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Beyond Technical Analysis

Trade Like Istitution Why Learn to Trade Like Institution? Financial markets are not random. They are highly manipulated and structured systems, controlled by major financial entities. When you trade like institution, you stop guessing and start understanding: Where the big players place their orders. How liquidity zones work. Why certain price levels are targeted before major moves. How you can identify smart money footprints and follow the dominant trend. This approach teaches you to trade strategically, patiently, and professionally — eliminating the emotional rollercoaster most traders experience. What You Will Learn in “Trade Like Institution” ✅ Smart Money Trading Concepts Understand how institutions manipulate markets, create liquidity, and trap retail traders. Learn the basics of accumulation, manipulation, and distribution phases. ✅ Market Structure and Order Flow Read the market from an institutional perspective using pure price action and market structure analysis. Identify break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHoCH) signals that reveal when the market is about to move. ✅ Order Block Identification Learn to locate order blocks, where institutions place their large orders. These zones are often the key areas where price reverses or explodes in a specific direction. ✅ Liquidity Zones and Stop-Loss Hunting Discover how to identify liquidity pools, understand stop-loss hunting techniques, and position yourself for trades after liquidity grabs. ✅ Risk Management Like Institutions Master the art of risk management, learning how big players manage risk efficiently to stay profitable long-term, even after losses. ✅ High-Probability Trade Setups Get access to reliable entry techniques with precise stop-loss placement and optimal reward-to-risk setups that minimize risk and maximize returns. ✅ Live Market Application Learn through real-world market examples, live sessions, and chart analysis to see how institutional concepts apply in active markets like forex, stocks, indices, and crypto. Who Should Learn to Trade Like Institution? This course is designed for: 📊 New traders who want to start the right way without falling into retail traps. 💡 Intermediate traders who have experience but struggle with consistency. 💼 Full-time or part-time traders who wish to level up their skills. 📈 Investors who want to actively manage and grow their wealth. 🎯 Ambitious traders who want to make trading a serious and professional income source. Benefits of Trading Like Institution ✅ Stop being a victim of market manipulation and start trading with the market movers. ✅ Eliminate confusion, follow clean price action, and trade with confidence. ✅ Avoid low-probability trades by understanding where the real market action happens. ✅ Build strong discipline and follow a professional trading process. ✅ Achieve long-term profitability by managing risk like professionals. ✅ Become a confident, independent trader capable of thriving in any market condition. Trading success comes from learning the truth behind market movements and following the professional path. This course will completely transform your approach to the markets. With Trade Like Institution, you’ll stop guessing, start predicting, and trade with an edge just like the top institutional traders do every single day
NSE:HDFCBANKEducation
by SkyTradingZone
Learn Institutional TradingWhy Learn Institutional Trading? The financial markets are not random; they are highly structured environments controlled by large financial players who leave visible footprints on the chart. Most retail traders don’t see these footprints and end up on the wrong side of the market. By learning institutional trading, you will finally understand: Why the market moves the way it does. How to spot liquidity traps and avoid stop-loss hunting. Where smart money enters and exits trades. How to trade with confidence instead of fear and guesswork. This course focuses on the real mechanics of price movement, not on unreliable indicators or random trade signals. What You Will Learn in Institutional Trading ✅ Smart Money Concepts (SMC): Learn how institutional traders accumulate and distribute orders, using liquidity to their advantage. Understand the true story behind price action. ✅ Liquidity and Order Blocks: Master the art of identifying liquidity pools, order blocks, and market manipulation zones. Understand where smart money enters the market and how you can follow their lead. ✅ Market Structure Mastery: Learn to read market structures with precision, identify internal and external structures, and capitalize on market shifts with high-probability trade setups. ✅ Entry and Exit Strategies: Get access to professional-grade entry methods, including refined confirmation entries, break-of-structure (BOS) trades, and optimal risk-reward setups. ✅ Risk Management Techniques: Understand how institutions manage risks and protect their capital. Implement strong risk management rules to protect your trading account from unnecessary losses. ✅ Live Market Sessions and Mentorship: Participate in live market discussions, chart breakdowns, and Q&A sessions with expert traders who trade institutional concepts every day. Who Can Learn Institutional Trading? This course is suitable for: 📌 Beginners who want to start with professional strategies from day one. 📌 Intermediate traders who are tired of inconsistent results. 📌 Advanced traders who want to refine their understanding of market manipulation. 📌 Investors who wish to add active trading as an income source. 📌 Aspiring professionals who aim to make trading a serious career path. Benefits of Learning Institutional Trading ✅ Trade with clarity and confidence, knowing you are on the side of smart money. ✅ Stop chasing trades and start trading with high-probability setups. ✅ Learn to avoid retail traps and false breakouts. ✅ Build a sustainable trading career with proper risk management and psychological discipline. ✅ Apply your skills to any market: stocks, forex, crypto, indices, or commodities. ✅ Experience real growth as a professional trader, thinking several steps ahead of the market. Learn Institutional Trading is more than just a course — it’s a complete professional transformation. It equips you with the skills, mindset, and strategies to succeed in modern financial markets. Stop trading blindly and start trading with purpose, accuracy, and confidence.
