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Crude Oil Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st Dec., 2024🚀 Unlock the potential with my Crude Oil Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st December, 2024! ✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️ 📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 6109 📅 Day Range: 104 📈 Long Position 🔹 Buy Above: 6090 🎯 Target 1: 6173 🎯 Target 2: 6213 ⛔ Stoploss: 6056 📉 Short Position 🔹 Sell Below: 6066 🎯 Target 1: 6045 🎯 Target 2: 6005 ⛔ Stoploss: 6100 ✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈 🚀 How to Trade with Numro Trader Intraday Levels Buy Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close above DRTP or Buy Above level. 📈 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the high of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a buy order at the active level (DRTP or Buy Above). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from below DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 30 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. Sell Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close below DRTP or Sell Below level. 📉 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the low of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a sell order at the active level (DRTP or Sell Below). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from above DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 30 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. #CrudeOil #IntradayTrading #MCX #NumroTrader
MCX:CRUDEOIL1!
by NumroTrader
Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st Dec., 2024🚀 Unlock the potential with my Bank Nifty Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st December, 2024! ✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️ 📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 50953 📅 Day Range: 1261 📈 Long Position 🔹 Buy Above: 51498 🎯 Target 1: 51732 🎯 Target 2: 52214 ⛔ Stoploss: 51077 📉 Short Position 🔹 Sell Below: 51200 🎯 Target 1: 50173 🎯 Target 2: 49691 ⛔ Stoploss: 51621 ✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈 🚀 How to Trade with Numro Trader Intraday Levels Buy Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close above DRTP or Buy Above level. 📈 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the high of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a buy order at the active level (DRTP or Buy Above). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from below DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 65 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. Sell Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close below DRTP or Sell Below level. 📉 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the low of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a sell order at the active level (DRTP or Sell Below). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from above DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 65 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. #BankNifty #IntradayTrading #StockMarket #NumroTrader
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by NumroTrader
Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st Dec., 24🚀 Unlock the potential with my Nifty 50 Intraday Technical Analysis for 31st December, 2024! ✨ Boost, follow, and engage for updates. Your support means a lot! 🚀❤️ 📍 Day Range Trigger Point (DRTP): 23645 📅 Day Range: 316 📈 Long Position 🔹 Buy Above: 23795 🎯 Target 1: 23840 🎯 Target 2: 23961 ⛔ Stoploss: 23689 📉 Short Position 🔹 Sell Below: 23720 🎯 Target 1: 23450 🎯 Target 2: 23329 ⛔ Stoploss: 23825 ✨ My strategies are backed by 6+ years of research and proven success in trading indices, commodities, and more. Connect to know more for Intraday Levels and Live Market Confirmations. 📈 🚀 How to Trade with Numro Trader Intraday Levels Buy Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close above DRTP or Buy Above level. 📈 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the high of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a buy order at the active level (DRTP or Buy Above). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from below DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 30 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. Sell Setup 🕒 Wait for a 5-Min. candle to close below DRTP or Sell Below level. 📉 Confirm breakout with a candle breaking the low of the breaking candle. 🛒 Enter a sell order at the active level (DRTP or Sell Below). 🎯 Target: Aim for Target 2 (if the market is coming directly from DRTP) or Target 1 (if coming from above DRTP). ⚠️ Exit Rule: Set stoploss of 30 points exactly from the active level. Avoid re-entering after achieving the target. #Nifty50 #IntradayTrading #StockMarket #NumroTrader
NSE:NIFTY
by NumroTrader
HOW-TO use the Rainbow Indicator? (full guide)Below is a complete instruction on how to use the Rainbow Indicator along with examples. This indicator is an important facet of my decision-making system because it allows me to answer two important questions: - At what price should I make a trade with the selected shares? - In what volume? Part 1: Darts Set My concept of investing in stocks is buying great companies during a sell-off . Of course, this idea is not unique. One way or another, this was said by the luminaries of value investing – Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. However, the implementation of this concept may vary depending on the preferences of each investor.To find great companies, I use the Fundamental strength indicator , and to plan opening and closing positions I use the Rainbow indicator. To begin your acquaintance with the Rainbow Indicator, ⁣ I would like to invite you to take part in a mental experiment. Imagine two small rooms for a game of darts. Each room has a different target hanging in it. It can be anywhere: center, left, right, bottom, or top. Target #1 from the first room looks like a small red circle. Target #2 from the second room looks like a larger red circle. You get a reward for hitting the target, calculated according to the following principle: the smaller the target in relation to the wall surface, the greater the reward you get. You have 100 darts in your hand, that is 100 attempts to hit the target. For each attempt, you pay $10. So to play this unusual game of darts, you take with you $1,000. Now, the most important condition is that you play in absolute darkness . So you don't know exactly what part of the wall the target is hanging in, so all your years of darts practice don't matter here. The question is: Which room will you choose? This is where you begin to think. Since your skills and experience are almost completely untapped in this game, all of your attempts to hit a target will be random. This is a useful observation because it allows you to apply the theory of probability. The password is Jacob Bernoulli. This is the mathematician who derived the formula by which you can calculate the probability of a successful outcome for a limited number of attempts. In our case, a successful outcome is a dart hitting the target as many times as necessary in order to, at least, not lose anything. In the case of Target #1, it is one hit or more. In the case of Target 2, it is 10 hits or more. The