oberoi Realty Ltd. | Phoenix Mills Ltd. | Prestige Estates Projects Ltd. | Raymond Ltd. | Raymond Realty Ltd. | Sobha Ltd.
🧱 Durables & Cement:
Amber Enterprises India Ltd. | Bata India Ltd. | Blue Star Ltd. | Century Plyboards (India) Ltd. | Cera Sanitaryware Ltd. | Crompton Greaves Consumer Electricals Ltd. | Dixon Technologies (India) Ltd. | Havells India Ltd. | Kajaria Ceramics Ltd. | Kalyan Jewellers India Ltd. | PG Electroplast Ltd. | Titan Company Ltd. | V-Guard Industries Ltd. | Voltas Ltd. | Whirlpool of India Ltd. | ACC | Ambuja Cements | Ultratech Cement | Shree Cements | JK Cement
🛢️ Oil & Gas:
Adani Total Gas Ltd. | Aegis Logistics Ltd. | Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | Castrol India Ltd. | GAIL (India) Ltd. | Gujarat Gas Ltd. | Gujarat State Petronet Ltd. | Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. | Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. | Indraprastha Gas Ltd. | Mahanagar Gas Ltd. | Oil & Natural Gas Corporation Ltd. | Oil India Ltd. | Petronet LNG Ltd. | Reliance Industries Ltd.
✨ Final Thoughts
If you have any doubts or need help, feel free to ask. Take some time to reflect on this system. It offers clarity, discipline, and a pathway to wealth and peace of mind.
Don’t overconsume content. Stick to one tested process. Treat trading like a business, not a quick-money scheme.
🎯 Proven Success Rate: 80%
Add these stocks to your watchlist and follow the system diligently.
Wishing you successful trades ahead. May we all grow together. Happy to help always. 🙏
Nifty in a pole and flag pattern consolidation or M pattern.Nifty is in consolidation range waiting for the India US trade deal which has deadline of 9th july.
Based on the news the pattern can be made as Pole and flag if the news becomes positive.
Else, can make M pattern if deal doesn't happen.
Both side good targets are available.
Note: This analysis is for Educational Purpose Only. Please invest after consulting a professional financial advisor.
Bollinger Bands: How to Stop Being a Slave to the Markets.Bollinger Bands: How to Stop Being a Slave to the Markets.
Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis indicator widely used in trading to assess the volatility of a financial asset and anticipate price movements. Created in the 1980s by John Bollinger, they consist of three lines superimposed on the price chart:
The middle band: a simple moving average, generally calculated over 20 periods.
The upper band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are added.
The lower band: the moving average to which two standard deviations are subtracted.
These bands form a dynamic channel around the price, which widens during periods of high volatility and narrows when the market is calm. When a price touches or exceeds a band, it can signal an overbought or oversold situation, or a potential trend reversal or continuation, depending on the market context.
What are Bollinger Bands used for? Measuring volatility: The wider the bands spread, the higher the volatility.
Identifying dynamic support and resistance zones.
Detecting market excesses: A price touching the upper or lower band may indicate a temporary excess.
Anticipating reversals or consolidations: A tightening of the bands often heralds an upcoming burst of volatility.
Why is the 2-hour time frame so widely used and relevant?
The 2-hour (H2) time frame is particularly popular with many traders for several reasons:
Perfect balance between noise and relevance: The H2 offers a compromise between very short time frames (often too noisy, generating many false signals) and long time frames (slower to react). This allows you to capture significant movements without being overwhelmed by minor fluctuations.
Suitable for swing trading and intraday trading: This timeframe allows you to hold a position for several hours or days, while maintaining good responsiveness to take advantage of intermediate trends.
Clearer reading of chart patterns: Technical patterns (triangles, double tops, Wolfe waves, etc.) are often clearer and more reliable on H2 than on shorter timeframes, which facilitates decision-making.
Less stress, better time management: On H2, there is no need to constantly monitor screens. Monitoring every two hours is sufficient, which is ideal for active traders who don't want to be slaves to the market.
Statistical relevance: Numerous backtests show that technical signals (such as those from Bollinger Bands) are more robust and less prone to false signals on this intermediate timeframe.