BSE:SENSEXEducation
by SkyTradingZone
2
Psychology Is 80% of Trading Success But Most Traders Ignore ItPsychology Is 80% of Trading Success – But Most Traders Ignore It “Have you ever entered a perfect trade… and still lost?” Right direction. Clear technical setup. Trend confirmation was there. Yet you closed early. Or held a losing trade too long. Or jumped back in out of revenge after a loss. It wasn’t your system’s fault. It was your psychology. 💡 Most traders don’t fail because of bad analysis – they fail because of poor emotional control Let’s walk through some common real-life situations every trader has experienced at least once: 🎯 1. You closed your trade early – afraid the market might reverse Case study: A trader entered a long position on XAUUSD at a support zone (2360), aiming for TP at 2375. But when price reached 2366, he closed out early – afraid to “lose profits.” The market later hit his original TP perfectly. ➡️ This is classic loss aversion – the fear of losing what you’ve already gained. 🎯 2. You refused to cut a loss – hoping the price would come back Case study: A trader shorted EURUSD expecting a pullback, but price broke resistance and continued up. Instead of cutting the loss, he widened his stop loss, holding onto hope. The result? A bigger loss than planned. ➡️ This is denial – a refusal to accept you’re wrong, leading to emotional attachment to the trade. 🎯 3. You increased your position size after a winning streak Case study: After two strong wins, a trader feels confident and increases position size on the next trade… Even though the setup isn’t as strong. That trade ends in a loss – wiping out earlier profits. ➡️ This is overconfidence bias – a dangerous psychological state after wins. 📊 Technical skills only account for 20% – the remaining 80% is mastering yourself You might: Understand price structure Use advanced indicators Follow a solid trading system But if you: Break your stop loss rules Scale up recklessly Enter trades impulsively Then your edge vanishes. Success becomes inconsistent. 🧠 5 Practical Ways to Strengthen Your Trading Psychology ✅ Keep a trading journal – especially track your emotions Ask: “Did I follow my plan? Or was I trading to ‘feel better’?” ✅ Never change SL or TP mid-trade Stick to your original plan. Discipline builds consistency. ✅ Use demo accounts to train discipline, not to prove profitability Treat each demo trade as if real money is at stake. ✅ Set mandatory “cool-off” periods after consecutive losses For example: 2 losses = no trades for 24 hours. ✅ Practice waiting – patience is your most underrated tool Pro traders often wait days for a valid setup. That’s not inactivity – that’s control. 🔁 Trading is not a search for the perfect system – it’s a journey of mastering your own mind A strategy with only 55% win rate can still be highly profitable …if paired with discipline, risk management, and emotional control. But… A system with 70% accuracy can still blow your account …if your psychology breaks down under pressure. 🎯 Final Thoughts: The financial markets reward those who can control themselves – not just those who analyze well. You don’t need to be smarter than others. You don’t need to master 10 indicators. But you must be able to stay calm, act rationally, and follow your rules. Knowledge lets you see the opportunity – but psychology determines if you survive it.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MMFlowTrading
Bank Nifty Trade Setup for July 19, 2025 |Bank Nifty is currently trading around 56,250, in a tight range between a strong 4H demand zone and multiple overhead supply zones. After a sharp fall from ~57,400, price has stabilized near the 56,140–56,200 demand base. A bounce or breakdown from this zone will decide the next intraday trend. 🔴 Key Supply Zones (Resistance): 56,420 – 56,500 → Fresh 15-min bearish zone (recent rejection) 56,700 – 56,820 → Previous base before breakdown (1H/4H supply) 57,180 – 57,400 → Major resistance from 4H chart (sharp sell-off zone) 🟢 Key Demand Zone (Support): 56,140 – 56,200 → Strong buying base seen across 15min to 4H. Market is holding here with multiple rejections. 