APARINDS Price actionAPAR Industries (APARINDS) is currently trading between ₹8,083 and ₹8,620 per share as of June 26, 2025. The stock is down about 31% from its 52-week high of ₹11,779.90 (reached in January 2025), but it remains 85% above its 52-week low of ₹4,308.05 (from April 2025). Over the past six and twelve months, APARINDS has delivered negative returns of -22.68% and -16.58%, respectively, reflecting a significant correction after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Valuation-wise, the stock has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 39, which is lower than the industry average of 59.33 but still considered high. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio stands at 7.21, and the dividend yield is modest at about 0.63%. The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for the trailing twelve months is ₹204.46.
Financially, APARINDS reported revenue of ₹185.81 billion and a net profit of ₹8.21 billion for the trailing twelve months, with a net profit margin of roughly 4.4%. The company maintains a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.13 and a strong return on equity (ROE) of 18.24%. Growth remains robust, with standalone net sales up 17.87% year-on-year in March 2025 and quarterly net profit rising by 2.45% year-on-year.
Analysts forecast an average one-year target price of ₹9,122, with estimates ranging from ₹6,672 to ₹11,025, suggesting about 8% upside from current levels. Over the next three years, revenue and net income are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 14–17% and 15–18%, respectively, while EPS is projected to increase by about 15.3% per year. ROE is expected to reach around 20% within three years.
Key strengths for APARINDS include strong revenue and earnings growth, high promoter holding (57.77%), low leverage, and a robust ROE. The main risks are its high valuation, which may limit near-term upside, and the recent negative returns, which indicate some profit-taking or correction after earlier gains.
In summary, APARINDS remains fundamentally strong with solid growth prospects, but investors should be mindful of its premium valuation and recent price volatility when considering entry.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold price short growth: price zone 3345Plan XAU day: 25 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
US President Donald Trump criticized both Israel and Iran for violating a full ceasefire agreement shortly after it was announced. Moreover, media reports indicated that the recent US airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities likely did not destroy the core components but only delayed Tehran’s program by a few months. Trump, however, reiterated that Iran’s nuclear sites were completely destroyed.
Nonetheless, the ceasefire between Israel and Iran appears to be holding for now, with both sides declaring victory in the conflict and warning that they are prepared to resume hostilities if attacked. This keeps the geopolitical risk premium in play and is likely to continue supporting the safe-haven appeal of Gold ahead of key US macroeconomic data releases later in the week.
personal opinion:!!!
Accumulation price zone: 3300 - 3335 is being maintained in the Asian and European sessions. Pay attention to selling pressure in the liquidity zone 3345.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
SELL point: 3345; 3367 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
TVSMOTOR Breakout Alert: Cup & Handle Pattern Eyes ATH !Daily Timeframe Analysis:
Price Action: Sustained bullish momentum with price consolidating near the 2845 resistance (Cup & Handle pattern).
Pattern Confirmation:
Cup Formation (Multi-month): Reflecting accumulation.
Handle Consolidation: Short-term bullish flag pattern near 2845, signaling readiness for breakout.
Volume Trend: Rising volume during upward moves indicates strong buying interest.
EMA Alignment: Price comfortably trades above 20 EMA (dynamic support) and 200 EMA (long-term trend baseline).
Technical Indicators:
RSI (14): Bullish crossover above 60, confirming strengthening upward momentum.
MACD: Bullish signal line crossover.
Support/Resistance:
Key Support: 2655 (swing low, invalidation level).
Breakout Zone: 2845-2880 (critical resistance to watch).
Trade Strategy (Positional):
Entry Trigger: Breakout and close above 2845 with retest confirmation.
Stop Loss: 2655 (below handle’s swing low; protects against false moves).
Targets:
2958 (All-Time High, immediate liquidity zone).
Open Sky Above ATH (structural resistance absent beyond 2958).
Risk-Reward: 1:3+ (favorable asymmetry).
Why This Works?
Pattern Strength: The Cup & Handle is a high-probability bullish continuation pattern. A breakout above 2845 confirms the uptrend resumption.
Indicator Synergy: RSI bullish crossover + price above key EMAs aligns with institutional accumulation.
Volume Validation: Rising volume on upward legs signals conviction.
Risk Management:
Risk 1-2% of capital per trade.
Trail stop loss to breakeven at 2958. Partial profit booking advised at ATH.
Chart Notes:
A close below 2655 invalidates the setup (watch for breakdown signals).
Surge in volume on breakout adds conviction.
Final Take:
TVSMOTOR’s daily chart shows a textbook Cup & Handle pattern, supported by rising volume and bullish momentum. A breakout above 2845 opens the path to retest ATHs, with minimal resistance beyond. Trade the breakout, respect the SL, and ride the trend!
#TVSMOTOR #Breakout #CupAndHandle #TechnicalAnalysis #Bullish
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own analysis.
