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Nifty laying traps... another one for sellers...Hello Traders! The market is constantly trapping sellers without moving to the downside. Right now, nothing in draw on liquidity is obvious. It, frankly, can go either ways . And what does it mean when we can frame both sides of market using ICT concepts? It means that we have LOW PROBABILITY conditions . I'm sitting on the sidelines until the market gains clarity, favouring buyside delivery. As long as the invalidation low of 22725 holds, my bias would remain bullish . Once that low is taken, I'm not interested in price and would wait for the market to provide more info. When it looks that it can go either ways, the market structure gets filthy and PRECISION leaves the chat. WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY . Or gamble . It's absolutely your choice . Have a safe trading day. GLGT.
NSE:NIFTY
by SatyajeetPSahai
Fear vs Greed in Trading:-Emotional Battle Behind Every DecisionHello Traders! Today, let’s dive into a topic that all of us, as traders, deal with on a daily basis: Fear vs. Greed . Both emotions play a huge role in how we make decisions in the market, but which one truly affects traders more? Let’s break it down! The Power of Fear Fear can be a major barrier for traders. It often causes us to pull the trigger too early, sell too soon, or avoid taking positions altogether. It’s the feeling of uncertainty that can make us second-guess our analysis or follow the crowd into a trade, even when we’re not sure about it. Fear of loss : One of the most common reasons traders sell too quickly. Overthinking : Fear often leads to overanalyzing charts, which can result in missed opportunities. Avoidance : Some traders let fear prevent them from entering trades, waiting for the “perfect” moment that never comes. The Grip of Greed Greed , on the other hand, can be equally dangerous but in the opposite way. It often drives traders to take excessive risks, push positions beyond their limits, or hold onto winning trades for too long, hoping for a bigger profit. Chasing big returns : Traders sometimes risk too much, hoping for that "huge" win. Holding on too long : Greed can make us ignore stop-losses and let profits slip away. Overconfidence : Greed feeds into overconfidence, which can cloud judgment and lead to impulsive decisions. Which Affects Traders More? It’s tough to say definitively whether fear or greed affects traders more because they both can act simultaneously, influencing decisions in different ways. However, from experience, many traders tend to be more driven by fear, especially during market downturns. Greed usually creeps in when the market is booming or during periods of overconfidence. How to Manage Fear and Greed The key to overcoming both of these emotions lies in self-discipline and proper risk management . Here are some tips to help you: Stick to your plan : Have a clear strategy and trade according to it, not based on emotions. Use stop-loss orders : They can help you manage risk and prevent fear-driven decisions. Take profits when targets are hit : Don’t get greedy by holding onto a winning position longer than you should. Stay realistic : Understand that no trade is perfect—embrace both gains and losses with a level-headed approach. Conclusion In trading, it’s natural to experience both fear and greed , but the best traders know how to manage these emotions. Fear and greed can cloud judgment —which is why having a solid trading plan and emotional discipline is key. So, next time you’re making a decision, ask yourself: Is it fear or greed influencing me right now? What do you think—does fear or greed affect you more? Drop your thoughts in the comments below and let’s talk about how we can all improve as traders!
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by TraderRahulPal
5
Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!🚀 Unlock the potential with my Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025! ✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️ 📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 49087 📅 Expected Day Range: 514 📈 Long Position 🔹 Buy Above: 49132 🎯 Target 1: 49405 🎯 Target 2: 49601 ⛔ Stoploss: 48961 📉 Short Position 🔹 Sell Below: 49011 🎯 Target 1: 48770 🎯 Target 2: 48574 ⛔ Stoploss: 49182 ✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈 #BankNifty #IntradayTrading #NumroTrader 🚀
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by NumroTrader
Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025!🚀 Unlock the potential with my Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 19th Feb., 2025! ✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️ 📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 22945 📅 Expected Day Range: 191 📈 Long Position 🔹 Buy Above: 22920 🎯 Target 1: 23063 🎯 Target 2: 23136 ⛔ Stoploss: 22856 📉 Short Position 🔹 Sell Below: 22874 🎯 Target 1: 22827 🎯 Target 2: 22754 ⛔ Stoploss: 22938 ✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈 #Nifty50 #IntradayTrading #NumroTrader 🚀
NSE:NIFTY
by NumroTrader