probability of hitting Target #1 is 1/100 or 1% (since the target area occupies 1% of the wall area). The probability of hitting Target #2 is 10/100 or 10% (since the target area occupies 10% of the wall area). The number of attempts is equal to the number of darts - 100. Now we have all the data to calculate. So, Bernoulli's formula : According to this formula: - The probability of one or more hits on Target #1 is 63% (out of 100%). - The probability of ten or more hits on Target #2 is 55% (out of 100%). You may say, "I think we should go to the first room". However, take your time with this conclusion because it is interesting to calculate the probability of not hitting the target even once, i.e., losing $1,000. We calculate using the same formula: - The probability of not hitting Target #1 is 37% (out of 100%). - The probability of not hitting Target #2 is 0.0027% (out of 100%). If we calculate the ratio of the probability of a successful outcome to the probability of losing the whole amount, we get: - For the first room = 1.7 - For the second room = 20370 You know, I like the second room better. This mental experiment reflects my approach to investing in stocks. The first room is an example of a strategy where you try to find the perfect entry point - to buy at a price below which the stock will not fall. The second room reflects an approach where you're not chasing a specific price level, but thinking in price ranges. In both cases, you'll have plenty of attempts, but in the first room, the risk of losing everything is much greater than in the second room. Now let me show you my target, ⁣ which is a visual interpretation of the Rainbow Indicator. It also hangs on the wall, in absolute darkness, and only becomes visible after I have used all the darts. Before the game starts, I announce the color where I want to go. The probability of hitting decreases from blue to green, and then to orange and red. That is, the smaller the color area, the less likely it is to successfully hit the selected color. However, the size of the reward also increases according to the same principle - the smaller the area of ​​color, the greater the reward. Throwing a dart is an attempt to close a position with a profit. Hitting the selected color is a position closed with a profit. Missing the selected color means the position is closed at a loss. Now imagine that in the absolutely dark room where I am, I have a flashlight. Thanks to it, I have the opportunity to see in which part of the wall the target is located. This gives me a significant advantage because now I throw darts not blindly, but with a precise understanding of where I am aiming. Light shining on the wall increases the probability of a successful outcome, which can also be estimated using the Bernoulli formula. Let's say I have 100 darts in my hands, that is, one hundred attempts to hit the chosen target. The probability of a dart hitting a red target (without the help of a flashlight) is 10%, and with the help of a flashlight, for example, 15%. That is, my ability to throw darts improves the probability of hitting the target by 5%. For hitting the red target, I get $100, and for each throw I pay $10. In this case, the probability of hitting the red target ten or more times is 94.49% (out of 100%) versus 55% (out of 100%) without a flashlight. In other words, under these game conditions and the assumptions made, if I try all 100 darts, the probability of recouping all my expenses will be 94.49% if I aim only at the red target. In my decision-making system, such a "flashlight" is the Fundamental strength indicator, dynamics of cash flows, the P/E ratio and the absence of critical news. And the darts set (target and darts) is a metaphor for the Rainbow Indicator. However, please note that all probabilities of positive outcomes are assumptions and are provided only for the purpose of example and understanding of the approach I have chosen. Stocks of public companies are not a guaranteed income instrument, nor are any indicators associated with them. Part 2: Margin of safety The idea to create the Rainbow Indicator came to me thanks to the concept of "margin of safety" coined by the father of value investing, Benjamin Graham. According to his idea, it is reasonable to buy shares of a company only when the price offered by the market is lower than the "intrinsic value" calculated based on financial statements. The value of this difference is the "margin of safety". At the same time, the indicator does not copy Graham's idea but develops it relying on my own methodology. So, according to Graham, the "margin of safety" is a good discount to the intrinsic value of the company. That is, if a company's stock is trading at prices that are well below the company's intrinsic value (on a per-share basis), it's a good opportunity to consider buying it. In this case, you will have a certain margin of safety in case the company is in financial distress and its stock price goes down. Accordingly, the greater the discount, the better. When it comes to the intrinsic value of a company, there are many approaches to determining it - from calculating the Price-to-book value financial ratio to the discounted cash flow method. As for my approach, I don’t try to find the coveted intrinsic value/cost, but I try to understand how fundamentally strong the company in front of me is, and how many years it will take to pay off my investment in it. To decide to buy shares, I use the following sequence of actions: - Determining fundamental strength of a company and analysis of cash flows using the Fundamental Strength Indicator. - Analysis of the recoupment period of investments using P/E ratio . - Analysis of critical news . - Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator. To decide to sell shares, I use: - Analysis of the current price using Rainbow Indicator. - Or The Rule of Replacement of Stocks in a Portfolio . - Or Force majeure Position Closing Rule . Thus, the Rainbow indicator is always used in tandem with other indicators and analysis methods when buying stocks. However, in the case of selling previously purchased shares, I can only use the Rainbow indicator or one of the rules that I will discuss below. Next, we will consider the methodology for calculating the Rainbow Indicator. Indicator calculation methodology The Rainbow indicator starts with a simple moving average of one year (this is the thick red line in the center). Hereinafter, a year will mean the last 252 trading days. Applying a moving average of this length - is a good way to smooth out sharp price fluctuations which can happen during a year as much as possible, keeping the trend direction as much as possible. Thus, the moving average becomes for me the center of fluctuations of the imaginary pendulum of the market price. Then the deviations are calculated from the center of fluctuations. To achieve this, a certain number of earnings per share is subtracted from and added to the moving average. This is the diluted EPS of the last year. Deviations with a "-" sign from the Lower Rainbow of four colors: - The Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -4 EPS and ends with a deflection of -8 EPS. - The Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -8 EPS and ends with a deflection of -16 EPS. - The Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -16 