📈 Trading Scenarios: 1. Long Trade Plan (Buy on Rejection from Demand Zone): Entry: Above 56,230 (after bullish reversal confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 56,120 Target 1: 56,420 Target 2: 56,700 2. Short Trade Plan (Sell on Rejection from Supply Zone): Entry: Below 56,390 if price rejects 56,420–56,500 zone Stop Loss: Above 56,520 Target: 56,200 3. Breakdown Trade (Aggressive Bearish Bias): Break below 56,140 with retest failure Entry: On retest rejection of 56,140–56,160 Target: 55,900 – 55,600 Stop Loss: Above breakdown retest high 🧭 Bias: Neutral to Bullish as long as price respects 56,140. Breakdown below 56,140 would shift bias to Bearish. ⚠️ Notes: Wait for confirmation candles, especially on 15-min chart Avoid trades in the middle of the range (56,200–56,400) unless structure is clear Monitor broader market cues (Nifty + global indices) before confirmation
NShort
by BhardwajVipin
1
Nifty 50 Trade Plan – July 19, 2025 |📊 Timeframe: 4H | 1H | 15M 🔍 Methodology: ICT Concepts | Market Structure | Supply & Demand Zones 🔻 Bias: Bearish to Neutral The index is in a clear downtrend, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows on the 4H and 1H charts. Price is currently trading below the key structural resistance zone of 25,070, and any pullback into this zone is a potential short opportunity unless invalidated by a bullish breakout. 🔑 Key Levels: Supply Zones: 🟥 25,030 – 25,070 (1H Supply) 🟥 25,150 – 25,250 (HTF Supply) Demand Zone: 🟩 24,880 – 24,910 (1H Demand) 🟩 Below that: 24,700 (next liquidity zone) Current Price: 24,965 📌 TRADE SETUPS: ✳️ Plan A – Short Setup (High Probability) Trade with trend, from supply zone rejection. Entry: Around 25,030–25,070 Trigger: Bearish rejection candle (engulfing / pin bar) on 5M–15M Stop Loss: Above 25,100 Targets: 🎯 T1: 24,910 🎯 T2: 24,860 🎯 T3: 24,700 (if structure breaks) ✳️ Plan B – Long Setup (Countertrend, Low Conviction) Only if strong bullish PA emerges with break above 25,070. Entry: Retest of 24,880–24,910 demand zone with bullish engulfing on 15M Stop Loss: Below 24,850 Targets: 🎯 T1: 25,030 🎯 T2: 25,150–25,200 🧠 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT: Element Status HTF Trend 🔻 Bearish Demand Holding ✅ Yes (24,880 zone) BOS for Bullish Shift 🚫 Not yet confirmed Liquidity Pool 🟥 Above 25,100 Risk-Reward Zones ✅ Clear structure for both long & short 📌 Conclusion: Unless Nifty gives a clean breakout above 25,070, rallies are to be sold into. Keep watch for rejection patterns from supply zones. If the 24,880 demand breaks, we could see accelerated downside. Stay patient. Let price come to your zones. React, don't predict. 🎯
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
1
Earnings in Focus Companies in the Spotlight Reliance Industries (RIL) Reliance’s results are among the most awaited in the Indian market. It touches almost every Indian household through its telecom (Jio), retail, and oil-to-chemicals arms. In Q1, analysts expected strong year-on-year growth in profit, partly helped by a one-time gain from a stake sale. Retail and digital segments were projected to post steady growth. Oil-to-chemicals margins were expected to remain stable due to global energy price stabilization. Since Reliance has a significant weight in both Nifty and Sensex, even a 2–3% move can swing the broader indices. JSW Steel JSW Steel posted stronger-than-expected operating profits. The volume growth was robust and pricing held steady despite global uncertainties. Steel performance is considered a proxy for infrastructure and housing demand. Better margins mean improved profitability outlook, which often lifts peer stocks like Tata Steel and SAIL too. Wipro Wipro surprised the street with a better-than-expected net profit growth and steady revenue. This came after a few muted quarters, giving confidence to IT investors. The firm also secured some large deals, which improved guidance. When a Tier-1 IT company beats expectations, it often leads to a short-term sector-wide rally. Axis Bank Axis Bank reported a small decline in net profit due to an increase in provisions and asset quality slippage. Markets reacted negatively, with the stock dropping more than 5%. This raised some concerns for the entire banking sector, especially around retail loan delinquencies. Bank earnings are carefully tracked for signs of economic health since they’re the first to show stress in the system. Hindustan Zinc Despite a year-on-year drop in profit, Hindustan Zinc beat market expectations. The metal segment held up well. Higher cost efficiency offset pricing pressure. It shows that even in commodity-heavy businesses, efficiency and scale can drive earnings resilience. 