Coal IndiaBuying level 375-395
Mid to Long term position
Stock has made its ATH at 543 and has seen a continues fall from there and now consolidating in a 350-400 range. Stock may present an attractive accumulation opportunity for long-term investors. Stock available at low levels, also current dividend yield is of above 6%.
{Not suggested/recommended, just for an educational purpose}
S&P 500 Weekly Macro Structure – In-Depth Breakdown as of June Current Structure & Price action -
The S&P 500 is showing early signs of forming a macro double top, one of the most powerful reversal patterns in Price action when occurring at all-time highs. The zone around 6150–6170 has now been tested twice once in March 2025 and again in June 2025. Each time, the price faced rejection, hinting at buyer exhaustion at the peak.
What makes this chart technically threatening is the alignment of:
A potential double top with weak volume on the second peak.
A visible neckline at 4837, which represents the last zone of strong institutional demand and breakout origin from the October 2023 rally.
Clear visual symmetry between left and right shoulders indicating distribution rather than accumulation.
If price decisively breaks below 4837, we enter a freefall zone, targeting the 4150–4125 range — the next significant structural shelf.
Why This Setup Matters Globally
This is not just a Price action formation; it is a systemic risk signal:
If the S&P 500 cracks, it’ll act as a domino in:
Global equity indices (FTSE, DAX, NIKKEI, NIFTY).
Emerging market outflows (especially BRICS economies).
Commodity repricing (especially metals and crude, due to deflation fear).
Dollar Strength Scenario:
If this fall happens alongside USD strength (which often occurs during flight to safety), it may also lead to:
Emerging market currency devaluation.
Debt servicing problems for dollar-denominated borrowers.
Gold volatility (initial dip, then sharp rise as panic flows in).
Intermarket Readings & Divergences
US10Y Bond Yields: If yields continue to rise while the index weakens, it’s a death cross for growth sectors.
VIX: Still below 20, but any weekly close above 25 during this formation breakdown will trigger full-blown fear cycles.
Tech Stocks: Heavily weighted in the index. If large caps like AAPL, MSFT, NVDA start to fade, this fall will accelerate.
Roadmap Projection
Here’s the expected flow based on current structure:
Fakeout Above 6150 → quick rejection → triggers wave 1 fall.
Bounce from 5500–5600 (psychological + moving average confluence).
Neckline Retest (4837) – critical. If rejected again, freefall starts.
Major demand expected only around 4150–4125, where long-term investors might re-enter.
If neckline breaks with high volume and weekly close below, we could be looking at a 25–30% retracement from the highs.
Macro Echo of Past Crashes?
This pattern closely resembles:
2007–08 double top structure before Lehman.
Dotcom bust in 2000 where euphoria blinded exit signals.
The difference now? AI and tech hype has pushed valuations to unsustainable highs, and central banks are tight, not loose.
🔸 Final Take
This is not a normal pullback. The S&P is on the verge of confirming a generational top, with implications for every asset class. Once 4837 breaks, expect:
Mass volatility in global markets
Flight to cash and gold
Repricing of risk premiums
Action Plan:
If holding longs – reduce exposure, raise stop-losses.
Hedge via VIX calls or inverse ETFs.
Watch for a weekly rejection candle at 6150 to trigger confirmation.
This chart is a time bomb. The wick is lit.
Natural Gas Weekly Outlook – Short !Natural Gas is currently trading at a crucial juncture around ₹307, having posted a sharp -7.81% weekly decline. The zone between ₹306.8 and ₹320 has proven to be a critical structure area, acting as a decision point for market . Historically, this range has triggered strong directional moves once broken, making it a no-trade zone for fresh entries until price action confirms a bias.
If Natural Gas closes below this critical zone, deeper downside is very much on the table. The next major support lies near ₹243.7 and eventually ₹237.4. This level acted as a former accumulation range and could attract demand again. However, the red projection suggests a potential bounce after retesting lower zones, forming a base before any meaningful upside attempt.
Until a strong reclaim of ₹320+ happens with momentum, the short-term outlook remains bearish-to-sideways. ill suggest to wait for a decisive breakdown below ₹306 or a confirmed reclaim of ₹320 to position accordingly. This is a time for patience—price is entering a reactive volatility pocket, where traps are common.
Bitcoin In-Depth Technical Outlook – Bull or Bear!Bitcoin is currently coiling up in a tight structure, preparing for a major breakout or breakdown move. Price is consolidating just below a key resistance band that has historically acted as both a rejection zone and breakout trigger. This entire region marked as the crucial zone is where the market will decide whether BTC moves toward new all-time highs or rolls over into a deeper correction.
🧠 Market Structure Overview
Accumulation & Expansion: After forming a broad base post-March lows, Bitcoin rallied back up and is now sitting just below its previous highs from Q1 2025. The price is now compressing in a narrow range, indicating energy build-up.