EPS and ends with a deflection of -32 EPS. - The Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow begins with a deflection of -32 EPS and goes to infinity. The Lower Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for buying stocks. It is in the spectra of the Lower Rainbow that the very "margin of safety" according to my methodology is located. The Lower Rainbow has the boundaries between the spectra as a solid line . And only the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow has only one boundary. Deviations with a "+" sign from the Upper Rainbow of four similar colors: - The Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of 0 EPS and ends with a deflection of +4 EPS. - The Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +4 EPS and ends with a deflection of +8 EPS. - The Green Spectrum top rainbow begins with a deflection of +8 EPS and ends with a deflection of +16 EPS. - The Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow begins with a deflection of +16 EPS and goes to infinity. The Upper Rainbow is used to determine the price ranges that can be considered for selling stocks already purchased. The top rainbow has boundaries between the spectra in the form of crosses . And only the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow has only one boundary. The presence of the Empty Area (the size of 4 EPS) above the Lower Rainbow creates some asymmetry between the two rainbows - the Lower Rainbow looks wider than the Upper Rainbow. This asymmetry is deliberate because the market tends to fall much faster and deeper than it grows . Therefore, a wider Lower Rainbow is conducive to buying stocks at a good discount during a period of massive "sell-offs". The situation when the Lower Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations (the thick red line) and the Upper Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations is called an Obverse . It is only possible to buy a stock in an Obverse situation. The situation when the Lower Rainbow is above the center of fluctuations and the Upper Rainbow is below the center of fluctuations is called Reverse . In this situation, the stock cannot be considered for purchase , according to my approach. Selling a previously purchased stock is possible in both situations: Reverse and Obverse. After loading the indicator, you can see a hint next to the closing price - Reverse or Obverse now. Because the size of the deviation from the center of fluctuation depends on the size of the diluted EPS, several important conclusions can be made: - The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about the growth of profits in the companies. - The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Obverse situation tells me about a decrease in profits in the companies. - The increase in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the growth of losses in the companies. - The decrease in the width of both rainbows in the Reverse situation tells me about the decrease in losses in the companies. - The higher the company's level of profit, the larger my "margin of safety" should be. This will provide the necessary margin of safety in the event of a transition to a cycle of declining financial results. The corresponding width of the Lower Rainbow will just create this "reserve". - The growth in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to stay in the position longer due to the expansion of the Upper Rainbow. - A decrease in profit in the company (after buying its shares) will allow me to close the position faster due to the narrowing of the Upper Rainbow. So the Rainbow indicator shows me a price range that can be considered for purchase if all the necessary conditions are met. By being in this price range, my investment will have a certain margin of safety or "margin of safety." It will also tell me when to exit a stock position based on the company's earnings analysis. Part 3: Crazy Mr. Market The Fundamental strength of a company influences the long-term price performance of its shares. This is a thesis that I believe in and use in my work. A company that does not live in debt and quickly converts its goods or services into money will be appreciated by the market. This all sounds good, you say, but what should an investor do who needs to decide here and now? Moreover, one has to act in conditions of constant changes in market sentiment. Current talk about the company's excellent prospects can be replaced by a pessimistic view of it literally the next day. Therefore, the stock price chart of any companies, regardless of its fundamental strength, can resemble the chaotic drawings of preschool children. Working with such uncertainty required me to develop my own attitude towards it. Benjamin Graham's idea of market madness was of invaluable help to me in this. Imagine that the market is your business partner, "Mr. Market". Every day, he comes to your office to check in and offer you a deal with shares of your mutual companies. Sometimes he wants to buy your share, sometimes he intends to sell his. And each time he offers a price at random, relying only on his intuition. When he is in a panic and afraid of everything, he wants to get rid of his shares. When he feels euphoria and blind faith in the future, he wants to buy your share. This is how crazy your partner is. Why is he acting like this? According to Graham, this is how all investors behave who do not understand the real value/cost of what they own. They jump from side to side and do it with the regularity of a "maniac" every day. The smart investor's job is to understand the fundamental value of your business and just wait for the next visit from crazy Mr. Market. If he panics and offers to buy his stocks at a surprisingly low price, take them and wish him luck. If he begs you to sell him stocks and quotes an unusually high price, sell them and wish him luck. The Rainbow indicator is used to evaluate these two poles. Now let's look at the conditions of opening and closing a position according to the indicator. So, the Lower Rainbow has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each one highlights the desired range of prices acceptable for buying in an Obverse situation. The Blue Spectrum is upper regarding the Green Spectrum, and the Green Spectrum is lower regarding the Blue Spectrum, etc. - If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, that is a reason to consider that company for buying the first portion (*) of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider this company to buy a second portion of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), it is a reason to consider this company to buy a third portion of the stock. - If the current price has fallen below (into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow), that is a reason to consider that company to buy a fourth portion of the stock. (*) The logic of the Rainbow Indicator implies that no more than 4 portions of one company's stock can be purchased. One portion refers to the number of shares you can consider buying at the current price (depending on your account size and personal diversification ratio - see information below). The Upper Rainbow also has four differently colored spectra: blue, green, orange, and red. Each of them highlights the appropriate range of prices acceptable for closing an open position. - If the current price is in the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. - If the current price is in the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, I close one portion of an open position bought in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. This position-closing logic applies to both the Obverse and Reverse situations. In both cases, the position is closed in portions in four steps. However, there are 3 exceptions to this rule when it is possible to close an entire position in whole rather than in parts: 1. If there is a Reverse situation and the current price is above the thick red line. 2.if I decide to invest in another company and I do not have enough free finances to purchase the required number of shares (Portfolio Replacement Rule). 