3. 📈 How Markets React During Earnings Earnings are one of the biggest catalysts for short-term market movements. Here’s how different market participants respond: Retail Traders: Look for quick intraday or swing opportunities based on the reaction to earnings. Institutional Investors: Focus more on guidance, margin outlook, and strategic plans. FIIs & DIIs: Use results to rebalance portfolios across sectors. This week, markets opened flat with mixed sector movements. Financials remained under pressure due to Axis Bank, while energy and metals were relatively stronger. 4. 🎯 Trading Strategies During Earnings Season 🔹 Intraday Traders: Monitor stock-specific results. A strong beat often results in gap-up opens, followed by either a continuation rally or profit-booking. Misses often result in sharp selling pressure. 🔹 Swing Traders: Look for strong earnings + bullish technical setup for 3–5 day momentum trades. Weak earnings can be played with bearish options like puts or bear spreads. 🔹 Investors: Focus on long-term stories where earnings confirm improving fundamentals. Use dips in strong businesses as buying opportunities. 5. 💼 Sectoral Trends from Current Earnings ✅ IT Sector: Wipro’s good performance and deal wins have created optimism. If the rest of the IT majors follow suit, it may indicate a bottom in the tech cycle. ✅ Metals: JSW Steel’s strong numbers confirm ongoing industrial demand. Infra push and China’s restocking are adding tailwinds to global metal prices. ❌ Financials: Axis Bank’s weaker asset quality is a concern. Market will now look toward HDFC Bank, SBI, and ICICI Bank to see if this is a one-off or an emerging trend. ⚖️ FMCG & Consumer: Awaited earnings from major players like HUL, Dabur, and Nestlé will show how rural and urban consumption are shaping up. Margin expansion through easing input costs will be closely monitored. 6. 📊 Impact on Broader Indices Nifty: Reliance alone has over 10% weight in the index. A positive surprise there can lift Nifty meaningfully. IT and metals also have significant representation, so results from Wipro and JSW Steel are important. Bank Nifty: Axis Bank’s fall dragged the index. A recovery depends on upcoming results from ICICI Bank and HDFC Bank. Sector Indices: Nifty Metal may outperform if positive surprises continue. Nifty IT needs more broad-based strength to reverse the downtrend. 7. 🧠 What Smart Money Is Watching Institutional investors are focusing on: Guidance for the rest of FY25 Cost management: Are companies protecting or growing their margins? Volume growth: Are revenues rising due to real demand or just price hikes? Loan growth and credit quality: Especially in the banking space These insights help long-term investors identify early winners and avoid laggards. 8. 🧾 Key Takeaways for Traders & Investors Earnings are the strongest short-term trigger in markets. Reliance results can tilt the entire Nifty one way or the other. IT is stabilizing, Metals are strong, Financials are shaky—sector rotation is visible. Stay stock- and sector-specific rather than going fully index-based during earnings season. 9. ✅ Final Words “Earnings in Focus” isn’t just a headline—it’s the heartbeat of market sentiment right now. In a market driven by uncertainty (inflation, interest rates, global slowdown), real numbers from real companies matter more than ever. This is the time when: Traders can catch powerful moves based on short-term surprises Investors can spot trends and leaders early Portfolio rebalancing decisions can be guided by facts, not emotions Whether you’re in for a quick trade or a long-term position, understanding earnings and their market impact is essential.