Crucial Mid-Zone: The zone where price is currently hovering (around 106k–107k) is the battleground. It's been tested multiple times from both sides — failed breakouts above and strong defenses from bears below. If this zone is convincingly broken to the upside with momentum, it would trigger bullish continuation. If it gets rejected again, sellers will likely regain control.
Key Resistance Above: If the breakout succeeds, BTC has a clean runway toward massive upside targets, eventually pushing toward the 147k–148k zone, which marks a major macro extension level. This region aligns with the final leg of the current cycle, supported by bullish sentiment and ETF inflows.
Key Support Below: On the flip side, failure to break out will expose BTC to downside risk. Immediate support lies slightly below the current range, but if that fails, the chart projects a deeper flush toward 83k, a strong high-timeframe demand zone. This level would offer a high-probability buy zone for longer-term investors.
🔮 Probable Scenarios
Bullish Path (Red Arrow Up)
Breaks the key zone with strength and volume
Retest holds as support
Continuation rally toward all-time highs and beyond
Bearish Path (Red Arrow Down)
Price fails to sustain above resistance
Breakdown below mid-level support
Panic-selling or profit-booking pushes price to lower HTF demand zones
📊 Sentiment & Timing Factors
Volatility is contracting, typically a precursor to explosive moves.
On-chain activity shows mixed signals whales are quiet, but retail is slightly bullish.
Macro backdrop remains neutral but vulnerable to sudden shifts from rate cut expectations or global risk events.
📌 Key Takeaway
Bitcoin is at a make-or-break point. It's coiling under major resistance, and whichever way it moves next could define the tone for the coming months. Patience is key traders should wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown before positioning big. Until then, it’s a range-trader’s market, but once the range breaks, expect a powerful trending move.
Gold Day Trade Outlook – June 25, 2025Gold is currently trading around the 3326 zone after a breakout below the higher HVZ, which has now flipped into a strong rejection zone. This breakout trap confirms a bearish sentiment shift, especially as price re-enters the dead volume zone – a region characterized by low conviction and weak momentum. Price to bounce slightly within this chop zone, potentially faking strength, before resuming its move downward. The short-term outlook remains bearish as long as price stays below the 3345–3350 rejection shelf. Day traders should watch for rejection setups near 3330–3335 to enter short positions, targeting the lower HVZ around 3280. This zone is highlighted as the ideal day trade target given the market structure breakdown and volume voids above. U.S. economic events on the horizon (as marked by calendar icons) could provide the volatility needed for this move to complete. Until 3350 is reclaimed cleanly, selling the bounce remains the preferred strategy.
Nifty 50 Index Analysis for 25.06.25 – 30 Min Timeframe The Nifty is currently consolidating between a well-defined resistance (selling) and support demand zone, forming a potential setup for either a breakout or a bounce-back.
Resistance (Selling Zone):
Zone: ₹25,150 – ₹25,240
Price showed rejection multiple times from this level, suggesting the presence of strong sellers.
Also close to a previous Swing High at ₹25,222.
Support (Demand Zone):
Zone: ₹24,880 – ₹24,935
Aligned with key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.786: ₹24,934
0.886: ₹24,885
Confluence with the ascending trendline increases the strength of this support.
Thanks.
Regards
Bull Man
BANK NIFTY Analysis for 25.06.25 – 30 Min Timeframe
Hi all,
Chart Overview:
Bank Nifty is currently trading within a well-defined range between a strong resistance zone (Selling Zone) and a gap-filling support zone.
Resistance Zone (Supply Area)
Level: ₹56,610 – ₹56,720
Price reacted sharply to this zone, indicating active selling pressure.
Any bullish breakout needs to cross this zone convincingly with volume.
Support Zone (Gap Filling Area)
Level: ₹56,000 – ₹56,120
This zone also aligns with:
🔸 Fib 0.786: ₹56,011
🔸 Fib 0.886: ₹55,903
Acts as critical demand zone for intraday traders and swing levels.
Thanks.
Regards
Bull Man
Why Option Writers Win Even if They're Wrong About Direction?Hello Traders!
Have you ever noticed that option sellers often make money even when their market direction isn’t perfect? That’s because option writing is not just about predicting direction — it’s about predicting behavior : time, range, and volatility. Let’s understand why this strategy works and how you can use it smartly.
Why Option Writers Have the Edge
Time Decay (Theta) Works for Them:
Every passing minute eats away option value — and option sellers profit from that decay . Even in sideways or slightly wrong trades, they gain as time works in their favor.
Range-Based Strategies:
Writers often use strangles, straddles, or iron condors to bet on the market staying within a range. If the price doesn’t move wildly, they win — even if the direction isn’t exact.