GLAXO Price action analysisBased on the recent price action, GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals Ltd (GLAXO) is showing a strong bullish trend: 1. The stock surged 11.82% on February 18, 2025, closing at ₹2,608 after touching an intraday high of ₹2,744.95. 2. GLAXO has experienced a remarkable 29% gain over two consecutive trading sessions. 3. The stock is trading significantly above its key moving averages: - 50-day SMA: ₹1,369.16 - 100-day SMA: ₹1,388.45 - 100-day EMA: ₹1,409.88 4. Technical indicators are predominantly bullish: - RSI (14) at 56.81 indicates neutral to bullish momentum - MACD at 25.06 suggests strong upward momentum - Williams %R at -48.11 and ADX at 16.10 both indicate a buy signal 5. The stock has formed a bullish breakout pattern, surpassing its Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channel, and MA Envelope Band. 6. Volume analysis shows significantly higher trading activity, with the latest volume (2,465,000 shares) far exceeding the 5-period average volume (778,000 shares). 7. The Awesome Oscillator indicates a bullish reversal with a weaker twin peak formation. Key factors driving the bullish trend: 1. Strong Q3 FY25 results with a 400% increase in net profit and 18% revenue growth. 2. Market share gains in the general medicines portfolio and strong growth in the respiratory portfolio. 3. Positive outlook from brokerages, with Motilal Oswal and ICICI Securities maintaining bullish stances. However, traders should note: 1. The stock is currently trading about 19% below its 52-week high of ₹3,087.95 reached on August 22, 2024. 2. The 200-day SMA at ₹1,487.17 is below the current price, which could act as support in case of a pullback. Given the strong momentum and positive fundamentals, the short-term outlook for GLAXO remains bullish. Traders should watch for potential profit-taking at these elevated levels and monitor key support levels for any signs of trend reversal.
NSE:GLAXOLong
by KarniKripaa
TIMETECHNO Trade Set upBased on the latest available data, the price action analysis for Time Technoplast Ltd (TIMETECHNO) indicates a bearish trend in the short to medium term: 1. The stock closed at ₹364.05 on February 14, 2025, showing a significant decline of 5.58% from the previous day's close. 2. TIMETECHNO is trading below its key moving averages, including the 5-day, 20-day, 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day averages, suggesting a strong bearish trend. 3. The stock has experienced a substantial drop of 14.85% over the past month, significantly underperforming the broader market (Sensex) which only declined by 1.19%. 4. Technical indicators are predominantly bearish: - RSI (14) is at 43.459, indicating selling pressure. - MACD (-6.03) is showing a sell signal. - Stochastic (28.399) and Williams %R (-76.223) are both in the selling zone. 5. The stock reached an intraday low of ₹362.15 on February 14, 2025, reflecting continued selling pressure. 6. Volume analysis shows that the latest trading volume (2,470,000 shares) is above the 5-period average volume (2,301,000 shares), suggesting increased selling activity. 7. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows a bullish trend reversal, which could potentially signal a change in the current bearish momentum. However, there are a few potential positive signals to consider: 1. The Awesome Oscillator indicates a bullish reversal with a weaker twin peak formation. 2. The stock is trading near its recent lows, which might attract value investors or lead to a potential bounce. 3. The RSI (Fast) on February 18, 2025, is at 92.53, indicating overbought conditions but also suggesting strong upward momentum. Given these mixed signals, traders should closely monitor the stock for any potential trend reversals or continuation of the current bearish trend. The overall price action suggests caution, with a bearish bias in the short term.
NSE:TIMETECHNOLong
by KarniKripaa
Three Black Crows: How to Spot and Profit from Bearish ReversalsHello Traders! I hope you’re all doing great! Today, we’ll discuss the Three Black Crows candlestick pattern, one of the most reliable bearish reversal patterns you can find in technical analysis. If you're serious about identifying potential trend reversals, understanding this pattern is essential. The Three Black Crows is a powerful bearish signal that typically marks the end of an uptrend. It consists of three consecutive long red (or black) candles that close progressively lower, showing strong selling pressure and a shift in momentum. This pattern is particularly effective when it forms at a key resistance level, and it can lead to significant price declines. What is the Three Black Crows Pattern? The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern signals the reversal of an uptrend. The pattern forms when: The first candle is a large red candle, closing near the low of the day. The second candle opens below the first one and closes lower. The third candle opens lower than the second one and closes near its low. Each candle in the sequence is characterized by strong bearish price action, and their alignment suggests that bears are gaining control. Key Characteristics of the Three Black Crows Pattern Bearish Trend Reversal: Three long red candles following an uptrend suggest a shift in momentum from buyers to sellers. Strong Resistance Zone: The pattern is more reliable when it forms near a strong resistance level, where the price has struggled to move past in the past. Closing at the Low: Each of the three candles closes near their respective lows, showing increasing selling pressure. Volume Confirmation: Volume should ideally increase with each successive candle, confirming that bears are taking control. How to Trade the Three Black Crows Pattern Entry Point: After the formation of the third candle, consider entering a short position once the price breaks the low of the third candle. This confirms the bearish trend. Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just above the high of the third candle to minimize risk in case of a false breakout. Profit Target: Measure the distance from the high of the pattern to the low of the third candle. Project this distance downward from the breakout point to estimate your profit target. Real-World Application: Tata Consultancy Services Case Study In the chart of Tata Consultancy Services (above), we can see a classic example of the Three Black Crows pattern. The price formed a resistance zone and then saw the three consecutive bearish candles break the support, confirming the bearish trend reversal. The huge fall after the pattern’s confirmation indicates the power of this candlestick formation. Risk Management Considerations Position Sizing: Adjust your position size based on your risk tolerance and make sure it fits within your overall portfolio strategy. Stop Loss Placement: Place your stop loss above the third candle to avoid potential losses from a false breakout. Confirmation with Volume: Always wait for volume confirmation before entering the trade. Volume should increase as the pattern forms. What This Means for Traders The Three Black Crows is an excellent pattern to spot potential trend reversals, especially after an uptrend. This pattern works best when combined with other technical indicators like trendlines, support and resistance, and moving averages to confirm the trend reversal. Look for the pattern at resistance levels to identify high-probability bearish reversals. Confirm with volume to increase the reliability of the pattern. Use proper stop loss placement to manage your risk and ensure a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Conclusion The Three Black Crows candlestick pattern is a reliable bearish reversal signal that can help traders capitalize on price declines. By identifying the pattern correctly, waiting for confirmation, and applying solid risk management strategies, you can improve your trading success. Have you traded using the Three Black Crows pattern? Share your experiences in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together!
NSE:TCSEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Franklin FTSE India UCITS ETF: Why you should hold this ETFHello, Franklin FTSE India UCITS ETF (the “Fund”) invests in large and mid-capitalisation stocks in India. The Fund is passively managed and seeks to track the performance of the FTSE India 30/18 Capped Index (Net Return) (the “Index”) as closely as possible, regardless of whether the Index level rises or falls. The Index comprises Indian large and mid-cap equities. The securities in which the Fund invests will be primarily listed or traded on recognised markets globally in accordance with the limits set out in the UCITS Regulations. OUR VIEW ON THE ETF In 2024, the Nifty 50—India’s benchmark stock index representing the 50 largest companies on the NSE—rallied over 20% between January and September. However, a 12% correction followed as investors locked in profits, with additional pressure from election-related economic uncertainty. Looking ahead to 2025, India's economic outlook remains robust. The recovery in domestic private consumption, coupled with sustained government spending, is expected to accelerate economic momentum. This, in turn, should drive corporate earnings growth, reinforcing India’s position as the fastest-growing major economy. Despite some concerns about potential U.S. trade tariffs, we see this as a low-risk factor. The strong diplomatic ties between Prime Minister Modi and U.S. President Donald Trump create a favorable backdrop for negotiations. Modi’s recent U.S. visit coincided with Trump's call for reciprocal tariffs on trade partners, including India, which currently enjoys a trade surplus with the U.S. However, both leaders have committed to working toward a trade agreement by autumn 2025, focusing on tariff reductions, market access, and supply chain integration. With political stability, ongoing economic reforms, and a promising trade outlook, India is well-positioned for continued growth in the medium to long term. The Franklin FTSE India UCITS ETF is heavily weighted in Financials, IT, and Consumer Discretionary—three strong-performing sectors. Despite a -3.29% return as of January 2025, we believe the ETF remains a solid investment for both current holders and potential entrants. The funds benchmark The FTSE India 30/18 Capped Index represents the performance of Indian large and mid-capitalization stocks. The fund is heavily invested in companies that are fairly large with more than 50% invested in companies with a market cap above 25 billion USD. Our recommendation is a hold on the ETF. Given the fund's 22.22% cumulative return over the past three years, we anticipate a positive performance for the remainder of 2025.