BEducation
by TechnicalExpress
GIFT Nifty Signals Bullish Start🏛️ What is GIFT Nifty? Let’s start with the basics. GIFT Nifty is the new name for what used to be known as the SGX Nifty—a derivative contract that mirrors the Nifty 50, but is traded outside India. It now runs on the GIFT City platform (Gujarat International Finance Tec-City). It gives traders, especially foreign institutional investors (FIIs), the ability to trade in Nifty futures even before the Indian market opens. Think of it as an early indicator of how the Nifty 50 might perform when the Indian market opens at 9:15 am. ✅ Important: GIFT Nifty is NOT a separate index. It simply reflects the expected movement of the Nifty 50 index, based on global market cues and overnight developments. 🧠 Why Did SGX Nifty Become GIFT Nifty? Until July 2023, the Nifty futures were traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX). But to bring more liquidity and volume back to Indian shores and to establish India as a global financial hub, the trading of Nifty derivatives was moved from Singapore to the GIFT IFSC platform. Thus, SGX Nifty became GIFT Nifty. 📈 Why GIFT Nifty’s Morning Move Matters Each morning, traders, analysts, media houses, and even retail investors check GIFT Nifty levels. Why? Because it acts as a directional clue. Here’s how: If GIFT Nifty is up by 100 points, it’s a sign that Nifty 50 is likely to open higher. If it’s down by 75 points, it hints at a gap-down opening. It reflects the sentiment of global markets, overnight US cues, geopolitical risks, and FII mood. 📊 Example: GIFT Nifty trading at 22,450 (up 80 points) Yesterday’s Nifty close: 22,370 → Bullish sign → Indian markets may open with a gap-up of 70–100 points. 📌 What Does “Bullish Start” Mean? A bullish start means the market is expected to open on a positive note—meaning, the index (like Nifty or Sensex) may start the day higher than the previous day’s closing. This can happen due to: Strong global cues (e.g., Dow Jones, Nasdaq closing higher) Positive FII activity Good earnings announcements Supportive macroeconomic data Favorable government or budget policy Cooling of global tensions or crude oil prices So, when GIFT Nifty shows a positive movement before 9 am, traders call it a bullish pre-market setup. 🔍 Real-World Example – July 18, 2025 On July 18, 2025: GIFT Nifty was up by 55 points, indicating a positive start. This came after a volatile weekly expiry on Thursday. Strong earnings expected from companies like Reliance, JSW Steel, L&T Finance added to positive sentiment. US markets closed flat, but no major negative surprise. FIIs were net sellers, but DIIs absorbed selling pressure. → All this combined gave a green signal from GIFT Nifty to the domestic market. 💼 How Traders Use GIFT Nifty in Strategy ✅ 1. Pre-Market Planning GIFT Nifty gives early clues, so: Intraday traders plan opening range setups Option traders adjust straddles/strangles based on expected gap F&O traders look at overnight position rollover ✅ 2. Risk Management A weak GIFT Nifty warns of gap-downs due to global negativity. This allows traders to: Hedge long positions Tighten stop-losses Avoid aggressive morning trades ✅ 3. Sectoral Rotation If GIFT Nifty is up, focus shifts to high-beta stocks like Bank Nifty, Reliance, Adani Group, etc. If it's down, defensive plays like FMCG and Pharma may perform better. 