3. If I learn of events that pose a real threat to the continued existence of the companies (for example, filing for bankruptcy), I can close the position earlier, without waiting for the price to fall into the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectrum (Force majeure Position Closing Rule). So, the basic scenario of opening and closing a position assumes the gradual purchase of shares in 4 stages and their gradual sale in 4 stages. However, there is a situation where one of the stages is skipped in the case of buying shares and in the case of selling them. For example, because the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio became acceptable for me only at a certain stage (spectrum) or the moment was missed for a transaction due to technical reasons. In such cases, I buy or sell more than one portion of a stock in the spectrum I am in. The number of additional portions will depend on the number of missed spectra. For example, if I have no position in the stock of the company in question, all conditions for buying the stock have been met, and the current price is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, I can buy three portions of the stock at once (for the Blue, Green, and Orange Spectrum). I will sell these three portions in the corresponding Upper Rainbow spectra (orange, green, and blue). However, if, for some reason, the Orange Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow was missed, and the current price is in the Green Spectrum - I will sell two portions of the three (in the Green Spectrum). I will sell the last, third portion only when the price reaches the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. The table also contains additional information in the form of the current value of the company's market capitalization and P/E ratio. This allows me to use these two indicators within one indicator. Returning to the madness of the market, I would like to mention that this is a reality that cannot be fought, but can be used to achieve results. To get a sense of this, I will give an example of one of the stereotypes of an investor who uses fundamental analysis in his work.His thinking might be: If I valued a company on its financial performance and bought it, then I should stay in the position long enough to justify my expenses of analysis. In this way, the investor deliberately deprives himself of flexibility in decision-making. He will be completely at a loss if the financial performance starts to deteriorate rapidly and the stock price starts to decline rapidly. It is surprising that the same condition will occur in the case of a rapid upward price movement. The investor will torment himself with the question "what to do?" because I just bought stocks of this company, expecting to hold them for the long term. It is at moments like these that I'm aware of the value of the Rainbow Indicator. If it is not a force majeure or a Reverse situation, I just wait until the price reaches the Upper Rainbow. Thus, I can close the position in a year, in a month or in a few weeks. I don't have a goal to hold an open position for a long time, but I do have a goal to constantly adhere to the chosen investment strategy. Part 4: Diversification Ratio If the price is in the Lower Rainbow range and all other criteria are met, it is a good time to ask yourself, "How many shares to buy?" To answer this question, I need to understand how many companies I plan to invest in. Here I adhere to the principle of diversification - that is, distributing investments between the shares of several companies. What is this for? To reduce the impact of any company on the portfolio as a whole. Remember the old saying: don't put all your eggs in one basket. Like baskets, stocks can fall and companies can file for bankruptcy and leave the exchange. In this regard, diversification is a way to avoid losing capital due to investing in only one company. How do I determine the minimum number of companies for a portfolio? This amount depends on my attitude towards the capital that I will use to invest in stocks. If I accept the risk of losing 100% of my capital, then I can only invest in one company. It can be said that in this case there is no diversification. If I accept the risk of losing 50% of my capital, then I should invest in at least two companies, and so on. I just divide 100% by the percentage of capital that I can safely lose. The resulting number, rounded to the nearest whole number, is the minimum number of companies for my portfolio. As for the maximum value, it is also easy to determine. To achieve this, you need to multiply the minimum number of companies by four (this is how many spectra the Lower or Upper Rainbow of the indicator contains). How many companies I end up with in my portfolio will depend on from this set of factors. However, this amount will always fluctuate between the minimum and maximum, calculated according to the principle described above. I call the maximum possible number of companies in a portfolio the diversification coefficient. It is this coefficient that is involved in calculating the number of shares needed to be purchased in a particular spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. How does this work? Let's go to the indicator settings and fill in the necessary fields for the calculation. + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes +Cash in - the number of finances deposited into my account -Cash out - the number of finances withdrawn from my account +/-Closed Profit/Loss - profit or loss on closed positions +Dividends - dividends received on the account -Fees - broker and exchange commission -Taxes - taxes debited from the account Diversification coefficient The diversification coefficient determines how diversified I want my portfolio to be. For example, a diversification coefficient of 20 means that I plan to buy 20 share portions of different companies, but no more than 4 portions per company (based on the number of Lower Rainbow spectra). The cost of purchased shares of this company (fees excluded) Here, I specify the amount of already purchased shares of the company in question in the currency of my portfolio. For example, if at this point, I have purchased 1000 shares at $300 per share, and my portfolio is expressed in $, I enter - $300,000. The cost of all purchased shares in the portfolio (fees excluded) Here, I enter the amount of all purchased shares for all companies in the currency of my portfolio (without commissions spent on