In summary, the 2-hour timeframe is often considered "amazing" because it combines the precision of intraday trading with the reliability of swing trading, providing superior signals for most technical strategies, especially those using Bollinger Bands.
To summarize
Bollinger Bands measure volatility and help identify overbought/oversold areas or potential reversals.
The 2-hour timeframe is highly valued because it filters out market noise while remaining sufficiently responsive, making it particularly useful for technical analysis and trading decision-making.
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES - BIG BREAKOUTRELIANCE INDUSTRIES
Big massive breakout above 1425 and support at 1400-1380.
It can be market leader for few days.
Realistic targets will be 1530/1550/1575 ( Previous resistance )
Market seems to be on bullish side and large caps can be deciding the trend.
#swingtrades
#largecaps
#priceaction
#trendline
Nifty price actionNifty 50 closed at 25,461 with a modest gain, reflecting cautious optimism after recent profit booking and volatility. The index formed a bullish hammer candlestick, which is often interpreted as a sign of potential short-term reversal or support. Buying interest in heavyweight stocks like Bajaj Finance, Infosys, Dr. Reddy’s, ICICI Bank, and Wipro helped offset declines in sectors such as metals and auto.
Technically, Nifty found support near its near-term EMA trendline, and the RSI remains healthy in the low 60s, suggesting the trend is still neutral to positive. Immediate support levels are at 25,240 and 25,103, while resistance is seen at 25,682 and 25,819. Sustained trading above 25,682 could trigger further upside, possibly toward 26,000, but a break below 25,240 would increase the risk of a deeper correction, with 25,000 and 24,500 as the next key supports.
Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with advances outnumbering declines. However, overbought oscillators and low ADX readings indicate limited momentum, so the index may remain rangebound unless a clear breakout or breakdown occurs. Traders are advised to watch for a decisive move above 25,600 for bullish confirmation, or below 25,240 for signs of renewed weakness.
Banknifty price actionBank Nifty closed at 57,031.9 on July 4, 2025, up 0.42%, showing resilience after a brief dip earlier in the week. The index has been consolidating near all-time highs, maintaining a bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows on the daily chart. Despite some profit booking, Bank Nifty remains above its key moving averages, and technical indicators like RSI and MACD continue to support the broader uptrend.
Short-term support is seen around 56,500–56,600, which aligns with the 20-day EMA. As long as Bank Nifty holds above this zone, the bias remains positive and the index could attempt to move towards resistance levels at 57,540 and 57,854. A decisive close above 57,800 would likely open the path to 58,500. However, overbought oscillators and a weak ADX suggest the trend strength is moderate and the market could remain rangebound unless a breakout occurs.
Constituent performance has been mixed, with ICICI Bank, AU Bank, HDFC Bank, and Axis Bank contributing to gains, while Bank of Baroda, IndusInd Bank, and Federal Bank saw mild declines. Overall, the structure favors a buy-on-dips approach as long as the index stays above its immediate support. A close below 56,500 would be the first sign of a deeper correction.
Educational | Completed a complex triple correctionEthereum seems to have completed a triple combination pattern
Wave Z ended with a neutral triangle
Wave Y was a zigzag
Wave W was a flat.
Wave Y took equal time as Wave W to form
Wave Z took twice the time of Wave W/Y.
This triple combination completed Wave E of a larger neutral triangle.
The internal Wave E of a triangle is generally similar to the larger triangle of which it is a part of.
In this case too, the Wave E of the neutral triangle itself concluded with a neutral triangle.
Let me know if you'd more such educational content or larger timeframe analysis of Ethereum or any other asset.
Happy Trading!!
Relaxo Footware looking interestingNSE:RELAXO
After a long consolidation for about 4 months, now the stock is trying to breakout.
Stock Volume and Delivery surged by 2.4 times and 3.4 times respectively indicating good interest.
Market cap of the footwear sector is increased by 1.2% in last trading session
RS crossing above zero indicates the outperformance
RSI going above 70 indicates great momentum
Closed above 100 DEMA. Next resistance is the 200 DEMA around 540.