Beyond Technical Analysis
BANKINDIA Price action analysisBased on the technical analysis of Bank of India (BANKINDIA), the stock is currently showing bearish signals with some mixed indicators:
## Price and Performance
The current stock price is ₹94.80, up 0.73% from the previous close of ₹94.12 . However, the stock has been on a downward trend in recent months:
- 1-month return: -4.27%
- 3-month return: -14.00%
- 1-year return: -29.41%
## Technical Indicators
- **Moving Averages**: All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 DMA) are showing bearish signals, with the current price below all of them .
- **RSI**: The stock's RSI is not explicitly provided, but the overall technical analysis suggests a bearish sentiment.
- **Fibonacci Levels**: Key retracement levels for the recent downtrend (Dec 6, 2024 to Jan 13, 2025) are:
- 23.6%: ₹97.24
- 38.2%: ₹101.68
- 50%: ₹105.28
- 61.8%: ₹108.87
## Support and Resistance
- **Support levels**: ₹93.66 (daily), ₹94.16 (S1 Fibonacci)
- **Resistance levels**: ₹96.28 (daily), ₹96.78 (R1 Fibonacci)
## Volume Analysis
The stock's trading volume is not explicitly mentioned in the search results, but it's an important factor to consider for confirming trend strength.
## Market Sentiment
- The stock is currently rated as "Bearish" for short-term investors and "Very Bearish" for long-term investors .
- Out of 5 analysts, 3 recommend a "Buy," 1 suggests "Hold," and 1 advises "Sell" .
## Key Metrics
- P/E Ratio: 5.4
- P/B Ratio: 0.64
- Dividend Yield: 2.94%
- Market Cap: ₹43,323 Crores
## Overall Outlook
The BANKINDIA stock is currently in a bearish trend, with all major moving averages pointing downwards. However, there are some potential support levels nearby that traders should watch. The stock's valuation metrics (low P/E and P/B ratios) suggest it might be undervalued, but the persistent downtrend indicates caution is warranted. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels for potential trend reversals or continuations before making trading decisions.
RBL bank price actionRBL Bank's stock price has shown notable activity recently, influenced by both technical and fundamental factors. Below is a detailed analysis:
## **Current Price Action**
- **Latest Price**: RBL Bank's shares rose by 4.86% on March 24, 2025, reaching ₹176.40, breaking out of a consolidation range of ₹150–170
- **Technical Indicators**: The stock's breakout is supported by robust trading volumes and a daily RSI above 60, indicating bullish momentum
## **Fundamental Analysis**
- **Valuation Metrics**:
- P/E Ratio: 10.28 (lower than the sector average of 19.47), indicating undervaluation
- P/B Ratio: 0.69, suggesting the stock is trading at a discount compared to its book value
- **Intrinsic Value**: Estimated at ₹267.23, reflecting significant upside potential from the current price
## **Recent Financial Performance**
- **Q3 FY25 Results**:
- Revenue grew by 16% YoY to ₹4,610 crore
- Net profit declined sharply by 80.7% YoY due to higher provisions for NPAs in microfinance and credit card portfolios.
- Gross NPA ratio improved marginally to 2.92%, while net NPA reduced to 0.53%, indicating mixed asset quality trends
## **Long-Term Outlook**
- Despite short-term challenges in profitability, RBL Bank's fundamentals remain strong, with healthy loan growth (13% YoY) and improving operational efficiency. Analysts suggest it may be suitable for long-term investment due to undervaluation and expected recovery in profitability metrics.
Investors should monitor RBL Bank's asset quality trends and earnings growth closely while considering its low valuation as an attractive entry point for medium to long-term gains.
RAYMONDLSL Price actionRaymond Lifestyle Ltd (RAYMONDLSL) is currently trading in the range of ₹1,088 to ₹1,179 as of June 26, 2025, showing a strong rebound in the last few days after a prolonged period of decline. Over the past year, the stock has been highly volatile, reaching a 52-week high of ₹3,100 and hitting a low of ₹911.35 in May 2025. The share price has dropped significantly, with a decline of about 64% over the last year and nearly 48% over the last six months.