the purchase). This is necessary to determine the amount of available funds available to purchase shares. After entering all the necessary data, I move on to the checkbox, by checking which I confirm that the company in question has successfully passed all preliminary stages of analysis (Fundamental strength indicator, P/E ratio, critical news). Without the check, the calculation is not performed. This is done intentionally because the use of the Rainbow Indicator for the purpose of purchasing shares is possible only after passing all the preliminary stages. Next, I click "Ok" and get the calculation in the form of a table on the left. Market Capitalization The value of a company's market capitalization, expressed in the currency of its stock price. Price / EPS Diluted Current value of the P/E ratio. Free cash in portfolio This is the amount of free cash available to purchase stocks. Please note that the price of the stock and the funds in your portfolio must be denominated in the same currency. On TradingView, you can choose which currency to display the stock price in. Cash amount for one portion The amount of cash needed to buy one portion of a stock. This depends on the diversification ratio entered. If you divide this value + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes by the diversification coefficient, you get Cash amount for one portion . Potential portions amount Number of portions, available for purchase at the current price. It can be a fractional number. Cash amount to buy The amount of cash needed to buy portions available for purchase at the current price. Shares amount to buy Number of shares in portions available for purchase at the current price. Thus, the diversification ratio is a significant parameter of my stocks' investment strategy. It shows both the limit on the number of companies and the limit on the number of portions for the portfolio. It also participates in calculating the number of finances and shares to purchase at the current price level. Changing the diversification coefficient is possible already during the process of investing in stocks. If my capital ( + Cash in - Cash out +/- Closed Profit/Loss + Dividends - Fees - Taxes ) has changed significantly (by more than Cash amount for one portion ), I always ask myself the same question: "What risk (as a percentage of capital) is acceptable for me now?" If the answer involves a change in the minimum number of companies in the portfolio, then the diversification ratio will also be recalculated. Therefore, the number of finances needed to purchase one portion will also change. We can say that the diversification ratio controls the distribution of finances among my investments. Part 5: Prioritization and Exceptions to the Rainbow Indicator Rules When analyzing a company and its stock price using the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the Rainbow Indicator, a situation may arise where all the conditions for buying are met in two or more companies. At the same time, ⁣ Free cash in the portfolio does not allow me to purchase the required number of portions from different companies. In that case, I need to decide which companies I will give priority to. To decide, I follow the following rules: 1. Priority is given to companies from the top-tier sector group (how these groups are defined is explained in this article ). That is, the first group prevails over the second, and the second over the third. These companies must also meet the purchase criteria described in Part 2. 2. If after applying the first rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the value of the Fundamental Strength Indicator. Priority is given to companies that have a fundamental strength of 8 points or higher. They must also be within two points of the leader in terms of fundamental strength. For example, if a leader has a fundamental strength of 12 points, then the range under consideration will be from 12 to 10 points. 3. If, after applying the second rule, two or more companies received priority, I look at which spectrum of the Lower Rainbow the current price of these companies is in. If a company's stock price is on the lower end of the spectrum, I give it priority. 4. If, after applying the third rule, two or more companies have received priority, I look at the P/E ratio. The Company with the lower P/E ratio gets priority. After applying these four rules, I get the company with the highest priority. This is the company that wins the fight for my investment. To figure out the next priority to buy, I repeat this process over and over again to use up all the money I have allocated for investing in stocks. The second part of the guide mentioned two rules that I use when deciding whether to close positions: - The Rule for replacing shares in a portfolio. - Force majeure position closure Rule. They take priority over the Rainbow Indicator. This means that the position may be closed even if the Rainbow indicator does not signal this. Let's consider each rule separately. Portfolio stock replacement Rule Since company stocks are not an asset with a guaranteed return, I can get into a situation where the position is open for a long time without an acceptable financial result. That is, the price of the company's shares is not growing, and the Rainbow indicator does not signal the need to sell shares. In this case, I can replace the problematic companies with a new one. The criteria for a problem company are: - 3 months have passed since the position was opened. - Fundamental strength below 5 points. - The width of both rainbows decreased during the period of holding the position. To identify a new company that will take the place of the problematic one, I use the prioritization principle from this section. At the same time, I always consider this possibility as an option. The thing is that frequently replacing stocks in my portfolio is not a priority for me and is seen as a negative action. A new company would have to have really outstanding parameters for me to take advantage of this option. Force majeure position closure Rule If my portfolio contains stocks of a company that has critical news, then I can close the position without using the Rainbow Indicator. How to determine whether this news is critical or not is described in this article . Part 6: Examples of using the indicator Let’s consider the situation with NVIDIA Corporation stock (ticker - NVDA). September 02, 2022: Fundamental Strength Indicator - 11.46 (fundamentally strong company). P/E - 39.58 (acceptable to me). Current price - $136.47 (is in the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are filled out as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Orange Spectrum of Lower Rainbow at the current price = 10 shares. This corresponds to 2.73 portions. To give you an example, I buy 10 shares of NVDA at $136.47 per share. October 14, 2022: NVDA's stock price has moved into the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. The Fundamental Strength Indicator is 10.81 (fundamentally strong company). P/E is 35.80 (an acceptable level for me). Current price - $112.27 (is in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying this company's stock are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum at the current price (5 shares). This corresponds to 1.12 portions. To give