EURONEXT:FLXILong
by thesharkke
MOIL Date 18.02.2025 MOIL Timeframe : Weekly Chart Technical Remarks : Neckline is make or break @ 61% + long term support/resistance, Below 200 weekly exponential moving average is a spoiler. Neckline or 200 WEMA are tow great stop-loss or on bounce great to have a entry. SOME KEY LEARNINGS ABOUT COMPANY MOIL is the largest producer of manganese ore in India, with a market share of 50%. MOIL Limited (MOIL) exports manganese ore from India to other countries, but not yet to the United States. In 2022, India's manganese ore exports went to Turkey, Poland, South Africa, Denmark, and Vietnam MOIL is looking to expand its operations overseas to acquire manganese ore mines and other critical minerals. MOIL is considering joint ventures with states like Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh to mine manganese ore. MOIL is also looking to expand into regions like Africa (Gabon and South Africa), Australia, and Latin America (Brazil) for manganese mining. MOIL has completed due diligence on a project in Gabon and is considering signing a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with the Gabonese government. Regards, Ankur
NSE:MOIL
by AnkurSingh
HDFC - DIRT CHEAP BLUECHIP HDFC is down for unknown reasons. HDFC reported terrific quarterly numbers and is poised to hold no 1 position in the banking sector in India. Why i will heavily invest in HDFC at this price point: the expected dividend income will beat the interest rates of FD done in the bank :) The bank's EPS should grow appreciably in the large cap bucket as it will continue to generate more cash flows over time Think this is a great time to buy for the long term. Have initiated bulk buys at this zone Buy and forget!!
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by aditya_biswas
Technical analysis of Nifty50Trend Analysis: Range-Bound: The Nifty 50 is trading within a defined range between the support zone (₹22,800) and a psychological level around ₹23,000. Resistance Levels: There is a crucial resistance at ₹23,200. Price Action: Recently, the index has shown attempts to break out from the minor support, and price movements suggest it's heading towards the resistance level. Volume: Volume is above average, indicating stronger buying interest. This is notable as it suggests potential for continued upward movement. Potential Scenarios: Bullish Scenario: If the index crosses above ₹23,000, the next target could be around ₹23,200, creating momentum for further gains. Bearish Scenario: If it drops below the support zone of ₹22,800, it could retest lower levels, possibly back to ₹22,680. Trading Plan 23,000, consider entering a long position. Target: ₹23,200 Stop-Loss: ₹22,800 Sell Signal: If it falls below the support level of ₹22,800, consider entering a short position. Target: ₹22,680 Stop-Loss: ₹23,000
NSE:NIFTY
by TradeAXN
Mastering the Cup & Handle Pattern for Profitable BreakoutsCup & Handle Chart Pattern – A Powerful Setup for Breakouts Hey Traders! I hope you’re all doing great! Today, let's break down the Cup & Handle Chart Pattern —this one’s a gem for those who want to ride uptrends with confidence. If you’re looking to catch strong breakouts, this pattern will definitely help you spot them! What is the Cup & Handle Pattern? The Cup & Handle pattern shows up after a nice rally in price, followed by a cool-down phase where the price takes a breather and forms a rounded bottom (the cup). After that, we get a small pullback (the handle), which sets up the price for another breakout in the same direction. It’s like the market catches its breath before jumping higher again. Key Characteristics of the Cup & Handle Pattern Cup : The rounded bottom after a price correction. It’s where the market takes its time to consolidate before pushing up again. Handle : A shallow pullback after the cup, just to catch a little rest before the next move up. Breakout : The key moment when the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup), signaling that the uptrend is ready to continue. Volume Confirmation : You’ll usually see volume dropping during the cup and handle formation, then a spike in volume when the breakout happens. This confirms the strength of the move. How to Trade the Cup & Handle Pattern Like a Pro Entry Point : The best time to jump in is after the price breaks above the neckline (the top of the cup). For example, in EID Parry India Ltd , the entry point is at 719.20 once the breakout happens. Stop Loss : Keep your stop loss just below the handle’s base (around 597.45 ) to protect yourself in case the breakout fails. Profit Target : To set your target, measure the distance from the base of the cup to the neckline, then project that distance upwards from the breakout point. In this case, the target would be around 954.50 , which is a 46.15% potential gain. Real-World Application: EID Parry Case Study Looking at EID Parry India Ltd , we can see a perfect Cup & Handle setup. After a dip, the stock formed the cup, followed by the handle, and then broke out above the neckline. From here, we can calculate the target based on the cup’s height, which gives us a target of 954.50 . Conclusion The Cup & Handle pattern is one of the most reliable continuation setups you can find. Spotting the cup, waiting for the breakout, and using proper risk management can increase your chances of success in trending markets. Have you traded using the Cup & Handle pattern? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! Let’s keep learning and growing together as traders!