Despite this correction, the stock has recently shown some positive momentum, climbing over 11% in the past week and about 8% in a single session. Its market capitalization is around ₹7,185 crore. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is low at 2.72, and the price-to-book (P/B) ratio is also relatively modest, indicating the stock may now be trading at more reasonable valuations compared to its recent past.
Raymond Lifestyle has demonstrated exceptional revenue growth, with annual growth far outpacing its three-year compound annual growth rate. However, the company has also taken on new debt for the first time in five years, which could impact its financial flexibility going forward. Technical signals, such as a recent 50-day moving average crossover, suggest that there could be further short-term upside, as this pattern has historically led to gains in the following month.
Overall, Raymond Lifestyle Ltd is recovering from a sharp correction and is currently showing signs of short-term strength. The company’s fundamentals reflect strong revenue growth but also new debt obligations. Investors should be aware of the stock’s high volatility and recent history before making decisions, as the long-term trend remains cautious despite recent gains.
BAJAJINDEF Price ActionBajaj Indef (BAJAJINDEF) has experienced a period of high volatility and rapid price movement in June 2025. After a sharp rally from around ₹225 in late May to a peak near ₹478.90 by mid-June, the stock has since corrected and is now trading in the ₹400–₹420 range. This recent surge was accompanied by significant spikes in trading volume, indicating heightened market interest and participation.
The stock’s price action shows a pattern of large daily swings, with both double-digit percentage gains and losses within short intervals. This suggests speculative activity and possibly profit-booking after the strong rally. The valuation of the stock has shifted from not qualifying to being considered very expensive, reflecting the sharp run-up in price relative to its fundamentals.
Short-term momentum appears to have cooled, with the stock pulling back from its highs and now consolidating. Investors should be cautious, as the recent volatility and elevated valuation may lead to further price fluctuations. The underlying trend remains positive compared to levels a month ago, but the risk of sharp corrections is high given the stock’s recent behavior.
NIFTY Analysis – 30 june 2025 ,evening update ,Accuracy: 100%Key Levels I Shared in the Morning vs Market Reaction:
✅ 1. Resistance Levels – 25700, 25789, 25858:
I had clearly mentioned that 25700 and 25789 are strong resistance levels. The market halted and reversed exactly from that zone.
🔸 Resistance worked perfectly.
🔹 Accuracy: 100%
✅ 2. Sideways Zone – Between 25600 to 25670:
I had marked this zone as sideways, and the market did consolidate there before falling.
🔸 This zone also played out accurately.
🔹 Accuracy: 95%
✅ 3. Breakout Levels – Above 25700 or Below 25587:
I mentioned: “Wait for a clear breakout above 25700 or below 25587 with volume confirmation.”
🔸 The market broke below 25587 and moved down.
🔹 Accuracy: 90–95%
✅ 4. Support Levels – 25545, 25480, 25412:
I had identified these support zones. The market is currently holding between 25480 and 25412, respecting the support.
🔸 Support levels worked well.
🔹 Accuracy: 95%
✅ 5. "No Major Correction Expected":
I had indicated that no major correction is expected. The market dipped but didn’t panic or crash — the drop was limited.
🔹 Accuracy: 85%
📊 Overall Accuracy of My Analysis:
✅ Approximately 93–95% Accurate
Gold price recovers 3310, accumulates MondayPlan XAU day: 30 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold prices (XAU/USD) regained some lost ground during the early European trading hours on Monday. Increasing expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will implement additional interest rate cuts this year—and potentially sooner than previously anticipated—may weigh on the US Dollar and, in turn, provide support for the USD-denominated commodity, as a weaker dollar makes gold more affordable for foreign investors.