you an example, I buy 5 shares of NVDA at $112.27 per share. A total of 3.85 portions were purchased, which is the maximum possible number of portions at the current price level. The remainder in the form of 0.15 portions can be purchased only at a price level below $75 per share. January 23, 2023: The price of NVDA stock passes through the Red Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow and stops in the Orange Spectrum. As an example, I sell 5 shares bought in the Red Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow, for example at $180 per share (+60%). And also a third of the shares bought in the Orange Spectrum, 3 shares out of 10, for example at $190 a share (+39%). That leaves me with 7 shares. January 27, 2023: NVDA's stock price has continued to rise and has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This is a reason to close some of the remaining 7 shares. I divide the 7 shares by 2 and round up to a whole number - that's 4 shares. For my example, I sell 4 shares at $199 a share (+46%). Now I am left with 3 shares of stock. February 02, 2023: The price of NVDA stock moves into the Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow, and I close the remaining 3 shares, for example, at $216 per share (+58%). The entire position in NVDA stock is closed. As you can see, the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio were not used in the process of closing the position. Decisions were made only based on the Rainbow Indicator. As another example, let's look at the situation with the shares of Papa Johns International, Inc. (ticker PZZA). November 01, 2017: Fundamental Strength Indicator - 13.22 points (fundamentally strong company). P/E - 21.64 (acceptable to me). Current price - $62.26 (is in the Blue Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are met. The settings of the Rainbow Indicator are filled as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Blue Spectrum at the current price - 8 shares. This corresponds to 1 portion. To give you an example, I buy 8 shares of PZZA at a price of $62.26. August 8, 2018: PZZA's share price has moved into the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow. The Fundamental Strength Indicator is a 9.83 (fundamentally strong company). P/E is 16.07 (an acceptable level for me). Current price - $38.94 (is in the Green Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow). Situation - Obverse. There is no critical news for the company. The basic conditions for buying shares of this company are still met. The Rainbow Indicator settings are populated as follows: The table to the left of the Rainbow Indicator shows how many shares are possible to buy in the Lower Rainbow Green Spectrum at the current price - 12 shares. This corresponds to 0.93 portions. To give you an example, I buy 12 shares of PZZA at a price of $38.94. A total of 1.93 portions were purchased. October 31, 2018: PZZA's stock price moves into the Upper Rainbow Red Spectrum and is $54.54 per share. Since I did not have any portions purchased in the Lower Rainbow Red Spectrum, there is no closing part of the position. February 01, 2019: After a significant decline, PZZA's stock price moves into the Orange Spectrum of the Lower Rainbow at $38.51 per share. However, I am not taking any action because the company's Fundamental Strength on this day is 5.02 (a fundamentally mediocre company). March 27, 2019: PZZA's stock price passes the green and Blue Spectrum of the Upper Rainbow. This allowed to close the previously purchased 12 shares, for example, at $50 a share (+28%) and 8 shares at $50.38 a share (-19%). Closing the entire position at once was facilitated by a significant narrowing in both rainbows. As we now know, this indicates a decline in earnings at the company. In conclusion of this instruction, I would like to remind you once again that any investment is associated with risk. Therefore, make sure that you understand all the nuances of the indicators before using them. Mandatory requirements for using the indicator: - Works only on a daily timeframe. - The indicator is only applicable to shares of public companies. - Quarterly income statements for the last year are required. - An acceptable for your P/E ratio is required to consider the company's stock for purchase. - The Rainbow Indicator only applies in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator. To consider a company's stock for purchase, you need confirmation that the company is fundamentally strong. What is the value of the Rainbow Indicator? - Clearly demonstrates a company's profit and loss dynamics. - Shows the price ranges that can be used to open and close a position. - Considers the principle of gradual increase and decrease in a position. - Allows calculating the number of shares to be purchased. - Shows the current value of the P/E ratio. - Shows the current capitalization of the company. Risk disclaimer When working with the Rainbow Indicator, keep in mind that the release of the Income statement (from which diluted EPS is derived) occurs some time after the end of the fiscal quarter. This means that the new relevant data for the calculation will only appear after the publication of the new statement. In this regard, there may be a significant change in the Rainbow Indicator after the publication of the new statement. The magnitude of this change will depend on both the content of the new statement and the number of days between the end of the financial quarter and the publication date of the statement. Before the publication date of the new statement, the latest actual data will be used for the calculations. Also, once again, please note that the Rainbow Indicator can only be used in tandem with the Fundamental Strength Indicator and the P/E ratio. Without these additional filters, the Rainbow Indicator loses its intended meaning. The Rainbow Indicator allows you to determine the price ranges for opening and closing a position gradually, based on available data and the methodology I created. You can also use it to calculate the number of shares you can consider buying, considering the position you already have. However, this Indicator and/or its description and examples cannot be used as the sole reason for buying or selling stocks or for any other action or inaction related to stocks.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Be_Capy
2
JINDALPOLY Trade set upBased on the TradingView search results, here's an analysis of JINDALPOLY's price action: **Key Price Insights** - The stock has been experiencing multiple rejections around the 700 price level - Currently showing potential for an upward move, with analysts suggesting it may break previous resistance - Potential price range identified between 850-880, with target prices projected at 1100, 1300, and potentially a new all-time high **Trading Recommendations** - Entry Point: Around 700 - Stop Loss: 670-700 - Potential Target Ranges: - Short-term: 1100 - Medium-term: 1300 - Long-term: New All-Time High **Technical Observations** - The stock appears to be bottoming out with significant buying volumes - Showing signs of a strong trendline breakout with volume surge **Caution** These are trading ideas and not definitive investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and risk assessment before making any trading decisions.