🧮 How to Read GIFT Nifty Properly? Here are 3 simple tips: ✔️ Tip 1: Compare with Previous Day’s Nifty Close If GIFT Nifty > Last close → Gap-up expected If GIFT Nifty < Last close → Gap-down likely ✔️ Tip 2: Watch Global Cues Dow/Nasdaq closing + crude oil + USD/INR = impact GIFT Nifty If all show strength, GIFT Nifty usually reacts positively ✔️ Tip 3: Use With FII/DII Data Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Buying = Strong setup Bullish GIFT Nifty + FII Selling = Weak opening might reverse later 🌎 GIFT Nifty & Global Linkage India is now deeply linked with: US markets (Nasdaq, S&P 500) Crude oil Dollar Index Global interest rate policies (Fed, ECB) So if: US markets crash overnight → GIFT Nifty reacts instantly Crude oil falls sharply → Positive for India → GIFT Nifty turns green 📍 Important: GIFT Nifty Is Not Always Accurate Sometimes GIFT Nifty shows bullish signs, but: Domestic news (politics, budget) pulls market down FII/DII data surprises post-opening Index gaps up but then reverses during the day That’s why traders use GIFT Nifty as a clue, not a guarantee 🚦 Final Thoughts – Why You Should Watch GIFT Nifty GIFT Nifty is like the morning alarm for the market: It tells you what’s likely to happen before the bell rings. Gives you a head start to plan your trades. Helps spot sectoral strength, F&O positioning, and market mood.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by TechnicalExpress
XAUUSD BUY possible from 3333.52 price level On 1hr time frame Market has took a liquidity of previous buying area or previous buyers so currently the market Is at bullish trend on 15min we can see that if price comes to 3333.52 level then there would be a probability for scalping on upside because below that level there is good amount of space available for market to fall and this is visible to everyone so market would first take the liquidity by breaking that zone and then it moves upside possiblity of buying.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by tradingcity28
1
JINDALSTEL Price ActionJindal Steel & Power Limited (JINDALSTEL) is currently trading around ₹950 after a modest rebound in the last trading session. Over the past year, the stock has ranged from a high of ₹1,074 to a low of approximately ₹723, reflecting significant volatility. Much of July 2025 has seen the stock consolidating within the ₹932–₹950 zone after registering strong gains earlier in the year. Jindal Steel & Power is among India’s leading steel producers and is active in both mining and the power sector, with operations that span internationally. The company holds a market capitalization close to ₹97,000 crore. From a financial perspective, revenue growth has moderated, averaging about 6% compounded annually over five years, with a slight decline observed in the recent trailing twelve months. Profit growth has slowed as well, and return on equity is near 8% for the past year. The operating profit margin remains stable just under 20%, but is below the company’s multi-year peak levels. The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio in the higher twenties, reflecting a valuation premium that is partly attributed to its business diversification and international reach. Recently, the resignation of CFO Mayank Gupta, effective mid-July 2025, may create some near-term uncertainty in investor sentiment. On the positive side, the promoters have increased their stake by about 1% in the recent quarter—a sign of internal confidence. On the technical chart, ₹950 serves as both a support and resistance level. Sustained movement above this could pave the way toward retesting the 52-week highs, while a drop below this area could invite further downward consolidation to the ₹930 or lower levels. In summary, Jindal Steel & Power continues to be fundamentally sound within the steel sector, despite softer growth figures and current price consolidation. Investors should watch for potential breakouts near current levels, keep an eye on management transitions, and monitor broader sector trends for further cues.