However, improved risk sentiment stemming from the US-China trade agreement, as well as the ceasefire reached between Israel and Iran, may reduce the appeal of gold as a traditional safe-haven asset. Market participants now turn their attention to upcoming remarks from Federal Reserve officials later on Monday, with scheduled speeches from Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic and Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee.
personal opinion:!!!
Gold price recovers to gain liquidity at the beginning of the week, using fibonacci to find potential resistance: 3310
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3310 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
Nifty: Nifty/Gold ratio indicates a meaningful bottomWe applied the RSI indicator to the Nifty/Gold Ratio
The oversold levels on this indicator has proved to be a good signal for potential reversal and has resulted in meaningful rally price wise/ time wise
In 2016 Nifty rallied almost 70% after this signal
In 2018 Nifty rallied about 25%
In 2020 post Covid Crash markets rallied 129% after RSI entered oversold zone
In 2023 this signal resulted in a 55% rally
This implies Nifty has possibly made a meaningful bottom and we may be headed much higher
Nifty chart updates for this coming weekThis is a major resistance and possible price reversal zone. Keeping geopolitical news in mind, Nifty is set to break this for higher targets, as marked on the chart.
On the contrary, prices returning to this range will pull back the price to 25430 as major support for bullish sentiment.
All major levels for targets on both sides are mentioned on the chart. The Price trading in the blue colored range is a no-trade zone, which means it will be range-bound until it gives a breakout on either side.
CERA Price action**CERA Sanitaryware (NSE: CERA) Price Analysis – June 2025**
- **Current Price:** As of June 27, 2025, CERA closed at ₹6,816, showing a 3.33% gain from the previous session.
- **Recent Trend:** The stock has been volatile in June, with prices fluctuating between ₹6,573 and ₹7,275. Over the past week, it declined by about 2.8%, but remains up 6% for the month and nearly 17% over the past three months.
- **Long-Term Performance:** Despite recent weakness, CERA has delivered a 62% return over three years and nearly 198% over five years. However, the stock is down about 27% year-on-year and 8.5% over the last six months, reflecting sectoral and company-specific challenges.
- **Valuation:** The price-to-earnings ratio is around 34.5, and price-to-book is 6.2. The dividend yield is close to 1%. These metrics are moderate compared to sector peers, with CERA’s PE below Kajaria Ceramics but above Somany Ceramics.
- **Fundamentals:** Revenue growth has averaged 7.2% annually over five years, slightly above the industry average. Net income growth is strong at 15.7% per year. The company recently reported modest revenue growth but faced margin pressures, with EBITDA declining in the latest quarter.
- **Outlook:** Analysts remain mostly positive, with a majority suggesting a buy rating. The company is focusing on operational efficiency and expanding its luxury product range to counter retail market challenges. Recovery in the real estate sector and government initiatives are expected to support future growth.
**Key Takeaway:**
CERA’s stock is stabilizing after a period of volatility, supported by solid long-term fundamentals but facing near-term headwinds in profitability and demand. The medium-term outlook is constructive, especially if margin recovery strategies succeed and sector demand improves.
Infy Price actionInfosys (INFY) is currently trading around ₹1,608, with recent fluctuations between ₹1,606 and ₹1,629. Over the past year, the stock has delivered modest gains, slightly underperforming broader market indices and the IT sector. Financially, Infosys remains robust, maintaining strong revenues, healthy profit margins, and a debt-free balance sheet. The company continues to reward shareholders with consistent dividends, including a recent payout of ₹22 per share.
Looking ahead, growth expectations for Infosys are muted. The company has projected revenue growth of just 0–3% for the upcoming fiscal year, citing macroeconomic uncertainties and cautious client spending in its key markets. This represents one of the lowest growth forecasts for Infosys in over a decade and reflects broader industry headwinds, including delayed client decision-making and a focus on cost optimization.
Analyst sentiment is generally positive but cautious, with most maintaining a buy or hold rating. Price forecasts for the next year range from ₹1,667 to ₹1,945, indicating limited upside from current levels. Technical analysis shows immediate support near ₹1,579 and resistance around ₹1,633, suggesting the stock is likely to remain range-bound in the near term.