NSE:JINDALPOLYLong
by KarniKripaa
Greaves Cotton getting accumulated for Positional Trade.NSE:GREAVESCOT is getting accumulated for Positional Trade, as per the price action and volume analysis in the past few days since its subsidiary IPO was announced. MACD and RSI have been overheated but positive. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FLLOW for more 👍BOOST if useful ✍️COMMENT Below your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:GREAVESCOT
by Karanshah137
BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%DON’T HAVE TIME TO MANAGE YOUR TRADES? - Take BTST trades at 3:25 pm every day - Try to exit by taking 4-7% profit of each trade - SL can also be maintained as closing below the low of the breakout candle Now, why do I prefer BTST over swing trades? The primary reason is that I have observed that 90% of the stocks give most of the movement in just 1-2 days and the rest of the time they either consolidate or fall Round Bottom Breakout in INTELLECT BUY TODAY SELL TOMORROW for 5%
NSE:INTELLECT
by Kapil-Mittal
2
EURUSD Next possible move SAXO:EURUSD Here’s a detailed description for today’s bullish continuation in EUR/USD: --- ### **Title** *"EUR/USD Intraday Analysis: Bullish Momentum Holds | Buyers Dominate"* #### **Market Context** *"EUR/USD continues its upward move as the U.S. dollar weakens amid cautious market sentiment. The pair benefits from steady Eurozone fundamentals and a lack of immediate hawkish cues from the Federal Reserve."* #### **Technical Analysis** *"Today’s buy entry setup is supported by: - **Trend Structure**: Higher highs and higher lows sustain the bullish pattern. - **EMA Dynamics**: Price firmly above the 20 and 50 EMAs, signaling ongoing upward momentum. - **RSI**: Holding near 65, indicating strong buying interest. - **MACD**: Positive divergence with increasing histogram bars supports the bullish outlook. Key Levels: - **Support**: 1.0600 (intraday), 1.0575 (critical support). - **Resistance**: 1.0640 (immediate), 1.0670 (key resistance). A breakout above 1.0670 could drive further gains."* #### **News Context** *"Upcoming: U.S. Pending Home Sales and Eurozone inflation data are expected today, which could influence market dynamics. Previous: The pair gained momentum as traders capitalized on weaker-than-expected U.S. data last week."* #### **Call to Action** *"Will EUR/USD sustain its bullish trajectory or face resistance at higher levels? Share your views and trading setups below!"* --- Let me know if this works or if you’d like further adjustments!
Long
by RBSBALA
Suryoday Small Finance Bank Ltd Long Term view Suryoday Small Finance Bank Ltd is best banking stock and the undervalued stock . this stock is best small cap stock in banking sector because banking system is stragle from micro finance business so banking sector is undervalued and this stocks is more overvalued for the DCF method calculation this stock value : - stock Price is now : 134 Book value is now : 170 stock pe is now : 6 DCF Method calculated is value : 598 cheaper of now from the book value : 21% cheaper of now from the DCF value : 77.5% BEST ENTRY LEVEL IS : 115-135 5 year target of stock is : 1036 This is my analysis this stock so please investment this particular stock so research and advice own financial advisor .
BSE:SURYODAYLong
by sachinbadshah46
Top 5 Common Trading Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemHow to Avoid Common Trading Mistakes 1. Chasing Trades Due to FOMO Here’s what happens: • Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) often leads traders to jump into impulsive trades without proper analysis, resulting in poor entry points and unnecessary losses. What does it mean? • Jumping into trades without proper analysis increases risk and can cause emotional decisions. Outcome: • Stick to your trading plan. • Wait for confirmation signals like moving averages or RSI before entering a trade. 2. Ignoring Risk Management Here’s what happens: • Traders focus too much on profits while neglecting risk controls, leading to major losses. What does it mean? • Without proper risk management, a single bad trade can wipe out your portfolio. Outcome: • Always set a stop-loss to protect your trades. • Limit your risk to no more than 2% of your portfolio per trade. 3. Overtrading Here’s what happens: • Traders try to capture every market move, often leading to exhaustion and poor decision-making. What does it mean? • Overtrading reduces focus and increases emotional mistakes. Outcome: • Focus on high-probability setups that align with your strategy. • Remember, quality over quantity always wins. 4. Trading Without a Clear Plan Here’s what happens: • Entering trades without a defined strategy is like gambling—it relies on luck, not skill. What does it mean? • A lack of planning results in inconsistent performance and increased risk. Outcome: • Develop a trading plan that includes your entry, exit, and risk management rules. • Stick to your plan, even during volatile market conditions. 5. Letting Emotions Drive Decisions Here’s what happens: • Fear, greed, or frustration often leads to impulsive trading and poor outcomes. What does it mean? • Emotional decisions cloud judgment and lead to inconsistent performance. Outcome: • Journal your trades to identify emotional patterns. • Focus on data-driven strategies to maintain objectivity. Final Thoughts Trading is not about avoiding losses entirely but managing them effectively. By addressing these common mistakes, you can build a strong foundation for long-term success. What trading challenges have you faced? Share your experiences below—we can all learn and grow together!