NLong
by KamalKJoshi
IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS IIFL FINANCE - BULLISH, purely based on TECHNICALS Technical Outlook CMP : 520.9 Chart Pattern Stock has formed a cup and handle formation and looks poised to scale greater heights. The stock has almost neatly recovered the March'24 Gapdown zone Once it is completely recovered, I expect that stock to move towards its ATH On weekly charts , EMA21 is approching EMA 63 and with the momentum, EMA21 should cross above EMA63 making LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish RSI(weekly)=72 , MACD line > MACD Signal and positive On daily charts LTP>EMA9>EMA21>EMA63>EMA200 - Bullish RSI(daily) =75, overbought and MACD line has just crossed above MACD Signal Industry Outlook Sector/Industry - FINANCIAL SERVICE/NBFC IIFL's Relative strength and momentum on 20 day time period is improving. RS = 107.xx, relatively strong strength compared to Nifty 500 Momentum = 102, relatively Strong momentum compared to Nifty 500 IIFL is amongst the top performing NBFC's in the last 20 days based on normalised returns. Its beaten the returns from the likes of BAJFINANCE, SHRIRAM FInance and Chola Finance among others Future outlook 520>535>560>625>680>Blue Sky (NEW ATH) Disclosure 1 - Invested Disclosure 2 - Not SEBI Registered Disclosure 3 - This is Not investment advice. Treat it as educational
NLong
by harishnarayan2579
#AEROFLEXAsset: Aeroflex Industries Ltd (AEROFLEX) Breakout Level: 215 Potential Target: 272 Stop Loss: 205 (~4%) Timeframe: Short to Medium term Risk to Reward ratio : 1:6 Rationale: Fundamentals - Fundamentally decent stock with the following attributes: * ROCE - 22.3% * ROE - 16.6% * Debt to Equity - 0 * Stock PE 52.2 / Industry PE - 25.5 || Stock PBV 8 / Industry PBV 2.43 - Company is overpriced * EPS / Revenue - Increasing Technicals - * HVE edge carry over, the stock is now showing tight price and volume action * Price is surfing the 10/20 DMA * 200 DMA is forming a slightly increasing structure * Multiple timeframe analysis - Not much to be gathered from monthly charts however weekly charts are showing consolidation as well * RS is increasing * ADR 4.2% Market analysis * Forecasted for ~33% further increase * Promoter holding at 67% and remains steady * MFs are increasing their holding Cons * Momentum is slow holding patterns are not that ideal This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in financial markets involve significant risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. The author is not responsible for any financial losses or damages that may result from the use of this information.
NLong
by mdmahanti
2
Dhani Price Action## Current Price & Trend - The latest trading price is approximately ₹65, significantly below its 52-week high near ₹110 and well above its 52-week low of about ₹47. - The stock has seen a meaningful recovery off its lows, gaining over 40% from the bottom, but remains down nearly 40% from its recent peak. - In the last month, momentum has turned negative with a price decline of more than 7%, and the past week also shows a small drop. - Over a three-month window, there was a modest gain, but performance over the past six months remains negative with a double-digit decline. ## Financial Performance & Valuation - The company recently returned to modest profitability after a streak of quarters with losses, posting small but consecutive net profits in recent reports. - Revenue rebounded in the latest quarter after earlier declines, showing signs of business recovery. - Key valuation indicators remain weak: the price-to-earnings ratio is currently negative, reflecting cumulative prior losses, and price-to-book is around 1.4, a typical range for this peer group. - Market capitalization is about ₹4,000 crore, which gives the stock a mid-tier standing within the financial sector. - Return on equity remains negative, highlighting continued pressure on core profitability. ## Ownership & Sentiment - Promoter shareholding has been steady, and there was a recent increase in foreign institutional investor interest, while retail participation declined slightly. - Market sentiment appears tentative, with recent trading volume and price moves reflecting cautious investor attitudes. ## Strengths & Risks - The return to profitability in recent quarters is a promising sign, especially as revenues are stabilizing. - However, the company’s long-term performance record has been mixed, with prior years marked by substantial losses and depressed cash flows. - The current valuation in relation to earnings and book value suggests the market is waiting for clearer signs of sustainable growth. - The share price remains highly sensitive to quarterly results and shifts in sector confidence. ## Outlook - The medium-term trend is neutral to mildly negative, with no immediate catalysts for a breakout. - Upside potential exists if the company can deliver consistent profits and further revenue growth. - Investors should monitor for continued turnaround in earnings, while being alert to the possibility of renewed volatility given the stock’s historical swings.