In summary, Infosys is financially sound and offers stable dividends, but near-term growth is expected to be subdued due to global economic challenges and restrained client budgets. The stock is more attractive for investors seeking stability and income rather than aggressive capital appreciation at this stage.
OIL Price ActionOil India Limited is currently trading at ₹433.40 as of June 27, 2025. The stock has seen a notable decline over the past week, falling by nearly 7%. Over the last month, the price has remained relatively flat, with a slight gain of about 0.5%. Looking at a broader time frame, the stock is up 12% over the past three months and has gained just under 2% in the last six months.
The 52-week high for Oil India stands at ₹767.90, while the low is ₹325.00, indicating that the stock is trading well below its peak for the year. Recent sessions have shown increased volatility, with sharp movements both up and down. For example, the stock dropped over 5% in a single day on June 24, after previously rallying above ₹470 earlier in the month.
Oil India’s price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 10.98, and the price-to-book (PB) ratio is 1.32, suggesting the stock is reasonably valued compared to its historical averages and sector peers. The company maintains a market capitalization of around ₹70,500 crore, ranking it among the larger players in India’s gas and petroleum sector.
In summary, Oil India Limited is currently in a correction phase after a strong run-up earlier this year. The stock is trading closer to its recent lows than its highs, with moderate valuation metrics and ongoing volatility. Investors should watch for further price stabilization before considering new positions.
Gold (XAUUSD) - Daily ICT Based AnalysisThis chart reflects a detailed breakdown of Gold using Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concepts on the daily timeframe.
🧠 Key Highlights:
Break of Structure (BoS) and Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirm bearish intent.
Price recently delivered a strong displacement to the downside, breaking through the prior IDM low and forming a clean MSS.
The price has rejected from the Daily Bearish Imbalance (BISI D) and Refined Breaker Block (RB.D) — acting as a key supply zone.
Confluence of Liquidity and Imbalance:
Internal liquidity has been swept from equal highs.
Bearish rebalancing observed in the CISD + IPDA S.D. zone.
Next probable draw on liquidity sits near the 3,203.47 and 3,189.82 PD arrays.
Ultimate downside target marked around 2,993.69, aligned with a previous BMS + DOL zone.
🛠 Tools Applied:
PD Arrays: BISI, RB, FVG, SIBI
Liquidity Zones: IDM, DOL, IPDA S.D.
Price Action: MSS, Displacement, and Retracement Concepts
📌 Bias: Bearish
📌 Narrative: Liquidity has been engineered above highs; current price action seeks sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies beneath recent lows.
Ye Chart kuch kehta hai - Cummins IndiaBased on the weekly chart technical analysis, Cummins India stock appears ready for a breakout due to several factors:
Formation of a Falling Wedge on Weekly Chart: The stock is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern signaling a potential breakout to the upside.
Consolidation and Breakout from Rectangular Range: Cummins India has been consolidating within a rectangular range for several months and has recently shown strong upward momentum with a breakout above the upper trendline of this consolidation box on the daily chart, which often precedes a sustained move higher.
Key Technical Indicators on Weekly Chart:
RSI is around 50.58, indicating neutral momentum but room to move higher before becoming overbought.
Rate of Change (ROC) is positive at 11.69, suggesting increasing momentum.
ADX is at 23.92, indicating a developing trend strength which can support a breakout move.
Parabolic SAR is mildly bullish, supporting an upward price move.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout is expected to be accompanied by increased trading volume, which adds conviction to the breakout move.
Target Price and Resistance Levels: The potential target after breakout is around ₹3735.70, derived from the range of the consolidation box added to the breakout point. There is an intermediate resistance near ₹3665 that the stock might test before moving higher.
Trend Context: Despite some bearishness in longer-term moving averages, the short-term and weekly technicals suggest a bullish setup ready to trigger a breakout.