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TraderRahulPal
since now USDT is not compliant, lets go with BTC/USDC"All past movements" means that the last bullish or bearish trends are over, from 2020 till the past November run-up. The price must be retraced before reaching the new targets, and the liquidity left behind must be recovered. There are too many signs to suggest selling rather than buying. Any bullish movement won't be strong enough to bring the price over the last ATH and create a new BOS, which would be significant for the long position analysis. From a fundamental perspective, the new taxes and norms in action this 31st December led the small investors to wait for the end of the year before investing. The Institutional investors, on the other hand, will wait for the price to drop before buying, and at this point, they will also wait for the year's closure to purchase new coins since the balances must be generally closed by that time. This is the fact, as a 5-year trader, the BCT volatility index is getting closer to the normal % every month. Thus, the price must follow a few new rules. We are still waiting for the big bullish shot post-halving, which has not arrived yet, even if the 100K were a high psychological winning, the rally is not over yet. There are millions of liquidations waiting for around 93K. If the price goes around 91K, it is more likely to drop rapidly to 81K-78K. Will it drop? If we're lucky, yes. Just enough to create a correction, probably a new pennant as chart shape and price action pattern So, it's better to have solid growth with slower growth. In the past time, we have seen even more range situations where the price was somehow consolidating itself (a bit for the institutional action, a bit for fundamental reasons). We don't need to care about why but about what we are doing. The volatility and rapid response that BTC gave are now over. We have a more solid asset that is not a pure speculative coin as before, but it has created a new market and economic system. 124000$ new target 81000$ strong support and liquidation spot 78500$ significant for technical analysis but now actually relevant to the liquid one 71000$ last retracement level and resistance If we reach 71K, the bullish will be sharp. The drawdown will create a good buying situation and will lead to higher volumes and capital to reach the next target.
Short
by itsmcasalinii
Unlocking the Secrets of Divergence in Trading- A Complete GuideMastering Divergence: Real-Life Examples of Bullish and Bearish Divergence in UPL Ltd and Tata Motors Divergence is an incredibly powerful tool in technical analysis that helps traders spot potential trend reversals. By comparing price action with momentum indicators like RSI, you can catch subtle signs of market shifts and make more informed trading decisions. In this post, I’m sharing two real-life examples of bullish and bearish divergence to help you understand how this works and how you can use it to improve your trading. 1. Bullish Divergence Example: UPL Ltd Here’s what happened: Price Action: UPL Ltd made a lower low on the chart. RSI Indicator: At the same time, RSI formed a higher low, creating a clear bullish divergence. What does it mean? Even though the price was dropping, the RSI hinted that momentum was picking up. This is often a clue that a reversal might be on the horizon. Outcome: Right after confirming the divergence, UPL Ltd saw a strong rally, rewarding traders who caught the signal early. 2. Bearish Divergence Example: Tata Motors Here’s another case: Price Action: Tata Motors was climbing, forming a higher high on the chart. RSI Indicator: But the RSI didn’t agree—it created a lower high, signaling a bearish divergence. What does it mean? The rising price didn’t have the momentum to back it up. This imbalance often leads to a downward reversal. Outcome: As expected, Tata Motors experienced a bearish reversal soon after, validating the divergence and giving traders a great shorting opportunity. Why Divergence Is a Must-Know for Traders Divergence is so effective because it reveals hidden shifts in market momentum before they show up on price charts. Here’s why it’s worth paying attention to: Early Signals: Divergences give you a head start by showing potential reversals before they happen. Versatile Tool: You can use divergence with multiple indicators like MACD or Stochastic for extra confirmation. Better Timing: Pairing divergence with support/resistance levels or trendlines helps you fine-tune your entries and exits. How to Trade Divergence Like a Pro Combine divergence signals with major support/resistance levels for stronger setups. Always wait for confirmation—like a breakout or a reversal candlestick—before taking action Use stop losses to protect your trades in case the divergence doesn’t play out. Visual Examples on the Charts Take a look at the attached chart showing UPL Ltd (Bullish Divergence) and Tata Motors (Bearish Divergence) side by side. UPL Ltd: The price made a lower low, but RSI made a higher low, leading to a strong bullish rally. Tata Motors: The price formed a higher high, but RSI made a lower high, resulting in a bearish reversal. Your Turn! Have you spotted any divergences in stocks you’re tracking? Let me know in the comments! If you found this helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more educational trading content.
NSE:TATAMOTORSEducation
by TraderRahulPal
8