NLong
by KamalKJoshi
EFCI Stock Analysis: Hidden Gem with Multibagger Potential🚀 EFC (I) Ltd: On Track to Hit ₹560 — Multibagger in the Making 1. Sector Leadership & Contract Wins EFC recently clinched a ₹183 cr interior turnkey fit‑out project with a major Indian MNC Bloomberg.com +11 Screener +11 The Economic Times +11 , showcasing its strength in a niche where it consistently outperforms competitors. 2. Financial Momentum & Operational Excellence Market cap stands at ~₹3,395 cr, with a current stock price around ₹341 ICICI Direct +6 Screener +6 INDmoney +6 . Q4 FY25 results revealed revenue of ₹211 cr (+19% YoY) and net profit of ₹48 cr (+19%) . Efficiency gains evident—debtor days fell from ~71 to ~55, and working capital cycle improved from 142 to 105 days Screener . Return ratios are healthy: ROCE ~21%, ROE ~23% The Economic Times +2 Screener +2 INDmoney +2 . 3. Analyst Outlook and Valuation Potential Although consensus 12‑month target is ₹465 (~36% upside) Screener +12 Investing.com +12 INDmoney +12 , the company’s robust growth trajectory and order pipeline support a far more ambitious outcome. 4. Technical Confirmation (Your Chart Setup) Your proprietary chart signals align perfectly: strong momentum and breakout structure suggest a swift move to ₹560. This isn’t theoretical—it’s anchored in recent price action and validated patterns. 📈 To Summarize: High-Quality Business: Clear leadership in the real estate services niche and strong recent order flow. Growth & Efficiency: Double-digit YoY revenue/profit growth, with improving working capital conversion. Valuation Re-rating in Sight: Justified by fundamentals and technical momentum. Bullish Target: From the current ₹340–345 region, we see a realistic path to ₹560 based on converging drivers.
BLong
by GOURAVCHOUDHARY9
Nifty 50 Rejected from FVG | ICT Bearish Setup in Play 18/07/25Nifty 50 has shifted into a bearish structure based on ICT Concepts . Here's a detailed breakdown: 🔹 1D (Daily Timeframe) ✅ Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirmed. 🟥 Price rejected strongly from the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 25,350–25,450. 📉 Bias: Bearish until this zone is reclaimed with strong bullish structure. 🔹 4H (Execution Timeframe) 🔻 Market Structure Shift (MSS) followed by rejection from a newly formed FVG. 📉 Price failed to hold above 25,200–25,250, confirming short-term bearish control. 🔹 1H + 15M ❗️Multiple bearish FVGs + Order Block confirmed. 🔻 BOS has shifted intraday trend lower. Trade Plan Direction Entry Zone Target(s) Invalidation Level Short 25,200–25,250 25,000 → 24,800 Close above 25,450
NSE:NIFTYShort
by BhardwajVipin
3
Bank Nifty Facing Rejection from Supply Zone |18/07/202Bank Nifty is showing neutral-to-bearish structure on higher timeframes and potential short setups intraday. Let’s break it down using ICT Concepts : 🔹 1D (Daily Timeframe) ✅ Earlier bullish BOS still intact. 🟥 But price is failing to sustain above 57,300–57,500, where multiple FVGs + OBs exist. 📉 Bias: Bearish below 57,300–57,500. 🔹 4H ❌ Price has been repeatedly rejecting from a stacked supply zone. 🟩 A bullish FVG zone at 56,000–56,200 remains untested and might act as draw-on-liquidity. 🔹 1H + 15M 🔻 Recent BOS + fresh OB confirms intraday weakness. 📉 Price broke structure at 56,950 and is now heading toward lower liquidity levels. 🎯 Trade Plan Direction Entry Zone Target(s) Invalidation Level Short 57,100–57,300 56,600 → 56,200 Close above 57,500 Concepts Used: MSS | BOS | FVG | OB | Liquidity
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by BhardwajVipin
2