In summary, the weekly chart technical basis for Cummins India stock being ready for a breakout includes the bullish falling wedge pattern, breakout from a consolidation range, positive momentum indicators like ROC and ADX, and expected volume confirmation. These factors collectively suggest a strong possibility of an upward breakout in the near term
Will History be Repeated in Bitcoin Like 2021/22 Highs vs 2025I think Bitcoin could Repeat History like 2021/22 . Because now same Double Top Pattern is showing on chart in 2025. so if history repeats very high chance Bears are ready to attack. So i am SELL BIAS on this Life time high of Market. My View is Sell on Current price with Small Quantity of Bitcoin 107738 and Stop Loss above its High 112000 Target is 1/10 very high Risk Reward Ration 85000 price .
AUBANK back to All Time High.AUBANK is a few points away from the price where it started.
The trading strategy is to wait for the resistance range 250-246.90 for a retest of the all-time high and upper targets of 261.50 to 268 as new highs.
Upon rejection or confirmation of rejection of this resistance level, prices will fall to 231 and 221, respectively, as T1 and T2.
Why Traders Repeat the Same Mistake – Even After Learning It?Hello Traders!
Have you ever promised yourself never to make the same trading mistake again — only to repeat it the very next week? You’re not alone. Many traders fall into the same traps over and over, even after they've studied the market and analysed their errors. Let’s break down why this happens , and how to break the cycle for good.
The Psychology Behind Repeating Mistakes
Emotions Override Logic: Even with knowledge, fear, greed, and FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) can hijack decision-making during live trades.
Lack of Process: Knowing the mistake is one thing. Having a written system or checklist to avoid it is another. Most traders skip this step.
No Real Accountability: Without a trading journal or a coach, it’s easy to forget or justify repeated bad behaviour.
Instant Gratification Bias: Humans are wired for short-term rewards. That’s why revenge trading or over-leveraging feels “right” in the moment, even when we know it’s wrong.
Rahul’s Tip
You can’t grow as a trader until you respect your own rules like a professional . Treat trading like a business — track, reflect, and correct every decision.
How to Break the Cycle
Use a Trading Journal: Write down every trade—entry, exit, emotion, and lesson. Over time, patterns become obvious and fixable.
Create a Pre-Trade Checklist: Don’t trade until your setup and risk criteria are met. This helps remove impulsive entries.
Limit Screen Time: More screen time often leads to more mistakes. Only watch the market during high-probability setups.
Have an Accountability Partner: Whether a mentor or trading buddy — feedback makes you honest and consistent.
Conclusion:
Learning is not enough. Rewiring behaviour is the real challenge. If you’re repeating mistakes, it’s not because you’re not smart — it’s because you haven’t built systems that protect you from your own emotions. Fix that, and your results will transform.
What’s the mistake you’ve repeated the most in your journey? Drop it in the comments so we can all learn and grow together!
CEATLTD Price actionCEAT Ltd has recently shown a recovery in its price action after a period of volatility. The stock closed at ₹3,645.30, rebounding over 2% in the latest session following a brief dip earlier in the week. Over the past month, CEAT experienced a mild correction, with the price dropping about 4%, but the three-month return remains strong at over 25%. On a one-year basis, the stock has delivered a solid gain of more than 37%, reflecting sustained investor interest and underlying business strength.
Trading volumes have picked up during the recent upswings, indicating renewed buying interest at lower levels. The price has oscillated between ₹3,500 and ₹3,700 in the past week, suggesting the presence of both support and resistance in this range. Despite the recent volatility, the long-term trend remains positive, with the stock having nearly tripled over the past three years.
Fundamentally, CEAT is trading at a premium to its book value, and its return on equity has been moderate. The company’s overall financial health and growth prospects continue to support the stock’s medium- to long-term outlook, though short-term moves may remain choppy as the market digests recent gains. In summary, CEAT is in a consolidation phase after a strong rally, with a positive longer-term trend and renewed buying interest evident on recent dips.