NSE:EIDPARRYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Michael Steinhardt's Secrets to Macro Trading & Risk ManagementMichael Steinhardt: The Master of Macro Trading and Risk Management Hello Traders! Today, we’ll be diving into the trading journey of Michael Steinhardt , one of the most successful hedge fund managers of all time. Known for his macro trading strategies and exceptional risk management , Steinhardt built a fortune by analyzing global economic trends and capitalizing on large-scale opportunities. His ability to predict market movements and his contrarian approach made him a standout in the investment world. Steinhardt’s philosophy has always been about staying ahead of the market by focusing on big-picture trends while managing risk. He believes in making large-scale bets that align with macroeconomic conditions and using strict risk controls to protect capital. "The greatest investors know that it’s not just about making money, but managing your risk to ensure the longevity of your wealth." Let’s explore Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading , risk management , and some of his most successful trades. Michael Steinhardt’s Key Trading Principles Focus on Macro Trends : Steinhardt’s expertise lay in macro trading , where he used global economic and political events to guide his investment decisions. By focusing on major economic forces such as inflation, interest rates, and global conflicts, Steinhardt identified high-probability trades that aligned with long-term market movements. Risk Management is Key : For Steinhardt, risk management was always top priority. He made large bets, but always with a clear plan on how to minimize losses. He was never afraid to cut his losses quickly, ensuring that no single trade could threaten his capital. Contrarian Betting : Steinhardt often made contrarian bets , going against the prevailing market sentiment when he saw opportunities. This mindset allowed him to capitalize on market inefficiencies , especially when most investors were following trends blindly. Stay Flexible and Adaptable : Steinhardt’s ability to adapt to changing market conditions is one of his defining traits. He was never married to a single position and was always open to adjusting his strategy if the market environment shifted. Large-Scale Opportunities : Steinhardt focused on high-impact trades . Whether it was currency movements, commodities, or stock indices, he made calculated decisions that aligned with his macro view of the world . How Michael Steinhardt Made His Fortune Steinhardt’s hedge fund, Steinhardt Partners , was founded in 1967, and over the years, it became one of the most profitable investment firms in the world. His unique approach to macro trading allowed him to make massive gains during some of the most volatile periods in history, including the 1970s oil crisis and the 1987 stock market crash . His contrarian strategies also led him to big profits in the currency markets and commodities during times of global economic unrest. Risk Management and Flexibility Steinhardt was well known for his aggressive risk management strategy . He used techniques like hedging and diversifying his positions to protect his capital from large market swings. This allowed him to stay in the game during times of market stress and continue making profitable trades. He also emphasized flexibility . If an investment thesis was proven wrong, he was quick to exit the position and look for new opportunities. Adaptation and quick action became hallmarks of his successful trading approach. What We Can Learn from Michael Steinhardt’s Trading Philosophy Michael Steinhardt’s approach to trading is a fantastic lesson in macro analysis , risk management , and flexibility . Here are the key takeaways: Focus on macro trends to make large-scale, informed trades. Manage risk effectively to preserve capital and protect against unforeseen market shifts. Don’t be afraid to go against the crowd when your analysis tells you a different story. Adapt to changing market conditions and avoid sticking to rigid strategies that no longer align with the market environment. Conclusion Michael Steinhardt’s legacy as one of the greatest hedge fund managers comes down to his macro trading expertise , his strict risk management , and his adaptable mindset . He was able to navigate volatile markets by using his deep understanding of global trends and staying true to his analysis. What’s your take on Michael Steinhardt’s approach to macro trading? Let’s discuss in the comments below. Happy trading, and keep learning from the best!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
Redington in Blue Sky With Vol Post Q3NSE:REDINGTON is now in blue sky with Vol. Post Q3. With RSI and MACD Trending Up. About: NSE:REDINGTON is a leading IT and mobility product distributor and a supply chain management solutions and support services provider in India, the Middle East, Turkey and Africa. Trade Setup: As it's in the blue sky, there is no target just wait for pullbacks and buy on dips keeping the mentioned Supports as Stop Loss. Target(Take Profit): Depends on your entry just keep 1:1 at least. Stop Loss: Entry Candle Low for Swing Trader and Recent Swing Lows for Positional Trader. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by Karanshah137
PB Fintech Broke Base, Attempted but failed to go back inNSE:POLICYBZR today confirmed that it broke its base and while retesting it couldn't and faced supply with MACD getting Negative and 50 DSMA trending down. About: PB Fintech Ltd, popularly known as NSE:POLICYBZR is India’s largest online platform for insurance and lending products through its flagship brands - Policybazaar and Paisabazaar platform through which they provide convenient access to insurance, credit and other financial products. F&O Activity: Short Buildup in Futures with 1700 CE Gaining Significant OI. Trade Setup: It looks like a good 1:1 trade setup, with the recent swing high as a strong resistance zone, the MACD is Trending Down along with 50 DSMA. Target(Take Profit): Around 1354 Levels for Positional Trader and 1400 for Swing Trader. Stop Loss: Entry Candle High for Swing Trader and Recent Swing High or 1700 Levels for Positional Trader. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:POLICYBZRShort
by Karanshah137