Volatility Crush After Events:
After big events (like budget, earnings, Fed meetings), IV drops sharply , causing option premiums to collapse — again benefiting writers.
High Probability of Profit:
Most out-of-the-money options expire worthless. Statistically, writers win more often , even with a lower reward compared to risk.
Rahul’s Tip
If you don’t want to always predict direction, learn non-directional option writing setups based on support/resistance, OI data, and VIX levels. Always hedge your positions and respect risk.
Conclusion
Option writing is not about being right — it's about being smart. When done with discipline and proper risk management, it can generate consistent income, even if the market doesn’t move as expected.
Are you an option buyer or writer? Share your favorite strategy in the comments below!
Selling pressure, gold price falls below 3300Plan XAU day: 24 June 2025
Related Information:!!!
Gold price (XAU/USD) maintains a heavily bearish tone during the first half of the European session and is currently trading just above the nearly two-week low reached earlier this Tuesday. News of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel has boosted investor confidence and triggered a fresh wave of global risk-on sentiment, which is seen as a key factor driving funds away from the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, the intraday decline appears largely unaffected by continued US Dollar (USD) selling, which would typically support gold prices. Mixed US PMI data and dovish comments from Federal Reserve officials have fueled speculation about a possible rate cut in July. As a result, the USD has fallen to a more than one-week low, which could offer some support to gold ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming testimony.
personal opinion:!!!
Strong selling pressure, gold price continues to be under downward pressure. War negotiation information is becoming an obstacle causing gold price to drop sharply.
Important price zone to consider : !!!
BUY point: 3304; 3293 zone
Sustainable trading to beat the market
GRASIM 1HRSWING TRADE
- EARN WITH ME DAILY 10K-20K –
GRASIM Looking good for upside..
When it break level 2734 and sustain.. it will go upside...
BUY@ 2734
Target
1st 2766
2nd 2800
FNO
GRASIM JUN FUT – LOT 8 (Qty-2000)
GRASIM JUN 2720 CE – LOT 8 (Qty-2000)
Enjoy trading traders.. Keep add this STOCK in your watch list..
Big Investor are welcome to join the ride ..
Like this Post??? Hit like button..!!!
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Ultracemco Sideways ( Educational Purpose Only)It is sideways with Golden Death Indicator. VWAP 3 and 30 days are long. Its gaining momentum today. On the long side estimated targets are 11530 and 11630. On the short side estimated targets are 11300 and 11200. At the time of this analysis its trading at 11440.
I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor. Please consult a qualified SEBI-registered advisor before making investment decisions.
#ultracemco #stocks #StocksInFocus #StockMarketIndia #Nifty
NIFTY - range breakout possible nowThis breakout is possible because of ceasefire possibility & crude price fall.
25,230 if breaks we enter bullish territory.
As per 15 mins chart 25070 could have acted as resistance. Next is 25,222.
After 25070 crosses, as gapup (high probability) 25,222 is possible.
We need to see how candles are forming.
If each candle making only making only higher close than previous we need stay in trade.
Also today there is SENSEX expiry.
So.. need be aware of it.
NIFTY 50 – Price Action Analysis for 24.06.25 Hi All,
Below are the key points to be observed from the chart
* 30-Min Timeframe
* Bullish Structure Intact!
* Nifty is forming a classic higher high & higher low pattern with a clear trendline support holding the structure.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Zone: 24,880–24,900 (Trendline + Demand Zone)
* Resistance Zone: 25,130–25,220 (Supply area)
Possible Scenarios:
* Bullish Continuation: Bounce from trendline → retest → breakout above 25,136
* Sideways Play: Consolidation between trendline and resistance
* Invalidation: Break below 24,880 may weaken bullish sentiment
Keep your plans ready. Respect levels. Follow your system. Happy Trading !!!
Regards
Bull Man
Biggest Crypto Expiry of the Quarter Is Almost Here🚨 June 27 = Big Expiry Day for BTC, ETH & Markets. Here’s What to Watch 🚀
This Friday — June 27 — marks the quarterly options expiry , and it’s shaping up to be a big one 💥
Especially for Bitcoin and Ethereum , where open interest is currently at its highest compared to all other series. One glance at the chart tells you everything — this expiry matters .
And right now, the Max Pain level for BTC sits at $101K …
Guess what? Price has already arrived.
📈 Over the past week, the heaviest trading volume was seen around:
$100K Puts
$95K Puts
So yeah — we’ve got all the signs pointing to price hanging around this zone before expiry.
It wouldn’t be surprising to see BTC drifting sideways near $100K–$101K , playing cat-and-mouse with the Max Pain level.
🧠 Why This Matters:
Large players may try to pin price near Max Pain 📌
Volatility could stay low until the final stretch ⏳
👉 Your Move:
Mark your calendar. Watch the flow.
We’ll be tracking every move as we approach expiry — follow along for updates.